Georgia Tech at UCF - 2023 Matchup Preview

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs UCF Knights

Friday, December 22nd 2023 (6:30 PM EST)
UCF -6 (66.5) (175) Open: -4.5 | 63.0
Georgia Tech 30 - UCF: 17 (Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl)

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (5 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: UCF -3.5 (SP+ UCF -6)
Projected Score: GT: 28 - UCF: 32 (60)
UCF Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
GT Travel: 416 miles

Knights (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (21 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
GT Players
UCF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Georgia Tech vs Louisville	+7.0	49.5	L 34 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Georgia Tech vs South Carolina State	-44.0	53.5	W 48 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia Tech at Ole Miss	+17.0	61.5	L 23 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Tech at Wake Forest	+3.5	58.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Tech vs Bowling Green	-21.0	49.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia Tech at Miami	+19.0	57.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Georgia Tech vs Boston College	-5.5	57.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/28	Georgia Tech vs North Carolina	+12.0	65.5	W 46 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Tech at Virginia	+2.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Georgia Tech at Clemson	+17.5	55.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Tech vs Syracuse	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia Tech vs Georgia	+23.0	59.5	L 23 - 31	U	Y
Fri 12/22	Georgia Tech vs UCF	+6.0	66.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

UCF's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UCF vs Kent State	-35.0	54.0	W 56 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/9	UCF at Boise State	-3.0	58.5	W 18 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/16	UCF vs Villanova	-26.5	54.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCF at Kansas State	+6.0	53.5	L 31 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	UCF vs Baylor	-8.0	56.5	L 35 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/7	UCF at Kansas	-2.0	65.0	L 22 - 51	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UCF at Oklahoma	+17.0	67.5	L 29 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCF vs West Virginia	-6.5	59.5	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/4	UCF at Cincinnati	-3.5	59.5	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCF vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	63.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UCF at Texas Tech	+2.0	59.0	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCF vs Houston	-15.5	61.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Fri 12/22	UCF vs Georgia Tech	-6.0	66.5	L 17 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	.05	36%	32.2	37%	2.96	133	36%	192	3.25	.17	43%	25	48%	39%	3.15	52.7	1.1	2.3
UCF	.24	47%	24.3	51%	3.38	228	44%	241	4.08	.21	41%	23.6	40%	43%	3.53	46.4	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	12	32.2	31.2	36.3%	3.25	1.1	18	325	133	192	3.8	49%	50%	37%	36%	21%	.05
UCF Defense	14	23.6	15.7	41.2%	3.53	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	43%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	12	25	29.8	43.4%	3.15	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	48%	39%	17%	.17
UCF Offense	14	24.3	32.6	47.4%	4.08	1.5	24	469	228	241	5.2	53%	46%	51%	44%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	12	28:18	17.7	31%	38%	5.8	52.7	1.1	2.3	6.3	2.3	1	26.9
UCF	14	30:51	24.2	46%	63%	4.9	46.4	1.5	1.5	5	1.5	2	28

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	12	49%	37%	35.5	133	3.8	13	.13	2.96	66%	14%	1.13
UCF Defense	14	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.95	66%	10%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	12	52%	48%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.39	70%	11%	0.98
UCF Offense	14	53%	51%	43.9	228	5.2	35	.29	3.38	73%	10%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	12	50%	36%	18.3	31.8	192.2	6.1	10.5	10	9	.03	1.4	38%	27%	.27	7%	2
UCF Defense	14	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.5	33%	30%	.29	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	12	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.17	1.5	30%	32%	.27	5%	1.9
UCF Offense	14	46%	44%	20.8	32.2	241.2	7.5	11.6	22	9	.21	1.4	27%	32%	.27	4%	1.9

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 1.93 #50
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
2023 Talent Rating: 710.85 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Georgia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Georgia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.93 UCF: 3.965

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: -1.3 UCF: 4.5

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 3.965 #46
UCF's Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
UCF's Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
2023 Talent Rating: 653.97 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
UCF's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Georgia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UCF 32
Georgia Tech 28

Projected Total Points: 60

UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/22	UCF	17	Georgia Tech	30	UCF -6	Georgia Tech	66.5	Under
2022	09/24	UCF	27	Georgia Tech	10	UCF -21	Georgia Tech	56.5	Under
2020	09/19	Georgia Tech	21	UCF	49	UCF -9.5	UCF	63.5	Over
2000	09/01	Georgia Tech	21	UCF	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCF	2	1	1 Overs
Georgia Tech	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	3 - 0	1 - 0	2 - 0

Georgia Tech Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Gasparilla Bowl	Georgia Tech vs UCF	+6.0	66.5	W 30 - 17
2018	Lane Bowl	Georgia Tech vs Minnesota	-5.5	57.0	L 10 - 34

UCF Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Gasparilla Bowl	UCF vs Georgia Tech	-6.0	66.5	L 17 - 30
2022	Military Bowl	UCF vs Duke	+3.5	63.0	L 13 - 30
2021	Gasparilla Bowl	UCF vs Florida	+7.0	56.0	W 29 - 17
2020	Raton Bowl	UCF vs BYU	+6.0	80.0	L 23 - 49
2019	Gasparilla Bowl	UCF vs Marshall	-16.0	60.0	W 48 - 25
2018	Fiesta Bowl	UCF vs LSU	+7.5	57.5	L 32 - 40
2017	Peach Bowl	UCF vs Auburn	+9.5	67.0	W 34 - 27

(#50) GT at (#46) UCF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GT	UCF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#50	#46
SP+SP+	#69	#48
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#38
OffenseOff	#51	#21
DefenseDef	#94	#87
Spec TeamsST	#64	#109
TalentTal	#36	#53
Blue ChipsBC%	#41	#53

Georgia Tech Injury Report

UCF Injury Report

Georgia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	GT Off	UCF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#51	#87
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#35	#89
SP+SP+	#45	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UCF Def
Run GameRun	#22	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#88

Georgia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UCF Def
Pass GamePass	#57	#64
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#94
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UCF on Offense


CategoryCat	UCF Off	GT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#94
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#23	#100
SP+SP+	#35	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCF Run Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#10	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#59	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#46

UCF Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCF Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#30	#38
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#14	#80
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
UCF -6.0 (66.5)
Georgia Tech won at UCF this year (30-17)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat UCF in 2023 (30-17)

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King (Tr)	226	367	62%	2842	27	16	7.7
Zach Pyron	4	8	50%	21	0	1	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	174	1059	7	6.1	67
Haynes King (Tr)	120	737	10	6.1	71
Dontae Smith	100	504	4	5.0	70
Trevion Cooley (Tr)	64	274	3	4.3	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	44	664	5	15.1	58
Malik Rutherford	46	502	4	10.9	55
Dominick Blaylock (Tr)	21	337	2	16.0	53
Christian Leary (Tr)	25	309	2	12.4	44

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	76	1	1	2	0
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6
Clayton Powell-Lee	62	1	0	0	2
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Kennard	49	11	6	1	0
Paul Moala	57	10	3	4	2
Andre White	21	3	3	0	0
D'Quan Douse	32	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9
KJ Wallace	39	2	1	1	7
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6

UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Rhys Plumlee	161	256	63%	2271	15	8	8.9
Timmy McClain (Tr)	64	102	63%	1065	9	3	10.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
RJ Harvey	226	1416	16	6.3	92
Johnny Richardson	87	573	1	6.6	79
John Rhys Plumlee	106	505	5	4.8	32
Xavier Townsend	15	163	0	10.9	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Javon Baker	52	1139	7	21.9	86
Kobe Hudson	44	900	8	20.5	75
Xavier Townsend	33	325	3	9.8	37
Alec Holler	24	244	2	10.2	38

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Johnson	104	6	3	0	1
Walter Yates	68	1	0	0	2
Lee Hunter	57	10	2	1	1
Tre'Mon Morris-Brash	50	16	9	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre'Mon Morris-Brash	50	16	9	2	1
Malachi Lawrence	24	9	6	5	1
Jason Johnson	104	6	3	0	1
Lee Hunter	57	10	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Corey Thornton	22	0	0	6
Quadric Bullard	28	0	0	3
Brandon Adams	19	1	1	2