Ohio at Florida Atlantic - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -3.5 (61.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio 17 - Florida Atlantic: 10

Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ohio -5 (SP+ OHIO -7.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 33 - FAU: 28 (60)
FAU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OHIO Travel: 902 miles

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (37 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Ohio at San Diego State	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/2	Ohio vs Long Island University	-34.5	58.0	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	61.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ohio vs Iowa State	+1.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio at Bowling Green	-13.0	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio vs Kent State	-24.5	45.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio at Northern Illinois	-5.5	45.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/21	Ohio vs Western Michigan	-16.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	39.0	L 16 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Ohio at Buffalo	-9.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-11.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Ohio at Akron	-13.5	41.5	W 25 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Ohio vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	48.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	.23	44%	27.8	42%	2.94	143	47%	278	3.83	.22	43%	21.9	41%	46%	3.82	44.1	0.9	2.2
FAU	.26	45%	29.5	47%	3.29	184	44%	226	4.16	.24	45%	36.3	44%	47%	4.08	58	1.1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	14	27.8	21	44.3%	3.83	0.9	21	422	143	278	4.1	49%	50%	42%	47%	15%	.23
FAU Defense	12	36.3	35.5	45.2%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	47%	18%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	14	21.9	25.8	43.4%	3.82	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	46%	18%	.22
FAU Offense	12	29.5	37.2	45.1%	4.16	1.1	22	410	184	226	4.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	16%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	14	32:09	20.7	42%	35%	4.9	44.1	0.9	2.2	5.9	2.6	1	31.2
Florida Atlantic	12	28:50	22	43%	57%	6.2	58	1.1	1.9	4.3	1.6	3	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	14	49%	42%	35.2	143.4	4.1	23	.11	2.94	73%	10%	0.91
FAU Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.19	74%	10%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.87	66%	12%	1.11
FAU Offense	12	52%	47%	41	184.2	4.5	19	.22	3.29	61%	9%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	14	50%	47%	21.6	33.1	278.1	8.4	12.9	28	5	.37	1.6	32%	34%	.42	5%	2
FAU Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.6	30%	39%	.52	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	14	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.5	33%	33%	.37	6%	2.1
FAU Offense	12	47%	44%	18.1	31.5	226.3	7.2	12.5	25	5	.33	1.7	30%	36%	.52	6%	2.2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 342.60 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.65 Florida Atlantic: -4.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.2 Florida Atlantic: -9.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 582.59 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 33
Florida Atlantic 28

Projected Total Points: 60

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Florida Atlantic	10	Ohio	17	Florida Atlantic -3.5	Ohio	61.5	Under
2022	09/03	Ohio	41	Florida Atlantic	38	Florida Atlantic -6	Ohio	51.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	0	0	1 Overs
Ohio	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#42) OHIO at (#87) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OHIO	FAU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#42	#87
SP+SP+	#74	#104
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#79
OffenseOff	#36	#92
DefenseDef	#30	#60
Spec TeamsST	#135	#81
TalentTal	#123	#71
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Ohio Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	FAU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#60
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#68	#67
SP+SP+	#115	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#89	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#8	#102
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	OHIO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#92	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#112	#5
SP+SP+	#108	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#113	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#53	#19
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Florida Atlantic -3.5 (61.5)
Ohio won at Florida Atlantic this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (17-10)

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke	195	307	64%	2207	11	5	7.2
CJ Harris	25	49	51%	248	2	3	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sieh Bangura	178	811	7	4.6	26
O'Shann Allison	139	452	3	3.3	30
Kurtis Rourke	67	219	4	3.3	25
Parker Navarro	25	178	0	7.1	52

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Wiglusz	55	664	3	12.1	38
Miles Cross	47	599	5	12.7	42
Tyler Walton	37	349	2	9.4	27
Will Kacmarek	22	243	2	11.0	36

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Houston	128	13	3	5	1
Keye Thompson	94	10	2	4	2
Walter Reynolds (Tr)	67	2	0	0	1
Austin Brawley	41	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bradley Weaver	34	13	6	7
Vonnie Watkins	33	8	5	11
Shane Bonner	29	9	5	6
Rayyan Buell	30	13	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Justin Birchette	29	3	0	8
Jeremiah Wood	26	3	2	4
Austin Brawley	41	1	0	2

FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)	208	318	65%	2001	13	10	6.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)	50	79	63%	509	5	5	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larry McCammon III	149	681	5	4.6	40
Kobe Lewis (Tr)	84	406	3	4.8	75
Michael Johnson Jr.	23	140	7	6.1	27
Zuberi Mobley	22	62	0	2.8	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	108	1168	8	10.8	76
Tony Johnson	36	406	4	11.3	72
Je'Quan Burton	24	277	2	11.5	39
Larry McCammon III	25	205	0	8.2	55

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Ambush	82	7	1	1	0
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	0	0	6
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2
Darius McClendon	60	5	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Decarius Hawthorne	17	7	5	4	0
Marlon Bradley	21	4	3	2	0
Courtney McBride	21	7	3	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	6
Daedae Hill	33	1	4
Romain Mungin	32	2	3