Ohio at Florida Atlantic - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -3.5 (61.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio 17 - Florida Atlantic: 10

Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (23 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Ohio -5 (SP+ OHIO -7.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 31 - FAU: 26 (52)
FAU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OHIO Travel: 902 miles

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Ohio at San Diego State	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/2	Ohio vs Long Island University	-34.5	58.0	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	61.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ohio vs Iowa State	+1.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio at Bowling Green	-13.0	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio vs Kent State	-24.5	45.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio at Northern Illinois	-5.5	45.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/21	Ohio vs Western Michigan	-16.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	39.0	L 16 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Ohio at Buffalo	-9.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-11.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Ohio at Akron	-13.5	41.5	W 25 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Ohio vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	48.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	.23	44%	29.3	42%	2.94	143	47%	278	3.83	.22	43%	18.1	41%	46%	3.82	44.1	0.9	2.2
FAU	.26	45%	25.9	47%	3.29	184	44%	226	4.16	.24	45%	30.3	44%	47%	4.08	58	1.1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	14	29.3	23.3	44.3%	3.83	0.9	21	422	143	278	4.1	49%	50%	42%	47%	15%	.23
FAU Defense	12	30.3	29.7	45.2%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	47%	18%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	14	18.1	23.5	43.4%	3.82	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	46%	18%	.22
FAU Offense	12	25.9	28.5	45.1%	4.16	1.1	22	410	184	226	4.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	16%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	14	32:09	20.7	42%	35%	4.9	44.1	0.9	2.2	5.9	2.6	1	31.2
Florida Atlantic	12	28:50	22	43%	57%	6.2	58	1.1	1.9	4.3	1.6	3	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	14	49%	42%	35.2	143.4	4.1	23	.11	2.94	73%	10%	0.91
FAU Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.19	74%	10%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.87	66%	12%	1.11
FAU Offense	12	52%	47%	41	184.2	4.5	19	.22	3.29	61%	9%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	14	50%	47%	21.6	33.1	278.1	8.4	12.9	28	5	.37	1.6	32%	34%	.42	5%	2
FAU Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.6	30%	39%	.52	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	14	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.5	33%	33%	.37	6%	2.1
FAU Offense	12	47%	44%	18.1	31.5	226.3	7.2	12.5	25	5	.33	1.7	30%	36%	.52	6%	2.2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.65 Florida Atlantic: -4.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.2 Florida Atlantic: -9.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 31
Florida Atlantic 26

Projected Total Points: 52

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Florida Atlantic	10	Ohio	17	Ohio	Florida Atlantic -3.5	Ohio	61.5	Under
2022	09/03	Ohio	41	Florida Atlantic	38	Ohio	Florida Atlantic -6	Ohio	51.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	0	0	1 Overs
Ohio	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#42) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20

Team Profile

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Ohio Ratings Matchup Florida Atlantic

Power #42

#87

Off #68

#112

Def #5

#67

Talent #118

#98

SP+ #74

#104

SP+ Off #115

#108

SP+ Def #13

#80

Rematch from Week 2
Florida Atlantic -3.5 (61.5)
Ohio won at Florida Atlantic this year (17-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (17-10)
Ohio beat Florida Atlantic in 2022 (41-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 82°( - Hum: 79%) - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: OHIO | FAU
Depth Chart: OHIO | FAU
Rosters: OHIO | FAU

(#87) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80
Talent Rating: 482.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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Ohio's OC Scott Isphording

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke	222	320	69%	3042	29	5	9.5
CJ Harris	19	31	61%	184	0	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
O'Shann Allison	61	237	0	3.9	49
CJ Harris	18	49	0	2.7	13
Kurtis Rourke	46	-35	2	-0.8	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacoby Jones	22	327	2	14.9	40
Miles Cross	27	324	4	12.0	34
Aramoni Rhone	15	235	2	15.7	52
Will Kacmarek	8	86	0	10.8	32

View Ohio's Full Roster

Ohio's DC Spence Nowinsky

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	0	10
Keye Thompson	28	2	0	1	1
Torrie Cox Jr.	26	1	0	0	4
Chris Mayfield	9	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Mayfield	9	3	1	2	0
Xander Karagosian	2	1	1	0	0
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	0	10
Keye Thompson	28	2	0	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	10
Torrie Cox Jr.	26	1	0	4
Keye Thompson	28	2	1	1

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kasen Weisman	39	73	53%	416	2	3	5.7
Michael Johnson Jr.	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kasen Weisman	15	71	1	4.7	17
Tony Johnson	2	13	0	6.5	13
Donovan Giles	2	8	0	4.0	12
LaJohntay Wester	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	74	931	10	12.6	69
Tony Johnson	49	452	6	9.2	23
Donovan Giles	8	123	1	15.4	37
Elijah Brown (Tr)	1	22	0	22.0	22

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Williams	51	7	0	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	41	2	0	0	1
Decarius Hawthorne	39	10	3	3	2
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0
Decarius Hawthorne	39	10	3	3	2
Marlon Bradley	14	5	2	1	0
Latrell Jean	21	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daedae Hill	27	1	0	0	5
Chris Jones	34	8	1	5	4
Michal Antoine Jr.	19	1	0	0	3