Western Michigan at Ohio - 2023 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Ohio BobcatsOhio logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -16.5 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio 20 - Western Michigan: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -15.5   (SP+ OHIO -14)

Projected Score: WMU: 17 - OHIO: 33 (50)
OHIO Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
WMU Travel: 275 miles
Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 16 (25 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)-14.058.0W 35 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 Western Michigan at Syracuse+24.556.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/16 Western Michigan at Iowa+28.543.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 Western Michigan at Toledo+21.552.5L 31 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 Western Michigan vs Ball State-1.550.0W 42 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Western Michigan at Mississippi State+21.554.5L 28 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)+7.546.0L 21 - 34ON
Sat 10/21 Western Michigan at Ohio+16.552.0L 17 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-3.050.0W 45 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-3.557.5W 38 - 28OY
Tue 11/14 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+4.555.5L 0 - 24UN
Tue 11/21 Western Michigan vs Bowling Green+2.054.5L 10 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Ohio's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Ohio at San Diego State+2.048.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/2 Ohio vs Long Island University-34.558.0W 27 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio at Florida Atlantic+3.561.5W 17 - 10UY
Sat 9/16 Ohio vs Iowa State+1.542.0W 10 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Ohio at Bowling Green-13.045.0W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio vs Kent State-24.545.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 10/14 Ohio at Northern Illinois-5.545.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 10/21 Ohio vs Western Michigan-16.552.0W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/28 Ohio vs Miami (OH)-7.539.0L 16 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Ohio at Buffalo-9.545.5W 20 - 10UY
Wed 11/15 Ohio vs Central Michigan-11.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Fri 11/24 Ohio at Akron-13.541.5W 25 - 14UN
Sat 12/16 Ohio vs Georgia Southern+1.548.5W 41 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#85 (.16)40% (90)23.741% (87)3.09 (71)15340% (87)2113.89 (72)#92 (.22)44% (101)31.846% (99)44% (99)4.15 (105)62.31.11.5
OHIO#76 (.18)45% (33)24.344% (61)2.99 (90)14448% (17)2043.61 (92)#3 (.02)35% (8)15.835% (9)36% (12)2.45 (2)51.811.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1223.719.740.3%3.891.1203651532113.854%45%41%40%16%.16
OHIO Defense1315.816.835%2.451.8 - - - - - 44%54%35%36%21%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1231.834.944.3%4.151.5 - - - - - 50%48%46%44%19%.22
OHIO Offense1324.324.845.2%3.611213481442043.952%47%44%48%15%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1229:5519.636%49%7.162.31.11.55.22028.3
Ohio1333:2320.846%50%5.651.811.87.42.8131.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1254% (38)41% (87)39.9153.33.821 (54).15 (73)3.09 (71)75% (58)10% (66)1 (65)
OHIO Defense1344% (10)35% (9) - - - - -.06 (3)2.54 (8)70% (47)15% (3)1.07 (101)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1250% (74)46% (99) - - - - .17 (91)3.48 (127)81% (112)11% (44)0.95 (40)
OHIO Offense1352% (46)44% (61)37.3144.43.918 (77).1 (95)2.99 (90)73% (75)9% (39)0.81 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1245% (98)40% (87)20.632.8211.26.510.313 (111)9 (40).2 (96)1.5 (105)30% (29)25% (113).25 (93)6% (88)2 (96)
OHIO Defense1354% (123)36% (12) - - - - - - 15 (15).14 (14)1.5 (30)36% (15)23% (5).19 (15)5% (94)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1248% (47)44% (99) - - - - - - 9 (87).33 (104)1.6 (78)31% (94)30% (71).23 (29)9% (7)1.9 (31)
OHIO Offense1347% (91)48% (17)18.429.5203.66.911.116 (92)9 (40).31 (57)1.4 (123)30% (31)35% (30).32 (72)6% (84)1.7 (131)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -8.28   Ohio: 3.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -15.9   Ohio: -2.2




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 33
Western Michigan 17


Total Points: 50

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 15.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Ohio20Western Michigan17OhioOhio -16.5Western Michigan52.0Under
202210/15Western Michigan14Ohio33OhioWestern Michigan -2Ohio61.5Under
201911/12Ohio34Western Michigan37Western MichiganOhio -1.5Western Michigan63.5Over
201811/01Western Michigan14Ohio59OhioOhio -3Ohio65.0Over
201612/02Ohio23Western Michigan29Western MichiganWestern Michigan -17Ohio58.0Under
201510/17Ohio14Western Michigan49Western MichiganOhio -4Western Michigan53.5Over
201410/25Western Michigan42Ohio21Western MichiganWestern Michigan -8Western Michigan0
200810/04Western Michigan41Ohio20Western Michigan
200610/07Ohio27Western Michigan20Ohio
200309/27Ohio32Western Michigan39Western Michigan
200009/29Western Michigan23Ohio10Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio433 Overs
Western Michigan743 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 62 - 51 - 41 - 1
Road Teams6 - 55 - 21 - 14 - 1

(#110) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30


Western Michigan has lost 2 straight
Western Michigan has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 6 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#110)

Western Michigan Secondary is very good (#108)
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)

Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan Commits a Lot of Penalties (#91)
Western Michigan offense is not Explosive (#81)
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#72)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOHIOWMU
OverallOver#35#90
OffenseOff#33#87
DefenseDef#26#82
Special TeamsST#110#84
PassingPass#31#87
RushingRush#62#96
Run BlockRBLK#20#12
Pass BlockPBLK#8#33
Route RunningWR Rt#59#95
TacklingTkl#79#57
Run DefenseR Def#36#97
Pass Rush DefPRush#17#86
Coverage DefCov#58#53

Rematch from Week 8
Ohio -16.5 (52.0)
Ohio won vs Western Michigan this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2023 (20-17)
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2022 (33-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | OHIO
Depth Chart: WMU | OHIO
Rosters: WMU | OHIO
(#42) Ohio Info
Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20


Ohio has lost 1 straight
Ohio has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Ohio Highlights
Ohio offense is good on 3rd downs
Ohio Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ohio has a really good defense (#112)
Ohio defense is really good in red zone (#32)
Ohio has a good run defense (#86)
Ohio has a good pass defense (#120)
Ohio Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#46)
Ohio Defensive Line is very good (#61)
Ohio Front 7 is disruptive (#105)
Ohio has a great TO Margin (#54)
Ohio defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Ohio Deficiencies
Ohio offense is not Explosive (#73)


  
Western Michigan's OC Billy Cosh
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hayden Wolff (Tr)14822666%1505856.7
Treyson Bourguet5710355%713416.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley189997105.375
Zahir Abdus-Salaam12347053.819
C.J. Hester2912424.329
Treyson Bourguet366501.829
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenneth Womack7669119.134
Leroy Thomas36401211.141
Anthony Sambucci21318515.164
Blake Bosma19317216.758

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Lou Esposito
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock (Tr)752004
Aaron Wofford721005
Damari Roberson682116
Jacob Wahlberg657204
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marshawn Kneeland578580
Donald Willis (Tr)407422
Mason Nelson325310
Boone Bonnema184320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bilhal Kone422008
Damari Roberson682116
Aaron Wofford721005

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke19530764%22071157.2
CJ Harris254951%248235.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sieh Bangura17881174.626
O'Shann Allison13945233.330
Kurtis Rourke6721943.325
Parker Navarro2517807.152
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Wiglusz55664312.138
Miles Cross47599512.742
Tyler Walton3734929.427
Will Kacmarek22243211.036

View Ohio's Full Roster
Ohio's DC Spence Nowinsky
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Houston12813351
Keye Thompson9410242
Walter Reynolds (Tr)672001
Austin Brawley411002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradley Weaver3413670
Vonnie Watkins3385110
Shane Bonner299560
Rayyan Buell3013530
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Birchette293008
Jeremiah Wood263024
Austin Brawley411002