Western Michigan at Ohio - 2023 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos at Ohio Bobcats

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -16.5 (52.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio 20 - Western Michigan: 17 (Mid-American)

Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WMU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -15.5 (SP+ OHIO -14)
Projected Score: WMU: 17 - OHIO: 33 (50)
OHIO Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
WMU Travel: 275 miles

Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-14.0	58.0	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Michigan at Syracuse	+24.5	56.5	L 7 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/16	Western Michigan at Iowa	+28.5	43.5	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	+21.5	52.5	L 31 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-1.5	50.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Western Michigan at Mississippi State	+21.5	54.5	L 28 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+7.5	46.0	L 21 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/21	Western Michigan at Ohio	+16.5	52.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	50.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	57.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	55.5	L 0 - 24	U	N
Tue 11/21	Western Michigan vs Bowling Green	+2.0	54.5	L 10 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Ohio's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Ohio at San Diego State	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/2	Ohio vs Long Island University	-34.5	58.0	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	61.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ohio vs Iowa State	+1.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio at Bowling Green	-13.0	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio vs Kent State	-24.5	45.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio at Northern Illinois	-5.5	45.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/21	Ohio vs Western Michigan	-16.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	39.0	L 16 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Ohio at Buffalo	-9.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-11.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Ohio at Akron	-13.5	41.5	W 25 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Ohio vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	48.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	.06	34%	24.9	34%	2.87	136	35%	166	2.79	.19	44%	17.4	47%	42%	3.38	62.9	1.8	2.3
OHIO	.23	44%	27.8	42%	2.94	143	47%	278	3.83	.22	43%	21.9	41%	46%	3.82	44.1	0.9	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	12	24.9	18.3	34.1%	2.79	1.8	17	302	136	166	3.5	52%	46%	34%	35%	23%	.06
OHIO Defense	14	21.9	20	43.4%	3.82	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	46%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	12	17.4	21.7	43.8%	3.38	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	42%	21%	.19
OHIO Offense	14	27.8	36.3	44.3%	3.83	0.9	21	422	143	278	4.1	49%	50%	42%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	12	30:25	16.6	31%	48%	6.7	62.9	1.8	2.3	6.7	2.6	3	28.7
Ohio	14	32:09	20.7	42%	35%	4.9	44.1	0.9	2.2	5.9	2.6	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	12	52%	34%	38.8	136.3	3.5	14	.03	2.87	68%	15%	1.02
OHIO Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.87	66%	12%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	12	52%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.13	79%	14%	0.87
OHIO Offense	14	49%	42%	35.2	143.4	4.1	23	.11	2.94	73%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	12	46%	35%	13.9	27.9	165.7	5.9	11.9	10	13	.18	1.7	39%	23%	.25	9%	2.3
OHIO Defense	14	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.5	33%	33%	.37	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.27	1.7	31%	31%	.26	7%	2
OHIO Offense	14	50%	47%	21.6	33.1	278.1	8.4	12.9	28	5	.37	1.6	32%	34%	.42	5%	2

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 401.82 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -8.28 Ohio: 3.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -15.9 Ohio: -2.2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 342.60 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 33
Western Michigan 17

Projected Total Points: 50

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/11	Western Michigan	17	Ohio	13	Western Michigan -1.5	Western Michigan	46.5	Under
2023	10/21	Ohio	20	Western Michigan	17	Ohio -16.5	Western Michigan	52.0	Under
2022	10/15	Western Michigan	14	Ohio	33	Western Michigan -2	Ohio	61.5	Under
2019	11/12	Ohio	34	Western Michigan	37	Ohio -1.5	Western Michigan	63.5	Over
2018	11/01	Western Michigan	14	Ohio	59	Ohio -3	Ohio	65.0	Over
2016	12/02	Ohio	23	Western Michigan	29	Western Michigan -17	Ohio	58.0	Under
2015	10/17	Ohio	14	Western Michigan	49	Ohio -4	Western Michigan	53.5	Over
2014	10/25	Western Michigan	42	Ohio	21	Western Michigan -8	Western Michigan	0
2008	10/04	Western Michigan	41	Ohio	20
2006	10/07	Ohio	27	Western Michigan	20
2003	09/27	Ohio	32	Western Michigan	39
2000	09/29	Western Michigan	23	Ohio	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	4	3	3 Overs
Western Michigan	8	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	3 - 5	2 - 4	1 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 3	1 - 1	4 - 2

(#110) WMU at (#42) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	OHIO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#110	#42
SP+SP+	#120	#74
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#42
OffenseOff	#103	#36
DefenseDef	#107	#30
Spec TeamsST	#106	#135
TalentTal	#112	#123
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Western Michigan Injury Report

Ohio Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	OHIO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#103	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#73	#5
SP+SP+	#111	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#131	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#13	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#37	#19
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#107
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#68	#105
SP+SP+	#115	#106
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#89	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#66

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#8	#116
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Ohio -16.5 (52.0)
Ohio won vs Western Michigan this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Ohio last year (17-13)
Ohio beat Western Michigan in 2023 (20-17)

WMU's OC Billy Cosh (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hayden Wolff (Tr)	148	226	66%	1505	8	5	6.7
Treyson Bourguet	57	103	55%	713	4	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Buckley	189	997	10	5.3	75
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	123	470	5	3.8	19
C.J. Hester	29	124	2	4.3	29
Treyson Bourguet	36	65	0	1.8	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenneth Womack	76	691	1	9.1	34
Leroy Thomas	36	401	2	11.1	41
Anthony Sambucci	21	318	5	15.1	64
Blake Bosma	19	317	2	16.7	58

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tate Hallock (Tr)	75	2	0	0	4
Aaron Wofford	72	1	0	0	5
Damari Roberson	68	2	1	1	6
Jacob Wahlberg	65	7	2	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marshawn Kneeland	57	8	5	8	0
Donald Willis (Tr)	40	7	4	2	2
Mason Nelson	32	5	3	1	0
Boone Bonnema	18	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bilhal Kone	42	2	0	0	8
Damari Roberson	68	2	1	1	6
Aaron Wofford	72	1	0	0	5

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke	195	307	64%	2207	11	5	7.2
CJ Harris	25	49	51%	248	2	3	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sieh Bangura	178	811	7	4.6	26
O'Shann Allison	139	452	3	3.3	30
Kurtis Rourke	67	219	4	3.3	25
Parker Navarro	25	178	0	7.1	52

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Wiglusz	55	664	3	12.1	38
Miles Cross	47	599	5	12.7	42
Tyler Walton	37	349	2	9.4	27
Will Kacmarek	22	243	2	11.0	36

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Houston	128	13	3	5	1
Keye Thompson	94	10	2	4	2
Walter Reynolds (Tr)	67	2	0	0	1
Austin Brawley	41	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bradley Weaver	34	13	6	7
Vonnie Watkins	33	8	5	11
Shane Bonner	29	9	5	6
Rayyan Buell	30	13	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Justin Birchette	29	3	0	8
Jeremiah Wood	26	3	2	4
Austin Brawley	41	1	0	2