Ohio at Akron - 2023 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 24th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio -13.5 (41.5) (-750) Open: -13.5
Ohio 25 - Akron: 14 (Mid-American)

Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 16 (21 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
AKR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio -16 (SP+ OHIO -19.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 29 - AKR: 13 (42)
OHIO Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
OHIO Travel: 125 miles

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (19 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
AKR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Ohio at San Diego State	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/2	Ohio vs Long Island University	-34.5	58.0	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	61.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ohio vs Iowa State	+1.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio at Bowling Green	-13.0	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio vs Kent State	-24.5	45.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio at Northern Illinois	-5.5	45.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/21	Ohio vs Western Michigan	-16.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	39.0	L 16 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Ohio at Buffalo	-9.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-11.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Ohio at Akron	-13.5	41.5	W 25 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Ohio vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	48.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	#76 (.18)	45% (33)	24.3	44% (61)	2.99 (90)	144	48% (17)	204	3.61 (92)	#3 (.02)	35% (8)	15.8	35% (9)	36% (12)	2.45 (2)	51.8	1	1.8
AKR	#129 (.04)	36% (124)	16.3	41% (86)	2.74 (123)	81	34% (121)	198	2.59 (131)	#29 (.12)	39% (37)	28	41% (53)	38% (22)	3.78 (68)	60.2	1.8	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)		47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)		34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	13	24.3	21	45.2%	3.61	1	21	348	144	204	3.9	52%	47%	44%	48%	15%	.18
AKR Defense	12	28	28.2	39.2%	3.78	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	14%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	13	15.8	14	35%	2.45	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	35%	36%	21%	.02
AKR Offense	12	16.3	18.6	36.4%	2.59	1.8	17	279	81	198	2.8	40%	58%	41%	34%	18%	.04

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	13	33:23	20.8	46%	50%	5.6	51.8	1	1.8	7.4	2.8	1	31.2
Akron	12	29:33	16.7	33%	35%	6.9	60.2	1.8	0.9	5.2	1.6	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	13	52% (46)	44% (61)	37.3	144.4	3.9	18 (77)	.1 (95)	2.99 (90)	73% (75)	9% (39)	0.81 (131)
AKR Defense	12	52% (100)	41% (53)	-	-	-	-	.11 (49)	2.91 (38)	72% (62)	10% (77)	1.09 (110)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	13	44% (10)	35% (9)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (3)	2.54 (8)	70% (47)	15% (3)	1.07 (101)
AKR Offense	12	40% (124)	41% (86)	28.8	81	2.8	12 (116)	.09 (97)	2.74 (123)	81% (16)	10% (72)	0.9 (110)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	13	47% (91)	48% (17)	18.4	29.5	203.6	6.9	11.1	16 (92)	9 (40)	.31 (57)	1.4 (123)	30% (31)	35% (30)	.32 (72)	6% (84)	1.7 (131)
AKR Defense	12	47% (34)	38% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.18 (19)	1.7 (102)	35% (23)	30% (63)	.31 (67)	5% (112)	2.2 (115)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	13	54% (123)	36% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.14 (14)	1.5 (30)	36% (15)	23% (5)	.19 (15)	5% (94)	1.9 (27)
AKR Offense	12	58% (14)	34% (121)	21.5	35.4	197.6	5.6	9.2	10 (120)	15 (116)	.07 (127)	1.4 (128)	35% (118)	24% (120)	.13 (122)	8% (121)	2.1 (54)

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.65 Akron: -15.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.2 Akron: -21.6

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -15.25 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 15.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 29
Akron 13

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio 25
Akron 20

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Ohio 25
Akron 16

Total Points: 41

Akron Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.6
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Ohio	30	Akron	10	Ohio -8.5	Ohio	46.0	Under
2023	11/24	Akron	14	Ohio	25	Ohio -13.5	Akron	41.5	Under
2022	10/08	Ohio	55	Akron	34	Ohio -10	Ohio	58.5	Over
2021	10/02	Akron	17	Ohio	34	Ohio -10	Ohio	55.0	Under
2020	11/10	Ohio	24	Akron	10	Ohio -27	Akron	58.0	Under
2019	11/26	Akron	3	Ohio	52	Ohio -28.0	Ohio	53.0	Over
2018	11/23	Ohio	49	Akron	28	Ohio -24	Akron	56.5	Over
2017	11/14	Akron	37	Ohio	34	Ohio -14.5	Akron	51.5	Over
2016	11/22	Ohio	9	Akron	3	Ohio -7.5	Akron	53.0	Under
2015	10/03	Akron	12	Ohio	14	Ohio -4	Akron	44.5	Under
2014	10/18	Ohio	23	Akron	20	Akron -4	Ohio	0
2013	10/05	Akron	3	Ohio	43	Ohio -6.5	Ohio	0
2012	10/13	Ohio	34	Akron	28
2011	10/22	Akron	20	Ohio	37
2010	10/16	Ohio	38	Akron	10
2009	10/10	Akron	7	Ohio	19
2008	11/22	Ohio	49	Akron	42
2007	11/07	Akron	48	Ohio	37
2006	11/16	Ohio	17	Akron	7
2005	11/15	Akron	27	Ohio	3
2004	11/13	Ohio	19	Akron	31
2003	11/15	Akron	35	Ohio	28
2002	11/09	Ohio	27	Akron	10
2001	08/30	Akron	31	Ohio	29
2000	09/22	Ohio	20	Akron	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Akron	7	6	4 Overs
Ohio	18	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 16	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2

(#42) OHIO at (#130) AKR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OHIO	AKR
Power RatePwr	#42	#130
SP+SP+	#74	#128
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#134
OffenseOff	#36	#136
DefenseDef	#30	#92
Spec TeamsST	#135	#110
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Ohio Injury Report

Akron Injury Report

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	AKR Def
Perf GradePerf	#36	#92
SuccessSuc	#33	#37
ExplosiveExp	#129	#107
PPAPPA	#76	#29
PowerPwr	#68	#63
SP+SP+	#115	#90
Pts POPPO	#92	#68
HavocHav	#53	#110

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#89	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	#61	#53
Run ExplRExp	#131	#110
PPAExp	#95	#49
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	#90	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#81	#64
TackleTak	-	#37

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	#17	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#123	#102
PPAExp	#57	#19
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#8	#111
F7 HavocF7	#39	#77
DB HavocDB	#84	#112

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	OHIO Def
Perf GradePerf	#136	#30
SuccessSuc	#124	#8
ExplosiveExp	#122	#77
PPAPPA	#129	#3
PowerPwr	#129	#5
SP+SP+	#132	#13
Pts POPPO	#131	#2
HavocHav	#104	#9

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#98	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#9
Run ExplRExp	#110	#101
PPAExp	#97	#3
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	#123	#8
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#8
TackleTak	-	#92

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#128	#30
PPAExp	#127	#14
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#119	#19
F7 HavocF7	#72	#3
DB HavocDB	#121	#94

Program Comparison
AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Summa Field at InfoCision Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 35° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Ohio 13.5 (41.5)
Ohio won at Akron this year (25-14)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Akron last year (30-10)
Ohio beat Akron in 2023 (25-14)
Ohio beat Akron in 2022 (55-34)

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke	195	307	64%	2207	11	5	7.2
CJ Harris	25	49	51%	248	2	3	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sieh Bangura	178	811	7	4.6	26
O'Shann Allison	139	452	3	3.3	30
Kurtis Rourke	67	219	4	3.3	25
Parker Navarro	25	178	0	7.1	52

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Wiglusz	55	664	3	12.1	38
Miles Cross	47	599	5	12.7	42
Tyler Walton	37	349	2	9.4	27
Will Kacmarek	22	243	2	11.0	36

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Houston	128	13	3	5	1
Keye Thompson	94	10	2	4	2
Walter Reynolds (Tr)	67	2	0	0	1
Austin Brawley	41	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bradley Weaver	34	13	6	7
Vonnie Watkins	33	8	5	11
Shane Bonner	29	9	5	6
Rayyan Buell	30	13	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Justin Birchette	29	3	0	8
Jeremiah Wood	26	3	2	4
Austin Brawley	41	1	0	2

AKR's OC Billy Fessler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Undercuffler	138	224	62%	1378	4	9	6.2
DJ Irons	88	133	66%	722	3	3	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	143	641	4	4.5	71
DJ Irons	61	215	2	3.5	47
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	62	165	4	2.7	27
Drake Anderson	40	132	1	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jasaiah Gathings	55	575	1	10.5	39
Daniel George	52	529	1	10.2	50
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	37	356	2	9.6	77
Alex Adams	22	188	2	8.5	29

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Fish	85	4	1	3	0
Bryan McCoy	81	5	1	0	0
Darrian Lewis	65	2	1	1	3
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2
Bennett Adler	24	5	3	1	0
Antonio Smith	3	2	2	2	0
Shammond Cooper (Tr)	41	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyson Durant	30	1	0	2	6
Kerry Martin Jr.	44	2	1	0	6
Judson Tallandier	39	3	0	1	5