Ohio at San Diego State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Ohio Bobcats at San Diego State Aztecs

Saturday, August 26th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
San Diego State -2 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
San Diego State 20 - Ohio: 13

Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ohio -7 (SP+ OHIO -8.5)
Projected Score: OHIO: 27 - SDSU: 20 (46)
SDSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
OHIO Travel: 1995 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Aztecs (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 15 (31 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OHIO Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Ohio at San Diego State	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/2	Ohio vs Long Island University	-34.5	58.0	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	61.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ohio vs Iowa State	+1.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio at Bowling Green	-13.0	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio vs Kent State	-24.5	45.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio at Northern Illinois	-5.5	45.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/21	Ohio vs Western Michigan	-16.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	39.0	L 16 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Ohio at Buffalo	-9.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-11.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Ohio at Akron	-13.5	41.5	W 25 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Ohio vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	48.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule

San Diego State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San Diego State vs Ohio	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/2	San Diego State vs Idaho State	-34.5	51.0	W 36 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/9	San Diego State vs UCLA	+13.0	49.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	San Diego State at Oregon State	+24.5	48.5	L 9 - 26	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San Diego State vs Boise State	+6.5	46.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	San Diego State at Air Force	+10.5	43.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-6.0	51.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San Diego State vs Nevada	-11.0	48.5	L 0 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	+2.0	56.5	L 24 - 32	U	N
Sat 11/11	San Diego State at Colorado State	+3.5	46.5	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/18	San Diego State at San José State	+16.5	48.5	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+5.5	47.0	W 33 - 18	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO	.23	44%	27.8	42%	2.94	143	47%	278	3.83	.22	43%	21.9	41%	46%	3.82	44.1	0.9	2.2
SDSU	.14	39%	26.4	38%	2.81	143	41%	181	2.92	.06	38%	15.4	36%	40%	3.15	59.4	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Offense	14	27.8	21	44.3%	3.83	0.9	21	422	143	278	4.1	49%	50%	42%	47%	15%	.23
SDSU Defense	13	15.4	6.8	37.5%	3.15	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	36%	40%	19%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OHIO Defense	14	21.9	25.8	43.4%	3.82	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	46%	18%	.22
SDSU Offense	13	26.4	31.2	38.8%	2.92	1.8	16	324	143	181	4	53%	46%	38%	41%	20%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio	14	32:09	20.7	42%	35%	4.9	44.1	0.9	2.2	5.9	2.6	1	31.2
San Diego State	13	30:56	15.8	29%	75%	7.4	59.4	1.8	1.9	6.5	2.8	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense	14	49%	42%	35.2	143.4	4.1	23	.11	2.94	73%	10%	0.91
SDSU Defense	13	44%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.84	62%	13%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.87	66%	12%	1.11
SDSU Offense	13	53%	38%	36.2	143.2	4	11	.08	2.81	58%	14%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense	14	50%	47%	21.6	33.1	278.1	8.4	12.9	28	5	.37	1.6	32%	34%	.42	5%	2
SDSU Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	34%	28%	.18	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense	14	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.5	33%	33%	.37	6%	2.1
SDSU Offense	13	46%	41%	14.2	26.3	180.6	6.9	12.7	15	14	.31	1.6	34%	31%	.37	6%	2.2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.65 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 342.60 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio: 3.65 San Diego State: -6.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.2 San Diego State: -10.5

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -6.495 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 440.15 #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 27
San Diego State 20

Projected Total Points: 46

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 15.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 6.8

San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	08/26	San Diego State	20	Ohio	13	San Diego State -2	San Diego State	48.5	Under
2018	12/19	Ohio	27	San Diego State	0	Ohio -2.5	Ohio	49.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	1	1	0 Overs
Ohio	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#42) OHIO at (#104) SDSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OHIO	SDSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#42	#104
SP+SP+	#74	#107
Perf GradeGrade	#42	#126
OffenseOff	#36	#104
DefenseDef	#30	#133
Spec TeamsST	#135	#52
TalentTal	#123	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#69

Ohio Injury Report

San Diego State Injury Report

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SDSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#133
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#68	#86
SP+SP+	#115	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SDSU Def
Run GameRun	#89	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#133

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	SDSU Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#113
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#8	#134
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San Diego State on Offense


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	OHIO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#106	#5
SP+SP+	#110	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San Diego State Run Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#81	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

San Diego State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SDSU Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#19
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
San Diego State -2.0 (48.5)
San Diego State won vs Ohio this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
San Diego State beat Ohio in 2023 (20-13)

OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke	195	307	64%	2207	11	5	7.2
CJ Harris	25	49	51%	248	2	3	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sieh Bangura	178	811	7	4.6	26
O'Shann Allison	139	452	3	3.3	30
Kurtis Rourke	67	219	4	3.3	25
Parker Navarro	25	178	0	7.1	52

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Wiglusz	55	664	3	12.1	38
Miles Cross	47	599	5	12.7	42
Tyler Walton	37	349	2	9.4	27
Will Kacmarek	22	243	2	11.0	36

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryce Houston	128	13	3	5	1
Keye Thompson	94	10	2	4	2
Walter Reynolds (Tr)	67	2	0	0	1
Austin Brawley	41	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bradley Weaver	34	13	6	7
Vonnie Watkins	33	8	5	11
Shane Bonner	29	9	5	6
Rayyan Buell	30	13	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Justin Birchette	29	3	0	8
Jeremiah Wood	26	3	2	4
Austin Brawley	41	1	0	2

SDSU's OC Ryan Lindley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Mayden	199	314	63%	2031	10	9	6.5
Tobin O'Dell	1	2	50%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Mayden	128	528	5	4.1	70
Jaylon Armstead	103	448	8	4.3	48
Kenan Christon	96	378	0	3.9	39
Cam Davis	52	225	0	4.3	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Redman	38	408	3	10.7	29
Mekhi Shaw	27	375	2	13.9	69
Brionne Penny	25	290	1	11.6	36
Baylin Brooks	15	261	1	17.4	37

View San Diego State's Full Roster

SDSU's DC Kurt Mattix (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zyrus Fiaseu	64	12	6	5	5
Cody Moon	58	0	0	9	2
Cedarious Barfield	51	2	0	0	3
Marcus Ratcliffe	51	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zyrus Fiaseu	64	12	6	5	5
Tupu Alualu	27	4	3	4	0
Daniel Okpoko	25	5	2	5	3
Cooper McDonald	39	5	2	8	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Noah Tumblin	35	0	0	0	12
Dezjhon Malone	46	2	1	0	7
Zyrus Fiaseu	64	12	6	5	5