South Alabama at James Madison - 2023 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at James Madison Dukes

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
James Madison -1 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
James Madison 31 - South Alabama: 23 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

JMU is playing their 5th straight game
USA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: James Madison -7.5 (SP+ JMU -10)
Projected Score: USA: 23 - JMU: 30 (53)
JMU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
USA Travel: 746 miles, 1 hrs behind

Dukes (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (44 - 8)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (40 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
JMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Alabama at Tulane	+6.0	51.0	L 17 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	South Alabama vs SE Louisiana	-24.0	59.5	W 35 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Alabama at Oklahoma State	+7.0	49.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Alabama vs Central Michigan	-16.5	46.5	L 30 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	South Alabama at James Madison	+1.0	48.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	South Alabama at UL Monroe	-11.0	51.5	W 55 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	South Alabama vs Southern Miss	-18.5	51.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/28	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-11.5	55.0	L 20 - 33	U	N
Thu 11/2	South Alabama at Troy	+5.5	44.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	-14.5	54.5	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	South Alabama vs Marshall	-10.5	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	South Alabama at Texas State	-6.5	57.0	L 44 - 52	O	N
Sat 12/23	South Alabama at Eastern Michigan	-18.0	43.0	W 59 - 10	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

James Madison's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	James Madison vs Bucknell	-47.0	53.5	W 38 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	James Madison at Virginia	-6.0	40.0	W 36 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/16	James Madison at Troy	+2.5	46.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/23	James Madison at Utah State	-5.5	53.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/30	James Madison vs South Alabama	-1.0	48.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	James Madison vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	60.0	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/19	James Madison at Marshall	-5.0	49.0	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/28	James Madison vs Old Dominion	-19.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	James Madison at Georgia State	-6.0	53.0	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/11	James Madison vs UConn	-24.5	47.5	W 44 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/18	James Madison vs App State	-10.0	56.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	James Madison at Coastal Carolina	-9.5	50.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/23	James Madison vs Air Force	+2.5	44.5	L 21 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.22	42%	26.5	40%	3.06	155	45%	269	4.14	.11	38%	30.4	40%	37%	3.16	70.4	1.2	1.8
JMU	.21	46%	37.1	45%	3.26	187	48%	265	4.4	.04	29%	18.4	27%	32%	3.53	39.9	1.8	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	13	26.5	25.2	42%	4.14	1.2	22	424	155	269	4	51%	48%	40%	45%	13%	.22
JMU Defense	11	18.4	15	29.4%	3.53	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	27%	32%	25%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	13	30.4	32	37.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	37%	17%	.11
JMU Offense	11	37.1	40	45.8%	4.4	1.8	23	452	187	265	4.3	54%	44%	45%	48%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	13	32:42	22.2	43%	59%	7.7	70.4	1.2	1.8	6.2	2.2	3	29.6
James Madison	11	33:38	22.6	40%	45%	5.1	39.9	1.8	2.8	8.7	3.5	2	33.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	13	51%	40%	38.8	155.3	4	19	.16	3.06	78%	7%	1.02
JMU Defense	11	45%	27%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.06	58%	17%	1.19

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.98	78%	11%	0.87
JMU Offense	11	54%	45%	43.5	187.2	4.3	24	.09	3.26	72%	10%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	13	48%	45%	22.4	34.4	268.9	7.8	12	28	12	.33	1.6	31%	30%	.3	5%	2
JMU Defense	11	54%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.17	1.9	41%	23%	.25	8%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	13	58%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.18	1.6	36%	22%	.14	6%	2
JMU Offense	11	44%	48%	18.2	29.7	265.3	8.9	14.6	27	10	.44	1.6	30%	34%	.37	6%	2

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 3.95 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 545.68 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.95 James Madison: 10.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.0 James Madison: 13.3

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 10.78 #48
James Madison's Offense Rating: 17.90 #55
James Madison's Defense Rating: -1.23 #4
2023 Talent Rating: 196.53 #139
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
James Madison's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
James Madison's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #18
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #19
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 30
South Alabama 23

Projected Total Points: 53

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 40
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15

James Madison's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	James Madison	31	South Alabama	23	James Madison -1	James Madison	48.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
James Madison	1	1	1 Overs
South Alabama	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#41) USA at (#48) JMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	JMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#41	#48
SP+SP+	#55	#18
Perf GradeGrade	#34	#23
OffenseOff	#39	#46
DefenseDef	#30	#14
Spec TeamsST	#86	#17
TalentTal	#81	#139
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

South Alabama Injury Report

James Madison Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	JMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#39	#14
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#39	#4
SP+SP+	#50	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#5	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#84

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#83	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#110	#14
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

James Madison on Offense


CategoryCat	JMU Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#55	#32
SP+SP+	#19	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

James Madison Run Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	#110	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#108

James Madison Pass Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#69
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
James Madison -1.0 (48.5)
James Madison won vs South Alabama this year (31-23)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat South Alabama in 2023 (31-23)

USA's OC Major Applewhite (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carter Bradley	221	326	68%	2660	19	7	8.2
Giovanni Lopez	41	61	67%	475	4	2	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
La'Damian Webb	186	1007	16	5.4	65
Kentrel Bullock (Tr)	83	448	4	5.4	34
Braylon McReynolds	46	232	0	5.0	35
Marco Lee	53	220	2	4.2	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caullin Lacy	91	1316	7	14.5	84
Jamaal Pritchett	57	883	8	15.5	51
Damarcus Thomas	27	235	5	8.7	33
Javon Ivory (Tr)	20	234	1	11.7	39

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC Corey Batoon (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quentin Wilfawn	83	16	6	5	1
Trey Kiser	67	10	4	1	2
James Miller	67	4	0	1	0
Jaden Voisin	66	2	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quentin Wilfawn	83	16	6	5	1
Trey Kiser	67	10	4	1	2
Jamie Sheriff	45	9	3	12	0
Brock Higdon	18	4	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rickey Fletcher	38	1	0	1	11
Jaden Voisin	66	2	0	0	6
Yamarus Banks	45	6	1	3	3

JMU's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	282	413	68%	3670	35	10	8.9
Alonza Barnett	3	11	27%	15	0	1	1.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaelon Black	142	637	1	4.5	57
Ty Son Lawton	126	568	5	4.5	28
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	96	276	8	2.9	47
Latrele Palmer	32	119	1	3.7	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt	82	1191	8	14.5	48
Reggie Brown	53	1054	9	19.9	80
Phoenix Sproles	52	442	5	8.5	32
Zach Horton	27	275	6	10.2	66

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher	107	5	2	5	6
Jailin Walker	61	6	2	1	4
Jamree Kromah	58	20	9	4	0
Jacob Thomas	54	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Green	50	22	16	7	1
Jamree Kromah	58	20	9	4	0
Mikail Kamara	51	19	8	5	2
James Carpenter	53	10	4	7	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	51	2	0	0	11
Aiden Fisher	107	5	2	5	6
Jacob Thomas	54	1	0	0	6