Wake Forest at Notre Dame - 2023 Matchup Preview
Wake Forest logo   Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Notre Dame -22.5 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 45 - Wake Forest: 7

 
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (25 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND coming off BYE
WAKE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -29.5  (SP+ ND -27)
Projected Score: WAKE: 11 - ND: 41 (52)
ND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
WAKE Travel: 501 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Wake Forest vs Elon-33.553.5W 37 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt-9.555.0W 36 - 20OY
Sat 9/16 Wake Forest at Old Dominion-13.560.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech-3.558.5L 16 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wake Forest at Clemson+21.053.5L 12 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech+1.548.5L 13 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh+3.045.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Wake Forest vs Florida State+21.053.5L 16 - 41ON
Thu 11/2 Wake Forest at Duke+6.541.0L 21 - 24OY
Sat 11/11 Wake Forest vs NC State-0.542.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Wake Forest at Notre Dame+22.547.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/25 Wake Forest at Syracuse+3.043.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-20.549.0W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/2 Notre Dame vs Tennessee State-48.555.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/9 Notre Dame at NC State-7.049.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Notre Dame vs Central Michigan-34.551.5W 41 - 17ON
Sat 9/23 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+3.055.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Notre Dame at Duke-5.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Notre Dame at Louisville-6.553.0L 20 - 33UN
Sat 10/14 Notre Dame vs USC-3.061.0W 48 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh-21.045.5W 58 - 7OY
Sat 11/4 Notre Dame at Clemson-3.044.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-22.547.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/25 Notre Dame at Stanford-26.050.5W 56 - 23OY
Fri 12/29 Notre Dame vs Oregon State-5.540.5W 40 - 8OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE.2447%28.144%2.9713251%3124.73.243%22.144%43%3.8140.81.51.5
ND.248%4249%3.3418946%2073.99.1439%17.644%35%3.9242.31.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense1328.124.847.1%4.731.5254441323123.445%54%44%51%16%.24
ND Defense1317.61838.9%3.921.4 - - - - - 48%51%44%35%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense1322.127.443.2%3.811.5 - - - - - 47%53%44%43%17%.2
ND Offense134244.747.6%3.991.4223961892074.658%41%49%46%12%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest1328:2725.246%50%4.840.81.51.55.92.2230.2
Notre Dame1332:1021.647%44%4.642.31.41.462.8333.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense1345%44%38.6131.63.417.032.9773%8%0.72
ND Defense1348%44% - - - - .173.0163%11%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense1347%44% - - - - .152.9877%10%0.95
ND Offense1358%49%40.8189.14.625.163.3473%7%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense1354%51%23.236.5311.98.613.44313.451.630%37%.437%2
ND Defense1351%35% - - - - - - 10.141.733%26%.284%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense1353%43% - - - - - - 7.291.735%34%.457%2.2
ND Offense1341%46%16.226207.2812.82511.271.626%33%.355%1.9

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -7.40  #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55  #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54  #80
2023 Talent Rating: 603.68  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5  #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -7.40   Notre Dame: 21.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -7.5   Notre Dame: 19.1




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 21.915  #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62  #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24  #12
2023 Talent Rating: 870.70  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 67  #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1  #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 677.82
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 41
Wake Forest 11

Projected Total Points: 52
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Notre Dame45Wake Forest7Notre Dame -22.5Notre Dame47.5Over
201809/22Wake Forest27Notre Dame56Notre Dame -6Notre Dame59.5Over
201711/04Notre Dame48Wake Forest37Notre Dame -16.5Wake Forest56.0Over
201511/14Notre Dame28Wake Forest7Notre Dame -27Wake Forest52.0Under
201211/17Notre Dame38Wake Forest0
201111/05Wake Forest17Notre Dame24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame623 Overs
Wake Forest021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 21 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams2 - 43 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#103) WAKE at (#6) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWAKEND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #103 #6
SP+SP+ #92 #9
Perf GradeGrade #56 #2
OffenseOff #63 #5
DefenseDef #45 #3
Spec TeamsST #44 #2
TalentTal #70 #11
Blue ChipsBC% #63 #9
Wake Forest on Offense
CategoryCat
WAKE OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #63 #3
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #123 #12
SP+SP+ #101 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wake Forest Run Game
CategoryCat
WAKE OffND Def
Run GameRun #123 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #38
Wake Forest Pass Game
CategoryCat
WAKE OffND Def
Pass GamePass #116 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #29 #8
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffWAKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #45
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #11 #80
SP+SP+ #17 #66
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffWAKE Def
Run GameRun #15 #48
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #16
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffWAKE Def
Pass GamePass #17 #62
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #72
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Notre Dame -22.5 (47.5)
Notre Dame won vs Wake Forest this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Wake Forest in 2023 (45-7)

  
WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mitch Griffis12320759%1539987.4
Michael Kern569261%645427.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne13758654.342
Justice Ellison12054814.651
Tate Carney4924445.074
Mitch Griffis10612821.227
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahmal Banks59653411.133
Taylor Morin41617215.061
Ke'Shawn Williams38384110.134
Wesley Grimes20339417.049

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Hazen869130
Jacob Roberts (Tr)8210631
Malik Mustapha805112
Chelen Garnes612205
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis49168102
Jacob Roberts (Tr)8210631
Kendron Wayman354242
Chelen Garnes612205
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caelen Carson421006
Chelen Garnes612205
Nick Andersen331113

ND's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Hartman (Tr)19130164%26892488.9
Steven Angeli344477%5047111.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Audric Estime2101341186.480
Jeremiyah Love7138515.436
Jadarian Price4727235.854
Gi'Bran Payne4516823.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Tyree26484318.676
Mitchell Evans29422114.636
Rico Flores27392114.560
Jordan Faison19322416.955

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JD Bertrand768375
Howard Cross III657242
Jack Kiser521131
Xavier Watts473103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (Tr)4610581
Jordan Botelho295430
Marist Liufau426321
Nana Osafo-Mensah206320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Benjamin Morrison304009
JD Bertrand768375
Cam Hart192004