Ohio State at Notre Dame - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#24)

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -3 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio State 17 - Notre Dame: 14

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 11 (27 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ND 2nd straight Home Game
ND is playing their 4th straight game
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -3 (SP+ OSU -7.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 27 - ND: 24 (51)
OSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OSU Travel: 205 miles

Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 39 - 16 (44 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
ND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ohio State at Indiana	-30.0	59.0	W 23 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio State vs Youngstown State	-45.5	56.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Ohio State vs Western Kentucky	-29.5	65.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio State at Notre Dame	-3.0	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio State vs Maryland	-17.0	56.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio State at Purdue	-17.5	53.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ohio State vs Penn State	-4.0	47.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-14.5	48.0	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/4	Ohio State at Rutgers	-19.0	42.5	W 35 - 16	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-30.5	48.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ohio State vs Minnesota	-27.5	51.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ohio State at Michigan	+3.0	47.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/29	Ohio State vs Missouri	-4.0	51.0	L 3 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Notre Dame vs Navy	-20.5	49.0	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Notre Dame vs Tennessee State	-48.5	55.0	W 56 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Notre Dame at NC State	-7.0	49.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Notre Dame vs Central Michigan	-34.5	51.5	W 41 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/23	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+3.0	55.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Notre Dame at Duke	-5.5	52.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Notre Dame at Louisville	-6.5	53.0	L 20 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/14	Notre Dame vs USC	-3.0	61.0	W 48 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh	-21.0	45.5	W 58 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Notre Dame at Clemson	-3.0	44.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Notre Dame vs Wake Forest	-22.5	47.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Notre Dame at Stanford	-26.0	50.5	W 56 - 23	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Notre Dame vs Oregon State	-5.5	40.5	W 40 - 8	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	30.5	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	11.2	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8
ND	#8 (.35)	49% (9)	39.2	51% (9)	3.37 (15)	186	48% (19)	247	4.87 (7)	#6 (.04)	35% (7)	15.9	37% (21)	33% (3)	2.97 (11)	48.2	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)		47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)		43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	30.5	27.3	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31
ND Defense	13	15.9	11.8	34.6%	2.97	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	37%	33%	18%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	11.2	13.3	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03
ND Offense	13	39.2	43.7	49.3%	4.87	1.3	21	433	186	247	5.3	52%	47%	51%	48%	11%	.35

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8
Notre Dame	13	30:48	20.9	45%	59%	5.4	48.2	1.3	1.8	4.8	1.9	4	29.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)
ND Defense	13	50% (61)	37% (21)	-	-	-	-	.07 (29)	2.85 (26)	67% (34)	11% (50)	1.05 (92)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)
ND Offense	13	52% (45)	51% (9)	35.2	186.3	5.3	28 (25)	.23 (27)	3.37 (15)	72% (83)	7% (10)	0.97 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)
ND Defense	13	49% (67)	33% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.04 (2)	1.5 (40)	36% (14)	25% (14)	.23 (26)	7% (27)	1.9 (20)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)
ND Offense	13	47% (85)	48% (19)	17.5	27	246.5	9.1	14.1	31 (14)	9 (40)	.51 (8)	1.8 (16)	28% (10)	37% (19)	.53 (14)	4% (11)	2.1 (60)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40 Notre Dame: 21.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7 Notre Dame: 19.1

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 21.915 #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62 #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24 #12
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 11.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 27
Notre Dame 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 26
Ohio State 19

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 27
Ohio State 21

Total Points: 48

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 39.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	01/20	Notre Dame	23	Ohio State	34	Ohio State -8.5	Ohio State	45.5	Over
2023	09/23	Notre Dame	14	Ohio State	17	Ohio State -3	NA	55.5	Under
2022	09/03	Ohio State	21	Notre Dame	10	Ohio State -17	Notre Dame	58.5	Under
2015	01/01	Ohio State	44	Notre Dame	28	Ohio State -6	Ohio State	0
2005	01/02	Ohio State	34	Notre Dame	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Notre Dame	0	1	1 Overs
Ohio State	5	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#3) OSU at (#6) ND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	ND
Power RatePwr	#3	#6
SP+SP+	#3	#9
Perf GradeGrade	#7	#2
OffenseOff	#19	#5
DefenseDef	#7	#3
Spec TeamsST	#14	#2
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#9

Ohio State Injury Report

Notre Dame Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	ND Def
Perf GradePerf	#19	#3
SuccessSuc	#22	#7
ExplosiveExp	#78	#57
PPAPPA	#14	#6
PowerPwr	#13	#12
SP+SP+	#25	#11
Pts POPPO	#36	#11
HavocHav	#29	#32

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	ND Def
Run GameRun	#30	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	#49	#21
Run ExplRExp	#126	#92
PPAExp	#72	#29
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#57	#26
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#18
TackleTak	-	#38

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	ND Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	#12	#3
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#40
PPAExp	#10	#2
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#64	#8
F7 HavocF7	#14	#50
DB HavocDB	#95	#27

Notre Dame on Offense


CategoryCat	ND Off	OSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#5	#7
SuccessSuc	#9	#11
ExplosiveExp	#44	#11
PPAPPA	#8	#5
PowerPwr	#11	#6
SP+SP+	#17	#3
Pts POPPO	#7	#5
HavocHav	#7	#85

Notre Dame Run Game


CategoryCat	ND Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#15	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#9	#12
Run ExplRExp	#86	#56
PPAExp	#27	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#30	-
OL YdsOLY	#15	#52
Stuff RateStuff	#36	#86
TackleTak	-	#6

Notre Dame Pass Game


CategoryCat	ND Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#17	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#19	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#2
PPAExp	#8	#1
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#12
F7 HavocF7	#10	#103
DB HavocDB	#11	#47

Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Ohio State 3.0 (55.5)
Ohio State won at Notre Dame this year (17-14)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Notre Dame last year (34-23)
Ohio State beat Notre Dame in 2023 (17-14)
Ohio State beat Notre Dame in 2022 (21-10)

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord	229	348	66%	3170	24	6	9.1
Devin Brown	16	28	57%	217	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TreVeyon Henderson	156	926	11	5.9	75
DeaMonte Trayanum	85	373	3	4.4	40
Xavier Johnson	28	190	0	6.8	27
Miyan Williams	49	158	3	3.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marvin Harrison Jr.	67	1211	14	18.1	75
Cade Stover	41	576	5	14.0	49
Emeka Egbuka	41	514	4	12.5	28
Julian Fleming	26	271	0	10.4	37

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steele Chambers	83	2	0	1	1
Tommy Eichenberg	80	3	1	4	0
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	0	5
Cody Simon	57	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Sawyer	48	10	7	3	2
J.T. Tuimoloau	38	7	5	6	2
Tyleik Williams	54	10	3	1	5
Sonny Styles	53	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Denzel Burke	24	3	0	8
Josh Proctor	47	4	1	8
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	5

ND's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Hartman (Tr)	191	301	64%	2689	24	8	8.9
Steven Angeli	34	44	77%	504	7	1	11.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Audric Estime	210	1341	18	6.4	80
Jeremiyah Love	71	385	1	5.4	36
Jadarian Price	47	272	3	5.8	54
Gi'Bran Payne	45	168	2	3.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Tyree	26	484	3	18.6	76
Mitchell Evans	29	422	1	14.6	36
Rico Flores	27	392	1	14.5	60
Jordan Faison	19	322	4	16.9	55

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JD Bertrand	76	8	3	7	5
Howard Cross III	65	7	2	4	2
Jack Kiser	52	1	1	3	1
Xavier Watts	47	3	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (Tr)	46	10	5	8	1
Jordan Botelho	29	5	4	3	0
Marist Liufau	42	6	3	2	1
Nana Osafo-Mensah	20	6	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Benjamin Morrison	30	4	0	0	9
JD Bertrand	76	8	3	7	5
Cam Hart	19	2	0	0	4