Ohio State at Notre Dame - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -3 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio State 17 - Notre Dame: 14

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
ND is playing their 4th straight game
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -3  (SP+ OSU -7.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 28 - ND: 25 (53)
OSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OSU Travel: 205 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ohio State at Indiana-30.059.0W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio State vs Youngstown State-45.556.0W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Ohio State vs Western Kentucky-29.565.0W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Ohio State at Notre Dame-3.055.5W 17 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio State vs Maryland-17.056.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Ohio State at Purdue-17.553.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 10/21 Ohio State vs Penn State-4.047.0W 20 - 12UY
Sat 10/28 Ohio State at Wisconsin-14.548.0W 24 - 10UN
Sat 11/4 Ohio State at Rutgers-19.042.5W 35 - 16ON
Sat 11/11 Ohio State vs Michigan State-30.548.5W 38 - 3UY
Sat 11/18 Ohio State vs Minnesota-27.551.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 Ohio State at Michigan+3.047.0L 24 - 30ON
Fri 12/29 Ohio State vs Missouri-4.051.0L 3 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-20.549.0W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/2 Notre Dame vs Tennessee State-48.555.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/9 Notre Dame at NC State-7.049.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Notre Dame vs Central Michigan-34.551.5W 41 - 17ON
Sat 9/23 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+3.055.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Notre Dame at Duke-5.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Notre Dame at Louisville-6.553.0L 20 - 33UN
Sat 10/14 Notre Dame vs USC-3.061.0W 48 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh-21.045.5W 58 - 7OY
Sat 11/4 Notre Dame at Clemson-3.044.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-22.547.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/25 Notre Dame at Stanford-26.050.5W 56 - 23OY
Fri 12/29 Notre Dame vs Oregon State-5.540.5W 40 - 8OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.3953%33.453%3.619253%2985.18.1136%9.335%37%4.02480.81.5
ND.248%4249%3.3418946%2073.99.1439%17.644%35%3.9242.31.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1333.430.652.8%5.180.8244911922985.450%50%53%53%12%.39
ND Defense1317.61838.9%3.921.4 - - - - - 48%51%44%35%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense139.38.235.7%4.021.5 - - - - - 50%50%35%37%19%.11
ND Offense134244.747.6%3.991.4223961892074.658%41%49%46%12%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1330:4523.845%71%5.6480.81.56.52.6231.2
Notre Dame1332:1021.647%44%4.642.31.41.462.8333.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1350%53%35.8192.45.430.263.663%7%0.95
ND Defense1348%44% - - - - .173.0163%11%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1350%35% - - - - .052.5258%12%1.1
ND Offense1358%49%40.8189.14.625.163.3473%7%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1350%53%21.131.5298.39.514.2426.511.624%34%.515%2.2
ND Defense1351%35% - - - - - - 10.141.733%26%.284%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.181.733%24%.276%2.5
ND Offense1341%46%16.226207.2812.82511.271.626%33%.355%1.9

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40  #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07  #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66  #6
2023 Talent Rating: 974.79  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 85%  #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7  #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40   Notre Dame: 21.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7   Notre Dame: 19.1




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 21.915  #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62  #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24  #12
2023 Talent Rating: 870.70  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 67  #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1  #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 677.82
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 28
Notre Dame 25

Projected Total Points: 53
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202401/20Notre Dame23Ohio State34Ohio State -8.5Ohio State45.5Over
202309/23Notre Dame14Ohio State17Ohio State -3NA55.5Under
202209/03Ohio State21Notre Dame10Ohio State -17Notre Dame58.5Under
201501/01Ohio State44Notre Dame28Ohio State -6Ohio State0
200501/02Ohio State34Notre Dame20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame011 Overs
Ohio State522 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 32 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#3) OSU at (#6) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #3 #6
SP+SP+ #3 #9
Perf GradeGrade #7 #2
OffenseOff #19 #5
DefenseDef #7 #3
Spec TeamsST #14 #2
TalentTal #3 #11
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #9
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #3
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #13 #12
SP+SP+ #25 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffND Def
Run GameRun #30 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #38
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffND Def
Pass GamePass #39 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #8
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #7
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #11 #6
SP+SP+ #17 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #15 #13
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #6
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #17 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #25 #12
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Ohio State 3.0 (55.5)
Ohio State won at Notre Dame this year (17-14)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Notre Dame in 2024 (34-23)
Ohio State beat Notre Dame in 2023 (17-14)

  
OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord22934866%31702469.1
Devin Brown162857%217217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TreVeyon Henderson156926115.975
DeaMonte Trayanum8537334.440
Xavier Johnson2819006.827
Miyan Williams4915833.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marvin Harrison Jr.6712111418.175
Cade Stover41576514.049
Emeka Egbuka41514412.528
Julian Fleming26271010.437

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Steele Chambers832011
Tommy Eichenberg803140
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)591005
Cody Simon572002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Sawyer4810732
J.T. Tuimoloau387562
Tyleik Williams5410315
Sonny Styles535201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Denzel Burke243008
Josh Proctor474018
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)591005

ND's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Hartman (Tr)19130164%26892488.9
Steven Angeli344477%5047111.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Audric Estime2101341186.480
Jeremiyah Love7138515.436
Jadarian Price4727235.854
Gi'Bran Payne4516823.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Tyree26484318.676
Mitchell Evans29422114.636
Rico Flores27392114.560
Jordan Faison19322416.955

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JD Bertrand768375
Howard Cross III657242
Jack Kiser521131
Xavier Watts473103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (Tr)4610581
Jordan Botelho295430
Marist Liufau426321
Nana Osafo-Mensah206320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Benjamin Morrison304009
JD Bertrand768375
Cam Hart192004