Notre Dame at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Stanford Cardinal

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Notre Dame -26.0 (50.5) (-3300) Open: -24.5 | 52.0
Notre Dame 56 - Stanford: 23

Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 39 - 16 (33 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

STAN 2nd straight Home Game
STAN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -30 (SP+ ND -31.5)
Projected Score: ND: 42 - STAN: 12 (53)
ND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
ND Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 21 - 38 (18 - 37 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ND Players
STAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Notre Dame vs Navy	-20.5	49.0	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Notre Dame vs Tennessee State	-48.5	55.0	W 56 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Notre Dame at NC State	-7.0	49.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Notre Dame vs Central Michigan	-34.5	51.5	W 41 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/23	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+3.0	55.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Notre Dame at Duke	-5.5	52.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Notre Dame at Louisville	-6.5	53.0	L 20 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/14	Notre Dame vs USC	-3.0	61.0	W 48 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh	-21.0	45.5	W 58 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Notre Dame at Clemson	-3.0	44.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Notre Dame vs Wake Forest	-22.5	47.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Notre Dame at Stanford	-26.0	50.5	W 56 - 23	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Notre Dame vs Oregon State	-5.5	40.5	W 40 - 8	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

Stanford's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Stanford at Hawai'i	-2.0	54.0	W 37 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Stanford at USC	+28.5	70.5	L 10 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/16	Stanford vs Sacramento State	-7.0	60.5	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/23	Stanford vs Arizona	+13.0	60.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Stanford vs Oregon	+27.0	59.5	L 6 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Stanford at Colorado	+13.0	59.0	W 46 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Stanford vs UCLA	+17.0	52.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Stanford vs Washington	+27.5	62.0	L 33 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Stanford at Washington State	+13.0	59.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Stanford at Oregon State	+21.5	51.5	L 17 - 62	O	N
Sat 11/18	Stanford vs California	+6.5	52.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Stanford vs Notre Dame	+26.0	50.5	L 23 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND	#8 (.35)	49% (9)	39.2	51% (9)	3.37 (15)	186	48% (19)	247	4.87 (7)	#6 (.04)	35% (7)	15.9	37% (21)	33% (3)	2.97 (11)	48.2	1.3	1.8
STAN	#114 (.1)	38% (114)	20.6	41% (95)	2.61 (130)	119	36% (114)	233	3.4 (101)	#133 (.35)	51% (133)	37.7	56% (133)	48% (129)	5.22 (133)	59.1	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)		47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)		43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8
STAN	#114 (.1)	40% (101)		41% (95)	2.72 (116)	134	39% (98)	191	3.67 (92)	#120 (.27)	47% (119)		45% (92)	48% (124)	4.53 (124)	49	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Offense	13	39.2	33	49.3%	4.87	1.3	21	433	186	247	5.3	52%	47%	51%	48%	11%	.35
STAN Defense	12	37.7	37.1	51.4%	5.22	1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	56%	48%	11%	.35

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Defense	13	15.9	25	34.6%	2.97	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	37%	33%	18%	.04
STAN Offense	12	20.6	18.1	37.6%	3.4	1.2	20	352	119	233	3.4	42%	57%	41%	36%	21%	.1

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Notre Dame	13	30:48	20.9	45%	59%	5.4	48.2	1.3	1.8	4.8	1.9	4	29.5
Stanford	12	31:16	19.5	36%	33%	6.3	59.1	1.2	1	4.3	1.9	0	27.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Offense	13	52% (45)	51% (9)	35.2	186.3	5.3	28 (25)	.23 (27)	3.37 (15)	72% (83)	7% (10)	0.97 (86)
STAN Defense	12	45% (13)	56% (133)	-	-	-	-	.25 (120)	3.45 (124)	76% (87)	7% (129)	0.9 (25)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Defense	13	50% (61)	37% (21)	-	-	-	-	.07 (29)	2.85 (26)	67% (34)	11% (50)	1.05 (92)
STAN Offense	12	42% (114)	41% (95)	34.5	118.8	3.4	15 (100)	.06 (114)	2.61 (130)	71% (90)	13% (122)	0.99 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Offense	13	47% (85)	48% (19)	17.5	27	246.5	9.1	14.1	31 (14)	9 (40)	.51 (8)	1.8 (16)	28% (10)	37% (19)	.53 (14)	4% (11)	2.1 (60)
STAN Defense	12	55% (124)	48% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.45 (130)	1.7 (89)	29% (125)	41% (133)	.66 (133)	4% (130)	2.1 (93)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Defense	13	49% (67)	33% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.04 (2)	1.5 (40)	36% (14)	25% (14)	.23 (26)	7% (27)	1.9 (20)
STAN Offense	12	57% (17)	36% (114)	19.4	35.6	233	6.6	12	11 (117)	10 (56)	.16 (106)	1.5 (84)	36% (120)	29% (77)	.28 (87)	8% (126)	2 (71)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 19.73 #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62 #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24 #12
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 67% #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 19.73 Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 19.1 Stanford: -12.3

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 39.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Notre Dame 42
Stanford 12

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 34
Stanford 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 37
Stanford 20

Total Points: 57

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.1
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.1

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Notre Dame	49	Stanford	7	Notre Dame -22.5	Notre Dame	45.5	Over
2023	11/25	Stanford	23	Notre Dame	56	Notre Dame -26.0	Notre Dame	50.5	Over
2022	10/15	Notre Dame	14	Stanford	16	Notre Dame -16.5	Stanford	53.5	Under
2021	11/27	Stanford	14	Notre Dame	45	Notre Dame -20.5	Notre Dame	53.0	Over
2019	11/30	Stanford	24	Notre Dame	45	Notre Dame -17.5	Notre Dame	45.5	Over
2018	09/29	Notre Dame	38	Stanford	17	Notre Dame -4.5	Notre Dame	52.5	Over
2017	11/25	Stanford	38	Notre Dame	20	Notre Dame -3	Stanford	57.0	Over
2016	10/15	Notre Dame	10	Stanford	17	Notre Dame -3.5	Stanford	53.0	Under
2015	11/28	Stanford	38	Notre Dame	36	Notre Dame -2	Stanford	57.0	Over
2014	10/04	Notre Dame	17	Stanford	14	Stanford -2.5	Notre Dame	46.0	Under
2013	11/30	Stanford	27	Notre Dame	20	Stanford -14	Notre Dame	0
2012	10/13	Notre Dame	20	Stanford	13
2011	11/26	Stanford	28	Notre Dame	14
2010	09/25	Notre Dame	14	Stanford	37
2009	11/28	Stanford	45	Notre Dame	38
2008	10/04	Notre Dame	28	Stanford	21
2007	11/24	Stanford	14	Notre Dame	21
2006	10/07	Notre Dame	31	Stanford	10
2005	11/26	Stanford	31	Notre Dame	38
2004	10/09	Notre Dame	23	Stanford	15
2003	11/29	Stanford	7	Notre Dame	57
2002	10/05	Notre Dame	31	Stanford	7
2001	11/24	Stanford	17	Notre Dame	13
2000	10/06	Notre Dame	20	Stanford	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Stanford	9	4	7 Overs
Notre Dame	15	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 15	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2

(#6) ND at (#129) STAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ND	STAN
Power RatePwr	#6	#129
SP+SP+	#9	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#2	#133
OffenseOff	#5	#118
DefenseDef	#3	#134
Spec TeamsST	#2	#80
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#9	#36

Notre Dame on Offense


CategoryCat	ND Off	STAN Def
Perf GradePerf	#5	#134
SuccessSuc	#9	#133
ExplosiveExp	#44	#63
PPAPPA	#8	#133
PowerPwr	#11	#133
SP+SP+	#17	#117
Pts POPPO	#7	#133
HavocHav	#7	#133

Notre Dame Run Game


CategoryCat	ND Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#15	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	#9	#133
Run ExplRExp	#86	#25
PPAExp	#27	#120
Run BlockR Blk	#30	-
OL YdsOLY	#15	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#36	#98
TackleTak	-	#76

Notre Dame Pass Game


CategoryCat	ND Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#17	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	#19	#129
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#89
PPAExp	#8	#130
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#25	#132
F7 HavocF7	#10	#129
DB HavocDB	#11	#130

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ND Def
Perf GradePerf	#118	#3
SuccessSuc	#114	#7
ExplosiveExp	#68	#57
PPAPPA	#114	#6
PowerPwr	#107	#12
SP+SP+	#94	#11
Pts POPPO	#101	#11
HavocHav	#128	#32

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ND Def
Run GameRun	#121	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	#95	#21
Run ExplRExp	#74	#92
PPAExp	#114	#29
Run BlockR Blk	#113	-
OL YdsOLY	#130	#26
Stuff RateStuff	#130	#18
TackleTak	-	#38

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ND Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	#114	#3
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#40
PPAExp	#106	#2
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#121	#8
F7 HavocF7	#122	#50
DB HavocDB	#126	#27

Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 55°

Rematch from Week 13
Notre Dame 26.0 (50.5)
Notre Dame won at Stanford this year (56-23)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Stanford last year (49-7)
Notre Dame beat Stanford in 2023 (56-23)
Stanford beat Notre Dame in 2022 (16-14)

ND's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Hartman (Tr)	191	301	64%	2689	24	8	8.9
Steven Angeli	34	44	77%	504	7	1	11.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Audric Estime	210	1341	18	6.4	80
Jeremiyah Love	71	385	1	5.4	36
Jadarian Price	47	272	3	5.8	54
Gi'Bran Payne	45	168	2	3.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Tyree	26	484	3	18.6	76
Mitchell Evans	29	422	1	14.6	36
Rico Flores	27	392	1	14.5	60
Jordan Faison	19	322	4	16.9	55

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JD Bertrand	76	8	3	7	5
Howard Cross III	65	7	2	4	2
Jack Kiser	52	1	1	3	1
Xavier Watts	47	3	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (Tr)	46	10	5	8	1
Jordan Botelho	29	5	4	3	0
Marist Liufau	42	6	3	2	1
Nana Osafo-Mensah	20	6	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Benjamin Morrison	30	4	0	0	9
JD Bertrand	76	8	3	7	5
Cam Hart	19	2	0	0	4

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels	191	327	58%	2247	11	8	6.9
Justin Lamson (Tr)	38	88	43%	504	0	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justin Lamson (Tr)	120	334	5	2.8	49
Ashton Daniels	110	296	3	2.7	24
E.J. Smith	53	216	1	4.1	34
Casey Filkins	38	215	1	5.7	59

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elic Ayomanor	62	1013	6	16.3	97
Tiger Bachmeier	36	409	2	11.4	41
Sam Roush	28	288	0	10.3	31
E.J. Smith	33	242	0	7.3	53

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)	81	3	1	4	1
Tristan Sinclair	65	5	1	4	0
Collin Wright	51	4	1	0	4
Mitch Leigber	50	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Bailey	31	6	5	2	0
Anthony Franklin	27	6	3	4	1
Tevarua Tafiti	46	5	3	9	1
Mitch Leigber	50	2	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zahran Manley	28	2	0	4
Collin Wright	51	4	1	4
Alaka'i Gilman	45	0	0	3