Notre Dame at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo   Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Stanford Cardinal  Stanford logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Notre Dame -26.0 (50.5) (-3300)  Open: -24.5 | 52.0
Notre Dame 56 - Stanford: 23

 
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
STAN is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -30  (SP+ ND -31.5)
Projected Score: ND: 41 - STAN: 11 (52)
ND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 58%
ND Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-20.549.0W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/2 Notre Dame vs Tennessee State-48.555.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/9 Notre Dame at NC State-7.049.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Notre Dame vs Central Michigan-34.551.5W 41 - 17ON
Sat 9/23 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+3.055.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Notre Dame at Duke-5.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Notre Dame at Louisville-6.553.0L 20 - 33UN
Sat 10/14 Notre Dame vs USC-3.061.0W 48 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh-21.045.5W 58 - 7OY
Sat 11/4 Notre Dame at Clemson-3.044.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-22.547.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/25 Notre Dame at Stanford-26.050.5W 56 - 23OY
Fri 12/29 Notre Dame vs Oregon State-5.540.5W 40 - 8OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Stanford's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.054.0W 37 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Stanford at USC+28.570.5L 10 - 56UN
Sat 9/16 Stanford vs Sacramento State-7.060.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Stanford vs Arizona+13.060.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 Stanford vs Oregon+27.059.5L 6 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Stanford at Colorado+13.059.0W 46 - 43OY
Sat 10/21 Stanford vs UCLA+17.052.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Stanford vs Washington+27.562.0L 33 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Stanford at Washington State+13.059.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 Stanford at Oregon State+21.551.5L 17 - 62ON
Sat 11/18 Stanford vs California+6.552.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Stanford vs Notre Dame+26.050.5L 23 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND.248%4249%3.3418946%2073.99.1439%17.644%35%3.9242.31.41.4
STAN.1442%18.845%2.8410740%2544.16.2948%29.254%41%4.0541.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense134238.247.6%3.991.4223961892074.658%41%49%46%12%.2
STAN Defense1229.22647.6%4.051 - - - - - 51%48%54%41%15%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1317.61738.9%3.921.4 - - - - - 48%51%44%35%15%.14
STAN Offense1218.825.242%4.161.8213621072543.441%59%45%40%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1332:1021.647%44%4.642.31.41.462.8333.4
Stanford1229:5320.838%52%4.641.31.815.41.8024.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1358%49%40.8189.14.625.163.3473%7%0.85
STAN Defense1251%54% - - - - .393.6883%10%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1348%44% - - - - .173.0163%11%1.06
STAN Offense1241%45%31.3107.33.414.022.8485%11%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1341%46%16.226207.2812.82511.271.626%33%.355%1.9
STAN Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 6.241.529%31%.365%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1351%35% - - - - - - 10.141.733%26%.284%2.3
STAN Offense1259%40%22.937.3254.36.811.1158.251.531%29%.286%2

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 19.73  #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62  #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24  #12
2023 Talent Rating: 870.70  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 67%  #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1  #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 677.82
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 19.73   Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 19.1   Stanford: -12.3




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535  #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41  #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01  #133
2023 Talent Rating: 710.28  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 17  #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3  #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5  #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 41
Stanford 11

Projected Total Points: 52
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Stanford20Notre Dame49Notre Dame -32.5Stanford50.5Over
202410/12Notre Dame49Stanford7Notre Dame -22.5Notre Dame45.5Over
202311/25Stanford23Notre Dame56Notre Dame -26.0Notre Dame50.5Over
202210/15Notre Dame14Stanford16Notre Dame -16.5Stanford53.5Under
202111/27Stanford14Notre Dame45Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame53.0Over
201911/30Stanford24Notre Dame45Notre Dame -17.5Notre Dame45.5Over
201809/29Notre Dame38Stanford17Notre Dame -4.5Notre Dame52.5Over
201711/25Stanford38Notre Dame20Notre Dame -3Stanford57.0Over
201610/15Notre Dame10Stanford17Notre Dame -3.5Stanford53.0Under
201511/28Stanford38Notre Dame36Notre Dame -2Stanford57.0Over
201410/04Notre Dame17Stanford14Stanford -2.5Notre Dame46.0Under
201311/30Stanford27Notre Dame20Stanford -14Notre Dame0
201210/13Notre Dame20Stanford13
201111/26Stanford28Notre Dame14
201009/25Notre Dame14Stanford37
200911/28Stanford45Notre Dame38
200810/04Notre Dame28Stanford21
200711/24Stanford14Notre Dame21
200610/07Notre Dame31Stanford10
200511/26Stanford31Notre Dame38
200410/09Notre Dame23Stanford15
200311/29Stanford7Notre Dame57
200210/05Notre Dame31Stanford7
200111/24Stanford17Notre Dame13
200010/06Notre Dame20Stanford14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford958 Overs
Notre Dame1673 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 106 - 62 - 34 - 3
Road Teams10 - 156 - 63 - 43 - 2

(#6) ND at (#129) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #6 #129
SP+SP+ #9 #109
Perf GradeGrade #2 #133
OffenseOff #5 #118
DefenseDef #3 #134
Spec TeamsST #2 #80
TalentTal #11 #37
Blue ChipsBC% #9 #36
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #134
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #11 #133
SP+SP+ #17 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #15 #132
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #76
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCat
ND OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #17 #131
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #25 #132
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Stanford on Offense
CategoryCatSTAN OffND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118 #3
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #107 #12
SP+SP+ #94 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stanford Run Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffND Def
Run GameRun #121 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #38
Stanford Pass Game
CategoryCatSTAN OffND Def
Pass GamePass #110 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #121 #8
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Notre Dame 26.0 (50.5)
Notre Dame won at Stanford this year (56-23)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Stanford last year (49-20)
Notre Dame beat Stanford in 2024 (49-7)
Notre Dame beat Stanford in 2023 (56-23)

  
ND's OC Gerad Parker (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Hartman (Tr)19130164%26892488.9
Steven Angeli344477%5047111.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Audric Estime2101341186.480
Jeremiyah Love7138515.436
Jadarian Price4727235.854
Gi'Bran Payne4516823.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Tyree26484318.676
Mitchell Evans29422114.636
Rico Flores27392114.560
Jordan Faison19322416.955

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JD Bertrand768375
Howard Cross III657242
Jack Kiser521131
Xavier Watts473103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javontae Jean-Baptiste (Tr)4610581
Jordan Botelho295430
Marist Liufau426321
Nana Osafo-Mensah206320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Benjamin Morrison304009
JD Bertrand768375
Cam Hart192004

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels19132758%22471186.9
Justin Lamson (Tr)388843%504025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justin Lamson (Tr)12033452.849
Ashton Daniels11029632.724
E.J. Smith5321614.134
Casey Filkins3821515.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor621013616.397
Tiger Bachmeier36409211.441
Sam Roush28288010.331
E.J. Smith3324207.353

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April III (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)813141
Tristan Sinclair655140
Collin Wright514104
Mitch Leigber502201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey316520
Anthony Franklin276341
Tevarua Tafiti465391
Mitch Leigber502201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zahran Manley282004
Collin Wright514104
Alaka'i Gilman450003