Arizona at Arizona State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo   Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils  Arizona State logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Arizona -12.5 (48.5) (-485)  Open: -12.5
Arizona 59 - Arizona State: 23  (Pac-12)

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU 2nd straight Home Game
ASU is playing their 6th straight game
ARIZ is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona -18.5  (SP+ ARIZ -24)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 34 - ASU: 16 (50)
ARIZ Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
ARIZ Travel: 101 miles
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43OY
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23OY
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-34.060.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State+2.553.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State vs Fresno State+4.048.0L 0 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs USC+34.562.0L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at California+13.047.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona State vs Colorado+3.058.0L 24 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Washington+28.059.5L 7 - 15UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs Washington State+4.549.0W 38 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Arizona State at Utah+11.040.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+14.045.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Arizona State vs Oregon+21.552.5L 13 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+12.548.5L 23 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ.2948%31.553%3.3314445%3183.89.3653%19.357%51%4.48501.82.3
ASU.2344%25.846%3.1213544%2524.22.2747%24.551%45%4.472.31.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1231.529.447.7%3.891.8244621443184.941%57%53%45%16%.29
ASU Defense1224.521.447.3%4.41 - - - - - 48%52%51%45%17%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1219.323.653.4%4.482.3 - - - - - 50%50%57%51%13%.36
ASU Offense1225.824.744.3%4.221.5213871352524.244%55%46%44%19%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1228:0324.142%43%5.4501.82.34.61.3027.5
Arizona State1230:4421.239%63%7.372.31.514.21.4126.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1241%53%29.31444.919.223.3367%9%0.96
ASU Defense1248%51% - - - - .343.5379%9%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1250%57% - - - - .343.6379%9%1
ASU Offense1244%46%32.1135.34.221.133.1274%12%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1257%45%23.638.3318.48.313.52613.391.829%36%.497%2.3
ASU Defense1252%45% - - - - - - 11.251.426%31%.288%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1250%51% - - - - - - 4.41.425%39%.565%2
ASU Offense1255%44%22.533.6251.97.511.21810.351.632%34%.437%2.1

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35  #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94  #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46  #53
2023 Talent Rating: 687.01  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 9%  #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1  #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35   Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1   Arizona State: -11.9




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37  #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85  #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76  #123
2023 Talent Rating: 681.32  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 24  #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 34
Arizona State 16

Projected Total Points: 50
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Arizona State7Arizona23Arizona -2.0Arizona48.5Under
202411/30Arizona7Arizona State49Arizona State -7.5Arizona State52.5Over
202311/25Arizona State23Arizona59Arizona -12.5Arizona48.5Over
202211/25Arizona38Arizona State35Arizona -4Arizona State66.5Over
202111/27Arizona State38Arizona15Arizona State -20Arizona State52.5Over
202012/11Arizona7Arizona State70Arizona State -9Arizona State57.0Over
201911/30Arizona State24Arizona14Arizona State -13.5Arizona60.5Under
201811/24Arizona40Arizona State41Arizona State -1.5Arizona66.0Over
201711/25Arizona State42Arizona30Arizona -2Arizona State76.0Under
201611/25Arizona56Arizona State35Arizona State -6Arizona65.0Over
201511/21Arizona State52Arizona37Arizona State -7Arizona State66.5Over
201411/28Arizona42Arizona State35Arizona -2.5Arizona0
201311/30Arizona State58Arizona21Arizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201211/23Arizona34Arizona State41
201111/19Arizona State27Arizona31
201012/02Arizona29Arizona State30
200911/28Arizona State17Arizona20
200812/06Arizona31Arizona State10
200712/01Arizona State20Arizona17
200611/25Arizona14Arizona State28
200511/25Arizona State23Arizona20
200411/26Arizona34Arizona State27
200311/28Arizona State28Arizona7
200111/23Arizona State21Arizona34
200011/23Arizona17Arizona State30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State1578 Overs
Arizona1063 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 64 - 23 - 4
Road Teams12 - 136 - 74 - 32 - 4

(#20) ARIZ at (#106) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARIZASU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #20 #106
SP+SP+ #20 #108
Perf GradeGrade #16 #130
OffenseOff #8 #132
DefenseDef #56 #120
Spec TeamsST #63 #117
TalentTal #42 #44
Blue ChipsBC% #51 #27
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffASU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #8 #120
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #6 #123
SP+SP+ #15 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffASU Def
Run GameRun #8 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #14 #120
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #4 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCatASU OffARIZ Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #132 #56
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #101 #53
SP+SP+ #102 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #68 #46
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #51
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCatASU OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #133 #59
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Arizona 12.5 (48.5)
Arizona won at Arizona State this year (59-23)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Arizona State last year (23-7)
Arizona State beat Arizona in 2024 (49-7)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2023 (59-23)

  
ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24133372%28692568.6
Jayden de Laura8912870%11201058.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman12887156.859
D.J. Williams8537254.419
Michael Wiley7031134.424
Rayshon Luke3715314.140
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan9014021015.657
Jacob Cowing89839139.457
Tanner McLachlan45528411.736
Michael Wiley28306510.940

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Manu104107102
Dalton Johnson866211
Gunner Maldonado791001
Ephesians Prysock641007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)3112931
Jacob Manu104107102
Isaiah Ward305471
Russell Davis II176420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tacario Davis2510015
Ephesians Prysock641007
Treydan Stukes554007

ASU's OC Beau Baldwin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trenton Bourguet15124861%1486146.0
Jaden Rashada448254%485435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)16478894.866
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)4825935.421
Kyson Brown2310604.615
Jalin Conyers229214.239
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger65713311.065
Jalin Conyers30362012.150
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)24286111.966
Xavier Guillory (Tr)21226110.847

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Chris Edmonds710022
Travion Brown (Tr)533101
Tate Romney (Tr)524144
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)3010671
B.J. Green II39126110
Clayton Smith (Tr)216571
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)4810244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Clark502009
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Demetries Ford312005