Tulsa at Florida Atlantic Game Matchup

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -3 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida Atlantic 20 - Tulsa: 17 (American Athletic)

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU coming off BYE
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -7 (SP+ FAU -4)
Projected Score: TLSA: 25 - FAU: 32 (62)
FAU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TLSA Travel: 1151 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41.0	52.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Tulsa at Washington	+34.0	66.5	L 10 - 43	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Tulsa vs Oklahoma	+28.0	58.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/23	Tulsa at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.5	W 22 - 14	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Tulsa vs Temple	-3.0	56.0	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+3.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Tulsa vs Rice	-3.0	56.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulsa at SMU	+20.5	55.0	L 10 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulsa vs Charlotte	-4.5	47.5	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/11	Tulsa at Tulane	+24.5	52.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Tulsa vs North Texas	+1.5	69.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tulsa at East Carolina	+4.5	44.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	.21	41%	25	44%	3.09	139	40%	273	4.61	.23	40%	42.5	42%	38%	4.15	56.7	1.5	1.7
FAU	.26	45%	25.9	47%	3.29	184	44%	226	4.16	.24	45%	30.3	44%	47%	4.08	58	1.1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	25	21.3	41.4%	4.61	1.5	21	412	139	273	3.9	46%	54%	44%	40%	17%	.21
FAU Defense	12	30.3	29.7	45.2%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	47%	18%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	42.5	40.3	40.2%	4.15	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	42%	38%	15%	.23
FAU Offense	12	25.9	28.5	45.1%	4.16	1.1	22	410	184	226	4.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	16%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	28:52	21.4	40%	65%	6.1	56.7	1.5	1.7	5.2	1.3	0	28.1
Florida Atlantic	12	28:50	22	43%	57%	6.2	58	1.1	1.9	4.3	1.6	3	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	46%	44%	35.8	138.7	3.9	18	.14	3.09	76%	11%	0.98
FAU Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.19	74%	10%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.15	81%	10%	1.08
FAU Offense	12	52%	47%	41	184.2	4.5	19	.22	3.29	61%	9%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	54%	40%	20.1	34.6	273.2	7.9	13.6	27	10	.3	1.8	31%	30%	.39	6%	2.4
FAU Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.6	30%	39%	.52	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.7	34%	30%	.31	5%	1.9
FAU Offense	12	47%	44%	18.1	31.5	226.3	7.2	12.5	25	5	.33	1.7	30%	36%	.52	6%	2.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.35 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 350.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -8.35 Florida Atlantic: -4.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -14.2 Florida Atlantic: -9.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 32
Tulsa 25

Projected Total Points: 62

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Tulsa	16	Florida Atlantic	63	Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	57.5	Over
2023	10/07	Florida Atlantic	20	Tulsa	17	Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic -3	Push	54.5	Under
2015	09/05	Tulsa	47	Florida Atlantic	44	Tulsa	Tulsa -21	Florida Atlantic	67.5	Over
2014	09/13	Florida Atlantic	50	Tulsa	21	Florida Atlantic	Tulsa -1.5	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	3	3	2 Overs
Tulsa	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#111) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.35 #111
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 350.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Tulsa Ratings Matchup Florida Atlantic

Power #111

#87

Off #70

#112

Def #105

#67

Talent #122

#98

SP+ #115

#104

SP+ Off #100

#108

SP+ Def #117

#80

Rematch from Week 6
Florida Atlantic -3.0 (54.5)
Florida Atlantic won vs Tulsa this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa last year (63-16)
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa in 2023 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 81°( - Hum: 76%) - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | FAU
Depth Chart: TLSA | FAU
Rosters: TLSA | FAU

(#87) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80
Talent Rating: 482.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braylon Braxton	134	610	4	4.6	35
Anthony Watkins	87	402	4	4.6	77
Jordan Ford	15	45	0	3.0	10
Nick Rempert	2	29	0	14.5	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	70	822	6	11.7	74
Carl Chester	20	342	3	17.1	42
Zion Steptoe	15	203	0	13.5	34
Anthony Watkins	13	142	1	10.9	63

View Tulsa's Full Roster

Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	0	1
Malachi Jones	49	0	0	0	3
Zaid Hamdan	36	4	1	1	0
Jayden Simon	23	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	0	1
Justin Lohrenz	5	2	1	0	0
Julien Simon (Tr)	4	1	1	1	0
Zaid Hamdan	36	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Malachi Jones	49	0	0	3
Dorian Hopkins	87	8	1	1
Reggie Ellis	0	0	0	1

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kasen Weisman	39	73	53%	416	2	3	5.7
Michael Johnson Jr.	2	3	67%	31	0	0	10.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kasen Weisman	15	71	1	4.7	17
Tony Johnson	2	13	0	6.5	13
Donovan Giles	2	8	0	4.0	12
LaJohntay Wester	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	74	931	10	12.6	69
Tony Johnson	49	452	6	9.2	23
Donovan Giles	8	123	1	15.4	37
Elijah Brown (Tr)	1	22	0	22.0	22

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Williams	51	7	0	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	41	2	0	0	1
Decarius Hawthorne	39	10	3	3	2
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Courtney McBride	39	11	5	3	0
Decarius Hawthorne	39	10	3	3	2
Marlon Bradley	14	5	2	1	0
Latrell Jean	21	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daedae Hill	27	1	0	0	5
Chris Jones	34	8	1	5	4
Michal Antoine Jr.	19	1	0	0	3