Tulsa at Florida Atlantic - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Florida Atlantic Owls  Florida Atlantic logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -3 (54.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida Atlantic 20 - Tulsa: 17  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FAU coming off BYE
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -7  (SP+ FAU -4)
Projected Score: TLSA: 25 - FAU: 32 (58)
FAU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TLSA Travel: 1151 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (37 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-41.052.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/9 Tulsa at Washington+34.066.5L 10 - 43UY
Sat 9/16 Tulsa vs Oklahoma+28.058.5L 17 - 66ON
Sat 9/23 Tulsa at Northern Illinois+3.554.5W 22 - 14UY
Thu 9/28 Tulsa vs Temple-3.056.0W 48 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+3.054.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19 Tulsa vs Rice-3.056.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Tulsa at SMU+20.555.0L 10 - 69ON
Sat 11/4 Tulsa vs Charlotte-4.547.5L 26 - 33ON
Sat 11/11 Tulsa at Tulane+24.552.5L 22 - 24UY
Sat 11/18 Tulsa vs North Texas+1.569.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/25 Tulsa at East Carolina+4.544.5W 29 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth-26.556.0W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/9 Florida Atlantic vs Ohio-3.561.5L 10 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Florida Atlantic at Clemson+25.051.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/23 Florida Atlantic at Illinois+16.045.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-3.054.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 10/14 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+3.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Florida Atlantic vs UTSA+2.558.5L 10 - 36UN
Fri 10/27 Florida Atlantic at Charlotte-3.545.5W 38 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Florida Atlantic at UAB+1.059.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 11/11 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina-7.544.5L 7 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Florida Atlantic vs Tulane+9.546.5L 8 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Florida Atlantic at Rice+5.046.5L 21 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.2141%23.244%3.0913940%2734.61.2340%28.942%38%4.1556.71.51.7
FAU.2645%29.547%3.2918444%2264.16.2445%36.344%47%4.08581.11.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense1223.21941.4%4.611.5214121392733.946%54%44%40%17%.21
FAU Defense1236.335.545.2%4.081.9 - - - - - 49%50%44%47%18%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense1228.930.740.2%4.151.7 - - - - - 56%43%42%38%15%.23
FAU Offense1229.537.245.1%4.161.1224101842264.552%47%47%44%16%.26

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa1228:5221.440%65%6.156.71.51.75.21.3028.1
Florida Atlantic1228:502243%57%6.2581.11.94.31.6328.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense1246%44%35.8138.73.918.143.0976%11%0.98
FAU Defense1249%44% - - - - .213.1974%10%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense1256%42% - - - - .23.1581%10%1.08
FAU Offense1252%47%41184.24.519.223.2961%9%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense1254%40%20.134.6273.27.913.62710.31.831%30%.396%2.4
FAU Defense1250%47% - - - - - - 12.331.630%39%.529%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense1243%38% - - - - - - 6.31.734%30%.315%1.9
FAU Offense1247%44%18.131.5226.37.212.5255.331.730%36%.526%2.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.35  #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07  #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36  #105
2023 Talent Rating: 520.23  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2  #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -8.35   Florida Atlantic: -4.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -14.2   Florida Atlantic: -9.9




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.46  #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82  #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58  #67
2023 Talent Rating: 582.59  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9  #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 32
Tulsa 25

Projected Total Points: 58
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.5

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Florida Atlantic40Tulsa21Florida Atlantic -4.5Florida Atlantic60.5Over
202411/30Tulsa16Florida Atlantic63Florida Atlantic -2.5Florida Atlantic57.5Over
202310/07Florida Atlantic20Tulsa17Florida Atlantic -3Push54.5Under
201509/05Tulsa47Florida Atlantic44Tulsa -21Florida Atlantic67.5Over
201409/13Florida Atlantic50Tulsa21Tulsa -1.5Florida Atlantic0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic443 Overs
Tulsa101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 12 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 42 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#111) TLSA at (#87) FAU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAFAU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #111 #87
SP+SP+ #115 #104
Perf GradeGrade #95 #79
OffenseOff #51 #92
DefenseDef #124 #60
Spec TeamsST #133 #81
TalentTal #83 #71
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffFAU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #51 #60
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #70 #67
SP+SP+ #100 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffFAU Def
Run GameRun #63 #62
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #27
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffFAU Def
Pass GamePass #87 #71
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #50 #102
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida Atlantic on Offense
CategoryCatFAU OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #92 #124
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #112 #105
SP+SP+ #108 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Atlantic Run Game
CategoryCat
FAU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #113 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #88 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #132
Florida Atlantic Pass Game
CategoryCatFAU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #42 #132
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #53 #18
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Florida Atlantic -3.0 (54.5)
Florida Atlantic won vs Tulsa this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa last year (40-21)
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa in 2024 (63-16)
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa in 2023 (20-17)

  
TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cardell Williams7913260%11491078.7
Kirk Francis6812156%967638.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Watkins19788944.546
Bill Jackson9141414.538
Jordan Ford7829413.822
Cardell Williams5720053.550
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamdyn Benjamin47727615.551
Carl Chester22401118.257
Devan Williams29399213.842
Marquis Shoulders16283517.780

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendarin Ray (Tr)1314011
Julien Simon (Tr)5810312
Dayne Hodge562000
Ben Kopenski5214940
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Kopenski5214940
Owen Ostroski3110430
Julien Simon (Tr)5810312
Mitchell Kulkin393243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaise Oliver482006
Xavier Lanier150004
Nunu Campbell230003

FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)20831865%200113106.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)507963%509556.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry McCammon III14968154.640
Kobe Lewis (Tr)8440634.875
Michael Johnson Jr.2314076.127
Zuberi Mobley226202.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
LaJohntay Wester1081168810.876
Tony Johnson36406411.372
Je'Quan Burton24277211.539
Larry McCammon III2520508.255

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Ambush827110
Jarron Morris (Tr)736006
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)615302
Darius McClendon605012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Decarius Hawthorne177540
Marlon Bradley214320
Courtney McBride217321
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)615302
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jarron Morris (Tr)736006
Daedae Hill331004
Romain Mungin322003