Tulsa at Florida Atlantic - 2023 Matchup Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Florida Atlantic -3 (54.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida Atlantic 20 - Tulsa: 17 (American Athletic)

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (18 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU coming off BYE
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -7 (SP+ FAU -4)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - FAU: 30 (52)
FAU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TLSA Travel: 1151 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (4 - 8) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Tom Herman (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41.0	52.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Tulsa at Washington	+34.0	66.5	L 10 - 43	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Tulsa vs Oklahoma	+28.0	58.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/23	Tulsa at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.5	W 22 - 14	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Tulsa vs Temple	-3.0	56.0	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+3.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Tulsa vs Rice	-3.0	56.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulsa at SMU	+20.5	55.0	L 10 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulsa vs Charlotte	-4.5	47.5	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/11	Tulsa at Tulane	+24.5	52.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Tulsa vs North Texas	+1.5	69.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tulsa at East Carolina	+4.5	44.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida Atlantic vs Monmouth	-26.5	56.0	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic vs Ohio	-3.5	61.5	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic at Clemson	+25.0	51.5	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Illinois	+16.0	45.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida Atlantic at South Florida	+3.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs UTSA	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 36	U	N
Fri 10/27	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-3.5	45.5	W 38 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+1.0	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina	-7.5	44.5	L 7 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Tulane	+9.5	46.5	L 8 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+5.0	46.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	#77 (.18)	41% (83)	23.4	40% (99)	3.16 (59)	181	44% (50)	205	4.23 (34)	#120 (.29)	44% (96)	33.8	43% (67)	46% (121)	3.95 (82)	43.3	2	1.7
FAU	#108 (.12)	39% (107)	23.8	43% (73)	3.33 (26)	115	37% (104)	216	3.72 (83)	#77 (.19)	43% (85)	25.5	41% (51)	46% (122)	3.44 (39)	33.3	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)		35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)		38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	23.4	18.3	41%	4.23	2	20	386	181	205	4.1	57%	41%	40%	44%	17%	.18
FAU Defense	12	25.5	22.7	43.2%	3.44	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	46%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	33.8	32.8	43.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	14%	.29
FAU Offense	12	23.8	16.2	39.1%	3.72	1.4	18	331	115	216	3.8	43%	55%	43%	37%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	29:42	19.8	45%	44%	5.1	43.3	2	1.7	5.4	1.8	0	28.1
Florida Atlantic	12	27:24	17.9	34%	38%	3.4	33.3	1.4	1.5	6.9	2.3	3	31.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	57% (16)	40% (99)	43.9	180.9	4.1	13 (108)	.1 (96)	3.16 (59)	79% (27)	11% (87)	0.88 (120)
FAU Defense	12	51% (84)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.08 (30)	3.26 (102)	76% (92)	11% (52)	0.81 (7)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	47% (37)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.21 (107)	3.18 (89)	67% (30)	10% (74)	1.13 (115)
FAU Offense	12	43% (109)	43% (73)	30.8	115.3	3.8	16 (89)	.16 (67)	3.33 (26)	72% (85)	12% (113)	1.01 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	41% (118)	44% (50)	15.8	27.8	204.7	7.4	12.9	20 (70)	19 (131)	.36 (37)	1.8 (13)	34% (95)	32% (57)	.33 (68)	6% (73)	2.1 (66)
FAU Defense	12	48% (49)	46% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.36 (111)	1.6 (57)	34% (42)	32% (97)	.34 (81)	4% (125)	1.9 (33)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	51% (89)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.43 (124)	1.7 (100)	30% (103)	29% (43)	.41 (111)	5% (113)	2.6 (133)
FAU Offense	12	55% (27)	37% (104)	22.1	34.3	215.5	6.3	9.8	19 (78)	15 (116)	.16 (105)	1.5 (106)	34% (110)	24% (125)	.11 (125)	8% (125)	2 (102)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.35 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -8.35 Florida Atlantic: -4.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -14.2 Florida Atlantic: -9.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.46 #87
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 11.82 #112
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 9.58 #67
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
Florida Atlantic's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #104
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 30
Tulsa 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida Atlantic 28
Tulsa 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Florida Atlantic 27
Tulsa 23

Total Points: 50

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.2
Defense: 25.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida Atlantic's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Florida Atlantic	40	Tulsa	21	Florida Atlantic -4.5	Florida Atlantic	60.5	Over
2024	11/30	Tulsa	16	Florida Atlantic	63	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	57.5	Over
2023	10/07	Florida Atlantic	20	Tulsa	17	Florida Atlantic -3	Push	54.5	Under
2015	09/05	Tulsa	47	Florida Atlantic	44	Tulsa -21	Florida Atlantic	67.5	Over
2014	09/13	Florida Atlantic	50	Tulsa	21	Tulsa -1.5	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	4	4	3 Overs
Tulsa	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 1	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 1

(#111) TLSA at (#87) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TLSA	FAU
Power RatePwr	#111	#87
SP+SP+	#115	#104
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#79
OffenseOff	#51	#92
DefenseDef	#124	#60
Spec TeamsST	#133	#81
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Tulsa Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	FAU Def
Perf GradePerf	#51	#60
SuccessSuc	#83	#85
ExplosiveExp	#77	#21
PPAPPA	#77	#77
PowerPwr	#70	#67
SP+SP+	#100	#80
Pts POPPO	#34	#39
HavocHav	#87	#93

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#63	#62
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#51
Run ExplRExp	#120	#7
PPAExp	#96	#30
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#102
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#127
TackleTak	-	#27

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#71
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#122
Pass ExplPExl	#13	#57
PPAExp	#37	#111
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#50	#102
F7 HavocF7	#87	#52
DB HavocDB	#73	#125

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	TLSA Def
Perf GradePerf	#92	#124
SuccessSuc	#107	#96
ExplosiveExp	#87	#123
PPAPPA	#108	#120
PowerPwr	#112	#105
SP+SP+	#108	#117
Pts POPPO	#83	#82
HavocHav	#125	#108

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#113	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	#73	#67
Run ExplRExp	#59	#115
PPAExp	#67	#107
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	#26	#89
Stuff RateStuff	#7	#69
TackleTak	-	#132

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#104	#121
Pass ExplPExl	#106	#100
PPAExp	#105	#124
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#53	#18
F7 HavocF7	#113	#74
DB HavocDB	#125	#113

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 81°( - Hum: 76%)
- Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Florida Atlantic -3.0 (54.5)
Florida Atlantic won vs Tulsa this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa last year (63-16)
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa in 2023 (20-17)

TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cardell Williams	79	132	60%	1149	10	7	8.7
Kirk Francis	68	121	56%	967	6	3	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Watkins	197	889	4	4.5	46
Bill Jackson	91	414	1	4.5	38
Jordan Ford	78	294	1	3.8	22
Cardell Williams	57	200	5	3.5	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	47	727	6	15.5	51
Carl Chester	22	401	1	18.2	57
Devan Williams	29	399	2	13.8	42
Marquis Shoulders	16	283	5	17.7	80

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendarin Ray (Tr)	131	4	0	1	1
Julien Simon (Tr)	58	10	3	1	2
Dayne Hodge	56	2	0	0	0
Ben Kopenski	52	14	9	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Kopenski	52	14	9	4	0
Owen Ostroski	31	10	4	3	0
Julien Simon (Tr)	58	10	3	1	2
Mitchell Kulkin	39	3	2	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaise Oliver	48	2	6
Xavier Lanier	15	0	4
Nunu Campbell	23	0	3

FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Daniel Richardson (Tr)	208	318	65%	2001	13	10	6.3
Casey Thompson (Tr)	50	79	63%	509	5	5	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larry McCammon III	149	681	5	4.6	40
Kobe Lewis (Tr)	84	406	3	4.8	75
Michael Johnson Jr.	23	140	7	6.1	27
Zuberi Mobley	22	62	0	2.8	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LaJohntay Wester	108	1168	8	10.8	76
Tony Johnson	36	406	4	11.3	72
Je'Quan Burton	24	277	2	11.5	39
Larry McCammon III	25	205	0	8.2	55

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Ambush	82	7	1	1	0
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	0	0	6
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2
Darius McClendon	60	5	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Decarius Hawthorne	17	7	5	4	0
Marlon Bradley	21	4	3	2	0
Courtney McBride	21	7	3	2	1
Desmond Tisdol (Tr)	61	5	3	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jarron Morris (Tr)	73	6	6
Daedae Hill	33	1	4
Romain Mungin	32	2	3