Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Tulsa - 2023 Matchup Preview

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Thursday, August 31st 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -41 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Tulsa 42 - Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 7

Golden Lions (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 42 (7 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -9 (SP+ TLSA -14)
TLSA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 44%

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (29 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UAPB Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Tulsa	+41.0	52.5	L 7 - 42	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Schedule

Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-41.0	52.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Tulsa at Washington	+34.0	66.5	L 10 - 43	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Tulsa vs Oklahoma	+28.0	58.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/23	Tulsa at Northern Illinois	+3.5	54.5	W 22 - 14	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Tulsa vs Temple	-3.0	56.0	W 48 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+3.0	54.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19	Tulsa vs Rice	-3.0	56.5	L 10 - 42	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulsa at SMU	+20.5	55.0	L 10 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulsa vs Charlotte	-4.5	47.5	L 26 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/11	Tulsa at Tulane	+24.5	52.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Tulsa vs North Texas	+1.5	69.5	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tulsa at East Carolina	+4.5	44.5	W 29 - 27	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAPB		0%	7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	42	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA	#77 (.18)	41% (83)	23.4	40% (99)	3.16 (59)	181	44% (50)	205	4.23 (34)	#120 (.29)	44% (96)	33.8	43% (67)	46% (121)	3.95 (82)	43.3	2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAPB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)		35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)		38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAPB Offense	1	7	7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TLSA Defense	12	33.8	34.8	43.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	14%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAPB Defense	1	42	42	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
TLSA Offense	12	23.4	28.5	41%	4.23	2	20	386	181	205	4.1	57%	41%	40%	44%	17%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas-Pine Bluff	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Tulsa	12	29:42	19.8	45%	44%	5.1	43.3	2	1.7	5.4	1.8	0	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAPB Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
TLSA Defense	12	47% (37)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.21 (107)	3.18 (89)	67% (30)	10% (74)	1.13 (115)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAPB Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
TLSA Offense	12	57% (16)	40% (99)	43.9	180.9	4.1	13 (108)	.1 (96)	3.16 (59)	79% (27)	11% (87)	0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAPB Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TLSA Defense	12	51% (89)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.43 (124)	1.7 (100)	30% (103)	29% (43)	.41 (111)	5% (113)	2.6 (133)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAPB Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
TLSA Offense	12	41% (118)	44% (50)	15.8	27.8	204.7	7.4	12.9	20 (70)	19 (131)	.36 (37)	1.8 (13)	34% (95)	32% (57)	.33 (68)	6% (73)	2.1 (66)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Power Ratings
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #209
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2023 Expected Record: -
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SWAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: Tulsa: -8.775

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: Tulsa: -14.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.775 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 42 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Tulsa 37
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 20

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Tulsa 40
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 20

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Tulsa 34
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 20

Total Points: 54

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	08/31	Tulsa	42	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	7	Tulsa -41	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	1	0	0 Overs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) UAPB at (#111) TLSA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAPB	TLSA
Power RatePwr	NR	#111
SP+SP+	NR	#115
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#95
OffenseOff	NR	#51
DefenseDef	NR	#124
Spec TeamsST	NR	#133
TalentTal	#209	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Injury Report

Tulsa Injury Report

Arkansas-Pine Bluff on Offense


CategoryCat	UAPB Off	TLSA Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#124
SuccessSuc	NR	#96
ExplosiveExp	NR	#123
PPAPPA	NR	#120
PowerPwr	NR	#105
SP+SP+	NR	#117
Pts POPPO	NR	#82
HavocHav	NR	#108

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Run Game


CategoryCat	UAPB Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	NR	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#67
Run ExplRExp	NR	#115
PPAExp	NR	#107
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#89
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#69
TackleTak	-	#132

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Pass Game


CategoryCat	UAPB Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#121
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#100
PPAExp	NR	#124
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#18
F7 HavocF7	NR	#74
DB HavocDB	NR	#113

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	UAPB Def
Perf GradePerf	#51	NR
SuccessSuc	#83	NR
ExplosiveExp	#77	NR
PPAPPA	#77	NR
PowerPwr	#70	NR
SP+SP+	#100	NR
Pts POPPO	#34	NR
HavocHav	#87	NR

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	UAPB Def
Run GameRun	#63	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	NR
Run ExplRExp	#120	NR
PPAExp	#96	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#22	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	UAPB Def
Pass GamePass	#87	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#13	NR
PPAExp	#37	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#50	NR
F7 HavocF7	#87	NR
DB HavocDB	#73	NR

Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UAPB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83°

Rematch from Week 1
Tulsa -41.0 (52.5)
Tulsa won vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Tulsa beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff in 2023 (42-7)

UAPB's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mekhi Hagens	159	294	54%	2261	13	5	7.7
Jalen Macon	4	7	57%	50	0	0	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
BJ Curry	110	445	3	4.0	21
Mekhi Hagens	98	143	3	1.5	30
Johness Davis	21	95	2	4.5	24
Jalen Macon	5	27	1	5.4	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daemon Dawkins	19	272	2	14.3	31
BJ Curry	8	158	0	19.8	85
Johness Davis	4	35	0	8.8	19
Derrick White	5	33	0	6.6	19

View Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Full Roster

UAPB's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	PD
Cameron Roetherford	11	0
Kaleb Knox	4	0
Khalil Arnold	2	1
Shawn Wilson	1	0

Sacks	Tack	PD
Cameron Roetherford	11	0
Kaleb Knox	4	0
Khalil Arnold	2	1
Shawn Wilson	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Khalil Arnold	2	1
Cameron Roetherford	11	0
Kaleb Knox	4	0

TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cardell Williams	79	132	60%	1149	10	7	8.7
Kirk Francis	68	121	56%	967	6	3	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Watkins	197	889	4	4.5	46
Bill Jackson	91	414	1	4.5	38
Jordan Ford	78	294	1	3.8	22
Cardell Williams	57	200	5	3.5	50

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	47	727	6	15.5	51
Carl Chester	22	401	1	18.2	57
Devan Williams	29	399	2	13.8	42
Marquis Shoulders	16	283	5	17.7	80

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendarin Ray (Tr)	131	4	0	1	1
Julien Simon (Tr)	58	10	3	1	2
Dayne Hodge	56	2	0	0	0
Ben Kopenski	52	14	9	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ben Kopenski	52	14	9	4	0
Owen Ostroski	31	10	4	3	0
Julien Simon (Tr)	58	10	3	1	2
Mitchell Kulkin	39	3	2	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jaise Oliver	48	2	6
Xavier Lanier	15	0	4
Nunu Campbell	23	0	3