Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State

Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Tuesday, October 17th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -7.5 (60.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Jacksonville State 20 - Western Kentucky: 17 (Conference USA)

Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

JVST 2nd straight Home Game
WKU coming off BYE
JVST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -2 (SP+ JVST -1)
Projected Score: WKU: 29 - JVST: 31 (56)
WKU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 222 miles

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
JVST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-13.5	71.5	W 41 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-41.5	64.5	W 52 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky at Ohio State	+29.5	65.0	L 10 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky at Troy	+3.5	57.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	61.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-6.0	59.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-7.5	60.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 10/24	Western Kentucky vs Liberty	+4.0	61.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-9.5	54.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-4.5	55.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-12.5	52.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-11.5	54.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Mon 12/18	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	+4.0	49.0	W 38 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Jacksonville State vs UTEP	+1.5	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State	-20.0	55.0	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina	+13.5	61.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	51.0	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	-6.5	36.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Wed 10/4	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	52.0	W 45 - 30	O	Y
Tue 10/10	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+7.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/17	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/25	Jacksonville State at Florida International	-9.0	48.0	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Jacksonville State at South Carolina	+15.5	55.0	L 28 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech	-8.5	53.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Jacksonville State at New Mexico State	+2.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana	-3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.28	44%	24.9	43%	3.17	145	46%	352	3.63	.11	41%	24.6	44%	40%	4.02	57.5	1.6	2.9
JVST	.32	47%	36	52%	3.32	0	42%	0	4.2	.13	38%	26.1	39%	38%	3.52	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	14	24.9	24.9	44.5%	3.63	1.6	25	497	145	352	4.9	37%	62%	43%	46%	17%	.28
JVST Defense	1	26.1	21.3	37.9%	3.52	0	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	39%	38%	3950%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	14	24.6	33.9	41.4%	4.02	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	44%	40%	17%	.11
JVST Offense	1	36	39.1	47.2%	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	62%	36%	52%	42%	2047%	.32

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	14	28:57	24.6	42%	40%	6.2	57.5	1.6	2.9	4.9	2.3	5	30
Jacksonville State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	14	37%	43%	29.6	145.1	4.9	15	.18	3.17	71%	7%	1.05
JVST Defense	1	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	69%	3949%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	79%	10%	0.96
JVST Offense	1	62%	52%	0	0	0	0	.36	3.32	76%	2046%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	14	62%	46%	28.7	44.4	352.3	7.9	12.3	43	12	.39	1.7	31%	37%	.52	10%	2.4
JVST Defense	1	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.28	1.8	34%	27%	.21	1%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	14	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.12	1.4	33%	25%	.14	7%	2
JVST Offense	1	36%	42%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.35	1.9	28%	36%	.51	1%	2.2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
2023 Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.01 Jacksonville State: 0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.5 Jacksonville State: -0.7

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 31
Western Kentucky 29

Projected Total Points: 56

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Western Kentucky	19	Jacksonville State	17	Western Kentucky	Jacksonville State -0.5	Western Kentucky	62.5	Under
2024	12/06	Jacksonville State	52	Western Kentucky	12	Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State -4.5	Jacksonville State	58.5	Over
2023	10/17	Jacksonville State	20	Western Kentucky	17	Jacksonville State	Western Kentucky -7.5	Jacksonville State	60.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Jacksonville State	2	2	1 Overs
Western Kentucky	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	3 - 0	1 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1

(#70) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86
Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40

Team Profile

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Western Kentucky Ratings Matchup Jacksonville State

Power #70

#79

Off #46

#93

Def #70

#13

Talent #125

#133

SP+ #72

#67

SP+ Off #55

#77

SP+ Def #86

#51

Rematch from Week 8
Western Kentucky 7.5 (60.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Western Kentucky this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky last year (52-12)
Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 57°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | JVST
Depth Chart: WKU | JVST
Rosters: WKU | JVST

(#79) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Western Kentucky's OC Drew Hollingshead

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dalvin Smith	3	4	75%	107	2	0	26.8
Elijah Young	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Young	201	883	3	4.4	30
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	48	182	4	3.8	29
Michael Mathison	7	34	1	4.9	12
Dalvin Smith	1	-11	0	-11.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	39	476	2	12.2	32
Dalvin Smith	30	397	4	13.2	65
Elijah Young	47	384	2	8.2	29
Michael Mathison	13	143	2	11.0	36

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Upton Stout	53	8	1	3	1
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Terrion Thompson	30	2	2	0	1
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Marquis Black (Tr)	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	0	1
Terrion Thompson	30	2	2	0	1

Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Smothers	11	19	58%	123	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J'Wan Evans	52	310	2	6.0	60
Logan Smothers	22	175	3	8.0	72
Ron Wiggins	6	29	0	4.8	15
Cole Fuller	1	1	1	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sterling Galban	25	210	0	8.4	21
Sean Brown	11	181	3	16.5	56
P.J. Wells	12	72	0	6.0	15
J'Wan Evans	5	33	0	6.6	16

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

Jacksonville State's DC Zac Alley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Chris Hardie	6	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2