Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State logo
Tuesday, October 17th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -7.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Jacksonville State 20 - Western Kentucky: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
JVST 2nd straight Home Game
WKU coming off BYE
JVST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -2   (SP+ JVST -1)

Projected Score: WKU: 27 - JVST: 29 (57)
WKU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 222 miles
Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (29 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Western Kentucky vs South Florida-13.571.5W 41 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-41.564.5W 52 - 22ON
Sat 9/16 Western Kentucky at Ohio State+29.565.0L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/23 Western Kentucky at Troy+3.557.0L 24 - 27UY
Thu 9/28 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-6.561.0W 31 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech-6.059.0W 35 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-7.560.5L 17 - 20UN
Tue 10/24 Western Kentucky vs Liberty+4.061.5L 29 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Western Kentucky at UTEP-9.554.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 11/11 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-4.555.5L 29 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-12.552.0W 28 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Western Kentucky at Florida International-11.554.0W 41 - 28OY
Mon 12/18 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion+4.049.0W 38 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Jacksonville State vs UTEP+1.554.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/2 Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State-20.055.0W 49 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina+13.561.0L 16 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan-6.551.0W 21 - 0UY
Thu 9/28 Jacksonville State at Sam Houston-6.536.5W 35 - 28OY
Wed 10/4 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee+2.552.0W 45 - 30OY
Tue 10/10 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+7.059.5L 13 - 31UN
Tue 10/17 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+7.560.5W 20 - 17UY
Wed 10/25 Jacksonville State at Florida International-9.048.0W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Jacksonville State at South Carolina+15.555.0L 28 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech-8.553.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 11/25 Jacksonville State at New Mexico State+2.048.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 12/16 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana-3.558.5W 34 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#47 (.22)40% (92)30.538% (119)3.07 (78)10741% (70)2954.95 (6)#81 (.2)44% (98)28.748% (121)41% (53)4 (87)36.81.81.8
JVST#103 (.13)42% (65)30.246% (41)3.08 (73)23738% (101)1713.77 (79)#10 (.07)36% (15)21.233% (6)39% (39)3.33 (24)43.41.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1330.524.740%4.951.8204021072953.938%61%38%41%16%.22
JVST Defense1321.213.735.9%3.331.9 - - - - - 50%48%33%39%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1328.729.844%41.8 - - - - - 52%47%48%41%14%.2
JVST Offense1330.229.342.3%3.771.6224082371714.861%38%46%38%16%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1329:3220.243%62%4.536.81.81.84.42128.2
Jacksonville State1326:4322.238%52%4.843.41.61.972.9130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1338% (128)38% (119)27.5106.63.912 (116).06 (117)3.07 (78)76% (45)8% (23)0.93 (99)
JVST Defense1350% (66)33% (6) - - - - -.06 (2)2.45 (4)71% (57)12% (28)0.85 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1352% (94)48% (121) - - - - .19 (98)3.47 (125)73% (65)9% (109)0.96 (45)
JVST Offense1361% (8)46% (41)49.8236.74.835 (5).18 (51)3.08 (73)72% (82)9% (54)0.99 (73)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1361% (6)41% (70)26.441.5295.27.111.238 (3)14 (107).35 (42)1.7 (29)33% (90)31% (69).39 (46)9% (128)2.4 (4)
JVST Defense1348% (53)39% (39) - - - - - - 16 (9).27 (69)1.7 (106)35% (30)25% (12).18 (10)6% (68)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1347% (37)41% (53) - - - - - - 15 (15).27 (64)1.6 (69)31% (80)32% (99).37 (97)6% (81)1.9 (26)
JVST Offense1338% (128)38% (101)1426.91716.412.212 (113)12 (85).12 (119)1.6 (75)31% (47)30% (71).15 (119)6% (90)2 (90)

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.01   Jacksonville State: 0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.5   Jacksonville State: -0.7




Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 29
Western Kentucky 27


Total Points: 57

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Western Kentucky19Jacksonville State17Western KentuckyJacksonville State -0.5Western Kentucky62.5Under
202412/06Jacksonville State52Western Kentucky12Jacksonville StateJacksonville State -4.5Jacksonville State58.5Over
202310/17Jacksonville State20Western Kentucky17Jacksonville StateWestern Kentucky -7.5Jacksonville State60.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Jacksonville State221 Overs
Western Kentucky112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 03 - 01 - 02 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 30 - 20 - 1

(#70) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40


Western Kentucky has won 2 straight
Western Kentucky has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good in red zone (#32)
Western Kentucky does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#114)

Western Kentucky commits very few Penalties (#75)
Western Kentucky defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#80)
Western Kentucky has a bad defensive line (#94)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatJVSTWKU
OverallOver#54#90
OffenseOff#62#94
DefenseDef#31#68
Special TeamsST#100#30
PassingPass#98#61
RushingRush#42#98
Run BlockRBLK#20#96
Pass BlockPBLK#25#71
Route RunningWR Rt#111#68
TacklingTkl#63#110
Run DefenseR Def#25#103
Pass Rush DefPRush#31#50
Coverage DefCov#53#29

Rematch from Week 8
Western Kentucky 7.5 (60.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Western Kentucky this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky last year (52-12)
Jacksonville State beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | JVST
Depth Chart: WKU | JVST
Rosters: WKU | JVST
(#79) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60


Jacksonville State has lost 1 straight
Jacksonville State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Jacksonville State has a really good defense (#84)
Jacksonville State defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Jacksonville State has a good run defense (#84)
Jacksonville State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#59)
Jacksonville State Defensive Line is very good (#56)
Jacksonville State Front 7 is disruptive (#52)
Jacksonville State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Jacksonville State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State offense is not Explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State pass game is really bad (#129)


  
Western Kentucky's OC Drew Hollingshead
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Reed (Tr)28947062%332431117.1
Caden Veltkamp415476%387517.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Young10449034.764
Markese Stepp6931034.556
Davion Ervin-Poindexter6324113.818
LT Sanders3113804.556
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Corley799841112.575
Dalvin Smith50513610.345
Easton Messer42484411.535
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)20326216.339

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster
Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendrick Simpkins5012881
Talique Allen (Tr)481013
Kylan Guidry486310
Desmyn Baker413121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendrick Simpkins5012881
Kylan Guidry486310
Sebastian Benjamin253320
Hosea Wheeler404210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Upton Stout241158
Rome Weber191007
Anthony Johnson Jr.361005

Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Webb11122051%1437686.5
Logan Smothers6611756%735646.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Jackson14689776.168
Zion Webb13270875.461
Ron Wiggins9246865.137
Anwar Lewis9345234.940
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Perry Carter38687418.163
Quinton Lane31346111.230
Sean Brown19294515.558
Michael Pettway17196111.537

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster
Jacksonville State's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quae Drake927222
Kolbi Fuqua866361
Fred Perry754075
Jeremiah Harris651003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Hardie5914841
Curley Young Jr.336530
Jaylen Swain307442
Kamari Stephens126421
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derek Carter442008
Fred Perry754075
Kekoura Tarnue532104