Jacksonville State at Sam Houston Game Matchup

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Sam Houston Bearkats

Thursday, September 28th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Jacksonville State -6.5 (36.5) (-258) Open: -6.5 | 36.5
Jacksonville State 35 - Sam Houston: 28 (Conference USA)

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Jacksonville State -7.5 (SP+ JVST -13)
Projected Score: JVST: 26 - SHSU: 18 (53)
JVST Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
JVST Travel: 610 miles

Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (21 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JVST Players
SHSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Jacksonville State vs UTEP	+1.5	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State	-20.0	55.0	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina	+13.5	61.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	51.0	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	-6.5	36.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Wed 10/4	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	52.0	W 45 - 30	O	Y
Tue 10/10	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+7.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/17	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/25	Jacksonville State at Florida International	-9.0	48.0	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Jacksonville State at South Carolina	+15.5	55.0	L 28 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech	-8.5	53.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Jacksonville State at New Mexico State	+2.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana	-3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Sam Houston at BYU	+19.0	46.5	L 0 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Sam Houston vs Air Force	+13.5	36.5	L 3 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Sam Houston at Houston	+11.5	37.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Thu 9/28	Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State	+6.5	36.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Thu 10/5	Sam Houston at Liberty	+21.0	46.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Wed 10/11	Sam Houston at New Mexico State	+4.5	43.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Wed 10/18	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-6.0	42.0	L 27 - 33	O	N
Wed 10/25	Sam Houston vs UTEP	-4.0	38.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/4	Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/11	Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech	+8.5	49.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Sam Houston at Western Kentucky	+12.5	52.0	L 23 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	49.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	.32	47%	36	52%	3.32	0	42%	0	4.2	.13	38%	26.1	39%	38%	3.52	0	0	0
SHSU		35%	23.8	41%	2.69	0	30%	0	2.55	.06	35%	20.5	36%	35%	2.98	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	1	36	33.8	47.2%	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	62%	36%	52%	42%	2047%	.32
SHSU Defense	1	20.5	15.2	35%	2.98	0	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	36%	35%	2884%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	1	26.1	31.2	37.9%	3.52	0	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	39%	38%	3950%	.13
SHSU Offense	1	23.8	21	35.3%	2.55	0	0	0	0	0	0	49%	51%	41%	30%	1398%

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	31.3
Sam Houston	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	1	62%	52%	0	0	0	0	.36	3.32	76%	2046%	1.15
SHSU Defense	1	45%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.36	70%	2882%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	1	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	69%	3949%	1.08
SHSU Offense	1	49%	41%	0	0	0	0	.08	2.69	71%	1396%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	1	36%	42%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.35	1.9	28%	36%	.51	1%	2.2
SHSU Defense	1	54%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.18	1.7	37%	25%	.22	2%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	1	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.28	1.8	34%	27%	.21	1%	2.3
SHSU Offense	1	51%	30%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.07	1.6	36%	28%	.26	2%	2.2

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -2.40 Sam Houston: -9.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -0.7 Sam Houston: -13.5

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.21 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 26
Sam Houston 18

Projected Total Points: 53

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.2

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Jacksonville State	21	Sam Houston	11	Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State -5.5	Jacksonville State	57.5	Under
2023	09/28	Sam Houston	28	Jacksonville State	35	Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State -6.5	Jacksonville State	36.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Sam Houston	0	0	1 Overs
Jacksonville State	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#79) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

,
,

Jacksonville State Ratings Matchup Sam Houston

Power #79

#118

Off #93

#113

Def #13

#57

Talent #133

#129

SP+ #67

#112

SP+ Off #77

#120

SP+ Def #51

#82

Rematch from Week 5
Jacksonville State 6.5 (36.5)
Jacksonville State won at Sam Houston this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Sam Houston last year (21-11)
Jacksonville State beat Sam Houston in 2023 (35-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 88° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | SHSU
Depth Chart: JVST | SHSU
Rosters: JVST | SHSU

(#118) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.21 #118
Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

,
,

Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Smothers	11	19	58%	123	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J'Wan Evans	52	310	2	6.0	60
Logan Smothers	22	175	3	8.0	72
Ron Wiggins	6	29	0	4.8	15
Cole Fuller	1	1	1	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sterling Galban	25	210	0	8.4	21
Sean Brown	11	181	3	16.5	56
P.J. Wells	12	72	0	6.0	15
J'Wan Evans	5	33	0	6.6	16

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

Jacksonville State's DC Zac Alley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Chris Hardie	6	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2

Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Xavier Ward (Tr)	1	3	33%	16	0	1	5.3
Noah Smith	1	2	50%	64	1	0	32.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ife Adeyi	9	76	1	8.4	28
John Gentry (Tr)	26	75	1	2.9	16
Noah Smith	11	75	0	6.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Smith	35	285	0	8.1	22
Ife Adeyi	26	238	1	9.2	32
Elijah Sohn	13	107	0	8.2	22
John Gentry (Tr)	6	16	1	2.7	8

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

Sam Houston's DC Clayton Carlin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kavian Gaither	84	8	0	5	2
Da'Marcus Crosby	81	2	0	0	3
Dakerric Hobbs	36	3	0	1	6
Jevon Leon	30	2	1	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Nixon	19	6	4	5	0
Seth Mason	5	1	1	3	1
Jevon Leon	30	2	1	6	0
Kavian Gaither	84	8	0	5	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dakerric Hobbs	36	3	1	6
Da'Marcus Crosby	81	2	0	3
Kavian Gaither	84	8	5	2