Sam Houston at Western Kentucky Game Matchup
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -12.5 (52.0) (-360)  Open: -12.5 | 52.0
Western Kentucky 28 - Sam Houston: 23  (Conference USA)

 
Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SHSU 2nd straight Road Game
WKU 2nd straight Home Game
WKU is playing their 5th straight game
SHSU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -13   (SP+ WKU -12)

Projected Score: SHSU: 18 - WKU: 31 (47)
WKU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
SHSU Travel: 677 miles
Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (26 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Sam Houston at BYU+19.046.5L 0 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 Sam Houston vs Air Force+13.536.5L 3 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Sam Houston at Houston+11.537.0L 7 - 38ON
Thu 9/28 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+6.536.5L 28 - 35ON
Thu 10/5 Sam Houston at Liberty+21.046.5L 16 - 21UY
Wed 10/11 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+4.543.0L 13 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Sam Houston vs Florida International-6.042.0L 27 - 33ON
Wed 10/25 Sam Houston vs UTEP-4.038.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/4 Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+8.549.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/18 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+12.552.0L 23 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee+3.549.5W 23 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Western Kentucky vs South Florida-13.571.5W 41 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-41.564.5W 52 - 22ON
Sat 9/16 Western Kentucky at Ohio State+29.565.0L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/23 Western Kentucky at Troy+3.557.0L 24 - 27UY
Thu 9/28 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-6.561.0W 31 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech-6.059.0W 35 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-7.560.5L 17 - 20UN
Tue 10/24 Western Kentucky vs Liberty+4.061.5L 29 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Western Kentucky at UTEP-9.554.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 11/11 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-4.555.5L 29 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-12.552.0W 28 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Western Kentucky at Florida International-11.554.0W 41 - 28OY
Mon 12/18 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion+4.049.0W 38 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU35%23.841%2.69030%02.55.0635%20.536%35%2.98000
WKU.2844%24.943%3.1714546%3523.63.1141%24.644%40%4.0257.51.62.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense123.824.635.3%2.5500000049%51%41%30%1398%
WKU Defense1424.613.541.4%4.022.9 - - - - - 48%50%44%40%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense120.523.635%2.980 - - - - - 45%54%36%35%2884%.06
WKU Offense1424.926.344.5%3.631.6254971453524.937%62%43%46%17%.28

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston10:000NAN%0%000000030.1
Western Kentucky1428:5724.642%40%6.257.51.62.94.92.3530
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense149%41%0000.082.6971%1396%1.06
WKU Defense1448%44% - - - - .163.2779%10%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense145%36% - - - - -.042.3670%2882%0.91
WKU Offense1437%43%29.6145.14.915.183.1771%7%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense151%30%0000000-.071.636%28%.262%2.2
WKU Defense1450%40% - - - - - - 19.121.433%25%.147%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense154%35% - - - - - - 0.181.737%25%.222%2.1
WKU Offense1462%46%28.744.4352.37.912.34312.391.731%37%.5210%2.4

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -9.92   Western Kentucky: 1.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -13.5   Western Kentucky: -1.5




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 1.245 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
2023 Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 31
Sam Houston 18


Projected Total Points: 47
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/16Sam Houston14Western Kentucky31Western KentuckySam Houston -1.5Western Kentucky55.0Under
202311/18Western Kentucky28Sam Houston23Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -12.5Sam Houston52.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky210 Overs
Sam Houston012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#118) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Sam Houston     Ratings Matchup     Western Kentucky
Power #118
#70
Off #113
#46
Def #57
#70
Talent #129
#125
SP+ #112
#72
SP+ Off #120
#55
SP+ Def #82
#86

Rematch from Week 12
Western Kentucky -12.5 (52.0)
Western Kentucky won vs Sam Houston this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Sam Houston last year (31-14)
Western Kentucky beat Sam Houston in 2023 (28-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 57°

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | WKU
Depth Chart: SHSU | WKU
Rosters: SHSU | WKU
(#70) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.245 #70
Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86
Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40

Team Profile






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Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Xavier Ward (Tr)1333%16015.3
Noah Smith1250%641032.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ife Adeyi97618.428
John Gentry (Tr)267512.916
Noah Smith117506.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Smith3528508.122
Ife Adeyi2623819.232
Elijah Sohn1310708.222
John Gentry (Tr)61612.78

View Sam Houston's Full Roster
Sam Houston's DC Clayton Carlin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kavian Gaither848052
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Jevon Leon302160
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nixon196450
Seth Mason51131
Jevon Leon302160
Kavian Gaither848052
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Kavian Gaither848052

Western Kentucky's OC Drew Hollingshead
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dalvin Smith3475%1072026.8
Elijah Young010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Young20188334.430
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)4818243.829
Michael Mathison73414.912
Dalvin Smith1-110-11.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)39476212.232
Dalvin Smith30397413.265
Elijah Young4738428.229
Michael Mathison13143211.036

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster
Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sebastian Benjamin566450
Upton Stout538131
Desmyn Baker422212
Demarko Williams372001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sebastian Benjamin566450
Terrion Thompson302201
Desmyn Baker422212
Marquis Black (Tr)21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmyn Baker422212
Demarko Williams372001
Terrion Thompson302201