Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion Game Matchup

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Old Dominion Monarchs

Monday, December 18th 2023 (2:30 PM EST)
Old Dominion -4.0 (49.0) (-130) Open: -2.5 | 56.0
Western Kentucky 38 - Old Dominion: 35 (Famous Toastery Bowl)

Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.7 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Western Kentucky -7.5 (SP+ WKU -8.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 30 - ODU: 23 (53)
ODU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 561 miles, 1 hrs behind

Monarchs (6 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (10 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (28 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
WKU Players
ODU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-13.5	71.5	W 41 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-41.5	64.5	W 52 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky at Ohio State	+29.5	65.0	L 10 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky at Troy	+3.5	57.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	61.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-6.0	59.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-7.5	60.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 10/24	Western Kentucky vs Liberty	+4.0	61.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-9.5	54.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-4.5	55.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-12.5	52.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-11.5	54.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Mon 12/18	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	+4.0	49.0	W 38 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Old Dominion's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Old Dominion at Virginia Tech	+16.0	48.0	L 17 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/9	Old Dominion vs Louisiana	+6.0	51.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Old Dominion vs Wake Forest	+13.5	60.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Old Dominion vs East Texas A&M	-18.5
Sat 9/30	Old Dominion at Marshall	+14.5	47.0	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Old Dominion at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Old Dominion vs App State	+6.0	56.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Old Dominion at James Madison	+19.5	48.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina	+1.0	51.0	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	Old Dominion at Liberty	+13.5	58.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Old Dominion at Georgia Southern	+4.5	61.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Old Dominion vs Georgia State	-2.0	49.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Mon 12/18	Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky	-4.0	49.0	L 35 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.28	44%	24.9	43%	3.17	145	46%	352	3.63	.11	41%	24.6	44%	40%	4.02	57.5	1.6	2.9
ODU	.12	34%	28	36%	2.79	91	34%	248	3.35	.23	43%	28	43%	45%	3.21	63.8	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	14	24.9	24.9	44.5%	3.63	1.6	25	497	145	352	4.9	37%	62%	43%	46%	17%	.28
ODU Defense	12	28	27.8	43.3%	3.21	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	45%	15%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	14	24.6	33.9	41.4%	4.02	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	44%	40%	17%	.11
ODU Offense	12	28	28.2	34.3%	3.35	1.5	16	340	91	248	3.5	37%	62%	36%	34%	22%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	14	28:57	24.6	42%	40%	6.2	57.5	1.6	2.9	4.9	2.3	5	30
Old Dominion	12	24:07	15.8	30%	35%	6.9	63.8	1.5	1.9	6.2	2.6	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	14	37%	43%	29.6	145.1	4.9	15	.18	3.17	71%	7%	1.05
ODU Defense	12	57%	43%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.1	75%	10%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	79%	10%	0.96
ODU Offense	12	37%	36%	25.8	91.4	3.5	8	-.02	2.79	69%	12%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	14	62%	46%	28.7	44.4	352.3	7.9	12.3	43	12	.39	1.7	31%	37%	.52	10%	2.4
ODU Defense	12	42%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.39	1.6	30%	30%	.33	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	14	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.12	1.4	33%	25%	.14	7%	2
ODU Offense	12	62%	34%	19.8	34.8	248.1	7.1	12.6	19	7	.2	1.7	38%	24%	.24	9%	2.2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
2023 Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.01 Old Dominion: -8.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.5 Old Dominion: -10.2

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -8.73 #102
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 11.50 #114
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 8.69 #56
2023 Talent Rating: 430.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Old Dominion's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Old Dominion's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #97
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 30
Old Dominion 23

Projected Total Points: 53

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Old Dominion's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/18	Old Dominion	35	Western Kentucky	38	Western Kentucky	Old Dominion -4.0	Western Kentucky	49.0	Over
2021	10/16	Old Dominion	20	Western Kentucky	43	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -13.5	Western Kentucky	66.5	Under
2019	10/05	Old Dominion	3	Western Kentucky	20	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -2.5	Western Kentucky	42.0	Under
2018	10/20	Western Kentucky	34	Old Dominion	37	Old Dominion	Western Kentucky -4	Old Dominion	55.0	Over
2017	10/20	Old Dominion	31	Western Kentucky	35	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -6.5	Old Dominion	50.0	Over
2016	10/22	Western Kentucky	59	Old Dominion	24	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -13	Western Kentucky	65.0	Over
2015	10/31	Old Dominion	30	Western Kentucky	55	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -24	Western Kentucky	66.0	Over
2014	10/25	Western Kentucky	66	Old Dominion	51	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -11.5	Western Kentucky	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Old Dominion	1	2	5 Overs
Western Kentucky	7	6	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 6	3 - 5	2 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 2	5 - 3	3 - 1	2 - 2

Western Kentucky Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Toastery Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	+4.0	49.0	W 38 - 35
2022	Orleans Bowl	Western Kentucky vs South Alabama	+4.0	58.0	W 44 - 23
2021	Raton Bowl	Western Kentucky vs App State	+3.0	67.0	W 59 - 38
2020	Lendingtree Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Georgia State	+3.5	50.5	L 21 - 39
2019	Responder Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Western Michigan	-3.0	56.0	W 23 - 20
2017	Cure Bowl	Western Kentucky vs Georgia State	+5.0	54.5	L 17 - 27

Old Dominion Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Toastery Bowl	Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky	-4.0	49.0	L 35 - 38
2021	Beach Bowl	Old Dominion vs Tulsa	+7.5	55.0	L 17 - 30

(#70) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86
Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40

Team Profile

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Western Kentucky has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (4 - 2)
Western Kentucky has played in 11 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 4)

Western Kentucky Ratings Matchup Old Dominion

Power #70

#102

Off #46

#114

Def #70

#56

Talent #125

#107

SP+ #72

#105

SP+ Off #55

#97

SP+ Def #86

#92

Rematch from Week 1
Old Dominion -4.0 (49.0)
Western Kentucky won at Old Dominion this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Old Dominion in 2023 (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 58° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | ODU
Depth Chart: WKU | ODU
Rosters: WKU | ODU

(#102) Old Dominion Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.73 #102
Offense Rating: 11.50 #114
Defense Rating: 8.69 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #92
Talent Rating: 430.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Old Dominion has played in 2 Bowls in the last 5 years (0 - 2)
Old Dominion has played in 3 Bowls since 2000 (1 - 2)

Western Kentucky's OC Drew Hollingshead

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dalvin Smith	3	4	75%	107	2	0	26.8
Elijah Young	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Young	201	883	3	4.4	30
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	48	182	4	3.8	29
Michael Mathison	7	34	1	4.9	12
Dalvin Smith	1	-11	0	-11.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	39	476	2	12.2	32
Dalvin Smith	30	397	4	13.2	65
Elijah Young	47	384	2	8.2	29
Michael Mathison	13	143	2	11.0	36

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Upton Stout	53	8	1	3	1
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Terrion Thompson	30	2	2	0	1
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Marquis Black (Tr)	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	0	1
Terrion Thompson	30	2	2	0	1

Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kadarius Calloway	26	124	1	4.8	60
Jack Shields	4	8	0	2.0	7
Isiah Paige	4	5	0	1.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isiah Paige	61	814	3	13.3	72
Ahmarian Granger	17	308	2	18.1	72
Myles Alston	23	246	0	10.7	30
Javon Harvey	11	101	1	9.2	16

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shawn Asbury II	69	5	2	1	4
Terry Jones	39	5	1	1	2
Lamareon James	34	0	0	0	12
Wayne Matthews III	33	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shawn Asbury II	69	5	2	1	4
Terry Jones	39	5	1	1	2
Jalen Satchell (Tr)	5	2	1	1	1
Zachary Dantzlerward	0	0	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lamareon James	34	0	0	0	12
Shawn Asbury II	69	5	2	1	4
Khian'Dre Harris	16	0	0	0	2