Houston Christian at Western Kentucky - 2023 Matchup Preview

Houston Christian Huskies at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -41.5 (64.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 52 - Houston Christian: 22

Huskies (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 59 (7 - 59 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WKU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -1 (SP+ WKU -2)
WKU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%

Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HCU Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston Christian's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9	Houston Christian at Western Kentucky	+41.5	64.5	L 22 - 52	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston Christian's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-13.5	71.5	W 41 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-41.5	64.5	W 52 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky at Ohio State	+29.5	65.0	L 10 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky at Troy	+3.5	57.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	61.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-6.0	59.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-7.5	60.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 10/24	Western Kentucky vs Liberty	+4.0	61.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-9.5	54.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-4.5	55.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-12.5	52.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-11.5	54.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Mon 12/18	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	+4.0	49.0	W 38 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HCU		0%	7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	59	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU	.28	44%	29.5	43%	3.17	145	46%	352	3.63	.11	41%	22.8	44%	40%	4.02	57.5	1.6	2.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HCU Offense	1	7	7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WKU Defense	14	22.8	18.8	41.4%	4.02	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	44%	40%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HCU Defense	1	59	59	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
WKU Offense	14	29.5	35	44.5%	3.63	1.6	25	497	145	352	4.9	37%	62%	43%	46%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston Christian	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Western Kentucky	14	28:57	24.6	42%	40%	6.2	57.5	1.6	2.9	4.9	2.3	5	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HCU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
WKU Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	79%	10%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HCU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
WKU Offense	14	37%	43%	29.6	145.1	4.9	15	.18	3.17	71%	7%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HCU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WKU Defense	14	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.12	1.4	33%	25%	.14	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HCU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
WKU Offense	14	62%	46%	28.7	44.4	352.3	7.9	12.3	43	12	.39	1.7	31%	37%	.52	10%	2.4

Houston Christian's Power Ratings
Houston Christian's Power Rating: NR
Houston Christian's Offense Rating: NR
Houston Christian's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 78.50 #180
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston Christian's 2023 Expected Record: -
Houston Christian's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Houston Christian's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Houston Christian's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 93.74
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston Christian: Western Kentucky: 1.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston Christian: Western Kentucky: -1.5

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 1.245 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
2023 Talent Rating: 491.26 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Houston Christian Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 59 PPG
Defense on Road: 59

Houston Christian's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 32
Houston Christian 31

Projected Total Points: 62

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Western Kentucky	52	Houston Christian	22	Western Kentucky -41.5	Houston Christian	64.5	Over
2016	10/01	Western Kentucky	50	Houston Christian	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	2	0	1 Overs
Houston Christian	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) HCU at (#70) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HCU	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#70
SP+SP+	NR	#72
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#108
OffenseOff	NR	#111
DefenseDef	NR	#90
Spec TeamsST	NR	#33
TalentTal	#180	#89
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Houston Christian Injury Report

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Houston Christian on Offense


CategoryCat	HCU Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#90
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	#70
SP+SP+	NR	#86
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Christian Run Game


CategoryCat	HCU Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#128

Houston Christian Pass Game


CategoryCat	HCU Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#63
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	HCU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#46	NR
SP+SP+	#55	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	HCU Def
Run GameRun	#133	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#127	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	HCU Def
Pass GamePass	#75	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#83	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

HCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Western Kentucky -41.5 (64.5)
Western Kentucky won vs Houston Christian this year (52-22)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Houston Christian in 2023 (52-22)

HCU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Wilson	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darryle Evans	80	382	3	4.8	73
Champ Dozier	3	47	0	15.7	37
AJ Wilson	1	5	0	5.0	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
AJ Wilson	30	523	4	17.4	77
Deuce McMillan	27	218	1	8.1	26
Adrian Green	14	120	0	8.6	25
Dawson Adams-Grenier	5	55	1	11.0	18

View Houston Christian's Full Roster

HCU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Cash	41	2	1	1	2
Xavier Tolliver	7	0	0	0	0
Zae Smith	5	1	0	2	0
Devion Hargrove	5	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Cash	41	2	1	1	2
Xavier Tolliver	7	0	0	0	0
Zae Smith	5	1	0	2	0
Devion Hargrove	5	1	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Cash	41	2	1	1	2
Caleb Flagg	4	0	0	0	2
Rodney Dansby	5	0	0	0	1

WKU's OC Drew Hollingshead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Reed (Tr)	289	470	62%	3324	31	11	7.1
Caden Veltkamp	41	54	76%	387	5	1	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Young	104	490	3	4.7	64
Markese Stepp	69	310	3	4.5	56
Davion Ervin-Poindexter	63	241	1	3.8	18
LT Sanders	31	138	0	4.5	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Corley	79	984	11	12.5	75
Dalvin Smith	50	513	6	10.3	45
Easton Messer	42	484	4	11.5	35
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	20	326	2	16.3	39

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendrick Simpkins	50	12	8	8	1
Talique Allen (Tr)	48	1	0	1	3
Kylan Guidry	48	6	3	1	0
Desmyn Baker	41	3	1	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendrick Simpkins	50	12	8	8	1
Kylan Guidry	48	6	3	1	0
Sebastian Benjamin	25	3	3	2	0
Hosea Wheeler	40	4	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Upton Stout	24	1	1	5	8
Rome Weber	19	1	0	0	7
Anthony Johnson Jr.	36	1	0	0	5