Ohio State at Rutgers - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights  Rutgers logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -19 (42.5) (-1200)  Open: -19.0
Ohio State 35 - Rutgers: 16  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OSU 2nd straight Road Game
RUTG coming off BYE
OSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -21.5  (SP+ OSU -24.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 34 - RUTG: 13 (47)
OSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
OSU Travel: 6694 miles
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (35 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ohio State at Indiana-30.059.0W 23 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Ohio State vs Youngstown State-45.556.0W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Ohio State vs Western Kentucky-29.565.0W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Ohio State at Notre Dame-3.055.5W 17 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Ohio State vs Maryland-17.056.5W 37 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Ohio State at Purdue-17.553.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 10/21 Ohio State vs Penn State-4.047.0W 20 - 12UY
Sat 10/28 Ohio State at Wisconsin-14.548.0W 24 - 10UN
Sat 11/4 Ohio State at Rutgers-19.042.5W 35 - 16ON
Sat 11/11 Ohio State vs Michigan State-30.548.5W 38 - 3UY
Sat 11/18 Ohio State vs Minnesota-27.551.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 Ohio State at Michigan+3.047.0L 24 - 30ON
Fri 12/29 Ohio State vs Missouri-4.051.0L 3 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Rutgers vs Northwestern-5.039.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Rutgers vs Temple-7.543.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Rutgers vs Virginia Tech-6.537.5W 35 - 16OY
Sat 9/23 Rutgers at Michigan+24.044.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 9/30 Rutgers vs Wagner-46.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Rutgers at Wisconsin+12.544.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/14 Rutgers vs Michigan State-4.038.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/21 Rutgers at Indiana-6.039.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Rutgers vs Ohio State+19.042.5L 16 - 35OY
Sat 11/11 Rutgers at Iowa-2.527.5L 0 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Rutgers at Penn State+19.539.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Rutgers vs Maryland+2.045.5L 24 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Rutgers vs Miami-3.041.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.3953%33.453%3.619253%2985.18.1136%9.335%37%4.02480.81.5
RUTG.0537%28.741%3.0112734%1543.32.1442%31.845%39%3.8664.21.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1333.430.652.8%5.180.8244911922985.450%50%53%53%12%.39
RUTG Defense1231.830.341.7%3.861.4 - - - - - 49%51%45%39%20%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense139.38.235.7%4.021.5 - - - - - 50%50%35%37%19%.11
RUTG Offense1228.735.437.4%3.321.7152811271543.553%47%41%34%19%.05

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1330:4523.845%71%5.6480.81.56.52.6231.2
Rutgers1229:1114.828%53%7.864.21.71.45.51.7327.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1350%53%35.8192.45.430.263.663%7%0.95
RUTG Defense1249%45% - - - - .142.869%11%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1350%35% - - - - .052.5258%12%1.1
RUTG Offense1253%41%36126.93.511-.013.0174%13%0.71

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1350%53%21.131.5298.39.514.2426.511.624%34%.515%2.2
RUTG Defense1251%39% - - - - - - 9.171.533%26%.129%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.181.733%24%.276%2.5
RUTG Offense1247%34%1427.7154.35.6111114.121.734%21%.117%2.3

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40  #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07  #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66  #6
2023 Talent Rating: 974.79  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 85%  #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7  #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40   Rutgers: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7   Rutgers: 2.3




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.5  #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71  #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88  #59
2023 Talent Rating: 636.35  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3  #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 34
Rutgers 13

Projected Total Points: 47
Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.4
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Ohio State42Rutgers9Ohio State -29.0Ohio State54.0Under
202311/04Rutgers16Ohio State35Ohio State -19NA42.5Over
202210/01Ohio State49Rutgers10Ohio State -39.0Push58.0Over
202110/02Rutgers13Ohio State52Ohio State -15Ohio State58.0Over
202011/07Ohio State49Rutgers27Ohio State -37.5Rutgers62.0Over
201911/16Rutgers21Ohio State56Ohio State -52Rutgers63.0Over
201809/08Ohio State52Rutgers3Ohio State -34.5Ohio State58.0Under
201709/30Rutgers0Ohio State56Ohio State -28.5Ohio State54.5Over
201610/01Ohio State58Rutgers0Ohio State -37Ohio State59.5Under
201510/24Rutgers7Ohio State49Ohio State -20.5Ohio State64.0Under
201410/18Ohio State56Rutgers17Ohio State -19.5Ohio State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers026 Overs
Ohio State1174 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 55 - 44 - 11 - 3
Road Teams5 - 64 - 53 - 11 - 4

(#3) OSU at (#64) RUTG
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSURUTG
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #3 #64
SP+SP+ #3 #59
Perf GradeGrade #7 #50
OffenseOff #19 #61
DefenseDef #7 #37
Spec TeamsST #14 #115
TalentTal #3 #61
Blue ChipsBC% #2 #53
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffRUTG Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #37
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #13 #59
SP+SP+ #25 #21
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #30 #65
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #4
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #39 #29
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #55
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Rutgers on Offense
CategoryCatRUTG OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #61 #7
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #92 #6
SP+SP+ #98 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Rutgers Run Game
CategoryCat
RUTG OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #33 #13
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #6
Rutgers Pass Game
CategoryCatRUTG OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #94 #6
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #108 #12
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Ohio State 19.0 (42.5)
Ohio State won at Rutgers this year (35-16)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Rutgers last year (42-9)
Ohio State beat Rutgers in 2023 (35-16)

  
OSU's OC Brian Hartline (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyle McCord22934866%31702469.1
Devin Brown162857%217217.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
TreVeyon Henderson156926115.975
DeaMonte Trayanum8537334.440
Xavier Johnson2819006.827
Miyan Williams4915833.212
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marvin Harrison Jr.6712111418.175
Cade Stover41576514.049
Emeka Egbuka41514412.528
Julian Fleming26271010.437

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Steele Chambers832011
Tommy Eichenberg803140
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)591005
Cody Simon572002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Sawyer4810732
J.T. Tuimoloau387562
Tyleik Williams5410315
Sonny Styles535201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Denzel Burke243008
Josh Proctor474018
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)591005

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gavin Wimsatt13828948%1735986.0
Evan Simon2367%301010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai242126285.255
Gavin Wimsatt131497113.880
Samuel Brown V6321723.411
Ja'shon Benjamin4517213.826
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Dremel35463313.269
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)22361116.461
Isaiah Washington26326112.542
Ian Strong16230214.429

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deion Jennings945004
Mohamed Toure9210542
Michael Dixon (Tr)762015
Desmond Igbinosun647131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure9210542
Wesley Bailey255453
Tyreem Powell523322
Aaron Lewis4953102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam391108
Eric Rogers (Tr)180006
Max Melton324106