Ohio State at Rutgers - 2023 Matchup Preview

Ohio State Buckeyes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -19 (42.5) (-1200) Open: -19.0
Ohio State 35 - Rutgers: 16 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OSU 2nd straight Road Game
RUTG coming off BYE
OSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -21.5 (SP+ OSU -24.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 34 - RUTG: 13 (52)
OSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
OSU Travel: 452 miles

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ohio State at Indiana	-30.0	59.0	W 23 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio State vs Youngstown State	-45.5	56.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Ohio State vs Western Kentucky	-29.5	65.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio State at Notre Dame	-3.0	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio State vs Maryland	-17.0	56.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio State at Purdue	-17.5	53.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ohio State vs Penn State	-4.0	47.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-14.5	48.0	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/4	Ohio State at Rutgers	-19.0	42.5	W 35 - 16	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-30.5	48.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ohio State vs Minnesota	-27.5	51.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ohio State at Michigan	+3.0	47.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/29	Ohio State vs Missouri	-4.0	51.0	L 3 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	.39	53%	35.7	53%	3.6	192	53%	298	5.18	.11	36%	12.9	35%	37%	4.02	48	0.8	1.5
RUTG	.05	37%	28.9	41%	3.01	127	34%	154	3.32	.14	42%	25.4	45%	39%	3.86	64.2	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	35.7	29.7	52.8%	5.18	0.8	24	491	192	298	5.4	50%	50%	53%	53%	12%	.39
RUTG Defense	12	25.4	25.1	41.7%	3.86	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	39%	20%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	12.9	17.3	35.7%	4.02	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	35%	37%	19%	.11
RUTG Offense	12	28.9	30	37.4%	3.32	1.7	15	281	127	154	3.5	53%	47%	41%	34%	19%	.05

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	30:45	23.8	45%	71%	5.6	48	0.8	1.5	6.5	2.6	2	31.2
Rutgers	12	29:11	14.8	28%	53%	7.8	64.2	1.7	1.4	5.5	1.7	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	50%	53%	35.8	192.4	5.4	30	.26	3.6	63%	7%	0.95
RUTG Defense	12	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.8	69%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	50%	35%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.52	58%	12%	1.1
RUTG Offense	12	53%	41%	36	126.9	3.5	11	-.01	3.01	74%	13%	0.71

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	50%	53%	21.1	31.5	298.3	9.5	14.2	42	6	.51	1.6	24%	34%	.51	5%	2.2
RUTG Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.12	9%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.18	1.7	33%	24%	.27	6%	2.5
RUTG Offense	12	47%	34%	14	27.7	154.3	5.6	11	11	14	.12	1.7	34%	21%	.11	7%	2.3

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
2023 Talent Rating: 1152.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40 Rutgers: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7 Rutgers: 2.3

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.5 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 34
Rutgers 13

Projected Total Points: 52

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Rutgers	16	Ohio State	35	Ohio State	Ohio State -19	NA	42.5	Over
2022	10/01	Ohio State	49	Rutgers	10	Ohio State	Ohio State -39.0	Push	58.0	Over
2021	10/02	Rutgers	13	Ohio State	52	Ohio State	Ohio State -15	Ohio State	58.0	Over
2020	11/07	Ohio State	49	Rutgers	27	Ohio State	Ohio State -37.5	Rutgers	62.0	Over
2019	11/16	Rutgers	21	Ohio State	56	Ohio State	Ohio State -52	Rutgers	63.0	Over
2018	09/08	Ohio State	52	Rutgers	3	Ohio State	Ohio State -34.5	Ohio State	58.0	Under
2017	09/30	Rutgers	0	Ohio State	56	Ohio State	Ohio State -28.5	Ohio State	54.5	Over
2016	10/01	Ohio State	58	Rutgers	0	Ohio State	Ohio State -37	Ohio State	59.5	Under
2015	10/24	Rutgers	7	Ohio State	49	Ohio State	Ohio State -20.5	Ohio State	64.0	Under
2014	10/18	Ohio State	56	Rutgers	17	Ohio State	Ohio State -19.5	Ohio State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	0	2	6 Overs
Ohio State	10	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 5	4 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 5	4 - 4	3 - 1	1 - 3

(#3) Ohio State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3
Talent Rating: 1152.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile

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Ohio State Ratings Matchup Rutgers

Power #3

#64

Off #13

#92

Def #6

#59

Talent #4

#39

SP+ #3

#59

SP+ Off #25

#98

SP+ Def #3

#21

Rematch from Week 10
Ohio State 19.0 (42.5)
Ohio State won at Rutgers this year (35-16)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Rutgers in 2023 (35-16)
Ohio State beat Rutgers in 2022 (49-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 55°

Team Information
Injuries: OSU | RUTG
Depth Chart: OSU | RUTG
Rosters: OSU | RUTG

(#64) Rutgers Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.5 #64
Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20

Team Profile

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Ohio State's OC Brian Hartline (Int)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord	391	592	66%	4779	34	12	8.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TreVeyon Henderson	144	1016	10	7.1	66
Evan Pryor	56	418	6	7.5	65
Dallan Hayden	64	196	1	3.1	27
DeaMonte Trayanum	12	75	0	6.3	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Emeka Egbuka	81	1011	10	12.5	68
Joe Royer	51	532	3	10.4	38
Noah Rogers	35	478	1	13.7	75
TreVeyon Henderson	27	284	1	10.5	75

View Ohio State's Full Roster

Ohio State's DC Jim Knowles

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Lathan Ransom	75	9	1	1	2
J.T. Tuimoloau	61	22	13	5	3
Jack Sawyer	59	9	9	8	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.T. Tuimoloau	61	22	13	5	3
Jack Sawyer	59	9	9	8	6
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Ty Hamilton	51	6	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Hancock	48	2	1	1	8
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Jack Sawyer	59	9	9	8	6

Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Simon	181	308	59%	2032	15	9	6.6
Gavin Wimsatt	16	39	41%	287	3	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Gavin Wimsatt	49	183	2	3.7	24
Aaron Young	23	119	2	5.2	24
Evan Simon	87	20	3	0.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Max Patterson	25	286	0	11.4	39
Christian Dremel	12	162	1	13.5	36
Kyle Monangai	14	75	1	5.4	14
Aaron Young	2	39	0	19.5	37

View Rutgers's Full Roster

Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon (Tr)	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2
Desmond Igbinosun	54	4	0	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2
Rene Konga	20	3	3	2	0
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon (Tr)	60	0	0	4