Ohio State at Rutgers - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#1)Ohio State Buckeyes at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -19 (42.5) (-1200) Open: -19.0
Ohio State 35 - Rutgers: 16 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Ryan Day (48 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 11 (27 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OSU 2nd straight Road Game
RUTG coming off BYE
OSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -21.5 (SP+ OSU -24.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 33 - RUTG: 11 (44)
OSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
OSU Travel: 452 miles

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ohio State at Indiana	-30.0	59.0	W 23 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio State vs Youngstown State	-45.5	56.0	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Ohio State vs Western Kentucky	-29.5	65.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio State at Notre Dame	-3.0	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio State vs Maryland	-17.0	56.5	W 37 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio State at Purdue	-17.5	53.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ohio State vs Penn State	-4.0	47.0	W 20 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ohio State at Wisconsin	-14.5	48.0	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/4	Ohio State at Rutgers	-19.0	42.5	W 35 - 16	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-30.5	48.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ohio State vs Minnesota	-27.5	51.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ohio State at Michigan	+3.0	47.0	L 24 - 30	O	N
Fri 12/29	Ohio State vs Missouri	-4.0	51.0	L 3 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	30.5	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	11.2	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8
RUTG	#107 (.12)	40% (91)	23.2	43% (65)	3.03 (84)	169	35% (118)	138	3.95 (62)	#43 (.14)	45% (104)	21.2	48% (123)	42% (69)	3.48 (44)	45.2	1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	30.5	27.3	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31
RUTG Defense	13	21.2	19.1	44.6%	3.48	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	42%	15%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	11.2	13.3	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03
RUTG Offense	13	23.2	30.6	40.1%	3.95	1	17	306	169	138	4.2	62%	38%	43%	35%	12%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8
Rutgers	13	31:48	17.5	37%	64%	5.1	45.2	1	1.4	3.8	1.5	1	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)
RUTG Defense	13	52% (99)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (54)	3.2 (91)	71% (53)	8% (122)	0.77 (4)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)
RUTG Offense	13	62% (7)	43% (65)	39.8	168.8	4.2	24 (41)	.16 (64)	3.03 (84)	77% (38)	7% (11)	0.95 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)
RUTG Defense	13	47% (33)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.22 (40)	1.4 (5)	30% (111)	30% (65)	.17 (8)	6% (55)	1.7 (5)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)
RUTG Offense	13	38% (126)	35% (118)	10.9	22.6	137.5	6.1	12.6	10 (120)	8 (30)	.07 (126)	1.7 (46)	30% (42)	33% (52)	.34 (64)	5% (19)	1.8 (127)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 23.40 #3
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 25.07 #13
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -0.66 #6
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 85% #2
Ohio State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Ohio State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.7 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #25
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.8 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 23.40 Rutgers: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 26.7 Rutgers: 2.3

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.5 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 11.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Ohio State's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 33
Rutgers 11

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 23
Rutgers 23

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 25
Rutgers 20

Total Points: 45

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Ohio State	42	Rutgers	9	Ohio State -29.0	Ohio State	54.0	Under
2023	11/04	Rutgers	16	Ohio State	35	Ohio State -19	NA	42.5	Over
2022	10/01	Ohio State	49	Rutgers	10	Ohio State -39.0	Push	58.0	Over
2021	10/02	Rutgers	13	Ohio State	52	Ohio State -15	Ohio State	58.0	Over
2020	11/07	Ohio State	49	Rutgers	27	Ohio State -37.5	Rutgers	62.0	Over
2019	11/16	Rutgers	21	Ohio State	56	Ohio State -52	Rutgers	63.0	Over
2018	09/08	Ohio State	52	Rutgers	3	Ohio State -34.5	Ohio State	58.0	Under
2017	09/30	Rutgers	0	Ohio State	56	Ohio State -28.5	Ohio State	54.5	Over
2016	10/01	Ohio State	58	Rutgers	0	Ohio State -37	Ohio State	59.5	Under
2015	10/24	Rutgers	7	Ohio State	49	Ohio State -20.5	Ohio State	64.0	Under
2014	10/18	Ohio State	56	Rutgers	17	Ohio State -19.5	Ohio State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	0	2	6 Overs
Ohio State	11	7	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	5 - 4	4 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 6	4 - 5	3 - 1	1 - 4

(#3) OSU at (#64) RUTG

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	RUTG
Power RatePwr	#3	#64
SP+SP+	#3	#59
Perf GradeGrade	#7	#50
OffenseOff	#19	#61
DefenseDef	#7	#37
Spec TeamsST	#14	#115
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#53

Ohio State Injury Report

Rutgers Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	RUTG Def
Perf GradePerf	#19	#37
SuccessSuc	#22	#104
ExplosiveExp	#78	#1
PPAPPA	#14	#43
PowerPwr	#13	#59
SP+SP+	#25	#21
Pts POPPO	#36	#44
HavocHav	#29	#107

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#30	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#49	#123
Run ExplRExp	#126	#4
PPAExp	#72	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#57	#91
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#120
TackleTak	-	#4

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	#12	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#5
PPAExp	#10	#40
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#64	#55
F7 HavocF7	#14	#122
DB HavocDB	#95	#55

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	OSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#61	#7
SuccessSuc	#91	#11
ExplosiveExp	#116	#11
PPAPPA	#107	#5
PowerPwr	#92	#6
SP+SP+	#98	#3
Pts POPPO	#62	#5
HavocHav	#10	#85

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#12
Run ExplRExp	#94	#56
PPAExp	#64	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#52
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#86
TackleTak	-	#6

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#2
PPAExp	#126	#1
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#108	#12
F7 HavocF7	#11	#103
DB HavocDB	#19	#47

Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 55°

Rematch from Week 10
Ohio State 19.0 (42.5)
Ohio State won at Rutgers this year (35-16)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Rutgers in 2023 (35-16)
Ohio State beat Rutgers in 2022 (49-10)

OSU's OC Brian Hartline (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle McCord	229	348	66%	3170	24	6	9.1
Devin Brown	16	28	57%	217	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TreVeyon Henderson	156	926	11	5.9	75
DeaMonte Trayanum	85	373	3	4.4	40
Xavier Johnson	28	190	0	6.8	27
Miyan Williams	49	158	3	3.2	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marvin Harrison Jr.	67	1211	14	18.1	75
Cade Stover	41	576	5	14.0	49
Emeka Egbuka	41	514	4	12.5	28
Julian Fleming	26	271	0	10.4	37

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Steele Chambers	83	2	0	1	1
Tommy Eichenberg	80	3	1	4	0
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	0	5
Cody Simon	57	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Sawyer	48	10	7	3	2
J.T. Tuimoloau	38	7	5	6	2
Tyleik Williams	54	10	3	1	5
Sonny Styles	53	5	2	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Denzel Burke	24	3	0	8
Josh Proctor	47	4	1	8
Davison Igbinosun (Tr)	59	1	0	5

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gavin Wimsatt	138	289	48%	1735	9	8	6.0
Evan Simon	2	3	67%	30	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	242	1262	8	5.2	55
Gavin Wimsatt	131	497	11	3.8	80
Samuel Brown V	63	217	2	3.4	11
Ja'shon Benjamin	45	172	1	3.8	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Dremel	35	463	3	13.2	69
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)	22	361	1	16.4	61
Isaiah Washington	26	326	1	12.5	42
Ian Strong	16	230	2	14.4	29

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deion Jennings	94	5	0	0	4
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Michael Dixon (Tr)	76	2	0	1	5
Desmond Igbinosun	64	7	1	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Wesley Bailey	25	5	4	5	3
Tyreem Powell	52	3	3	2	2
Aaron Lewis	49	5	3	10	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	39	1	1	8
Eric Rogers (Tr)	18	0	0	6
Max Melton	32	4	1	6