Washington State Cougars at North Texas Mean Green
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Texas -6.5 (57.5) (-278) Open: 0.0
North Texas 59 - Washington State: 10
Cougars (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (10 - 59 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (10 - 59 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
Our Line: North Texas -15 (SP+ UNT -11)
Projected Score: WSU: 22 - UNT: 37 (59)
UNT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WSU Travel: 1405 miles, 2 hrs behind
Projected Score: WSU: 22 - UNT: 37 (59)
UNT Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WSU Travel: 1405 miles, 2 hrs behind
Mean Green (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (55 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (55 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
| Washington State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Washington State vs Idaho | -16.5 | 50.5 | W 13 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Washington State vs San Diego State | -2.0 | 46.5 | W 36 - 13 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Washington State at North Texas | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 10 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Washington State vs Washington | +19.5 | 52.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Washington State at Colorado State | +3 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/11 | Washington State at Ole Miss | +33 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Washington State at Virginia | +19 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Washington State vs Toledo | +13 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Washington State at Oregon State | +7.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Washington State vs Louisiana Tech | -2 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Washington State at James Madison | +14 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Washington State vs Oregon State | +2.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| North Texas's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | North Texas vs Lamar | -27.5 | 63.5 | W 51 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Texas at Western Michigan | -12.0 | 56.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Texas vs Washington State | -6.5 | 57.5 | W 59 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Texas at Army | -1.5 | 52.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | North Texas vs South Alabama | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/10 | North Texas vs South Florida | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | North Texas vs UTSA | -7 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | North Texas at Charlotte | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | North Texas vs Navy | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | North Texas at UAB | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | North Texas at Rice | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | North Texas vs Temple | -8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 6, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU | #106 (.1) | 38% (107) | 19.7 | 32% (127) | 1.96 (131) | 71 | 42% (75) | 225 | 4.07 (65) | #80 (.16) | 43% (99) | 27.3 | 49% (112) | 37% (52) | 4.88 (117) | 52.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| UNT | #18 (.4) | 46% (49) | 47.7 | 50% (40) | 3.45 (28) | 159 | 45% (57) | 267 | 5.7 (6) | #14 (-.06) | 33% (26) | 13.3 | 35% (35) | 30% (19) | 2.25 (23) | 48.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU | #19 (.29) | 48% (15) | 47% (27) | 3.1 (54) | 159 | 49% (8) | 248 | 4.43 (23) | #99 (.22) | 46% (112) | 51% (129) | 43% (91) | 4.18 (107) | 54.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | ||
| UNT | #45 (.23) | 42% (70) | 40% (109) | 2.75 (111) | 153 | 44% (39) | 298 | 3.91 (69) | #98 (.22) | 44% (98) | 47% (106) | 42% (79) | 4.03 (93) | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU Offense | 3 | 19.7 | 10 | 38.1% | 4.07 | 2 | 16 | 296 | 71 | 225 | 2.6 | 41% | 59% | 32% | 42% | 16% | .1 |
| UNT Defense | 3 | 13.3 | 5 | 33.1% | 2.25 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 64% | 36% | 35% | 30% | 15% | -.06 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU Defense | 3 | 27.3 | 59 | 43.4% | 4.88 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 44% | 49% | 37% | 13% | .16 |
| UNT Offense | 3 | 47.7 | 55 | 46.5% | 5.7 | 0.3 | 24 | 426 | 159 | 267 | 4.8 | 41% | 57% | 50% | 45% | 12% | .4 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington State | 3 | 30:27 | 16.3 | 36% | 83% | 7 | 52.3 | 2 | 0.7 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 27 |
| North Texas | 3 | 28:27 | 24.3 | 50% | 67% | 5.3 | 48.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 39.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU Offense | 3 | 41% (122) | 32% (127) | 27.7 | 70.7 | 2.6 | 2 (109) | -.08 (126) | 1.96 (131) | 58% (109) | 11% (105) | 0.73 (123) |
| UNT Defense | 3 | 64% (130) | 35% (35) | - | - | - | - | -.01 (44) | 2.44 (38) | 73% (75) | 11% (48) | 1.01 (82) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU Defense | 3 | 55% (107) | 49% (112) | - | - | - | - | .14 (101) | 3.05 (99) | 73% (77) | 9% (84) | 0.85 (46) |
| UNT Offense | 3 | 41% (121) | 50% (40) | 33.3 | 159.3 | 4.8 | 9 (17) | .42 (9) | 3.45 (28) | 57% (114) | 8% (56) | 1.28 (20) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU Offense | 3 | 59% (15) | 42% (75) | 24.7 | 36 | 225.3 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 4 (72) | 3 (92) | .22 (84) | 1.2 (122) | 32% (80) | 17% (129) | -.02 (125) | 5% (54) | 1.4 (125) |
| UNT Defense | 3 | 36% (7) | 30% (19) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | -.13 (12) | 1.4 (34) | 37% (29) | 30% (77) | .19 (55) | 3% (118) | 1.7 (39) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU Defense | 3 | 44% (29) | 37% (52) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .2 (65) | 1.5 (66) | 29% (110) | 30% (74) | .08 (29) | 4% (110) | 1.4 (12) |
| UNT Offense | 3 | 57% (20) | 45% (57) | 23.7 | 33.7 | 266.7 | 7.9 | 11.3 | 9 (13) | 0 (1) | .42 (40) | 1.6 (61) | 24% (18) | 46% (12) | .8 (10) | 4% (45) | 1.9 (88) |
Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -5.73 #94
Washington State's Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Washington State's Defense Rating: 12.60 #94
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #103
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #81
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Washington State's Power Rating: -5.73 #94
Washington State's Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Washington State's Defense Rating: 12.60 #94
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #103
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #81
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -5.73 North Texas: 7.24
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -9.8 North Texas: 1.2
Washington State: -5.73 North Texas: 7.24
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -9.8 North Texas: 1.2
North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 7.24 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
North Texas's Power Rating: 7.24 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Washington State Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 59
Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 59
Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 37
Washington State 22
Total Points: 59
North Texas 37
Washington State 22
Total Points: 59
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 55
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5
North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 55
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 5
North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/13 | North Texas | 59 | Washington State | 10 | North Texas | North Texas -6.5 | North Texas | 57.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 1 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Washington State | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 1 |
(#94) Washington State Info
Power Rating: -5.73 #94
Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Defense Rating: 12.60 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 724.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 32%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.88 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Washington State has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Washington State Notes
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
(3/22) WR rebuild, #'s look rough, very young
(3/22) OL returns 3/5, OK LY. Only 1 portal add.
(3/22) Def complete rebuild. 16 portals. Looks bad
Washington State Highlights
Washington State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Washington State Deficiencies
Washington State has a really bad Offense
Washington State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Washington State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Washington State Can Not Run the Ball (#131)
Washington State offense is really bad (#107)
Washington State offense is not Explosive (#121)
Washington State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#128)
Washington State run game is really bad (#127)
Washington State Does Not Stuff Runs (#104)
Washington State has a bad red zone defense (#117)
Power Rating: -5.73 #94
Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Defense Rating: 12.60 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 724.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 32%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.88 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Washington State has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Washington State Notes
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
(3/22) WR rebuild, #'s look rough, very young
(3/22) OL returns 3/5, OK LY. Only 1 portal add.
(3/22) Def complete rebuild. 16 portals. Looks bad
Washington State Highlights
Washington State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Washington State Deficiencies
Washington State has a really bad Offense
Washington State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Washington State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Washington State Can Not Run the Ball (#131)
Washington State offense is really bad (#107)
Washington State offense is not Explosive (#121)
Washington State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#128)
Washington State run game is really bad (#127)
Washington State Does Not Stuff Runs (#104)
Washington State has a bad red zone defense (#117)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UNT | WSU |
| OverallOver | #10 | #70 |
| OffenseOff | #27 | #88 |
| DefenseDef | #14 | #61 |
| Special TeamsST | #39 | #91 |
| PassingPass | #8 | #74 |
| RushingRush | #25 | #105 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #47 | #83 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #45 | #49 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #46 | #64 |
| TacklingTkl | #4 | #108 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #18 | #65 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #68 | #43 |
| Coverage DefCov | #14 | #79 |
(#59) North Texas Info
Power Rating: 7.24 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
North Texas has won 2 straight
North Texas has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated
North Texas is Undefeated at Home
North Texas is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Texas Deficiencies
Power Rating: 7.24 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
North Texas has won 2 straight
North Texas has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated
North Texas is Undefeated at Home
North Texas is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Texas Deficiencies
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Potter | 67 | 95 | 71% | 604 | 4 | 3 | 6.4 |
| Zevi Eckhaus | 7 | 10 | 70% | 72 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Vorhees (Tr) | 25 | 119 | 0 | 4.8 | 31 |
| Leo Pulalasi | 12 | 47 | 0 | 3.9 | 20 |
| Angel Johnson (Tr) | 23 | 32 | 0 | 1.4 | 12 |
| Jaxon Potter | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1.6 | 5 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Freeman | 16 | 154 | 0 | 9.6 | 23 |
| Josh Meredith | 12 | 125 | 1 | 10.4 | 34 |
| Carter Pabst | 4 | 99 | 0 | 24.8 | 43 |
| Jeremiah Noga (Tr) | 7 | 66 | 0 | 9.4 | 17 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Durrance (Tr) | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parker McKenna | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Francl (Tr) | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Colby Humphrey (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Terrell | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Max Baloun (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Francl (Tr) | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Buddha Peleti (Tr) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Large (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Hughes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kenny Worthy III | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | 66 | 94 | 70% | 764 | 9 | 0 | 8.1 |
| Reese Poffenbarger (Tr) | 5 | 7 | 71% | 36 | 0 | 0 | 5.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makenzie McGill | 31 | 170 | 3 | 5.5 | 27 |
| Jayden Becks (Tr) | 16 | 78 | 2 | 4.9 | 16 |
| Kiefer Sibley | 13 | 76 | 2 | 5.8 | 30 |
| Caleb Hawkins | 13 | 68 | 1 | 5.2 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Young | 10 | 160 | 2 | 16.0 | 46 |
| Cameron Dorner | 9 | 121 | 2 | 13.4 | 25 |
| Miles Coleman | 11 | 108 | 0 | 9.8 | 24 |
| Simeon Evans (Tr) | 7 | 90 | 0 | 12.9 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Whitter | 25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Trey Fields (Tr) | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Wesloski | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Day (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keviyan Huddleston (Tr) | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Day (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Zhaiylen Scott | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Joshua Pierce (Tr) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Hammonds | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryan Allen Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |