Western Michigan at Massachusetts Game Matchup
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium - Hadley, MA

 
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
WMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -2.5   (SP+ WMU -9)
Projected Score: WMU: 31 - UMASS: 28 (59)
WMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 667 miles
Minutemen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
 
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+7
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+34
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+13.5
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-6
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-2.5
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+8.5
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan+1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio+11
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+9.5
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan+5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Massachusetts vs Temple-1.50.0
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-1
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+36.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+37.5
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State-1.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+12.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+11
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+5.5
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+9
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+21
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)28.945% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)31.348% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)22.543% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)35.551% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1328.92245.2%4.11119371184187555%45%45%46%15%.24
UMASS Defense1235.532.246.3%4.660.8 - - - - - 60%39%51%40%14%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1331.334.449.1%4.381.6 - - - - - 56%44%48%51%18%.29
UMASS Offense1222.527.240.8%3.730.8203461641824.156%44%43%38%17%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1329:5819.535%59%4.139.211.64.21.5131.3
Massachusetts1232:1919.738%58%7.363.20.80.84.11.3125.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1355% (35)45% (59)36.8184.2528 (25).18 (43)3.05 (62)75% (53)10% (64)1.07 (33)
UMASS Defense1260% (133)51% (128) - - - - .25 (125)3.51 (131)87% (131)8% (113)0.95 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1356% (123)48% (115) - - - - .19 (105)3.18 (96)76% (84)10% (66)1.01 (81)
UMASS Offense1256% (27)43% (78)40.21644.118 (78).16 (53)3.1 (50)74% (62)11% (95)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1345% (100)46% (27)16.324.91877.511.518 (68)9 (48).32 (40)1.5 (98)28% (16)31% (71).27 (91)6% (59)1.9 (108)
UMASS Defense1239% (2)40% (71) - - - - - - 6 (109).29 (100)1.7 (112)28% (118)28% (29).27 (51)6% (72)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1344% (12)51% (132) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (127)1.5 (31)27% (125)33% (103).33 (81)8% (19)1.9 (39)
UMASS Offense1244% (109)38% (110)15.627.3181.86.711.714 (108)6 (10).23 (81)1.7 (22)33% (87)32% (57).34 (69)6% (80)2 (98)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -20.33 #127
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -20.33   Massachusetts: -19.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -14.8   Massachusetts: -23.9




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -19.84 #129
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 6.27 #115
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 27.05 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 3.4 - 8.6
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.9 #135
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #119
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #135

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 31
Massachusetts 28

Projected Total Points: 59
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201310/26Massachusetts30Western Michigan31Western MichiganUMass -2Western Michigan0
201210/06Western Michigan52Massachusetts14Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts000 Overs
Western Michigan210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#127) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.33 #127
Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116
Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Western Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND
Western Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Massachusetts
Power #127
#129
Off #111
#115
Def #131
#129
Talent #100
#116
SP+ #117
#135
SP+ Off #112
#119
SP+ Def #116
#135

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | UMASS
Depth Chart: WMU | UMASS
Rosters: WMU | UMASS
(#129) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -19.84 #129
Offense Rating: 6.27 #115
Defense Rating: 27.05 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.9 #135
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.2 #135
Talent Rating: 462.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 3.4 - 8.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Massachusetts Notes
(3/21) QB G. Jordan (Yale) or Rose (Utah)?
(3/21) RBs meh. Hester has exp. Campbell top rated
(3/21) WR rebuild. JAGs,not much size
(3/21) OL 5/5 back. Not bad, could be good TY
(3/21) Def near worst LY. 12 portals. Any ballers?
(3/21) New HC Harasymiak was 'Gers DC. Tough job
(3/21) New OC Bajakian all over, NFL, Utah, NW


  
Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry4850%21002.6
Ryan Millmore010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley12065785.561
Broc Lowry2212335.640
Palmer Domschke126026.026
Tre' Hartwell3401.34
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malique Dieudonne12209217.443
Tailique Williams (Tr)16165010.324
Jalen Buckley129808.224
Mareyohn Hrabowski339113.015

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Aaron Wofford642114
Tyson Lee263135
Rodney McGraw223110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Lee263135
Rodney McGraw223110
Popeye Williams192150
Aaron Wofford642114
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Tyson Lee263135
Aaron Wofford642114

Massachusetts's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grant Jordan (Tr)16625066%19382237.8
AJ Hairston407355%480506.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Grant Jordan (Tr)7736054.728
Brandon Campbell6123333.821
Jackson Paradis217013.313
Brandon Rose (Tr)116606.027
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ty Harding18303516.858
Jacquon Gibson23270111.739
Sterling Galban2521008.421
Brandon Campbell86708.424

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Jared Keyte
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gerrell Johnson743122
D.D. Snyder (Tr)552001
Te'Rai Powell522001
Derrieon Craig433011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Lebrun222200
Shambre Jackson122100
Malachi Madison (Tr)11100
Sahnai Swain-Price71100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lake Ellis293005
Gerrell Johnson743122
Jalen Harrell221002