Western Michigan at Massachusetts - 2025 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium - Hadley, MA

 
Broncos (0 - 3) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 12 - 31 (3 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
WMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -4   (SP+ WMU -12.5)

Projected Score: WMU: 25 - UMASS: 21 (46)
WMU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 667 miles
Minutemen (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (18 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#135)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+18.549.5L 6 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+12.056.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+27.550.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+14.051.5
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-6
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-4
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-7
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+7.5
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-6.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio+9
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+13.5
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan+2

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Temple+3.051.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.552.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+35.544.5L 7 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+50.5
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+4
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+6.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+7
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+14.5
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+20.5
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#134 (-.08)31% (132)1233% (123)2.48 (113)11928% (132)1221.31 (133)#105 (.21)48% (120)31.354% (130)43% (96)4.89 (119)550.30.7
UMASS#120 (.06)41% (92)14.335% (119)2.25 (124)7746% (50)1832.73 (121)#113 (.25)42% (87)38.738% (64)46% (106)4.24 (98)4510.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense312331.1%1.310.3132411191223.162%37%33%28%19%-.08
UMASS Defense338.734.542.5%4.240.7 - - - - - 40%59%38%46%9%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense331.330.548.4%4.890.7 - - - - - 51%48%54%43%14%.21
UMASS Offense314.31840.7%2.73116260771832.746%53%35%46%19%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan328:5513.335%17%6.7550.30.76.33126.5
Massachusetts330:0515.728%20%54510.72.71.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense362% (12)33% (123)38.3119.33.12 (109)-.04 (118)2.48 (113)58% (109)15% (129)1.09 (42)
UMASS Defense340% (9)38% (64) - - - - .1 (90)3.39 (126)75% (80)4% (134)0.81 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense351% (76)54% (130) - - - - .25 (117)3.32 (124)75% (80)10% (72)1.04 (88)
UMASS Offense346% (93)35% (119)2876.72.74 (79)-.04 (120)2.25 (124)60% (103)13% (121)1.14 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense337% (124)28% (132)1223.71225.210.21 (123)1 (23)-.11 (133)1.4 (92)39% (128)27% (101).19 (102)4% (51)1.9 (77)
UMASS Defense359% (126)46% (106) - - - - - - 2 (56).4 (115)1.6 (94)30% (103)25% (42).11 (33)4% (100)1.8 (46)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense348% (55)43% (96) - - - - - - 1 (87).2 (63)1.2 (17)28% (120)40% (125).44 (107)4% (108)1.5 (21)
UMASS Offense353% (48)46% (50)19.331.31835.89.50 (133)2 (60).22 (82)1.1 (133)34% (103)32% (67).32 (74)6% (96)2 (74)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -18.86   Massachusetts: -21.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -16.4   Massachusetts: -28.8




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -21.4 #127
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 25
Massachusetts 21


Total Points: 46

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.5

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201310/26Massachusetts30Western Michigan31Western MichiganUMass -2Western Michigan0
201210/06Western Michigan52Massachusetts14Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts000 Overs
Western Michigan210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#126) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 28%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 54%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Michigan has lost 5 straight
Western Michigan has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Western Michigan Notes
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND

Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)

Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan has a really bad Offense
Western Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#108)
Western Michigan offense is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#110)
Western Michigan offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#133)
Western Michigan run game is really bad (#123)
Western Michigan pass game is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUMASSWMU
OverallOver#91#111
OffenseOff#106#109
DefenseDef#69#109
Special TeamsST#87#42
PassingPass#96#110
RushingRush#101#83
Run BlockRBLK#85#108
Pass BlockPBLK#113#92
Route RunningWR Rt#88#101
TacklingTkl#4#84
Run DefenseR Def#42#112
Pass Rush DefPRush#21#55
Coverage DefCov#106#112

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | UMASS
Depth Chart: WMU | UMASS
Rosters: WMU | UMASS
(#127) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -21.4 #127
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.73 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Massachusetts has lost 4 straight
Massachusetts has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Massachusetts Notes
(9/9) Long list of injuries pre Iowa, check report
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
(8/30) Def could be bottom 10, allowed 6 TD passes
(3/21) QB G. Jordan (Yale) or Rose (Utah)?
(3/21) RBs meh. Hester has exp. Campbell top rated
(3/21) WR rebuild. JAGs,not much size
(3/21) OL 5/5 back. Not bad, could be good TY
(3/21) Def near worst LY. 12 portals. Any ballers?
(3/21) New HC Harasymiak was 'Gers DC. Tough job
(3/21) New OC Bajakian all over, NFL, Utah, NW

Massachusetts Highlights

Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts has a really bad Offense
Massachusetts has a really bad Offense at Home
Massachusetts Can Not Run the Ball (#126)
Massachusetts offense is not Explosive (#108)
Massachusetts Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#124)
Massachusetts offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#121)
Massachusetts run game is really bad (#119)
Massachusetts offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)


  
Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry203656%244106.8
Brady Jones163546%122013.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley4514603.226
Broc Lowry2312525.425
Devin Miles195602.98
Ofa Mataele84605.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Baylin Brooks (Tr)7114016.342
Tailique Williams (Tr)674012.335
Jalen Buckley65819.734
Blake Bosma64908.215

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock181000
Sefa Saipaia Jr.181100
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Micah Davis (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nadame Tucker (Tr)105310
Rodney McGraw83300
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Sefa Saipaia Jr.181100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin50002
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)152102
Kershawn Fisher (Tr)71022

Massachusetts's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brandon Rose (Tr)274461%217014.9
Grant Jordan (Tr)243863%248016.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rocko Griffin (Tr)3014214.741
Brandon Hood (Tr)164212.618
Jacquon Gibson31103.713
Grant Jordan (Tr)171020.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson24258010.850
Donnie Gray (Tr)587017.441
Tyree Kelly (Tr)552010.415
Max Dowling (Tr)54208.419

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Jared Keyte
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Derrieon Craig230001
Tyler Martin190001
Kendall Bournes151000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White64211
Tim Grant-Randall92111
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Donovan Dyson20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Magee (Tr)90002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Tyler Martin190001