North Texas at Western Michigan Game Matchup
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Waldo Stadium - Kalamazoo, MI

 
Mean Green (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: North Texas -7   (SP+ UNT -7.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 38 - WMU: 31 (64)
UNT Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UNT Travel: 889 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
North Texas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 North Texas vs Lamar-15.5
Sat 9/6 North Texas at Western Michigan-7
Sat 9/13 North Texas vs Washington State-4.5
Sat 9/20 North Texas at Army+7
Sat 9/27 North Texas vs South Alabama+2.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/10 North Texas vs South Florida+6
Sat 10/18 North Texas vs UTSA+6
Fri 10/24 North Texas at Charlotte-10
Sat 11/1 North Texas vs Navy+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 North Texas at UAB-4
Sat 11/22 North Texas at Rice-6.5
Sat 11/29 North Texas vs Temple-13

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+7
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+34
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+13.5
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-6
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-2.5
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+8.5
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan+1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio+11
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+9.5
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan+5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)33.540% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)34.247% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)28.945% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)31.348% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1333.534.842.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23
WMU Defense1331.327.249.1%4.381.6 - - - - - 56%44%48%51%18%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1334.24344.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
WMU Offense1328.939.845.2%4.11119371184187555%45%45%46%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Western Michigan1329:5819.535%59%4.139.211.64.21.5131.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)
WMU Defense1356% (123)48% (115) - - - - .19 (105)3.18 (96)76% (84)10% (66)1.01 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
WMU Offense1355% (35)45% (59)36.8184.2528 (25).18 (43)3.05 (62)75% (53)10% (64)1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)
WMU Defense1344% (12)51% (132) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (127)1.5 (31)27% (125)33% (103).33 (81)8% (19)1.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
WMU Offense1345% (100)46% (27)16.324.91877.511.518 (68)9 (48).32 (40)1.5 (98)28% (16)31% (71).27 (91)6% (59)1.9 (108)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -8.60 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
North Texas's Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -8.60   Western Michigan: -15.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2   Western Michigan: -14.8




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -15.065 #127
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43

North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 38
Western Michigan 31

Projected Total Points: 64
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan000 Overs
North Texas000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.60 #90
Offense Rating: 9.28 #98
Defense Rating: 17.88 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #37
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #127
Talent Rating: 592.00 #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


North Texas Notes
(3/23) QB Mestemaker/Poffenbarger(UM)/Jimerson(Fr)
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas     Ratings Matchup     Western Michigan
Power #90
#127
Off #98
#111
Def #87
#131
Talent #85
#100
SP+ #92
#117
SP+ Off #37
#112
SP+ Def #127
#116

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | WMU
Depth Chart: UNT | WMU
Rosters: UNT | WMU
(#127) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.065 #127
Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116
Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Western Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker304665%4622210.0
Reese Poffenbarger (Tr)6786%20002.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makenzie McGill78470106.075
Kiefer Sibley4420604.719
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Drew Mestemaker148716.270
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Evans (Tr)43474511.064
Miles Coleman36378210.549
Dalton Carnes29371212.834
Wyatt Young18295216.475

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Skyler Cassity
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Fields (Tr)726121
Ethan Wesloski575321
Quinton Hammonds522011
Shane Whitter492023
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Briceon Hayes (Tr)267532
Richard Outland155330
Ethan Wesloski575321
Fatafehi Vailea344320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Fisher (Tr)332006
Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr)262004
Taylor Starling202004

Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry4850%21002.6
Ryan Millmore010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley12065785.561
Broc Lowry2212335.640
Palmer Domschke126026.026
Tre' Hartwell3401.34
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malique Dieudonne12209217.443
Tailique Williams (Tr)16165010.324
Jalen Buckley129808.224
Mareyohn Hrabowski339113.015

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Aaron Wofford642114
Tyson Lee263135
Rodney McGraw223110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Lee263135
Rodney McGraw223110
Popeye Williams192150
Aaron Wofford642114
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Tyson Lee263135
Aaron Wofford642114