North Texas Mean Green at Western Michigan Broncos
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
North Texas -12.0 (56.0) (-370) Open: -10.0 | 60.0
North Texas 33 - Western Michigan: 30
Mean Green (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (33 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Coach Eric Morris (11 - 13)
Avg Score : 48 - 13 (33 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: North Texas -20 (SP+ UNT -17.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 39 - WMU: 19 (58)
UNT Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
UNT Travel: 889 miles, 1 hrs behind
Projected Score: UNT: 39 - WMU: 19 (58)
UNT Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
UNT Travel: 889 miles, 1 hrs behind
Broncos (0 - 3) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 12 - 31 (30 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 12 - 31 (30 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
| North Texas's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | North Texas vs Lamar | -27.5 | 63.5 | W 51 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Texas at Western Michigan | -12.0 | 56.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Texas vs Washington State | -6.5 | 57.5 | W 59 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Texas at Army | -1.5 | 52.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | North Texas vs South Alabama | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/10 | North Texas vs South Florida | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | North Texas vs UTSA | -7 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | North Texas at Charlotte | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | North Texas vs Navy | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | North Texas at UAB | -16.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | North Texas at Rice | -12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | North Texas vs Temple | -8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Western Michigan at Michigan State | +18.5 | 49.5 | L 6 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Western Michigan vs North Texas | +12.0 | 56.0 | L 30 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Western Michigan at Illinois | +27.5 | 50.5 | L 0 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Western Michigan vs Toledo | +14.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Western Michigan vs Rhode Island | -6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Western Michigan at Massachusetts | -4 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Western Michigan vs Ball State | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Western Michigan at Miami (OH) | +7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Western Michigan vs Central Michigan | -6.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/11 | Western Michigan vs Ohio | +9 | |||||
| Tue 11/18 | Western Michigan at Northern Illinois | +13.5 | |||||
| Tue 11/25 | Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan | +2 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | #18 (.4) | 46% (49) | 47.7 | 50% (40) | 3.45 (28) | 159 | 45% (57) | 267 | 5.7 (6) | #14 (-.06) | 33% (26) | 13.3 | 35% (35) | 30% (19) | 2.25 (23) | 48.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| WMU | #134 (-.08) | 31% (132) | 12 | 33% (123) | 2.48 (113) | 119 | 28% (132) | 122 | 1.31 (133) | #105 (.21) | 48% (120) | 31.3 | 54% (130) | 43% (96) | 4.89 (119) | 55 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | #45 (.23) | 42% (70) | 40% (109) | 2.75 (111) | 153 | 44% (39) | 298 | 3.91 (69) | #98 (.22) | 44% (98) | 47% (106) | 42% (79) | 4.03 (93) | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | ||
| WMU | #43 (.24) | 45% (33) | 45% (59) | 3.05 (62) | 184 | 46% (27) | 187 | 4.11 (49) | #122 (.29) | 49% (128) | 48% (115) | 51% (132) | 4.38 (119) | 39.2 | 1 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 3 | 47.7 | 33 | 46.5% | 5.7 | 0.3 | 24 | 426 | 159 | 267 | 4.8 | 41% | 57% | 50% | 45% | 12% | .4 |
| WMU Defense | 3 | 31.3 | 33 | 48.4% | 4.89 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 54% | 43% | 14% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 3 | 13.3 | 30 | 33.1% | 2.25 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 64% | 36% | 35% | 30% | 15% | -.06 |
| WMU Offense | 3 | 12 | 30 | 31.1% | 1.31 | 0.3 | 13 | 241 | 119 | 122 | 3.1 | 62% | 37% | 33% | 28% | 19% | -.08 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 3 | 28:27 | 24.3 | 50% | 67% | 5.3 | 48.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 39.1 |
| Western Michigan | 3 | 28:55 | 13.3 | 35% | 17% | 6.7 | 55 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 3 | 1 | 26.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 3 | 41% (121) | 50% (40) | 33.3 | 159.3 | 4.8 | 9 (17) | .42 (9) | 3.45 (28) | 57% (114) | 8% (56) | 1.28 (20) |
| WMU Defense | 3 | 51% (76) | 54% (130) | - | - | - | - | .25 (117) | 3.32 (124) | 75% (80) | 10% (72) | 1.04 (88) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 3 | 64% (130) | 35% (35) | - | - | - | - | -.01 (44) | 2.44 (38) | 73% (75) | 11% (48) | 1.01 (82) |
| WMU Offense | 3 | 62% (12) | 33% (123) | 38.3 | 119.3 | 3.1 | 2 (109) | -.04 (118) | 2.48 (113) | 58% (109) | 15% (129) | 1.09 (42) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 3 | 57% (20) | 45% (57) | 23.7 | 33.7 | 266.7 | 7.9 | 11.3 | 9 (13) | 0 (1) | .42 (40) | 1.6 (61) | 24% (18) | 46% (12) | .8 (10) | 4% (45) | 1.9 (88) |
| WMU Defense | 3 | 48% (55) | 43% (96) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .2 (63) | 1.2 (17) | 28% (120) | 40% (125) | .44 (107) | 4% (108) | 1.5 (21) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 3 | 36% (7) | 30% (19) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | -.13 (12) | 1.4 (34) | 37% (29) | 30% (77) | .19 (55) | 3% (118) | 1.7 (39) |
| WMU Offense | 3 | 37% (124) | 28% (132) | 12 | 23.7 | 122 | 5.2 | 10.2 | 1 (123) | 1 (23) | -.11 (133) | 1.4 (92) | 39% (128) | 27% (101) | .19 (102) | 4% (51) | 1.9 (77) |
North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 8.28 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
North Texas's Power Rating: 8.28 #59
North Texas's Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
North Texas's Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
North Texas's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
North Texas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 8.28 Western Michigan: -15.13
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 1.2 Western Michigan: -16.4
North Texas: 8.28 Western Michigan: -15.13
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: 1.2 Western Michigan: -16.4
Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -15.13 #126
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -15.13 #126
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30
North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 47.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30
North Texas's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 39
Western Michigan 19
Total Points: 58
North Texas 39
Western Michigan 19
Total Points: 58
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33
Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33
Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Western Michigan | 30 | North Texas | 33 | North Texas | North Texas -12.0 | Western Michigan | 56.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 0 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| North Texas | 1 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 0 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
(#59) North Texas Info
Power Rating: 8.28 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
North Texas has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Texas Deficiencies
Power Rating: 8.28 #59
Offense Rating: 13.27 #66
Defense Rating: 4.99 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #66
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #101
Talent Rating: 618.00 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.7 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
North Texas has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
North Texas Notes
(9/15) Mestemaker, Off has been great, WR deep
(8/18) QB1 rFr. Drew Mestemaker has won the job
(7/23) Sleeper, took SHSU Def best in the portal
(7/23) QB Poffenbarger big time @ FCS Albany '23-'24
(3/23) RB rebuild, McGill/Sibley? 3 Portal adds
(3/23) WR rebuild, have 5 exp options. Evans (SHSU)
(3/23) Def bad LY, 9 DL, 7 DB portal adds, new DC
(3/23) New DC Cassity was SHSU DC, Alb Chr before
(3/22) 8 portals from SHSU (4 starters) with DC
North Texas Highlights
North Texas in Undefeated
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas offense is good on 3rd downs
North Texas has a really good defense (#26)
North Texas defense is really good in red zone (#23)
North Texas has a good pass defense (#19)
North Texas has a great TO Margin (#11)
North Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
North Texas Deficiencies
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WMU | UNT |
| OverallOver | #111 | #10 |
| OffenseOff | #109 | #27 |
| DefenseDef | #109 | #14 |
| Special TeamsST | #42 | #39 |
| PassingPass | #110 | #8 |
| RushingRush | #83 | #25 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #108 | #47 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #92 | #45 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #101 | #46 |
| TacklingTkl | #84 | #4 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #112 | #18 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #55 | #68 |
| Coverage DefCov | #112 | #14 |
(#126) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -15.13 #126
Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 28%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 54%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Michigan has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Western Michigan Notes
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND
Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Western Michigan is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Western Michigan Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan has a really bad Offense
Western Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#108)
Western Michigan offense is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#110)
Western Michigan offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#133)
Western Michigan run game is really bad (#123)
Western Michigan pass game is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)
Power Rating: -15.13 #126
Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 28%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 54%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Western Michigan has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Western Michigan Notes
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND
Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Western Michigan is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Western Michigan Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan has a really bad Offense
Western Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#108)
Western Michigan offense is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#110)
Western Michigan offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#133)
Western Michigan run game is really bad (#123)
Western Michigan pass game is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mestemaker | 66 | 94 | 70% | 764 | 9 | 0 | 8.1 |
| Reese Poffenbarger (Tr) | 5 | 7 | 71% | 36 | 0 | 0 | 5.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makenzie McGill | 31 | 170 | 3 | 5.5 | 27 |
| Jayden Becks (Tr) | 16 | 78 | 2 | 4.9 | 16 |
| Kiefer Sibley | 13 | 76 | 2 | 5.8 | 30 |
| Caleb Hawkins | 13 | 68 | 1 | 5.2 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Young | 10 | 160 | 2 | 16.0 | 46 |
| Cameron Dorner | 9 | 121 | 2 | 13.4 | 25 |
| Miles Coleman | 11 | 108 | 0 | 9.8 | 24 |
| Simeon Evans (Tr) | 7 | 90 | 0 | 12.9 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Whitter | 25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Trey Fields (Tr) | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Wesloski | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Day (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keviyan Huddleston (Tr) | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Day (Tr) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Zhaiylen Scott | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Joshua Pierce (Tr) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Hammonds | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bryan Allen Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Veawn Armstead (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broc Lowry | 20 | 36 | 56% | 244 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Brady Jones | 16 | 35 | 46% | 122 | 0 | 1 | 3.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Buckley | 45 | 146 | 0 | 3.2 | 26 |
| Broc Lowry | 23 | 125 | 2 | 5.4 | 25 |
| Devin Miles | 19 | 56 | 0 | 2.9 | 8 |
| Ofa Mataele | 8 | 46 | 0 | 5.8 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylin Brooks (Tr) | 7 | 114 | 0 | 16.3 | 42 |
| Tailique Williams (Tr) | 6 | 74 | 0 | 12.3 | 35 |
| Jalen Buckley | 6 | 58 | 1 | 9.7 | 34 |
| Blake Bosma | 6 | 49 | 0 | 8.2 | 15 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Hallock | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sefa Saipaia Jr. | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarvarius Sims (Tr) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Micah Davis (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadame Tucker (Tr) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Rodney McGraw | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarvarius Sims (Tr) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sefa Saipaia Jr. | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Franklin | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jarvarius Sims (Tr) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Kershawn Fisher (Tr) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |