Temple at Tulsa - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Temple -4.5 (52.5) (-198) Open: -6.0
Temple 38 - Tulsa: 37 (American Athletic)

Owls (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 30 (32 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

TEM 2nd straight Road Game
TEM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tulsa -4.5 (SP+ TEM -5.5)
Projected Score: TEM: 25 - TLSA: 29 (54)
TEM Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TEM Travel: 1157 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
TEM Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Temple's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Temple at Massachusetts	-3.0	51.5	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Temple vs Howard	-28.0	47.0	W 55 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Temple vs Oklahoma	+23.5	50.5	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/20	Temple at Georgia Tech	+24.5	52.5	L 24 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Temple vs UTSA	+6.5	58.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Temple vs Navy	+10.0	52.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Temple at Charlotte	-10.0	47.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Temple at Tulsa	-4.5	52.5	W 38 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/1	Temple vs East Carolina	+5.5	58.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/8	Temple at Army	+7.5	45.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Temple vs Tulane	+7.5	54.5	L 13 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/28	Temple at North Texas	+20.0	65.5	L 25 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Temple's Schedule

Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tulsa vs Abilene Christian	-5.0	59.5	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Tulsa at New Mexico State	-3.0	52.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/13	Tulsa vs Navy	+14.0	52.5	L 23 - 42	O	N
Fri 9/19	Tulsa at Oklahoma State	+10.5	54.5	W 19 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Tulsa vs Tulane	+14.5	52.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/4	Tulsa at Memphis	+21.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16	Tulsa at East Carolina	+16.5	54.5	L 27 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Tulsa vs Temple	+4.5	52.5	L 37 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+4.5	60.5	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/15	Tulsa vs Oregon State	-1.5	50.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Tulsa at Army	+10.0	43.5	W 26 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Tulsa vs UAB	-9.0	56.5	L 24 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEM	#47 (.2)	44% (46)	27.8	44% (62)	2.8 (99)	148	45% (35)	198	4.58 (15)	#131 (.28)	46% (125)	29.7	49% (130)	43% (87)	4.77 (136)	50.3	0.3	1.3
TLSA	#104 (.11)	40% (97)	23.2	42% (86)	2.87 (81)	176	38% (104)	223	3.34 (104)	#61 (.15)	43% (82)	28.9	42% (64)	44% (99)	3.78 (77)	38.2	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEM	#128 (.04)	32% (132)		32% (133)	2.58 (127)	93	33% (127)	216	3.57 (97)	#100 (.23)	41% (63)		43% (67)	40% (63)	4.18 (106)	45.1	2	1.3
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)		35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)		38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEM Offense	12	27.8	31.8	44.4%	4.58	0.3	18	345	148	198	4.5	50%	49%	44%	45%	14%	.2
TLSA Defense	12	28.9	27.2	42.5%	3.78	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	42%	44%	13%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEM Defense	12	29.7	28.7	46.3%	4.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	49%	43%	15%	.28
TLSA Offense	12	23.2	27.3	40.4%	3.34	1.6	22	399	176	223	4.4	51%	47%	42%	38%	17%	.11

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Temple	12	30:08	18.3	38%	74%	5	50.3	0.3	1.3	4.6	1.3	1	28.2
Tulsa	12	28:33	22.2	38%	57%	5.1	38.2	1.6	0.9	5.3	1.9	0	27.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEM Offense	12	50% (64)	44% (62)	33.2	147.8	4.5	13 (78)	.09 (83)	2.8 (99)	60% (130)	9% (69)	0.86 (116)
TLSA Defense	12	56% (127)	42% (64)	-	-	-	-	.06 (48)	2.92 (76)	67% (36)	9% (99)	0.94 (58)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEM Defense	12	57% (130)	49% (130)	-	-	-	-	.22 (128)	3.37 (133)	74% (90)	9% (83)	0.97 (74)
TLSA Offense	12	51% (57)	42% (86)	40.4	176	4.4	18 (107)	.05 (102)	2.87 (81)	60% (127)	11% (112)	1.03 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEM Offense	12	49% (70)	45% (35)	17.9	29	197.5	6.8	11	28 (8)	2 (1)	.35 (37)	1.5 (87)	31% (66)	27% (99)	.2 (105)	5% (33)	1.8 (127)
TLSA Defense	12	43% (14)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (55)	.28 (86)	1.5 (53)	29% (115)	31% (91)	.28 (67)	4% (131)	1.8 (15)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEM Defense	12	42% (6)	43% (87)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (38)	.39 (122)	1.7 (115)	28% (127)	33% (112)	.42 (119)	6% (81)	1.8 (18)
TLSA Offense	12	47% (82)	38% (104)	20.1	34.1	222.5	6.5	11.1	15 (86)	10 (108)	.15 (114)	1.5 (104)	32% (79)	28% (88)	.26 (88)	6% (78)	1.9 (105)

Temple's Power Ratings
Temple's Power Rating: -15.14 #129
Temple's Offense Rating: 10.76 #60
Temple's Defense Rating: 25.90 #136
2025 Talent Rating: 522.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Temple's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Temple's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.8 #91
Temple's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #68
Temple's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Temple: -15.14 Tulsa: -5.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Temple: -5.8 Tulsa: -11.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -5.955 #90
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 2.30 #113
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 8.01 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #110
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #108
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Temple Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Temple's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tulsa 29
Temple 25

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Temple 33
Tulsa 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Temple 29
Tulsa 28

Total Points: 57

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Tulsa	37	Temple	38	Temple -4.5	Tulsa	52.5	Over
2024	10/19	Temple	20	Tulsa	10	Temple -3.5	Temple	51.5	Under
2023	09/28	Tulsa	48	Temple	26	Tulsa -3	Tulsa	56.0	Over
2022	10/21	Temple	16	Tulsa	27	Tulsa -13.5	Temple	53.5	Under
2021	11/20	Tulsa	44	Temple	10	Tulsa -22	Tulsa	50.5	Over
2018	09/20	Temple	31	Tulsa	17	Temple -6.5	Temple	54.0	Under
2017	11/25	Tulsa	22	Temple	43	Temple -4.5	Temple	56.5	Over
2014	10/11	Temple	35	Tulsa	24	Temple -13	Tulsa	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	3	4	4 Overs
Temple	5	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	6 - 2	4 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 5	2 - 6	1 - 2	1 - 4

(#129) TEM at (#90) TLSA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEM	TLSA
Power RatePwr	#129	#90
SP+SP+	#91	#110
Perf GradeGrade	#56	#57
OffenseOff	#31	#99
DefenseDef	#104	#16
Spec TeamsST	#97	#71
TalentTal	#114	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Temple Notes(10/20) QB Evan Simon has 16 TDs and 0 INTs thru 7 games!
(10/19) Only losses to Navy & paycheck games, Off been good
(10/12) Box score W in Navy L, OG'd mids by 120 yds. Oof
(10/12) Fringe bowl team, incredible job by staff
(9/24) Keeler looks like a HC that plays to cover
(8/30) Blasted UMass, Off good, QB Simon 6 TDs!
(7/13) QB1? Chiccitt (RMU), Simon, McCoy (Tx St)
(3/24) HC Keeler incredible hire for Temple
(3/24) RB bad LY, Ducker (SHSU) added, Smith exp'd
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. Jones/Adams some exp
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, 2 more w/ exp. Need better
(3/24) Def awful LY, 8 portal adds. New DC
Temple Injury Report

Tulsa Notes(11/22) Great fight & finish beating Oregon St & Army
(9/19) Physically dominating Ok St up front both sides
(9/19) Aggressive 4th down Off, QB2 Hayes can play
(9/19) Big program win over OK St. Lamb great job
(9/19) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs OK St (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa Injury Report

Temple on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	TLSA Def
Perf GradePerf	#31	#16
SuccessSuc	#46	#82
ExplosiveExp	#111	#41
PPAPPA	#47	#61
PowerPwr	#60	#69
SP+SP+	#68	#107
Pts POPPO	#15	#77
HavocHav	#53	#121

Temple Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#64	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#62	#64
Run ExplRExp	#116	#58
PPAExp	#83	#48
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	#99	#76
Stuff RateStuff	#88	#79
TackleTak	-	#4

Temple Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#38	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#99
Pass ExplPExl	#87	#53
PPAExp	#37	#86
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#47	#37
F7 HavocF7	#69	#99
DB HavocDB	#33	#131

Tulsa on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	TEM Def
Perf GradePerf	#99	#104
SuccessSuc	#97	#125
ExplosiveExp	#60	#69
PPAPPA	#104	#131
PowerPwr	#113	#136
SP+SP+	#108	#110
Pts POPPO	#104	#136
HavocHav	#104	#94

Tulsa Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	TEM Def
Run GameRun	#37	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#130
Run ExplRExp	#47	#74
PPAExp	#102	#128
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#133
Stuff RateStuff	#125	#131
TackleTak	-	#77

Tulsa Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	TEM Def
Pass GamePass	#112	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	#104	#87
Pass ExplPExl	#104	#115
PPAExp	#114	#122
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#103	#81
F7 HavocF7	#112	#83
DB HavocDB	#78	#81

Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

TEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 60° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Temple 4.5 (52.5)
Temple won at Tulsa this year (38-37)

Previous Matchups
Temple beat Tulsa last year (20-10)
Tulsa beat Temple in 2023 (48-26)
Tulsa beat Temple in 2022 (27-16)

TEM's OC Tyler Walker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Simon	190	314	61%	2098	25	2	6.7
Gevani McCoy (Tr)	24	33	73%	256	2	0	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevyon Ducker	157	809	7	5.2	55
Hunter Smith (Tr)	62	403	2	6.5	72
Evan Simon	75	191	2	2.5	34
Keveun Mason	28	167	1	6.0	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jovanni Bermudez	39	501	4	12.8	38
Kajiya Hollawayne	39	489	6	12.5	46
Peter Clarke	30	483	6	16.1	50
Colin Chase (Tr)	40	414	4	10.4	42

View Temple's Full Roster

TEM's DC Brian Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Curly Ordonez	69	8	1	1	3
Avery Powell (Tr)	54	1	0	0	1
Jaylen Castleberry (Tr)	45	1	0	0	7
Eric Stuart	44	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam'Ron Stewart	32	11	5	4	1
Sekou Kromah	14	5	3	0	1
Curly Ordonez	69	8	1	1	3
Tyrese Whitaker	11	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Castleberry (Tr)	45	1	0	0	7
Ben Osueke	30	0	0	0	7
Curly Ordonez	69	8	1	1	3

TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)	186	316	59%	2159	12	6	6.8
Kirk Francis	53	88	60%	493	3	4	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)	212	1065	5	5.0	57
Ajay Allen (Tr)	97	497	5	5.1	40
Braylin Presley	32	215	1	6.7	28
Baylor Hayes (Tr)	95	188	3	2.0	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brody Foley (Tr)	36	521	7	14.5	72
Zion Booker (Tr)	46	418	2	9.1	40
Grayson Tempest	22	272	1	12.4	51
Zion Steptoe	21	272	0	13.0	42

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ray Coney (Tr)	128	7	2	4	2
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)	79	2	0	0	4
Zach Williams	73	1	0	0	7
William Alexander	66	1	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)	28	10	7	1	1
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)	14	7	5	1	1
Ty Cooper (Tr)	25	7	3	1	1
Nahki Johnson (Tr)	27	7	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Zach Williams	73	1	7
Elijah Green	59	2	7
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)	79	2	4