Purdue vs Northwestern Game Matchup
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers vs Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
L&S Martin Stadium (Temp) - Evanston, IL  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#135)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
PUR 2nd straight Road Game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northwestern -10.5   (SP+ NW -4)
Projected Score: PUR: 20 - NW: 31 (50)
NW Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
PUR Travel: 120 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#124)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Purdue vs Ball State-16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-11
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+21
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+40.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+24
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+24.5
Sat 10/18 Purdue vs Northwestern+13
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers+16.5
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+36.5
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+41.5
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Purdue vs Indiana+22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Northwestern at Tulane+7.00.0
Sat 9/6 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-21.5
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+26.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA+2.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-15.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+33.5
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-13
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+16.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Northwestern at USC+15.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+21
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota+9
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+18.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)15.842% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)39.949% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)17.839% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)26.344% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1215.815.540.8%3.341.615299116184446%53%42%40%22%.11
NW Defense1226.326.345%3.741.3 - - - - - 47%53%44%46%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1239.945.849.3%4.820.4 - - - - - 53%47%49%50%12%.39
NW Offense1217.817.837.1%3.021.516285991863.445%54%39%36%19%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1226:5014.631%28%5.551.81.60.45.21.8026.8
Northwestern1229:491633%50%4.838.81.51.34.81.9328
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1246% (94)42% (90)28.8115.549 (125).04 (108)3.04 (65)59% (126)14% (128)0.8 (130)
NW Defense1247% (26)44% (80) - - - - .07 (42)2.99 (63)69% (47)8% (107)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1253% (96)49% (120) - - - - .32 (134)3.39 (120)76% (79)8% (109)1.15 (124)
NW Offense1245% (106)39% (113)29.398.63.412 (114).07 (102)2.63 (124)66% (112)11% (98)1.1 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1253% (40)40% (93)15.827.4183.96.711.713 (116)9 (48).16 (103)1.5 (92)32% (78)31% (72).49 (14)8% (118)2.1 (29)
NW Defense1253% (110)46% (117) - - - - - - 10 (66).25 (77)1.4 (13)27% (128)35% (116).28 (55)7% (33)1.8 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1247% (40)50% (129) - - - - - - 4 (125).48 (130)1.6 (88)28% (115)41% (134).63 (134)4% (125)2.1 (90)
NW Offense1254% (31)36% (116)17.632.7186.15.710.67 (130)11 (72).02 (132)1.3 (134)35% (119)31% (79).2 (109)8% (121)1.8 (119)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -14.91 #105
Purdue's Offense Rating: 7.84 #106
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.75 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -14.91   Northwestern: -2.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -10.0   Northwestern: -6.1




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -2.035 #60
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.09 #87
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 9.06 #32
2025 Talent Rating: 826.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #87
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #129
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 31
Purdue 20

Projected Total Points: 50
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Purdue20Northwestern26NorthwesternPurdue -3Northwestern44.5Over
202311/18Northwestern23Purdue15NorthwesternNorthwestern -2.5Northwestern47.5Under
202211/19Purdue17Northwestern9PurduePurdue -17.5Northwestern44.5Under
202111/20Northwestern14Purdue32PurduePurdue -11Purdue47.5Under
202011/14Purdue20Northwestern27NorthwesternNorthwestern -3.5Northwestern48.5Under
201911/09Northwestern22Purdue24PurduePurdue -0.0Purdue38.5Over
201808/30Purdue27Northwestern31NorthwesternPurdue -1Northwestern52.5Over
201711/11Northwestern23Purdue13NorthwesternNorthwestern -6Northwestern49.5Under
201611/12Purdue17Northwestern45NorthwesternNorthwestern -10.5Northwestern58.0Over
201511/14Northwestern21Purdue14NorthwesternNorthwestern -13Purdue48.0Under
201411/22Purdue14Northwestern38NorthwesternNorthwestern -2Northwestern0
201010/09Northwestern17Purdue20Purdue
200910/03Purdue21Northwestern27Northwestern
200810/18Northwestern48Purdue26Northwestern
200710/27Purdue35Northwestern17Purdue
200610/14Northwestern10Purdue31Purdue
200510/15Purdue29Northwestern34Northwestern
200410/30Northwestern13Purdue10Northwestern
200311/01Purdue34Northwestern14Purdue
200210/26Northwestern13Purdue42Purdue
200110/27Purdue32Northwestern27Purdue
200010/13Northwestern28Purdue41Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1284 Overs
Purdue1036 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 132 - 92 - 50 - 4
Road Teams13 - 99 - 24 - 05 - 2

(#105) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.91 #105
Offense Rating: 7.84 #106
Defense Rating: 22.75 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #90
Talent Rating: 740.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Purdue Notes
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(5/7) QB Ryan Browne (NC) starter out of spring
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
(3/20) Def awful LY, 11 portals. New DC (UNLV)
(3/20) New OC Henson was USC's OC past 2 yrs
(3/20) New DC Scherer from UNLV w/ Odom
(3/20) Odom is a great HC, but this is a rough job
Purdue     Ratings Matchup     Northwestern
Power #105
#60
Off #106
#87
Def #107
#32
Talent #61
#40
SP+ #101
#87
SP+ Off #110
#129
SP+ Def #90
#39

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Purdue last year (26-20)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2023 (23-15)
Purdue beat Northwestern in 2022 (17-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PUR | NW
Depth Chart: PUR | NW
Rosters: PUR | NW
(#60) Northwestern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.035 #60
Offense Rating: 11.09 #87
Defense Rating: 9.06 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #87
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.7 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #39
Talent Rating: 826.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Northwestern Notes
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
(5/21) WR complete rebuild. Depth looks meh, huge ?
(5/21) OL 3/5 back, awful LY. 3 portals, OT Tiernan great
(4/4) RB Porter back, some depth. Run game awful LY
(4/4) Def good LY, returns a lot. 3 portal adds
(4/4) HC Braun dropped from 8 to 4 wins in year 2
(3/22) QB likely Stone (SMU), Lausch started LY


  
Purdue's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)437657%532427.0
Malachi Singleton (Tr)212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee13868745.063
Malachi Thomas (Tr)4316513.820
Ryan Browne (Tr)5015503.123
Jaheim Merriweather157715.135
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Smith (Tr)12179214.938
Devin Mockobee17170110.021
De'Nylon Morrissette1110629.619
Chauncey Magwood (Tr)5102020.434

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Hershey McLaurin (Tr)508113
Chad Brown (Tr)475006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Nunnally5512640
Breylon Charles (Tr)296531
Mani Powell (Tr)589440
Ian Jeffries (Tr)215450
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chad Brown (Tr)475006
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104

Northwestern's OC Zach Lujan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Lausch15929654%1714785.8
Preston Stone (Tr)305159%421518.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Porter12650164.044
Joseph Himon II5225724.951
Jack Lausch8721322.429
Caleb Komolafe5013902.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)6410401016.360
Cam Porter2317407.628
Frank Covey IV109809.827
Joseph Himon II159616.422

View Northwestern's Full Roster
Northwestern's DC Tim McGarigle
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Uihlein844201
Yanni Karlaftis (Tr)572121
Robert Fitzgerald461100
Damon Walters424002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard337671
Anto Saka155440
Michael Kilbane203300
Mac Uihlein844201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell391005
Fred Davis II (Tr)173004
Evan Smith282003