Purdue at Northwestern - 2025 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Northwestern Wildcats  Northwestern logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (3:00 PM EDT)
Northwestern -3 (47.5) (-162)  Open: -3.0
Northwestern 19 - Purdue: 0  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
PUR 2nd straight Road Game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northwestern -16  (SP+ NW -12)

Projected Score: PUR: 15 - NW: 31 (47)
NW Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
PUR Travel: 120 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach David Braun (12 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Purdue vs Ball State-16.550.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-19.552.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+20.559.5L 17 - 33UY
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+24.551.5L 30 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+7.555.5L 27 - 43ON
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+7.549.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/18 Purdue at Northwestern+3.047.5L 0 - 19UN
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers-2.560.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+21.048.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+29.549.5L 10 - 34UY
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+14.551.5L 13 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Purdue vs Indiana+28.553.5L 3 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Northwestern's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Tulane+6.547.5L 3 - 23UN
Fri 9/5 Northwestern vs Western Illinois-30.548.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Oregon+25.550.5L 14 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Northwestern vs UCLA-6.045.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs UL Monroe-12.543.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Penn State+20.546.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 10/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-3.047.5W 19 - 0UY
Sat 10/25 Northwestern at Nebraska+7.544.5L 21 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/7 Northwestern at USC+14.554.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan+10.041.5L 22 - 24OY
Sat 11/22 Northwestern vs Minnesota-4.041.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/29 Northwestern at Illinois+7.044.5L 13 - 20UY
Fri 12/26 Northwestern vs Central Michigan-13.543.5W 34 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)18.842% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)31.849% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)23.439% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)19.844% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1218.815.840.8%3.341.615299116184446%53%42%40%22%.11
NW Defense1219.812.445%3.741.3 - - - - - 47%53%44%46%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1231.834.449.3%4.820.4 - - - - - 53%47%49%50%12%.39
NW Offense1223.426.837.1%3.021.516285991863.445%54%39%36%19%.02

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1226:5014.631%28%5.551.81.60.45.21.8026.8
Northwestern1229:491633%50%4.838.81.51.34.81.9328
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1246% (94)42% (90)28.8115.549 (125).04 (108)3.04 (65)59% (126)14% (128)0.8 (130)
NW Defense1247% (26)44% (80) - - - - .07 (42)2.99 (63)69% (47)8% (107)0.86 (15)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1253% (96)49% (120) - - - - .32 (134)3.39 (120)76% (79)8% (109)1.15 (124)
NW Offense1245% (106)39% (113)29.398.63.412 (114).07 (102)2.63 (124)66% (112)11% (98)1.1 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1253% (40)40% (93)15.827.4183.96.711.713 (116)9 (48).16 (103)1.5 (92)32% (78)31% (72).49 (14)8% (118)2.1 (29)
NW Defense1253% (110)46% (117) - - - - - - 10 (66).25 (77)1.4 (13)27% (128)35% (116).28 (55)7% (33)1.8 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1247% (40)50% (129) - - - - - - 4 (125).48 (130)1.6 (88)28% (115)41% (134).63 (134)4% (125)2.1 (90)
NW Offense1254% (31)36% (116)17.632.7186.15.710.67 (130)11 (72).02 (132)1.3 (134)35% (119)31% (79).2 (109)8% (121)1.8 (119)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -12.65  #112
Purdue's Offense Rating: 7.37  #107
Purdue's Defense Rating: 20.02  #108
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00  #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9  #104
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #90

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -12.65   Northwestern: 6.415

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -6.1   Northwestern: 5.8




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 6.415  #56
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 12.77  #70
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 10.74  #50
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Northwestern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Northwestern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.8  #51
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 31
Purdue 15


Projected Total Points: 47
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Northwestern19Purdue0Northwestern -3Northwestern47.5Under
202411/02Purdue20Northwestern26Purdue -3Northwestern44.5Over
202311/18Northwestern23Purdue15Northwestern -2.5Northwestern47.5Under
202211/19Purdue17Northwestern9Purdue -17.5Northwestern44.5Under
202111/20Northwestern14Purdue32Purdue -11Purdue47.5Under
202011/14Purdue20Northwestern27Northwestern -3.5Northwestern48.5Under
201911/09Northwestern22Purdue24Purdue -0.0Purdue38.5Over
201808/30Purdue27Northwestern31Purdue -1Northwestern52.5Over
201711/11Northwestern23Purdue13Northwestern -6Northwestern49.5Under
201611/12Purdue17Northwestern45Northwestern -10.5Northwestern58.0Over
201511/14Northwestern21Purdue14Northwestern -13Purdue48.0Under
201411/22Purdue14Northwestern38Northwestern -2Northwestern0
201010/09Northwestern17Purdue20
200910/03Purdue21Northwestern27
200810/18Northwestern48Purdue26
200710/27Purdue35Northwestern17
200610/14Northwestern10Purdue31
200510/15Purdue29Northwestern34
200410/30Northwestern13Purdue10
200311/01Purdue34Northwestern14
200210/26Northwestern13Purdue42
200110/27Purdue32Northwestern27
200010/13Northwestern28Purdue41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1394 Overs
Purdue1037 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 93 - 50 - 4
Road Teams13 - 109 - 34 - 05 - 3

(#112) PUR at (#56) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #112 #56
SP+SP+ #90 #51
Perf GradeGrade #125 #44
OffenseOff #112 #31
DefenseDef #134 #73
Spec TeamsST #6 #97
TalentTal #65 #41
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #65
Purdue Notes
(12/18) DC Mike Scherer fired after one season
(11/28) Lost 10 straight to finish, only 3 one score games. Woof
(11/5) 0-17 vs P4 since 2024, 3 of last 4 by one score
(11/3) RB1 Devin Mockobee out for season (ankle)
(10/24) QB R. Browne doubtful vs Rutgers, Singleton meh
(9/22) Punter McAllister is a weapon, one of CFB best
(9/21) Off is fiesty, QB Brown is good. Def outmatched
(8/30) Brown torched Ball St 300+, Run Off awful
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
Purdue Injury Report
Northwestern Notes
(11/22) Braun gets NW back to bowl. Great job & rebound
(11/16) Lost 3 straight but competitive in most. Improving
(10/19) Have now won 4 straight, 3 in B1G play. Improving
(10/19) Def shut out Purdue, Run Off great, Run Def good
(10/19) QB Stone has been JAG- though, must game control
(9/14) Good fight w/ Ducks but Off has zero expl
(9/9) Top RB Cam Porter out for the season, ouch
(8/30) Stone 4 Int vs Tulane, Run Off & Run Def awful
(7/23) QB is Stone (SMU), no depth, Lausch retired
(5/21) Can WR Wilde (FCS SDSU) bring hope?
(5/21) DL is light, but has exp and some pass rush
(5/21) CBs exp'd but avg, Safeties are good though
Northwestern Injury Report
Purdue on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
PUR OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112 #73
SuccessSuc #96 #106
ExplosiveExp #117 #16
PPAPPA #112 #57
PowerPwr #107 #50
SP+SP+ #104 #30
Pts POPPO #115 #64
HavocHav #131 #77
Purdue Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
PUR OffNW Def
Run GameRun #103 #94
Run SuccessRSuc #90 #80
Run ExplRExp #130 #15
PPAExp #108 #42
Run BlockR Blk #110 -
OL YdsOLY #65 #63
Stuff RateStuff #97 #40
TackleTak -  #100
Purdue Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
PUR OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #76 #83
Pass SuccessPSuc #93 #117
Pass ExplPExl #92 #13
PPAExp #103 #77
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #109 #39
F7 HavocF7 #128 #107
DB HavocDB #118 #33
Northwestern on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatNW OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #31 #134
SuccessSuc #123 #129
ExplosiveExp #101 #112
PPAPPA #129 #134
PowerPwr #70 #108
SP+SP+ #90 #90
Pts POPPO #127 #134
HavocHav #118 #125
Northwestern Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #53 #132
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #120
Run ExplRExp #20 #124
PPAExp #102 #134
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLY #124 #120
Stuff RateStuff #129 #106
TackleTak -  #124
Northwestern Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatNW OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #67 #129
Pass SuccessPSuc #116 #129
Pass ExplPExl #134 #88
PPAExp #132 #130
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #117
F7 HavocF7 #98 #109
DB HavocDB #121 #125
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in L&S Martin Stadium (Temp)
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Northwestern -3.0 (47.5)
Northwestern won vs Purdue this year (19-0)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Purdue last year (19-0)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2024 (26-20)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2023 (23-15)

  
PUR's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)19933859%21539106.4
Malachi Singleton (Tr)386459%439526.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee12552144.232
Antonio Harris6930524.441
Malachi Thomas (Tr)5324304.657
Ryan Browne (Tr)6620643.126
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Jackson III (Tr)6357019.031
Nitro Tuggle (Tr)34505414.936
E.J. Horton (Tr)27289110.728
Corey Smith (Tr)14237116.960

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)1103005
Mani Powell (Tr)11012532
Charles Correa (Tr)778342
Myles Slusher632103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mani Powell (Tr)11012532
C.J. Nunnally4211581
Charles Correa (Tr)778342
Jamarrion Harkless132340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hudauri Hines322008
Smiley Bradford305026
Tony Grimes (Tr)340005

NW's OC Zach Lujan (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Preston Stone (Tr)22237060%240017126.5
Ryan Boe2729%17012.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Komolafe190941115.056
Joseph Himon II9948614.937
Dashun Reeder22222110.179
Robby Preckel4214903.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Griffin Wilde (Tr)71880812.449
Hayden Eligon Ii37521314.138
Hunter Welcing28296210.636
Ricky Ahumaraeze10200020.035

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Tim McGarigle (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Fitzgerald1066014
Mac Uihlein894000
Braydon Brus815344
Braden Turner522012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Hubbard2610850
Michael Kilbane428481
Anto Saka134320
Braydon Brus815344
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Fussell291009
Fred Davis II (Tr)221006
Ore Adeyi201005