Charlotte at Florida Atlantic Game Matchup
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Charlotte -3 (49.5) (-155)  Open: 0.0
Charlotte 39 - Florida Atlantic: 27  (American Athletic)

 
49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -2.5   (SP+ FAU -3)

Projected Score: CHAR: 26 - FAU: 28 (58)
CHAR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CHAR Travel: 618 miles
Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Charlotte vs James Madison+6.547.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 Charlotte at North Carolina+21.547.5L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb-14.046.5W 27 - 26ON
Sat 9/21 Charlotte at Indiana+28.550.0L 14 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Charlotte at Rice+4.048.0W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Charlotte vs East Carolina+9.547.5W 55 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Charlotte at Navy+16.557.5L 17 - 51ON
Sat 10/26 Charlotte at Memphis+17.056.5L 28 - 33OY
Thu 10/31 Charlotte vs Tulane+14.555.5L 3 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Charlotte vs South Florida-1.553.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/23 Charlotte at Florida Atlantic-3.049.5W 39 - 27OY
Sat 11/30 Charlotte vs UAB-1.559.5W 29 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Florida Atlantic at Michigan State+12.045.0L 10 - 16UY
Sat 9/7 Florida Atlantic vs Army-1.542.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/14 Florida Atlantic vs Florida International-3.544.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/21 Florida Atlantic at UConn+1.046.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/28 Florida Atlantic vs Wagner-34.552.5W 41 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Florida Atlantic vs North Texas+5.558.5L 37 - 41OY
Sat 10/19 Florida Atlantic at UTSA+4.052.5L 24 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1 Florida Atlantic vs South Florida+1.548.0L 21 - 44ON
Thu 11/7 Florida Atlantic at East Carolina+5.558.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 11/16 Florida Atlantic at Temple+2.050.0L 15 - 18UN
Sat 11/23 Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte+3.049.5L 27 - 39ON
Sat 11/30 Florida Atlantic at Tulsa-2.557.5W 63 - 16OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 4, Poor: 1

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#126 (.05)35% (131)23.737% (125)2.91 (104)14533% (128)1682.84 (127)#55 (.16)41% (50)35.141% (50)41% (57)4 (87)58.61.81.4
FAU#108 (.12)39% (107)25.943% (73)3.33 (26)11537% (104)2163.72 (83)#77 (.19)43% (85)30.341% (51)46% (122)3.44 (39)33.31.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1223.723.234.6%2.841.8173131451683.854%44%37%33%18%.05
FAU Defense1230.329.743.2%3.441.5 - - - - - 51%48%41%46%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1235.136.840.6%41.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%41%15%.16
FAU Offense1225.928.539.1%3.721.4183311152163.843%55%43%37%20%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1232:1716.824%54%6.958.61.81.451.6228.8
Florida Atlantic1227:2417.934%38%3.433.31.41.56.92.3331.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1254% (34)37% (125)38.71453.816 (89).13 (81)2.91 (104)66% (114)12% (115)1.15 (9)
FAU Defense1251% (84)41% (51) - - - - .08 (30)3.26 (102)76% (92)11% (52)0.81 (7)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1253% (111)41% (50) - - - - .13 (59)2.97 (42)61% (14)9% (97)1.01 (76)
FAU Offense1243% (109)43% (73)30.8115.33.816 (89).16 (67)3.33 (26)72% (85)12% (113)1.01 (59)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1244% (103)33% (128)15.527.3167.86.110.87 (129)16 (121).02 (133)1.5 (83)36% (123)22% (128).11 (126)6% (53)2 (83)
FAU Defense1248% (49)46% (122) - - - - - - 10 (67).36 (111)1.6 (57)34% (42)32% (97).34 (81)4% (125)1.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1246% (23)41% (57) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (73)1.6 (72)31% (82)31% (85).28 (49)6% (88)1.9 (23)
FAU Offense1255% (27)37% (104)22.134.3215.56.39.819 (78)15 (116).16 (105)1.5 (106)34% (110)24% (125).11 (125)8% (125)2 (102)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 402.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.07   Florida Atlantic: -11.865

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -15.3   Florida Atlantic: -12.7




Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 530.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 28
Charlotte 26


Projected Total Points: 58
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Florida Atlantic27Charlotte39CharlotteCharlotte -3Charlotte49.5Over
202310/27Charlotte16Florida Atlantic38Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -3.5Florida Atlantic45.5Over
202208/27Florida Atlantic43Charlotte13Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -7.0Florida Atlantic60.0Under
202110/21Charlotte9Florida Atlantic38Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -6.5Florida Atlantic58.0Under
202010/03Florida Atlantic21Charlotte17Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -5Charlotte63.0Under
201909/28Charlotte27Florida Atlantic45Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -2.5Florida Atlantic63.5Over
201811/24Florida Atlantic24Charlotte27CharlotteFlorida Atlantic -16.5Charlotte54.5Under
201711/25Charlotte12Florida Atlantic31Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -24.5Charlotte65.0Under
201610/09Florida Atlantic23Charlotte28CharlotteFlorida Atlantic -15Charlotte62.0Under
201509/26Charlotte7Florida Atlantic17Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic -9.5Florida Atlantic65.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida Atlantic753 Overs
Charlotte357 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 82 - 81 - 31 - 5
Road Teams8 - 28 - 25 - 13 - 1

(#108) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 402.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
Charlotte     Ratings Matchup     Florida Atlantic
Power #108
#114
Off #99
#109
Def #110
#82
Talent #118
#90
SP+ #118
#113
SP+ Off #102
#109
SP+ Def #124
#104

Rematch from Week 13
Charlotte 3.0 (49.5)
Charlotte won at Florida Atlantic this year (39-27)

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat Florida Atlantic last year (39-27)
Florida Atlantic beat Charlotte in 2023 (38-16)
Florida Atlantic beat Charlotte in 2022 (43-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70° - Wind: 12 mph


Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | FAU
Depth Chart: CHAR | FAU
Rosters: CHAR | FAU
(#114) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 530.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Florida Atlantic Notes
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.


  
Charlotte's OC Mike Miller
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie10020050%18021069.0
Max Brown (Tr)439346%561366.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hahsaun Wilson9155976.165
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Terron Kellman4824205.041
Max Brown (Tr)338502.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)32795924.875
Jairus Mack19418022.059
Isaiah Myers13237318.237
Colin Weber21213010.130

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746222
Cam Burden573002
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414
Reid Williford746222
Demon Clowney235210
Ja'Qurious Conley262110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)12621259%1528667.2
Kasen Weisman (Tr)397353%416235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Campbell165860115.258
Zuberi Mobley9147145.272
Cam Fancher (Tr)9936533.776
Xavier Terrell14261318.693
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Hayes39590315.171
CJ Campbell40466311.778
Jabari Smith17296317.476
Marlyn Johnson (Tr)1716909.922

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Heard741001
Jackson Ambush686202
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014
Kahzir Brown (Tr)422017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Merrifield154320
Jackson Ambush686202
Devonta Davis (Tr)296210
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)214240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kahzir Brown (Tr)422017
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)483014
Wendol Philord416104