Florida Atlantic at Tulsa Game Matchup

Florida Atlantic Owls at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Florida Atlantic -2.5 (57.5) (-105) Open: -1.5 | 57.5
Florida Atlantic 63 - Tulsa: 16 (American Athletic)

Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (23 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
FAU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Florida Atlantic -6.5 (SP+ FAU -8)
Projected Score: FAU: 33 - TLSA: 27 (62)
FAU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 1151 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Florida Atlantic at Michigan State	+12.0	45.0	L 10 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Florida Atlantic vs Army	-1.5	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/14	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Florida Atlantic at UConn	+1.0	46.0	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/28	Florida Atlantic vs Wagner	-34.5	52.5	W 41 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Florida Atlantic vs North Texas	+5.5	58.5	L 37 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Florida Atlantic at UTSA	+4.0	52.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1	Florida Atlantic vs South Florida	+1.5	48.0	L 21 - 44	O	N
Thu 11/7	Florida Atlantic at East Carolina	+5.5	58.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/16	Florida Atlantic at Temple	+2.0	50.0	L 15 - 18	U	N
Sat 11/23	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	+3.0	49.5	L 27 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/30	Florida Atlantic at Tulsa	-2.5	57.5	W 63 - 16	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 3, Poor: 3

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Tulsa vs Northwestern State	-37.5	55.5	W 62 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Tulsa at Arkansas State	+9.5	65.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Tulsa vs Oklahoma State	+17.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/21	Tulsa at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	56.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Tulsa at North Texas	+7.0	65.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/5	Tulsa vs Army	+13.5	50.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Tulsa at Temple	+3.5	51.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/26	Tulsa vs UTSA	+9.5	52.5	W 46 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Tulsa at UAB	+2.5	57.5	L 21 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14	Tulsa vs East Carolina	+16.0	63.5	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Tulsa at South Florida	+17.5	60.0	L 30 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/30	Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	57.5	L 16 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 4

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#108 (.12)	39% (107)	25.9	43% (73)	3.33 (26)	115	37% (104)	216	3.72 (83)	#77 (.19)	43% (85)	30.3	41% (51)	46% (122)	3.44 (39)	33.3	1.4	1.5
TLSA	#77 (.18)	41% (83)	25	40% (99)	3.16 (59)	181	44% (50)	205	4.23 (34)	#120 (.29)	44% (96)	42.5	43% (67)	46% (121)	3.95 (82)	43.3	2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	25.9	23.3	39.1%	3.72	1.4	18	331	115	216	3.8	43%	55%	43%	37%	20%	.12
TLSA Defense	12	42.5	44.7	43.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	14%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	30.3	30.8	43.2%	3.44	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	46%	15%	.19
TLSA Offense	12	25	28.7	41%	4.23	2	20	386	181	205	4.1	57%	41%	40%	44%	17%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	27:24	17.9	34%	38%	3.4	33.3	1.4	1.5	6.9	2.3	3	31.7
Tulsa	12	29:42	19.8	45%	44%	5.1	43.3	2	1.7	5.4	1.8	0	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	43% (109)	43% (73)	30.8	115.3	3.8	16 (89)	.16 (67)	3.33 (26)	72% (85)	12% (113)	1.01 (59)
TLSA Defense	12	47% (37)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.21 (107)	3.18 (89)	67% (30)	10% (74)	1.13 (115)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	51% (84)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.08 (30)	3.26 (102)	76% (92)	11% (52)	0.81 (7)
TLSA Offense	12	57% (16)	40% (99)	43.9	180.9	4.1	13 (108)	.1 (96)	3.16 (59)	79% (27)	11% (87)	0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	55% (27)	37% (104)	22.1	34.3	215.5	6.3	9.8	19 (78)	15 (116)	.16 (105)	1.5 (106)	34% (110)	24% (125)	.11 (125)	8% (125)	2 (102)
TLSA Defense	12	51% (89)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.43 (124)	1.7 (100)	30% (103)	29% (43)	.41 (111)	5% (113)	2.6 (133)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	48% (49)	46% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.36 (111)	1.6 (57)	34% (42)	32% (97)	.34 (81)	4% (125)	1.9 (33)
TLSA Offense	12	41% (118)	44% (50)	15.8	27.8	204.7	7.4	12.9	20 (70)	19 (131)	.36 (37)	1.8 (13)	34% (95)	32% (57)	.33 (68)	6% (73)	2.1 (66)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 530.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -16.03 Tulsa: -20.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -12.7 Tulsa: -20.6

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 33
Tulsa 27

Projected Total Points: 62

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Tulsa	16	Florida Atlantic	63	Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	57.5	Over
2023	10/07	Florida Atlantic	20	Tulsa	17	Florida Atlantic	Florida Atlantic -3	Push	54.5	Under
2015	09/05	Tulsa	47	Florida Atlantic	44	Tulsa	Tulsa -21	Florida Atlantic	67.5	Over
2014	09/13	Florida Atlantic	50	Tulsa	21	Florida Atlantic	Tulsa -1.5	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	1	0	2 Overs
Florida Atlantic	3	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#114) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 530.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Florida Atlantic Notes
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.

Florida Atlantic Ratings Matchup Tulsa

Power #114

#132

Off #109

#125

Def #82

#127

Talent #90

#94

SP+ #113

#128

SP+ Off #109

#105

SP+ Def #104

#129

Rematch from Week 14
Florida Atlantic 2.5 (57.5)
Florida Atlantic won at Tulsa this year (63-16)

Previous Matchups
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa last year (63-16)
Florida Atlantic beat Tulsa in 2023 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 55° - Wind: 12 mph

Team Information
Injuries: FAU | TLSA
Depth Chart: FAU | TLSA
Rosters: FAU | TLSA

(#132) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.915 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds

Florida Atlantic's OC Charlie Frye

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)	126	212	59%	1528	6	6	7.2
Kasen Weisman (Tr)	39	73	53%	416	2	3	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
CJ Campbell	165	860	11	5.2	58
Zuberi Mobley	91	471	4	5.2	72
Cam Fancher (Tr)	99	365	3	3.7	76
Xavier Terrell	14	261	3	18.6	93

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Hayes	39	590	3	15.1	71
CJ Campbell	40	466	3	11.7	78
Jabari Smith	17	296	3	17.4	76
Marlyn Johnson (Tr)	17	169	0	9.9	22

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

Florida Atlantic's DC Roc Bellantoni

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Heard	74	1	0	0	1
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	0	2
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	0	1	4
Kahzir Brown (Tr)	42	2	0	1	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Merrifield	15	4	3	2	0
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	0	2
Devonta Davis (Tr)	29	6	2	1	0
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)	21	4	2	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kahzir Brown (Tr)	42	2	0	1	7
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	0	1	4
Wendol Philord	41	6	1	0	4

Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kirk Francis	149	253	59%	1585	9	6	6.3
Cooper Legas (Tr)	87	162	54%	1144	12	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Viron Ellison Jr.	62	353	1	5.7	32
Bill Jackson	67	319	0	4.8	37
Lloyd Avant	76	259	1	3.4	16
Cooper Legas (Tr)	79	201	1	2.5	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joseph Williams	30	588	5	19.6	72
Luke Mcgary	17	231	1	13.6	32
Zion Steptoe (Tr)	15	203	0	13.5	34
Corey Smith	12	179	2	14.9	38

View Tulsa's Full Roster

Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Potter (Tr)	75	11	1	4	0
Dayne Hodge	60	1	0	0	3
Zach Marcheselli (Tr)	47	10	1	0	0
Chris Thompson Jr. (Tr)	44	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2
Vontroy Malone	25	5	2	1	0
Owen Ostroski	35	8	2	4	0
Myles Jackson (Tr)	36	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keuan Parker	20	0	4
Dayne Hodge	60	1	3
Buddha Garrett	38	1	3