Florida Atlantic at UTSA - 2024 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at UTSA Roadrunners

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
UTSA -4 (52.5) (-180) Open: -6.0
UTSA 38 - Florida Atlantic: 24 (American Athletic)

Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tom Herman (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: UTSA -15.5 (SP+ UTSA -15)
Projected Score: FAU: 22 - UTSA: 37 (59)
UTSA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FAU Travel: 1140 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Roadrunners (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (39 - 14)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
UTSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Florida Atlantic at Michigan State	+12.0	45.0	L 10 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Florida Atlantic vs Army	-1.5	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/14	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Florida Atlantic at UConn	+1.0	46.0	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/28	Florida Atlantic vs Wagner	-34.5	52.5	W 41 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Florida Atlantic vs North Texas	+5.5	58.5	L 37 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Florida Atlantic at UTSA	+4.0	52.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/1	Florida Atlantic vs South Florida	+1.5	48.0	L 21 - 44	O	N
Thu 11/7	Florida Atlantic at East Carolina	+5.5	58.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/16	Florida Atlantic at Temple	+2.0	50.0	L 15 - 18	U	N
Sat 11/23	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	+3.0	49.5	L 27 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/30	Florida Atlantic at Tulsa	-2.5	57.5	W 63 - 16	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

UTSA's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UTSA vs Kennesaw State	-24.0	49.5	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/7	UTSA at Texas State	+2.5	58.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/14	UTSA at Texas	+36.5	56.5	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/21	UTSA vs Houston Christian	-35.5	54.5	W 45 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/28	UTSA at East Carolina	+2.0	53.5	L 20 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	UTSA at Rice	-3.5	51.0	L 27 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/19	UTSA vs Florida Atlantic	-4.0	52.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/26	UTSA at Tulsa	-9.5	52.5	L 45 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/2	UTSA vs Memphis	+7.0	62.0	W 44 - 36	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	UTSA vs North Texas	-1.0	73.0	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/22	UTSA vs Temple	-16.5	56.0	W 51 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UTSA at Army	+6.5	53.5	L 24 - 29	U	Y
Mon 12/23	UTSA vs Coastal Carolina	-12.5	56.5	W 44 - 15	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#108 (.12)	39% (107)	29.5	43% (73)	3.33 (26)	115	37% (104)	216	3.72 (83)	#77 (.19)	43% (85)	36.3	41% (51)	46% (122)	3.44 (39)	33.3	1.4	1.5
UTSA	#45 (.23)	42% (66)	35.5	41% (89)	3 (88)	172	44% (49)	250	4.45 (24)	#35 (.14)	37% (21)	28.8	38% (26)	38% (25)	3.77 (65)	51.2	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	29.5	21.8	39.1%	3.72	1.4	18	331	115	216	3.8	43%	55%	43%	37%	20%	.12
UTSA Defense	13	28.8	25.5	37.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	38%	20%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	36.3	37.2	43.2%	3.44	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	46%	15%	.19
UTSA Offense	13	35.5	45.8	42.2%	4.45	1.7	23	422	172	250	4.3	51%	49%	41%	44%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	27:24	17.9	34%	38%	3.4	33.3	1.4	1.5	6.9	2.3	3	31.7
UTSA	13	30:08	22.6	47%	58%	5.6	51.2	1.7	1.3	7.6	3.5	1	29

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	43% (109)	43% (73)	30.8	115.3	3.8	16 (89)	.16 (67)	3.33 (26)	72% (85)	12% (113)	1.01 (59)
UTSA Defense	13	47% (27)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	.12 (52)	2.86 (27)	83% (114)	12% (14)	1.14 (118)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	51% (84)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.08 (30)	3.26 (102)	76% (92)	11% (52)	0.81 (7)
UTSA Offense	13	51% (62)	41% (89)	39.7	171.8	4.3	27 (29)	.18 (48)	3 (88)	81% (14)	9% (45)	1.13 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	55% (27)	37% (104)	22.1	34.3	215.5	6.3	9.8	19 (78)	15 (116)	.16 (105)	1.5 (106)	34% (110)	24% (125)	.11 (125)	8% (125)	2 (102)
UTSA Defense	13	52% (101)	38% (25)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.23 (44)	1.6 (70)	35% (28)	24% (6)	.18 (13)	8% (11)	2.4 (130)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	48% (49)	46% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.36 (111)	1.6 (57)	34% (42)	32% (97)	.34 (81)	4% (125)	1.9 (33)
UTSA Offense	13	49% (72)	44% (49)	22.3	34.3	249.8	7.3	11.2	25 (37)	14 (107)	.31 (58)	1.6 (60)	32% (71)	35% (27)	.46 (28)	6% (64)	2.2 (35)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -16.03 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 267.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -16.03 UTSA: 1.295

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -12.7 UTSA: 2.2

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.295 #81
UTSA's Offense Rating: 17.26 #91
UTSA's Defense Rating: 6.84 #41
2024 Talent Rating: 291.00 #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
UTSA's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
UTSA's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.2 #64
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #34
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #101

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
UTSA 37
Florida Atlantic 22

Projected Total Points: 59

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	UTSA	38	Florida Atlantic	24	UTSA -4	UTSA	52.5	Over
2023	10/21	Florida Atlantic	10	UTSA	36	UT San Antonio -2.5	UTSA	58.5	Under
2020	10/31	Florida Atlantic	24	UTSA	3	Florida Atlantic -4.5	Florida Atlantic	47.0	Under
2019	11/23	UTSA	26	Florida Atlantic	40	Florida Atlantic -21.5	UTSA	57.0	Over
2014	09/27	Florida Atlantic	41	UTSA	37	UT San Antonio -4	Florida Atlantic	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTSA	2	3	2 Overs
Florida Atlantic	3	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	4 - 1	2 - 0	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 2

(#114) FAU at (#81) UTSA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	UTSA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#114	#81
SP+SP+	#113	#64
Perf GradeGrade	#79	#73
OffenseOff	#84	#88
DefenseDef	#63	#37
Spec TeamsST	#80	#71
TalentTal	#87	#78
Blue ChipsBC%	#74	#53

Florida Atlantic Notes(12/23) Signed QB Caden Veltkamp (WKU), huge get
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.
(8/30) QB Francher bad passer but good runner, slippery
Florida Atlantic Injury Report

UTSA Notes(11/18) 680 yds vs N Tex, Def meh but TOs, McCown great
(11/3) Huge W (Mem), McCown good, forced 2 TOs to W
(10/28) Blew 35-7 halftime lead vs Tulsa. Season killer?
(10/20) Even w/ FAU. McCown good, Def played well
(10/12) Bad L (Rice). Pass D torched, Rgame bad
(9/28) Rgame 170 (4.5)better but Pass D awful vs ECU
(9/15) Off has been really bad. Rgame awful, QB ?
(9/8) Killed by Tex St? Pulled McCown? Rgame just awful
(8/13) Lost DPY DE to Texas, another DE kicked out
(8/13) Starting MLB French suspended indefinitely
(8/13) Lost 3/4 top WR's, new QB, Def suspensions?
(8/13) QB McCown (won bowl LY) vs Marberger (Davis?)
UTSA Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	UTSA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#84	#37
SuccessSuc	#107	#21
ExplosiveExp	#87	#112
PPAPPA	#108	#35
PowerPwr	#109	#41
SP+SP+	#109	#101
Pts POPPO	#83	#65
HavocHav	#125	#10

Florida Atlantic Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#68	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	#73	#26
Run ExplRExp	#59	#118
PPAExp	#67	#52
Run BlockR Blk	#34	-
OL YdsOLY	#26	#27
Stuff RateStuff	#7	#45
TackleTak	-	#119

Florida Atlantic Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	FAU Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#93
Pass SuccessPSuc	#104	#25
Pass ExplPExl	#106	#70
PPAExp	#105	#44
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#73	#19
F7 HavocF7	#113	#14
DB HavocDB	#125	#11

UTSA on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#63
SuccessSuc	#66	#85
ExplosiveExp	#21	#21
PPAPPA	#45	#77
PowerPwr	#91	#82
SP+SP+	#34	#104
Pts POPPO	#24	#39
HavocHav	#46	#93

UTSA Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#78	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#51
Run ExplRExp	#13	#7
PPAExp	#48	#30
Run BlockR Blk	#78	-
OL YdsOLY	#88	#102
Stuff RateStuff	#68	#127
TackleTak	-	#110

UTSA Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	UTSA Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	#49	#122
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#57
PPAExp	#58	#111
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#111	#38
F7 HavocF7	#45	#52
DB HavocDB	#64	#125

Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
UTSA -4.0 (52.5)
UTSA won vs Florida Atlantic this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Florida Atlantic in 2024 (38-24)
UTSA beat Florida Atlantic in 2023 (36-10)

FAU's OC Charlie Frye (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher (Tr)	126	212	59%	1528	6	6	7.2
Kasen Weisman (Tr)	39	73	53%	416	2	3	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
CJ Campbell	165	860	11	5.2	58
Zuberi Mobley	91	471	4	5.2	72
Cam Fancher (Tr)	99	365	3	3.7	76
Xavier Terrell	14	261	3	18.6	93

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Hayes	39	590	3	15.1	71
CJ Campbell	40	466	3	11.7	78
Jabari Smith	17	296	3	17.4	76
Marlyn Johnson (Tr)	17	169	0	9.9	22

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Roc Bellantoni (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Heard	74	1	0	0	1
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	0	2
Eddie Williams	51	7	0	2	1
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Merrifield	15	4	3	2	0
Marlon Bradley	14	5	2	1	0
Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr)	21	4	2	4	0
Jackson Ambush	68	6	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kahzir Brown (Tr)	42	2	1	7
Daedae Hill	27	1	0	5
Phillip Dunnam (Tr)	48	3	1	4

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Owen McCown	294	467	63%	3424	25	10	7.3
Eddie Lee Marburger	22	40	55%	234	2	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Robert Henry	130	706	7	5.4	88
Brandon High	93	495	8	5.3	66
Owen McCown	86	340	3	4.0	75
Kevorian Barnes	78	221	2	2.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Willie McCoy	28	536	4	19.1	66
Chris Carpenter	39	479	1	12.3	69
Houston Thomas	34	470	3	13.8	44
Devin Mccuin	45	424	5	9.4	54

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Martavius French	80	17	1	4	3
Elliott Davison	58	0	0	0	4
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Jamal Ligon	46	7	3	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimmori Robinson	44	18	11	8	1
Ronald Triplette	23	5	4	2	0
Brandon Brown	29	9	4	1	0
Jamal Ligon	46	7	3	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zah Frazier	24	1	0	1	9
Tyan Milton	18	2	1	1	5
Elliott Davison	58	0	0	0	4