UAB at Charlotte - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Charlotte -1.5 (59.5) (-115) Open: -3.0 | 57.5
Charlotte 29 - UAB: 27 (American Athletic)

Blazers (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UAB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Charlotte -0.5 (SP+ UAB -4)
Projected Score: UAB: 29 - CHAR: 30 (59)
CHAR Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UAB Travel: 367 miles, 1 hrs behind

49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UAB vs Alcorn State	-29.5	55.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UAB at UL Monroe	-10.5	55.5	L 6 - 32	U	N
Sat 9/14	UAB at Arkansas	+23.5	60.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	UAB vs Navy	+4.5	56.5	L 18 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	UAB vs Tulane	+19.5	52.0	L 20 - 71	O	N
Sat 10/12	UAB at Army	+27.0	55.5	L 10 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/19	UAB at South Florida	+14.0	55.5	L 25 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UAB vs Tulsa	-2.5	57.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	UAB vs UConn	+7.5	54.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/16	UAB at Memphis	+16.0	62.0	L 18 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/23	UAB vs Rice	+7.0	52.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UAB at Charlotte	+1.5	59.5	L 27 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Charlotte vs James Madison	+6.5	47.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/7	Charlotte at North Carolina	+21.5	47.5	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb	-14.0	46.5	W 27 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/21	Charlotte at Indiana	+28.5	50.0	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	Charlotte at Rice	+4.0	48.0	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Charlotte vs East Carolina	+9.5	47.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Charlotte at Navy	+16.5	57.5	L 17 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/26	Charlotte at Memphis	+17.0	56.5	L 28 - 33	O	Y
Thu 10/31	Charlotte vs Tulane	+14.5	55.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Charlotte vs South Florida	-1.5	53.5	L 24 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/23	Charlotte at Florida Atlantic	-3.0	49.5	W 39 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Charlotte vs UAB	-1.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	#12 (.32)	49% (10)	26.4	51% (11)	3.7 (3)	161	48% (18)	289	3.84 (76)	#119 (.28)	48% (129)	38.3	53% (132)	43% (89)	4.45 (122)	56.3	1.7	1.7
CHAR	#126 (.05)	35% (131)	14.3	37% (125)	2.91 (104)	145	33% (128)	168	2.84 (127)	#55 (.16)	41% (50)	36.3	41% (50)	41% (57)	4 (87)	58.6	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	12	26.4	24.7	48.5%	3.84	1.7	24	450	161	289	4.5	47%	51%	51%	48%	18%	.32
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	35.7	40.6%	4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	41%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	12	38.3	38.8	47.8%	4.45	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	53%	43%	16%	.28
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	17.2	34.6%	2.84	1.8	17	313	145	168	3.8	54%	44%	37%	33%	18%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	12	29:14	23.7	40%	48%	6.7	56.3	1.7	1.7	4.1	2.3	1	27.7
Charlotte	12	32:17	16.8	24%	54%	6.9	58.6	1.8	1.4	5	1.6	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	12	47% (91)	51% (11)	35.5	161.1	4.5	24 (41)	.32 (4)	3.7 (3)	77% (42)	13% (124)	1.06 (34)
CHAR Defense	12	53% (111)	41% (50)	-	-	-	-	.13 (59)	2.97 (42)	61% (14)	9% (97)	1.01 (76)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	12	50% (73)	53% (132)	-	-	-	-	.36 (133)	3.55 (131)	83% (116)	9% (107)	1.09 (109)
CHAR Offense	12	54% (34)	37% (125)	38.7	145	3.8	16 (89)	.13 (81)	2.91 (104)	66% (114)	12% (115)	1.15 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	12	51% (47)	48% (18)	25.5	35.6	288.9	8.1	11.3	22 (61)	13 (97)	.37 (34)	1.5 (103)	28% (13)	33% (48)	.48 (21)	5% (43)	2.1 (43)
CHAR Defense	12	46% (23)	41% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (73)	1.6 (72)	31% (82)	31% (85)	.28 (49)	6% (88)	1.9 (23)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	12	49% (64)	43% (89)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.26 (58)	1.5 (46)	30% (109)	36% (124)	.46 (121)	7% (30)	2 (67)
CHAR Offense	12	44% (103)	33% (128)	15.5	27.3	167.8	6.1	10.8	7 (129)	16 (121)	.02 (133)	1.5 (83)	36% (123)	22% (128)	.11 (126)	6% (53)	2 (83)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -12.62 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
2024 Talent Rating: 263.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UAB's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UAB's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -12.62 Charlotte: -11.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -11.3 Charlotte: -15.3

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 200.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Charlotte 30
UAB 29

Projected Total Points: 59

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Charlotte	29	UAB	27	Charlotte -1.5	Charlotte	59.5	Under
2022	10/15	UAB	34	Charlotte	20	UAB -21.5	Charlotte	65.0	Under
2018	09/29	UAB	28	Charlotte	7	UAB -15.5	UAB	52.5	Under
2017	10/21	Charlotte	25	UAB	24	UAB -9.5	Charlotte	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	2	3	0 Overs
UAB	2	1	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	1 - 3	0 - 1	1 - 2

(#107) UAB at (#108) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	CHAR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#107	#108
SP+SP+	#108	#118
Perf GradeGrade	#124	#119
OffenseOff	#109	#103
DefenseDef	#126	#125
Spec TeamsST	#105	#134
TalentTal	#89	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#53

UAB Notes(11/25) Upset Rice, Def 4 TOs, Off was OK but enough
(11/18) Tulsa was dead cat bounce, L's to UConn/Memphis
(11/3) Killed Tulsa, 400+ pass yds. Still 10 flags
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#129) into week 9
(10/20) Fought w/ S Fla but gagged. Kitna 384 yds
(10/13) Def all 400+ yds rush (Army). Dilfer needs 2 go
(10/7) Dilfer is done. Concerning rumors, team quit
(10/6) Team has quit. Tulane 70 pts, 300+ yds rushing
(9/29) Mauled by Navy, though stats even. Dilfer a clown
(9/14) Lost to #130 ULM by 26 as a 10+ pt fav. Woof
(8/13) OC Mortensen Dink & Dunk Off worked LY
(8/13) 4/5 OL starters back, RB losses big, now ?
UAB Injury Report

Charlotte Notes(12/8) Hired HC Albin (Ohio HC, 33-19 in 4 yrs)
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
(9/1) Kinda even vs JMU (L) but 3 TO's 7-19 3rd down
Charlotte Injury Report

UAB on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	CHAR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#109	#125
SuccessSuc	#10	#50
ExplosiveExp	#72	#64
PPAPPA	#12	#55
PowerPwr	#51	#110
SP+SP+	#75	#124
Pts POPPO	#76	#87
HavocHav	#105	#100

UAB Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#113	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	#11	#50
Run ExplRExp	#34	#76
PPAExp	#4	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	#3	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#13	#30
TackleTak	-	#55

UAB Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#98
Pass SuccessPSuc	#18	#57
Pass ExplPExl	#103	#72
PPAExp	#34	#73
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#45	#115
F7 HavocF7	#124	#97
DB HavocDB	#43	#88

Charlotte on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	UAB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#103	#126
SuccessSuc	#131	#129
ExplosiveExp	#53	#67
PPAPPA	#126	#119
PowerPwr	#99	#120
SP+SP+	#102	#126
Pts POPPO	#127	#122
HavocHav	#96	#78

Charlotte Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#76	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#125	#132
Run ExplRExp	#9	#109
PPAExp	#81	#133
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	#131
Stuff RateStuff	#127	#131
TackleTak	-	#91

Charlotte Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#63
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#89
Pass ExplPExl	#83	#46
PPAExp	#133	#58
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#32	#58
F7 HavocF7	#115	#107
DB HavocDB	#53	#30

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Charlotte -1.5 (59.5)
Charlotte won vs UAB this year (29-27)

Previous Matchups
Charlotte beat UAB in 2024 (29-27)

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	196	316	62%	2209	17	11	7.0
Jacob Zeno	82	118	70%	819	6	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lee Beebe	166	885	7	5.3	61
Lee Witherspoon	35	166	0	4.7	15
Isaiah Jacobs	41	162	0	4.0	12
Jacob Zeno	37	97	0	2.6	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	62	670	8	10.8	73
Kameran Shanks	62	656	6	10.6	67
Corri Milliner	24	416	3	17.3	45
Malachi Holt-Bennett	16	241	1	15.1	71

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Moore	92	3	0	1	2
Everett Roussaw Jr.	75	8	3	4	1
Tyjon Jones (Tr)	59	0	0	1	4
Sirad Bryant (Tr)	59	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	40	10	6	7	3
Everett Roussaw Jr.	75	8	3	4	1
James Smyre	9	2	2	0	0
Kendall Johnson	18	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Colby Dempsey	22	2	0	11
Adrian Maddox (Tr)	44	2	1	7
Kelvin Hill	42	0	0	5

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deshawn Purdie	100	200	50%	1802	10	6	9.0
Max Brown (Tr)	43	93	46%	561	3	6	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hahsaun Wilson	91	559	7	6.1	65
Cartevious Norton (Tr)	129	525	7	4.1	62
Terron Kellman	48	242	0	5.0	41
Max Brown (Tr)	33	85	0	2.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)	32	795	9	24.8	75
Sean Brown	35	470	1	13.4	42
Jairus Mack	19	418	0	22.0	59
Isaiah Myers	13	237	3	18.2	37

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	2	2	2
Cam Burden	57	3	0	0	2
Dontae Balfour	48	3	0	0	9
Al-Ma'Hi Ali	45	1	0	3	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chantz Williams (Tr)	18	7	4	1	4
Reid Williford	74	6	2	2	2
Demon Clowney	23	5	2	1	0
Mordecai McDaniel	42	2	1	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dontae Balfour	48	3	0	0	9
Al-Ma'Hi Ali	45	1	0	3	7
Chantz Williams (Tr)	18	7	4	1	4