Charlotte at Indiana - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Indiana -28.5 (50.0) (-8000) Open: -28.0 | 48.5
Indiana 52 - Charlotte: 14

49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IND is playing their 4th straight game
CHAR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -35.5 (SP+ IND -35)
Projected Score: CHAR: 8 - IND: 44 (52)
IND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
CHAR Travel: 416 miles

Hoosiers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Charlotte vs James Madison	+6.5	47.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/7	Charlotte at North Carolina	+21.5	47.5	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb	-14.0	46.5	W 27 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/21	Charlotte at Indiana	+28.5	50.0	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	Charlotte at Rice	+4.0	48.0	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Charlotte vs East Carolina	+9.5	47.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Charlotte at Navy	+16.5	57.5	L 17 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/26	Charlotte at Memphis	+17.0	56.5	L 28 - 33	O	Y
Thu 10/31	Charlotte vs Tulane	+14.5	55.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Charlotte vs South Florida	-1.5	53.5	L 24 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/23	Charlotte at Florida Atlantic	-3.0	49.5	W 39 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Charlotte vs UAB	-1.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Indiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Indiana vs Florida International	-20.5	50.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/6	Indiana vs Western Illinois	-44.5	52.5	W 77 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Indiana at UCLA	-3.5	46.5	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Indiana vs Charlotte	-28.5	50.0	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Indiana vs Maryland	-7.5	50.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Indiana vs Northwestern	-12.5	40.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Indiana vs Nebraska	-6.5	48.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Indiana vs Washington	-5.5	54.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Indiana at Michigan State	-7.5	53.5	W 47 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Indiana vs Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Indiana at Ohio State	+10.5	52.5	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Indiana vs Purdue	-28.5	56.5	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Indiana at Notre Dame	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	#126 (.05)	35% (131)	14.3	37% (125)	2.91 (104)	145	33% (128)	168	2.84 (127)	#55 (.16)	41% (50)	36.3	41% (50)	41% (57)	4 (87)	58.6	1.8	1.4
IND	#106 (.12)	41% (85)	41.6	39% (117)	3.26 (38)	121	44% (48)	212	3.11 (119)	#103 (.24)	46% (120)	11.7	47% (109)	45% (118)	4.08 (95)	51	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	11.6	34.6%	2.84	1.8	17	313	145	168	3.8	54%	44%	37%	33%	18%	.05
IND Defense	12	11.7	8.4	45.8%	4.08	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	45%	17%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	37.6	40.6%	4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	41%	15%	.16
IND Offense	12	41.6	49.1	40.9%	3.11	1.5	20	334	121	212	3.4	50%	49%	39%	44%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	32:17	16.8	24%	54%	6.9	58.6	1.8	1.4	5	1.6	2	28.8
Indiana	12	29:25	19.7	37%	35%	5.5	51	1.5	1	6.1	1.8	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	54% (34)	37% (125)	38.7	145	3.8	16 (89)	.13 (81)	2.91 (104)	66% (114)	12% (115)	1.15 (9)
IND Defense	12	52% (96)	47% (109)	-	-	-	-	.14 (65)	3.24 (100)	75% (80)	10% (58)	0.85 (14)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	53% (111)	41% (50)	-	-	-	-	.13 (59)	2.97 (42)	61% (14)	9% (97)	1.01 (76)
IND Offense	12	50% (68)	39% (117)	36.2	121.3	3.4	13 (108)	.07 (112)	3.26 (38)	69% (105)	11% (83)	0.91 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	44% (103)	33% (128)	15.5	27.3	167.8	6.1	10.8	7 (129)	16 (121)	.02 (133)	1.5 (83)	36% (123)	22% (128)	.11 (126)	6% (53)	2 (83)
IND Defense	12	47% (36)	45% (118)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (117)	1.6 (77)	29% (115)	33% (104)	.41 (110)	6% (69)	2.2 (103)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	46% (23)	41% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (73)	1.6 (72)	31% (82)	31% (85)	.28 (49)	6% (88)	1.9 (23)
IND Offense	12	49% (70)	44% (48)	17.9	30.5	212.3	7	11.9	18 (81)	10 (56)	.26 (76)	1.5 (119)	30% (43)	28% (91)	.16 (118)	6% (82)	1.9 (107)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.07 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 200.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.07 Indiana: 21.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -15.3 Indiana: 20.1

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 21.3 #10
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
2024 Talent Rating: 361.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Indiana's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Indiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 44
Charlotte 8

Projected Total Points: 52

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Indiana	52	Charlotte	14	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	50.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	1	1	1 Overs
Charlotte	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#108) CHAR at (#10) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CHAR	IND
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#108	#10
SP+SP+	#118	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#119	#1
OffenseOff	#103	#2
DefenseDef	#125	#4
Spec TeamsST	#134	#4
TalentTal	#117	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#38

Charlotte Notes(12/8) Hired HC Albin (Ohio HC, 33-19 in 4 yrs)
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
(9/1) Kinda even vs JMU (L) but 3 TO's 7-19 3rd down
Charlotte Injury Report

Indiana Notes(12/24) Signed QB Mendoza (Cal)/RB Hemby (MD)
(12/5) Co-OC Sunseri hired as UCLA OC after '24
(11/24) Off awful vs OSU, 153 total yards. Def wilted
(11/13) Off human vs Mich, Rgame awful (40 yds, 1.4 ypc)
(11/2) Run Def killed MSU. Off 47 pts but #'s bad
(11/1) 3-0, avg 27 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/28) QB Rourke (inj) could play vs Michigan St
(10/19) 500 yds, owned Nebraska. Def was good, fun team
(9/28) 500+ yds vs MD. Overcame 5 TOs, still won
(9/19) V good WR's. Cooper top 5 M2M, 4 good options.
(9/1) Grounded FIU, 234 yds rushing (6 ypc). Def was good
(8/4) Cignetti is cocky/confident & wins everywhere.
Indiana Injury Report

Charlotte on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	IND Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#103	#4
SuccessSuc	#131	#120
ExplosiveExp	#53	#26
PPAPPA	#126	#103
PowerPwr	#99	#24
SP+SP+	#102	#15
Pts POPPO	#127	#95
HavocHav	#96	#59

Charlotte Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#76	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#125	#109
Run ExplRExp	#9	#14
PPAExp	#81	#65
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#127	#81
TackleTak	-	#94

Charlotte Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#118
Pass ExplPExl	#83	#77
PPAExp	#133	#117
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#32	#11
F7 HavocF7	#115	#58
DB HavocDB	#53	#69

Indiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	CHAR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#2	#125
SuccessSuc	#85	#50
ExplosiveExp	#114	#64
PPAPPA	#106	#55
PowerPwr	#6	#110
SP+SP+	#18	#124
Pts POPPO	#119	#87
HavocHav	#88	#100

Indiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#33	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	#117	#50
Run ExplRExp	#108	#76
PPAExp	#112	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#19	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#30
TackleTak	-	#55

Indiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#98
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#57
Pass ExplPExl	#119	#72
PPAExp	#76	#73
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#115
F7 HavocF7	#83	#97
DB HavocDB	#82	#88

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Indiana -28.5 (50.0)
Indiana won vs Charlotte this year (52-14)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Charlotte in 2024 (52-14)

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deshawn Purdie	100	200	50%	1802	10	6	9.0
Max Brown (Tr)	43	93	46%	561	3	6	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hahsaun Wilson	91	559	7	6.1	65
Cartevious Norton (Tr)	129	525	7	4.1	62
Terron Kellman	48	242	0	5.0	41
Max Brown (Tr)	33	85	0	2.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)	32	795	9	24.8	75
Sean Brown	35	470	1	13.4	42
Jairus Mack	19	418	0	22.0	59
Isaiah Myers	13	237	3	18.2	37

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	2	2	2
Cam Burden	57	3	0	0	2
Dontae Balfour	48	3	0	0	9
Al-Ma'Hi Ali	45	1	0	3	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chantz Williams (Tr)	18	7	4	1	4
Reid Williford	74	6	2	2	2
Demon Clowney	23	5	2	1	0
Mordecai McDaniel	42	2	1	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dontae Balfour	48	3	0	0	9
Al-Ma'Hi Ali	45	1	0	3	7
Chantz Williams (Tr)	18	7	4	1	4

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke (Tr)	222	320	69%	3042	29	5	9.5
Tayven Jackson	23	37	62%	349	4	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justice Ellison (Tr)	159	848	10	5.3	47
Ty Son Lawton	141	668	12	4.7	29
Kaelon Black (Tr)	46	251	2	5.5	21
Elijah Green (Tr)	29	201	5	6.9	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt (Tr)	53	957	8	18.1	84
Omar Cooper Jr.	28	594	7	21.2	69
Myles Price (Tr)	38	466	3	12.3	41
Ke'Shawn Williams (Tr)	39	448	5	11.5	52

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher (Tr)	118	6	2	3	4
Jailin Walker (Tr)	82	10	2	5	8
Shawn Asbury II (Tr)	69	5	2	1	4
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikail Kamara (Tr)	46	14	9	6	1
James Carpenter (Tr)	37	11	5	5	2
Tyrique Tucker (Tr)	24	5	3	4	1
Lanell Carr	39	5	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9
Jailin Walker (Tr)	82	10	2	5	8
Jamari Sharpe	13	1	1	0	6