Tulane at Charlotte - 2024 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at Charlotte 49ersCharlotte logo
Thursday, October 31st 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tulane -14.5 (55.5) (-650)  Open: -15.5
Tulane 34 - Charlotte: 3  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
TULN 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Tulane -17.5   (SP+ TULN -21)

Projected Score: TULN: 37 - CHAR: 20 (57)
TULN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
TULN Travel: 659 miles, 1 hrs behind
49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Brewster (Int) (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Tulane's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulane vs SE Louisiana-28.555.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Tulane vs Kansas State+8.547.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/14 Tulane at Oklahoma+13.548.5L 19 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Tulane at Louisiana-1.553.5W 41 - 33OY
Sat 9/28 Tulane vs South Florida-4.060.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Tulane at UAB-19.552.0W 71 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulane vs Rice-21.553.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/26 Tulane at North Texas-7.570.5W 45 - 37OY
Thu 10/31 Tulane at Charlotte-14.555.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/9 Tulane vs Temple-25.550.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 11/16 Tulane at Navy-7.549.0W 35 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Tulane vs Memphis-12.554.5L 24 - 34ON
Fri 12/6 Tulane at Army-4.546.5L 14 - 35ON
Fri 12/20 Tulane vs Florida+10.050.5L 8 - 33UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Charlotte vs James Madison+6.547.5L 7 - 30UN
Sat 9/7 Charlotte at North Carolina+21.547.5L 20 - 38OY
Sat 9/14 Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb-14.046.5W 27 - 26ON
Sat 9/21 Charlotte at Indiana+28.550.0L 14 - 52ON
Sat 9/28 Charlotte at Rice+4.048.0W 21 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Charlotte vs East Carolina+9.547.5W 55 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Charlotte at Navy+16.557.5L 17 - 51ON
Sat 10/26 Charlotte at Memphis+17.056.5L 28 - 33OY
Thu 10/31 Charlotte vs Tulane+14.555.5L 3 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Charlotte vs South Florida-1.553.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 11/23 Charlotte at Florida Atlantic-3.049.5W 39 - 27OY
Sat 11/30 Charlotte vs UAB-1.559.5W 29 - 27UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)35.145% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)20.638% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)23.739% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)35.148% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1435.13745.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27
CHAR Defense1235.133.345.3%3.871 - - - - - 56%44%48%42%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.623.138.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
CHAR Offense1223.724.237.1%3.91.8173431192243.747%52%39%35%17%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
Charlotte1228:3717.330%42%7.865.31.814.91.2126.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)
CHAR Defense1256% (118)48% (111) - - - - .19 (104)3.27 (106)68% (35)8% (114)0.96 (57)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
CHAR Offense1247% (88)39% (110)32.3118.73.716 (90).09 (93)2.75 (113)68% (105)11% (106)1.1 (24)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)
CHAR Defense1244% (18)42% (83) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (112)1.8 (122)31% (92)33% (107).57 (132)6% (51)2.4 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
CHAR Offense1252% (46)35% (120)14.829.4224.17.615.216 (87)14 (115).12 (120)1.9 (6)35% (123)29% (96).23 (103)6% (57)2.3 (3)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Tulane's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Tulane's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Tulane's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.32   Charlotte: -11.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 5.7   Charlotte: -15.3




Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Tulane's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 37
Charlotte 20


Total Points: 57

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/31Charlotte3Tulane34TulaneTulane -14.5Tulane55.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Charlotte000 Overs
Tulane111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#40) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has won 5 straight
Tulane has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Notes
(12/16) QB Mensah left via portal (Duke)
(12/16) Signed QB TJ Finley (WKU/T St/Aub/LSU)
(12/6) Mauled by Army in AACC, Run D mauled 335 yds
(11/28) Mauled by Memphis on Sr day, Outrushed 236-57.
(11/25) AAC title game vs Army
(11/16) 200+ rush yds in Navy W, Clinched AAC title game
(10/31) Very slow paced and methodical. Too conservative
(10/28) Scored 40+ pts in last 4 of 5, Navy/Memphis finish
(10/28) Most pts off TOs in CFB, 8+ PPG thru 8 weeks
(10/20) Even w/ Rice into 4th? Mensah/Rgame bad TW

Tulane Highlights
Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane offense is good in red zone (#57)
Tulane offense is good on 3rd downs
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane has a really good defense (#96)
Tulane has a good run defense (#109)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCHARTULN
OverallOver#86#6
OffenseOff#82#4
DefenseDef#104#17
Special TeamsST#111#51
PassingPass#110#12
RushingRush#54#8
Run BlockRBLK#63#9
Pass BlockPBLK#32#30
Route RunningWR Rt#36#9
TacklingTkl#50#76
Run DefenseR Def#106#48
Pass Rush DefPRush#98#2
Coverage DefCov#79#52

Rematch from Week 10
Tulane 14.5 (55.5)
Tulane won at Charlotte this year (34-3)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Charlotte last year (34-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | CHAR
Depth Chart: TULN | CHAR
Rosters: TULN | CHAR
(#108) Charlotte Info
Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Charlotte has lost 2 straight
Charlotte has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Charlotte Notes
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others

Charlotte Highlights
Charlotte offense is explosive (#74)

Charlotte Deficiencies
Charlotte has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Charlotte Can Not Run the Ball (#124)
Charlotte Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Charlotte throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Charlotte offense is really bad (#65)
Charlotte Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Charlotte run game is really bad (#91)
Charlotte pass game is really bad (#42)
Charlotte offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Charlotte Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Charlotte does not Sack the QB (#80)
Charlotte has a bad defense (#127)
Charlotte Does Not Stuff Runs (#118)
Charlotte has a bad defensive line (#102)


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah17226266%25142059.6
Ty Thompson (Tr)61155%74206.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes2431306155.451
Arnold Barnes8339664.827
Ty Thompson (Tr)4024366.150
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams (Tr)48831417.368
Dontae Fleming29577119.953
Yulkeith Brown31440414.242
Alex Bauman15171611.436

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Grubbs585211
Sam Howard (Tr)564201
Bailey Despanie493001
Jack Tchienchou (Tr)471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Hamilton216540
Patrick Jenkins307512
Matthew Fobbs-White218401
Adin Huntington (Tr)285401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Robinson (Tr)291006
Javion White92003
Rayshawn Pleasant351003

Charlotte's OC Mike Miller
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie10020050%18021069.0
Max Brown (Tr)439346%561366.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Hahsaun Wilson9155976.165
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Terron Kellman4824205.041
Max Brown (Tr)338502.620
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)32795924.875
Sean Brown35470113.442
Jairus Mack19418022.059
Isaiah Myers13237318.237

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reid Williford746222
Cam Burden573002
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414
Reid Williford746222
Demon Clowney235210
Mordecai McDaniel422113
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Balfour483009
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Chantz Williams (Tr)187414