Tulane at Charlotte - 2024 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 31st 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tulane -14.5 (55.5) (-650) Open: -15.5
Tulane 34 - Charlotte: 3 (American Athletic)

Green Wave (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TULN 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Tulane -17.5 (SP+ TULN -21)
Projected Score: TULN: 36 - CHAR: 19 (55)
TULN Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
TULN Travel: 659 miles, 1 hrs behind

49ers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TULN Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulane's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Tulane vs SE Louisiana	-28.5	55.5	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Tulane vs Kansas State	+8.5	47.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Tulane at Oklahoma	+13.5	48.5	L 19 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/21	Tulane at Louisiana	-1.5	53.5	W 41 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Tulane vs South Florida	-4.0	60.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Tulane at UAB	-19.5	52.0	W 71 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Tulane vs Rice	-21.5	53.5	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/26	Tulane at North Texas	-7.5	70.5	W 45 - 37	O	Y
Thu 10/31	Tulane at Charlotte	-14.5	55.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Tulane vs Temple	-25.5	50.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Tulane at Navy	-7.5	49.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28	Tulane vs Memphis	-12.5	54.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Fri 12/6	Tulane at Army	-4.5	46.5	L 14 - 35	O	N
Fri 12/20	Tulane vs Florida	+10.0	50.5	L 8 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Charlotte's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Charlotte vs James Madison	+6.5	47.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/7	Charlotte at North Carolina	+21.5	47.5	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb	-14.0	46.5	W 27 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/21	Charlotte at Indiana	+28.5	50.0	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	Charlotte at Rice	+4.0	48.0	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Charlotte vs East Carolina	+9.5	47.5	W 55 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Charlotte at Navy	+16.5	57.5	L 17 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/26	Charlotte at Memphis	+17.0	56.5	L 28 - 33	O	Y
Thu 10/31	Charlotte vs Tulane	+14.5	55.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Charlotte vs South Florida	-1.5	53.5	L 24 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/23	Charlotte at Florida Atlantic	-3.0	49.5	W 39 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Charlotte vs UAB	-1.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	#70 (.19)	42% (61)	27.7	40% (108)	3.13 (63)	155	47% (27)	215	3.62 (91)	#56 (.16)	41% (55)	23.9	40% (42)	43% (83)	3.7 (61)	42.9	1.4	2
CHAR	#126 (.05)	35% (131)	14.3	37% (125)	2.91 (104)	145	33% (128)	168	2.84 (127)	#55 (.16)	41% (50)	36.3	41% (50)	41% (57)	4 (87)	58.6	1.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Offense	14	27.7	26.4	42.4%	3.62	1.4	18	370	155	215	4.1	56%	43%	40%	47%	14%	.19
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	35.7	40.6%	4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	41%	15%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Defense	14	23.9	32	41.1%	3.7	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	40%	43%	18%	.16
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	17.2	34.6%	2.84	1.8	17	313	145	168	3.8	54%	44%	37%	33%	18%	.05

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulane	14	31:20	18.4	38%	59%	4.8	42.9	1.4	2	5.9	2.4	2	33.7
Charlotte	12	32:17	16.8	24%	54%	6.9	58.6	1.8	1.4	5	1.6	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Offense	14	56% (21)	40% (108)	37.6	155.1	4.1	16 (89)	.09 (104)	3.13 (63)	72% (89)	8% (36)	0.88 (121)
CHAR Defense	12	53% (111)	41% (50)	-	-	-	-	.13 (59)	2.97 (42)	61% (14)	9% (97)	1.01 (76)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Defense	14	45% (14)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.09 (34)	3.03 (54)	77% (94)	11% (46)	1.01 (75)
CHAR Offense	12	54% (34)	37% (125)	38.7	145	3.8	16 (89)	.13 (81)	2.91 (104)	66% (114)	12% (115)	1.15 (9)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Offense	14	43% (109)	47% (27)	16.4	26.3	215	8.2	13.1	25 (37)	7 (21)	.35 (40)	1.6 (77)	29% (24)	29% (83)	.28 (86)	6% (57)	2 (101)
CHAR Defense	12	46% (23)	41% (57)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (73)	1.6 (72)	31% (82)	31% (85)	.28 (49)	6% (88)	1.9 (23)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Defense	14	54% (121)	43% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.25 (54)	1.4 (13)	34% (40)	29% (53)	.23 (28)	7% (24)	1.8 (15)
CHAR Offense	12	44% (103)	33% (128)	15.5	27.3	167.8	6.1	10.8	7 (129)	16 (121)	.02 (133)	1.5 (83)	36% (123)	22% (128)	.11 (126)	6% (53)	2 (83)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Tulane's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
2024 Talent Rating: 334.00 #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Tulane's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Tulane's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.32 Charlotte: -11.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 5.7 Charlotte: -15.3

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -11.685 #108
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 16.64 #99
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 15.25 #110
2024 Talent Rating: 200.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Charlotte's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Charlotte's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #102
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tulane 36
Charlotte 19

Projected Total Points: 55

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.2
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Charlotte's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Tulane	27	Charlotte	0	Tulane -31.5	Charlotte	52.5	Under
2024	10/31	Charlotte	3	Tulane	34	Tulane -14.5	Tulane	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	0	1	0 Overs
Tulane	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#40) TULN at (#108) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TULN	CHAR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#40	#108
SP+SP+	#43	#118
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#119
OffenseOff	#4	#103
DefenseDef	#22	#125
Spec TeamsST	#61	#134
TalentTal	#63	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#53

Tulane Notes(12/27) Lost QB and RB Hughes to portal
(12/16) QB Mensah left via portal (Duke)
(12/16) Signed QB TJ Finley (WKU/T St/Aub/LSU)
(12/6) Mauled by Army in AACC, Run D mauled 335 yds
(11/28) Mauled by Memphis on Sr day, Outrushed 236-57.
(11/25) AAC title game vs Army
(11/16) 200+ rush yds in Navy W, Clinched AAC title game
(10/31) Very slow paced and methodical. Too conservative
(10/28) Scored 40+ pts in last 4 of 5, Navy/Memphis finish
(10/28) Most pts off TOs in CFB, 8+ PPG thru 8 weeks
(10/20) Even w/ Rice into 4th? Mensah/Rgame bad TW
(10/6) Gaining on G5 best. 136-20 last 2 games.
Tulane Injury Report

Charlotte Notes(12/8) Hired HC Albin (Ohio HC, 33-19 in 4 yrs)
(11/18) 4 straight L's, R Def all 425 yds, 8.9 ypc in USF L
(11/18) Poggi fired after 4 str L's (USF)
(11/3) 3 straight L's vs tough sched, need 3-0 to bowl
(11/3) QBs near worst in CFB, Rgame bottom 30
(11/1) Off is terrible. Run game sucks, Pass worse
(10/20) 5 TOs, 8 flags in L while Outrushed Navy
(10/18) Top 10 in CFB in rushing explosiveness
(10/16) Two ML upsets into Bye. Navy/Mem/Tulane up
(10/8) Huge W (ECU), 311 rush yds (6 ypc). Improving?
(10/8) Significantly better with QB Purdie than others
(9/1) Kinda even vs JMU (L) but 3 TO's 7-19 3rd down
Charlotte Injury Report

Tulane on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	CHAR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#125
SuccessSuc	#61	#50
ExplosiveExp	#112	#64
PPAPPA	#70	#55
PowerPwr	#53	#110
SP+SP+	#30	#124
Pts POPPO	#91	#87
HavocHav	#32	#100

Tulane Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#8	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	#108	#50
Run ExplRExp	#121	#76
PPAExp	#104	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#10	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#30
TackleTak	-	#55

Tulane Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	TULN Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#98
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#57
Pass ExplPExl	#77	#72
PPAExp	#40	#73
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#115
F7 HavocF7	#36	#97
DB HavocDB	#57	#88

Charlotte on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	TULN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#103	#22
SuccessSuc	#131	#55
ExplosiveExp	#53	#43
PPAPPA	#126	#56
PowerPwr	#99	#28
SP+SP+	#102	#73
Pts POPPO	#127	#61
HavocHav	#96	#29

Charlotte Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#76	#60
Run SuccessRSuc	#125	#42
Run ExplRExp	#9	#75
PPAExp	#81	#34
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#127	#67
TackleTak	-	#88

Charlotte Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	CHAR Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#64
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#83	#13
PPAExp	#133	#54
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#32	#2
F7 HavocF7	#115	#46
DB HavocDB	#53	#24

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Tulane 14.5 (55.5)
Tulane won at Charlotte this year (34-3)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Charlotte last year (27-0)
Tulane beat Charlotte in 2024 (34-3)

TULN's OC Joe Craddock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Darian Mensah	172	262	66%	2514	20	5	9.6
Ty Thompson (Tr)	6	11	55%	74	2	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	243	1306	15	5.4	51
Arnold Barnes	83	396	6	4.8	27
Ty Thompson (Tr)	40	243	6	6.1	50
Ashaad Clayton	27	198	1	7.3	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Williams (Tr)	48	831	4	17.3	68
Dontae Fleming	29	577	1	19.9	53
Yulkeith Brown	31	440	4	14.2	42
Alex Bauman	15	171	6	11.4	36

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Greg Gasparato (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Grubbs	58	5	2	1	1
Sam Howard (Tr)	56	4	2	0	1
Bailey Despanie	49	3	0	0	1
Jack Tchienchou (Tr)	47	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Hamilton	21	6	5	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	30	7	5	1	2
Matthew Fobbs-White	21	8	4	0	1
Adin Huntington (Tr)	28	5	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Micah Robinson (Tr)	29	1	6
Javion White	9	2	3
Rayshawn Pleasant	35	1	3

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deshawn Purdie	100	200	50%	1802	10	6	9.0
Max Brown (Tr)	43	93	46%	561	3	6	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hahsaun Wilson	91	559	7	6.1	65
Cartevious Norton (Tr)	129	525	7	4.1	62
Terron Kellman	48	242	0	5.0	41
Max Brown (Tr)	33	85	0	2.6	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
O'Mega Blake (Tr)	32	795	9	24.8	75
Sean Brown	35	470	1	13.4	42
Jairus Mack	19	418	0	22.0	59
Isaiah Myers	13	237	3	18.2	37

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reid Williford	74	6	2	2	2
Cam Burden	57	3	0	0	2
Dontae Balfour	48	3	0	0	9
Al-Ma'Hi Ali	45	1	0	3	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chantz Williams (Tr)	18	7	4	1	4
Reid Williford	74	6	2	2	2
Demon Clowney	23	5	2	1	0
Mordecai McDaniel	42	2	1	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dontae Balfour	48	3	0	0	9
Al-Ma'Hi Ali	45	1	0	3	7
Chantz Williams (Tr)	18	7	4	1	4