Akron at Western Michigan - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -9.5 (48.5) (-325) Open: -12.5
Western Michigan 34 - Akron: 24 (Mid-American)

Zips (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (4 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AKR is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -10.5 (SP+ WMU -8)
Projected Score: AKR: 22 - WMU: 33 (55)
WMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
AKR Travel: 227 miles

Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
WMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Akron at Ohio State	+50.5	58.5	L 6 - 52	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Akron at Rutgers	+24.5	41.5	L 17 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/14	Akron vs Colgate	-13.5	48.5	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/21	Akron at South Carolina	+25.0	42.0	L 7 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/28	Akron at Ohio	+8.5	46.0	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/5	Akron vs Bowling Green	+17.0	48.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Akron at Western Michigan	+9.5	48.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Akron vs Eastern Michigan	+2.5	50.5	W 25 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Akron vs Buffalo	-1.0	49.0	L 30 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/13	Akron at Northern Illinois	+14.0	43.5	L 16 - 29	O	Y
Tue 11/19	Akron at Kent State	-10.5	49.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Tue 11/26	Akron vs Toledo	+9.5	50.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Western Michigan at Wisconsin	+24.0	57.0	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Western Michigan at Ohio State	+37.5	54.5	L 0 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/14	Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman	-33.5	54.5	W 59 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Western Michigan at Marshall	+3.5	53.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/5	Western Michigan at Ball State	-10.0	57.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/12	Western Michigan vs Akron	-9.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Western Michigan at Buffalo	-1.0	49.5	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Western Michigan vs Kent State	-19.0	61.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+2.5	51.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/12	Western Michigan at Bowling Green	+9.5	57.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 11/19	Western Michigan at Central Michigan	-6.0	56.0	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/30	Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	56.5	W 26 - 18	U	Y
Sat 12/14	Western Michigan vs South Alabama	+6.0	53.5	L 23 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)	20.4	44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)	32	41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)	28.9	45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)	31.3	48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)		45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)		48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	20.4	16.9	38.8%	3.26	1.7	18	333	101	233	3.5	40%	59%	44%	36%	17%	.07
WMU Defense	13	31.3	27.2	49.1%	4.38	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	48%	51%	18%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	32	37.3	44.6%	4.19	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	41%	49%	14%	.21
WMU Offense	13	28.9	39.8	45.2%	4.11	1	19	371	184	187	5	55%	45%	45%	46%	15%	.24

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	28:33	17.9	36%	31%	6.3	48.7	1.7	0.8	5	1.5	2	26.4
Western Michigan	13	29:58	19.5	35%	59%	4.1	39.2	1	1.6	4.2	1.5	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	40% (124)	44% (64)	28.5	100.5	3.5	11 (116)	.03 (114)	2.82 (103)	78% (34)	10% (77)	0.91 (93)
WMU Defense	13	56% (123)	48% (115)	-	-	-	-	.19 (105)	3.18 (96)	76% (84)	10% (66)	1.01 (81)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	54% (111)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	.1 (57)	2.95 (58)	65% (24)	9% (95)	0.98 (66)
WMU Offense	13	55% (35)	45% (59)	36.8	184.2	5	28 (25)	.18 (43)	3.05 (62)	75% (53)	10% (64)	1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	59% (13)	36% (118)	19.5	35	232.5	6.6	11.9	16 (87)	10 (63)	.12 (118)	1.6 (54)	35% (121)	25% (120)	.07 (133)	7% (91)	2.1 (36)
WMU Defense	13	44% (12)	51% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.44 (127)	1.5 (31)	27% (125)	33% (103)	.33 (81)	8% (19)	1.9 (39)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	45% (23)	49% (126)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.37 (122)	1.5 (45)	28% (120)	36% (121)	.45 (114)	5% (90)	2.1 (71)
WMU Offense	13	45% (100)	46% (27)	16.3	24.9	187	7.5	11.5	18 (68)	9 (48)	.32 (40)	1.5 (98)	28% (16)	31% (71)	.27 (91)	6% (59)	1.9 (108)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -19.03 #121
Akron's Offense Rating: 12.44 #118
Akron's Defense Rating: 12.15 #90
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Akron's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Akron's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 #123
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #129
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #117

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -19.03 Western Michigan: -7.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -17.9 Western Michigan: -10.2

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -7.785 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Akron Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.9
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.3

Akron's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 33
Akron 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 40
Akron 24

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 35
Akron 24

Total Points: 59

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Western Michigan	34	Akron	24	Western Michigan -9.5	Western Michigan	48.5	Over
2021	11/09	Western Michigan	45	Akron	40	Western Michigan -24.5	Akron	62.0	Over
2020	11/04	Akron	13	Western Michigan	58	Western Michigan -20	Western Michigan	52.0	Over
2017	10/15	Western Michigan	13	Akron	14	Western Michigan -12.5	Akron	54.5	Under
2016	10/15	Akron	0	Western Michigan	41	Western Michigan -10.5	Western Michigan	67.0	Under
2011	11/25	Western Michigan	68	Akron	19
2010	10/23	Akron	10	Western Michigan	56
2007	10/06	Western Michigan	38	Akron	39
2006	11/24	Akron	0	Western Michigan	17
2001	10/06	Western Michigan	31	Akron	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	8	3	3 Overs
Akron	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	1 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 4	4 - 1	2 - 0	2 - 1

(#121) AKR at (#103) WMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	WMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#121	#103
SP+SP+	#123	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#135	#40
OffenseOff	#132	#7
DefenseDef	#127	#103
Spec TeamsST	#124	#70
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#62	#102

Akron Notes(11/27) Upset Toledo in finale. Outgained by 100+
(11/27) Won 3 of last 5, competitive team most of season
(11/18) Run game awful vs N Ill, 50 rush, 19/52 pass
(10/27) Run game great vs EMU in W, 220 yds, 7.1 ypc
(10/13) Finley great, Rgame awful, 4 TO's in L WMU
(10/4) Pass heavy Off is awful but Run game is worse
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Zips may be CFB #2 worst
(8/16) Ohio St, Rutgers and SC? Why?
(8/16) Off was dead last LY. Not much TY
(7/30) Def has some pieces, DB's need rebuild
(7/30) HC Moorhead has 4 wins in 2 yrs. Hot Seat?
(7/30) New QB Finley (Cal) has no proven weapons into '24
Akron Injury Report

Western Michigan Notes(12/15) Good fight in bowl (S Al), Run Def torched 260+
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC
(7/30) Lost OC/DCs. Hired OC/DC both fired LY (L Tech/IU)
Western Michigan Injury Report

Akron on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	WMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#103
SuccessSuc	#114	#128
ExplosiveExp	#66	#45
PPAPPA	#122	#122
PowerPwr	#118	#113
SP+SP+	#129	#120
Pts POPPO	#120	#119
HavocHav	#85	#44

Akron Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#112	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	#64	#115
Run ExplRExp	#93	#81
PPAExp	#114	#105
Run BlockR Blk	#132	-
OL YdsOLY	#103	#96
Stuff RateStuff	#100	#99
TackleTak	-	#82

Akron Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	AKR Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#89
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#132
Pass ExplPExl	#54	#31
PPAExp	#118	#127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#128	#92
F7 HavocF7	#77	#66
DB HavocDB	#91	#19

Western Michigan on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	AKR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#127
SuccessSuc	#33	#101
ExplosiveExp	#74	#54
PPAPPA	#43	#91
PowerPwr	#41	#90
SP+SP+	#86	#117
Pts POPPO	#49	#108
HavocHav	#55	#96

Western Michigan Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#40	#115
Run SuccessRSuc	#59	#55
Run ExplRExp	#33	#66
PPAExp	#43	#57
Run BlockR Blk	#3	-
OL YdsOLY	#62	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#67	#37
TackleTak	-	#136

Western Michigan Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#76	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#126
Pass ExplPExl	#98	#45
PPAExp	#40	#122
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#19	#124
F7 HavocF7	#64	#95
DB HavocDB	#59	#90

Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Western Michigan -9.5 (48.5)
Western Michigan won vs Akron this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Akron last year (34-24)

AKR's OC Taylor Housewright (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ben Finley (Tr)	211	387	55%	2581	16	9	6.7
Tahj Bullock	22	30	73%	200	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	110	664	2	6.0	73
Charles Kellom	85	358	1	4.2	43
Tahj Bullock	53	138	8	2.6	15
Ben Finley (Tr)	80	51	0	0.6	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Adrian Norton	43	832	7	19.3	60
Bobby Golden	31	446	1	14.4	56
Ahmarian Granger	17	308	2	18.1	72
Jacob Newell	35	254	2	7.3	29

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan McCoy	120	3	0	3	2
Paul Lewis III (Tr)	76	6	0	1	6
Darrian Lewis	72	3	0	0	6
Antavious Fish	67	2	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	55	12	6	4	0
Bennett Adler	34	7	3	5	1
Kabbash Richards	9	6	2	0	0
Dimitri Madden (Tr)	4	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Devonte Nelson	33	1	0	7
Darrian Lewis	72	3	0	6
Paul Lewis III (Tr)	76	6	1	6

WMU's OC Walt Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hayden Wolff	191	285	67%	2214	17	7	7.8
Broc Lowry (Tr)	4	8	50%	21	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Nixon	132	874	12	6.6	92
Jalen Buckley	120	657	8	5.5	61
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	104	567	3	5.5	70
Broc Lowry (Tr)	22	123	3	5.6	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenneth Womack	34	456	1	13.4	41
Blake Bosma	37	403	6	10.9	55
Anthony Sambucci	31	376	2	12.1	54
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	28	227	1	8.1	31

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Scott Power (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donald Willis	109	7	1	4	4
Tate Hallock	84	5	0	0	5
Jacob Wahlberg	78	2	1	1	1
Bilhal Kone	70	1	0	2	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Walker	38	7	6	3	5
Mason Nelson	31	9	3	1	1
Isaiah Green	28	3	2	4	0
Donald Willis	109	7	1	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bilhal Kone	70	1	0	2	8
Nyquan Washington	31	3	0	0	5
Corey Walker	38	7	6	3	5