Western Michigan at Marshall - 2024 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo Western Michigan Broncos at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Marshall -3.5 (53.5) (-166)  Open: -6.0
Marshall 27 - Western Michigan: 20

 
Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Marshall -13   (SP+ MRSH -13)

Projected Score: WMU: 21 - MRSH: 34 (56)
MRSH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 315 miles
Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Western Michigan at Wisconsin+24.057.0L 14 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Western Michigan at Ohio State+37.554.5L 0 - 56ON
Sat 9/14 Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman-33.554.5W 59 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Western Michigan at Marshall+3.553.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 10/5 Western Michigan at Ball State-10.057.5W 45 - 42ON
Sat 10/12 Western Michigan vs Akron-9.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 10/19 Western Michigan at Buffalo-1.049.5W 48 - 41OY
Sat 10/26 Western Michigan vs Kent State-19.061.0W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois+2.551.5L 28 - 42ON
Tue 11/12 Western Michigan at Bowling Green+9.557.5L 13 - 31UN
Tue 11/19 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-6.056.0L 14 - 16UN
Sat 11/30 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-6.556.5W 26 - 18UY
Sat 12/14 Western Michigan vs South Alabama+6.053.5L 23 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Marshall's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Marshall vs Stony Brook-32.556.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Marshall at Virginia Tech+20.552.5L 14 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Marshall at Ohio State+40.057.0L 14 - 49OY
Sat 9/28 Marshall vs Western Michigan-3.553.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Marshall vs App State-3.056.5W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/12 Marshall at Georgia Southern+1.058.5L 23 - 24UY
Thu 10/17 Marshall vs Georgia State-9.551.5W 35 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Marshall vs UL Monroe-10.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 11/9 Marshall at Southern Miss-13.553.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Marshall vs Coastal Carolina-7.557.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 11/23 Marshall at Old Dominion+3.051.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Marshall at James Madison+2.552.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 12/7 Marshall at Louisiana+5.058.0W 31 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)28.945% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)31.348% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)31.845% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)23.143% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1328.92245.2%4.11119371184187555%45%45%46%15%.24
MRSH Defense1323.120.340%3.871.5 - - - - - 53%46%43%37%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1331.334.449.1%4.381.6 - - - - - 56%44%48%51%18%.29
MRSH Offense1331.836.342.9%3.930.7203842031815.259%41%45%40%13%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1329:5819.535%59%4.139.211.64.21.5131.3
Marshall1328:3919.840%59%5.442.50.71.56.62.6231.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1355% (35)45% (59)36.8184.2528 (25).18 (43)3.05 (62)75% (53)10% (64)1.07 (33)
MRSH Defense1353% (99)43% (75) - - - - .17 (93)2.95 (57)70% (50)12% (30)1.11 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1356% (123)48% (115) - - - - .19 (105)3.18 (96)76% (84)10% (66)1.01 (81)
MRSH Offense1359% (12)45% (47)38.8202.55.221 (59).22 (27)3.35 (18)76% (49)8% (32)1.06 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1345% (100)46% (27)16.324.91877.511.518 (68)9 (48).32 (40)1.5 (98)28% (16)31% (71).27 (91)6% (59)1.9 (108)
MRSH Defense1346% (37)37% (21) - - - - - - 13 (31).13 (23)1.6 (58)34% (37)26% (14).24 (40)7% (25)2.2 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1344% (12)51% (132) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (127)1.5 (31)27% (125)33% (103).33 (81)8% (19)1.9 (39)
MRSH Offense1341% (123)40% (88)14.925.6181.17.112.127 (20)4 (1).23 (82)1.7 (36)30% (36)30% (84).25 (98)5% (52)2 (76)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.37   Marshall: 2.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.2   Marshall: 3.1




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 34
Western Michigan 21


Total Points: 56

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Marshall27Western Michigan20MarshallMarshall -3.5Marshall53.5Under
200411/20Marshall31Western Michigan21Marshall
200310/25Western Michigan21Marshall41Marshall
200010/04Marshall10Western Michigan30Western Michigan
200012/01Marshall19Western Michigan14Marshall
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall410 Overs
Western Michigan101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams2 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#103) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Michigan has won 1 straight
Western Michigan has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 5 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Western Michigan Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC

Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan has Really Good Running Game (#108)
Western Michigan Secondary is very good (#108)
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Western Michigan commits very few Penalties (#91)

Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMRSHWMU
OverallOver#33#31
OffenseOff#78#7
DefenseDef#16#83
Special TeamsST#19#58
PassingPass#66#60
RushingRush#45#27
Run BlockRBLK#71#3
Pass BlockPBLK#44#19
Route RunningWR Rt#92#45
TacklingTkl#18#71
Run DefenseR Def#59#84
Pass Rush DefPRush#23#78
Coverage DefCov#3#72

Rematch from Week 5
Marshall -3.5 (53.5)
Marshall won vs Western Michigan this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Western Michigan last year (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | MRSH
Depth Chart: WMU | MRSH
Rosters: WMU | MRSH
(#71) Marshall Info
Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Marshall has lost 2 straight
Marshall has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Marshall Notes
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)

Marshall Highlights
Marshall is Undefeated at Home

Marshall has Really Good Running Game (#56)
Marshall has a top Offensive Line (#120)
Marshall Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Marshall has a good pass defense (#109)
Marshall Front 7 is disruptive (#56)
Marshall Secondary is very good (#88)
Marshall has a great TO Margin (#28)

Marshall Deficiencies


  
Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hayden Wolff19128567%22141777.8
Broc Lowry (Tr)4850%21002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaden Nixon132874126.692
Jalen Buckley12065785.561
Zahir Abdus-Salaam10456735.570
Broc Lowry (Tr)2212335.640
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenneth Womack34456113.441
Blake Bosma37403610.955
Anthony Sambucci31376212.154
Zahir Abdus-Salaam2822718.131

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Scott Power
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donald Willis1097144
Tate Hallock845005
Jacob Wahlberg782111
Bilhal Kone701028
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Walker387635
Mason Nelson319311
Isaiah Green283240
Donald Willis1097144
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bilhal Kone701028
Nyquan Washington313005
Corey Walker387635

Marshall's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)12420660%16241927.9
Stone Earle6512054%673725.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Turner10486468.388
Braylon Braxton (Tr)13461044.635
Jordan Houston (Tr)11159225.345
Ethan Payne6532375.036
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)34576616.969
Charles Montgomery32393312.330
Carl Chester (Tr)20342317.142
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)2019439.728

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Jason Semore
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Yates1147162
J.J. Roberts9451312
Michael Green782117152
Landyn Watson664030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Green782117152
D'Vion Harris538421
Jabari Ishmael223251
Chris Thomas Jr.444242
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.J. Roberts9451312
Jacobie Henderson5020010
Josh Moten380005