Western Michigan at Marshall Game Matchup

Western Michigan Broncos at Marshall Thundering Herd

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Marshall -3.5 (53.5) (-166) Open: -6.0
Marshall 27 - Western Michigan: 20

Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (22 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
WMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Marshall -13 (SP+ MRSH -13)
Projected Score: WMU: 21 - MRSH: 34 (58)
MRSH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 315 miles

Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
MRSH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Western Michigan at Wisconsin	+24.0	57.0	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Western Michigan at Ohio State	+37.5	54.5	L 0 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/14	Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman	-33.5	54.5	W 59 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Western Michigan at Marshall	+3.5	53.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/5	Western Michigan at Ball State	-10.0	57.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/12	Western Michigan vs Akron	-9.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Western Michigan at Buffalo	-1.0	49.5	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Western Michigan vs Kent State	-19.0	61.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+2.5	51.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/12	Western Michigan at Bowling Green	+9.5	57.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 11/19	Western Michigan at Central Michigan	-6.0	56.0	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/30	Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	56.5	W 26 - 18	U	Y
Sat 12/14	Western Michigan vs South Alabama	+6.0	53.5	L 23 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Marshall's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Marshall vs Stony Brook	-32.5	56.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Marshall at Virginia Tech	+20.5	52.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Marshall at Ohio State	+40.0	57.0	L 14 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Marshall vs Western Michigan	-3.5	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Marshall vs App State	-3.0	56.5	W 52 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Marshall at Georgia Southern	+1.0	58.5	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Thu 10/17	Marshall vs Georgia State	-9.5	51.5	W 35 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Marshall vs UL Monroe	-10.5	48.0	W 28 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/9	Marshall at Southern Miss	-13.5	53.5	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Marshall vs Coastal Carolina	-7.5	57.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Marshall at Old Dominion	+3.0	51.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Marshall at James Madison	+2.5	52.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Marshall at Louisiana	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	#85 (.16)	40% (90)	28.9	41% (87)	3.09 (71)	153	40% (87)	211	3.89 (72)	#92 (.22)	44% (101)	31.3	46% (99)	44% (99)	4.15 (105)	62.3	1.1	1.5
MRSH	#101 (.13)	39% (108)	31.8	38% (121)	2.7 (125)	133	41% (81)	226	2.7 (128)	#31 (.13)	38% (25)	23.1	37% (20)	40% (41)	3.15 (18)	58.9	2.2	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	12	28.9	22	40.3%	3.89	1.1	20	365	153	211	3.8	54%	45%	41%	40%	16%	.16
MRSH Defense	13	23.1	20.3	37.9%	3.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	40%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	12	31.3	34.4	44.3%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	46%	44%	19%	.22
MRSH Offense	13	31.8	36.3	38.7%	2.7	2.2	18	359	133	226	3.8	48%	50%	38%	41%	20%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	12	29:55	19.6	36%	49%	7.1	62.3	1.1	1.5	5.2	2	0	28.3
Marshall	13	29:27	18.2	31%	24%	6.5	58.9	2.2	1.4	6.5	2.5	4	28.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	12	54% (38)	41% (87)	39.9	153.3	3.8	21 (54)	.15 (73)	3.09 (71)	75% (58)	10% (66)	1 (65)
MRSH Defense	13	48% (39)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	.11 (43)	2.81 (23)	64% (23)	11% (43)	1.2 (126)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	12	50% (74)	46% (99)	-	-	-	-	.17 (91)	3.48 (127)	81% (112)	11% (44)	0.95 (40)
MRSH Offense	13	48% (86)	38% (121)	34.8	132.7	3.8	21 (54)	.13 (79)	2.7 (125)	74% (62)	13% (126)	1.14 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	12	45% (98)	40% (87)	20.6	32.8	211.2	6.5	10.3	13 (111)	9 (40)	.2 (96)	1.5 (105)	30% (29)	25% (113)	.25 (93)	6% (88)	2 (96)
MRSH Defense	13	51% (91)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.2 (28)	1.6 (74)	35% (34)	30% (61)	.27 (46)	7% (26)	2.2 (107)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	12	48% (47)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.33 (104)	1.6 (78)	31% (94)	30% (71)	.23 (29)	9% (7)	1.9 (31)
MRSH Offense	13	50% (58)	41% (81)	20.6	32.7	226.2	6.9	11	12 (113)	18 (128)	.19 (97)	1.4 (126)	34% (98)	26% (105)	.23 (99)	6% (86)	2.1 (51)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 514.62
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.37 Marshall: 2.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -10.2 Marshall: 3.1

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Marshall 34
Western Michigan 21

Projected Total Points: 58

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Marshall	27	Western Michigan	20	Marshall	Marshall -3.5	Marshall	53.5	Under
2004	11/20	Marshall	31	Western Michigan	21	Marshall
2003	10/25	Western Michigan	21	Marshall	41	Marshall
2000	10/04	Marshall	10	Western Michigan	30	Western Michigan
2000	12/01	Marshall	19	Western Michigan	14	Marshall

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Marshall	4	1	0 Overs
Western Michigan	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#103) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.37 #103
Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120
Talent Rating: 588.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Western Michigan Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC

Western Michigan Ratings Matchup Marshall

Power #103

#71

Off #41

#82

Def #113

#57

Talent #79

#96

SP+ #105

#58

SP+ Off #86

#50

SP+ Def #120

#71

Rematch from Week 5
Marshall -3.5 (53.5)
Marshall won vs Western Michigan this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Western Michigan last year (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 71° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.035

Team Information
Injuries: WMU | MRSH
Depth Chart: WMU | MRSH
Rosters: WMU | MRSH

(#71) Marshall Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Marshall Notes
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)

Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Broc Lowry (Tr)	4	8	50%	21	0	0	2.6
Ryan Millmore	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Nixon	132	874	12	6.6	92
Jalen Buckley	120	657	8	5.5	61
Broc Lowry (Tr)	22	123	3	5.6	40
Jamal Hailey	6	60	1	10.0	48

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malique Dieudonne	12	209	2	17.4	43
Jordin Parker (Tr)	12	140	0	11.7	38
Jalen Buckley	12	98	0	8.2	24
Christopher Toudle	8	91	1	11.4	23

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

Western Michigan's DC Scott Power

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tate Hallock	84	5	0	0	5
Aaron Wofford	64	2	1	1	4
Corey Walker	38	7	6	3	5
Anterio Thompson (Tr)	34	2	1	5	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Walker	38	7	6	3	5
Mason Nelson	31	9	3	1	1
Isaiah Green	28	3	2	4	0
Popeye Williams (Tr)	19	2	1	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tate Hallock	84	5	0	0	5
Corey Walker	38	7	6	3	5
Nyquan Washington	31	3	0	0	5

Marshall's OC Seth Doege

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	124	206	60%	1624	19	2	7.9
Stone Earle	65	120	54%	673	7	2	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
A.J. Turner	104	864	6	8.3	88
Braylon Braxton (Tr)	134	610	4	4.6	35
Jordan Houston (Tr)	111	592	2	5.3	45
Stone Earle	57	207	0	3.6	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)	34	576	6	16.9	69
Charles Montgomery	32	393	3	12.3	30
Carl Chester (Tr)	20	342	3	17.1	42
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)	20	194	3	9.7	28

View Marshall's Full Roster

Marshall's DC Jason Semore

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Yates	114	7	1	6	2
Landyn Watson	66	4	0	3	0
AG McGhee	54	1	0	0	0
D'Vion Harris	53	8	4	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Vion Harris	53	8	4	2	1
Chris Thomas Jr.	44	4	2	4	2
Jabari Ishmael	22	3	2	5	1
RaQuan Thompson (Tr)	20	3	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jacobie Henderson	50	2	10
Josh Moten	38	0	5
Ian Foster	48	5	4