Kent State at Western Michigan - 2024 Matchup Preview

Kent State Golden Flashes at Western Michigan Broncos

Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -19.0 (61.0) (-900) Open: -17.0 | 59.0
Western Michigan 52 - Kent State: 21 (Mid-American)

Golden Flashes (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (18 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#134)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KENT 2nd straight Road Game
WMU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -25 (SP+ WMU -23)
Projected Score: KENT: 16 - WMU: 41 (56)
WMU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
KENT Travel: 235 miles

Broncos (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KENT Players
WMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kent State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kent State at Pittsburgh	+23.5	55.5	L 24 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/7	Kent State vs St. Francis (PA)	-17.5	49.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kent State at Tennessee	+49.5	61.5	L 0 - 71	O	N
Sat 9/21	Kent State at Penn State	+49.0	58.0	L 0 - 56	U	N
Sat 9/28	Kent State vs Eastern Michigan	+14.0	46.0	L 33 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kent State vs Ball State	+3.0	58.0	L 35 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Kent State at Bowling Green	+24.0	54.5	L 6 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Kent State at Western Michigan	+19.0	61.0	L 21 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Kent State vs Ohio	+20.5	53.5	L 0 - 41	U	N
Wed 11/13	Kent State at Miami (OH)	+31.0	47.5	L 7 - 34	U	Y
Tue 11/19	Kent State vs Akron	+10.5	49.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Tue 11/26	Kent State at Buffalo	+23.5	50.5	L 7 - 43	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Western Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Western Michigan at Wisconsin	+24.0	57.0	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Western Michigan at Ohio State	+37.5	54.5	L 0 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/14	Western Michigan vs Bethune-Cookman	-33.5	54.5	W 59 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Western Michigan at Marshall	+3.5	53.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/5	Western Michigan at Ball State	-10.0	57.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/12	Western Michigan vs Akron	-9.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Western Michigan at Buffalo	-1.0	49.5	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Western Michigan vs Kent State	-19.0	61.0	W 52 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6	Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois	+2.5	51.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/12	Western Michigan at Bowling Green	+9.5	57.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 11/19	Western Michigan at Central Michigan	-6.0	56.0	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/30	Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	56.5	W 26 - 18	U	Y
Sat 12/14	Western Michigan vs South Alabama	+6.0	53.5	L 23 - 30	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT	#125 (.05)	35% (130)	21.3	32% (133)	2.84 (113)	106	40% (89)	165	3.27 (110)	#125 (.32)	45% (111)	33.6	47% (108)	44% (97)	4.88 (132)	46.2	1	0.8
WMU	#85 (.16)	40% (90)	24.9	41% (87)	3.09 (71)	153	40% (87)	211	3.89 (72)	#92 (.22)	44% (101)	17.4	46% (99)	44% (99)	4.15 (105)	62.3	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Offense	12	21.3	17.7	35.2%	3.27	1	15	270	106	165	2.9	53%	47%	32%	40%	19%	.05
WMU Defense	12	17.4	15.7	44.3%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	46%	44%	19%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENT Defense	12	33.6	42.9	45%	4.88	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	47%	44%	13%	.32
WMU Offense	12	24.9	29	40.3%	3.89	1.1	20	365	153	211	3.8	54%	45%	41%	40%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kent State	12	28:49	15	30%	46%	5.4	46.2	1	0.8	4.1	0.9	0	28.4
Western Michigan	12	29:55	19.6	36%	49%	7.1	62.3	1.1	1.5	5.2	2	0	28.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Offense	12	53% (44)	32% (133)	36.8	105.9	2.9	8 (130)	-.03 (132)	2.84 (113)	67% (109)	12% (117)	0.91 (105)
WMU Defense	12	50% (74)	46% (99)	-	-	-	-	.17 (91)	3.48 (127)	81% (112)	11% (44)	0.95 (40)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENT Defense	12	56% (124)	47% (108)	-	-	-	-	.24 (117)	3.23 (98)	79% (107)	7% (131)	1.08 (106)
WMU Offense	12	54% (38)	41% (87)	39.9	153.3	3.8	21 (54)	.15 (73)	3.09 (71)	75% (58)	10% (66)	1 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Offense	12	47% (90)	40% (89)	13.3	25.5	164.5	6.5	12.3	11 (117)	6 (14)	.16 (110)	1.6 (72)	36% (122)	25% (112)	.18 (108)	7% (99)	2 (76)
WMU Defense	12	48% (47)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.33 (104)	1.6 (78)	31% (94)	30% (71)	.23 (29)	9% (7)	1.9 (31)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENT Defense	12	43% (14)	44% (97)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.44 (127)	1.8 (117)	32% (73)	31% (76)	.33 (79)	6% (91)	2 (55)
WMU Offense	12	45% (98)	40% (87)	20.6	32.8	211.2	6.5	10.3	13 (111)	9 (40)	.2 (96)	1.5 (105)	30% (29)	25% (113)	.25 (93)	6% (88)	2 (96)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -32.59 #134
Kent State's Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Kent State's Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
2024 Talent Rating: 231.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kent State's 2024 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Kent State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -32.59 Western Michigan: -7.785

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -33.0 Western Michigan: -10.2

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -7.785 #103
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 22.99 #41
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.82 #113
2024 Talent Rating: 288.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Western Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Western Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #86
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 247.58
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.9

Kent State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 41
Kent State 16

Projected Total Points: 56

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Western Michigan	52	Kent State	21	Western Michigan -19.0	Western Michigan	61.0	Over
2021	10/16	Western Michigan	64	Kent State	31	Western Michigan -7	Western Michigan	68.5	Over
2017	11/08	Western Michigan	48	Kent State	20	Western Michigan -20.5	Western Michigan	45.5	Over
2016	11/08	Kent State	21	Western Michigan	37	Western Michigan -18.5	Kent State	55.0	Over
2013	09/28	Western Michigan	14	Kent State	32	Western Michigan -2	Kent State	0
2012	10/20	Kent State	41	Western Michigan	24
2010	11/20	Western Michigan	38	Kent State	3
2009	10/31	Kent State	26	Western Michigan	14
2005	10/29	Western Michigan	44	Kent State	14
2000	10/27	Kent State	0	Western Michigan	42

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	7	3	4 Overs
Kent State	3	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 3	4 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 7	1 - 4	0 - 1	1 - 3

(#134) KENT at (#103) WMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KENT	WMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#134	#103
SP+SP+	#134	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#136	#40
OffenseOff	#136	#7
DefenseDef	#130	#103
Spec TeamsST	#108	#70
TalentTal	#105	#79
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Kent State Notes(11/27) 0-12, killed by Buff. CFB worst, HC Burns 1-23
(11/27) Avg score 14 -44. Total outscored 529-167
(11/18) Took 1st lead vs M OH, all 34 straight, may not W
(11/7) CFB worst. New Fr QB new suck. Rgame sucks
(11/7) Have never had a lead in any game at 0-9
(10/22) Def stop rate last in CFB (36%) into week 9
(10/13) Pass game expl in shootout L (Ball St). Def bad
(10/4) Sched brutal but bottom 5 in Every Off/Def stat
(9/29) Outscored 234-57 by four P4 opps this year
(9/26) Top 2 QBs out for season, 3rd QB looks hurt
(9/26) Worst team in CFB, top QBs hurt. Burns sucks?
(9/26) Outrushed 207-78 in L vs St Francis?
Kent State Injury Report

Western Michigan Notes(12/15) Good fight in bowl (S Al), Run Def torched 260+
(11/25) 3 str L's, zero Rgame, QB sucked, Vs EMU 4 bowl
(11/13) QBs/Rgame awful vs BG, Run Def torched in L
(11/7) TO's, stupidity cost vs N Ill. QB Wolff a fraud
(10/22) Def stop rate 47% (#125) into week 9
(10/20) Off torched Buffalo, Def awful vs both Pass & Run
(10/18) Better than record, sched rough, close losses
(10/13) Rgame good, Pass D torched by Akron. Def 4 TOs
(10/4) Run a lot w/ good success. Def awful so far
(10/4) Let's see how they play now sched lightens up
(8/15) DBs supposed to be near the best in the MAC
(7/30) Lost OC/DCs. Hired OC/DC both fired LY (L Tech/IU)
Western Michigan Injury Report

Kent State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	WMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#103
SuccessSuc	#130	#101
ExplosiveExp	#83	#56
PPAPPA	#125	#92
PowerPwr	#130	#113
SP+SP+	#133	#120
Pts POPPO	#110	#105
HavocHav	#111	#13

Kent State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#135	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	#133	#99
Run ExplRExp	#105	#40
PPAExp	#132	#91
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	#113	#127
Stuff RateStuff	#64	#101
TackleTak	-	#82

Kent State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	KENT Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#89
Pass SuccessPSuc	#89	#99
Pass ExplPExl	#72	#78
PPAExp	#110	#104
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#92
F7 HavocF7	#117	#44
DB HavocDB	#99	#7

Western Michigan on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	KENT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#130
SuccessSuc	#90	#111
ExplosiveExp	#104	#106
PPAPPA	#85	#125
PowerPwr	#41	#133
SP+SP+	#86	#134
Pts POPPO	#72	#132
HavocHav	#71	#122

Western Michigan Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	KENT Def
Run GameRun	#40	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#87	#108
Run ExplRExp	#65	#106
PPAExp	#73	#117
Run BlockR Blk	#3	-
OL YdsOLY	#71	#98
Stuff RateStuff	#21	#108
TackleTak	-	#113

Western Michigan Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	WMU Off	KENT Def
Pass GamePass	#76	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	#87	#97
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#117
PPAExp	#96	#127
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#19	#71
F7 HavocF7	#66	#131
DB HavocDB	#88	#91

Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

KENT 5 Year Profile: Declining Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Western Michigan -19.0 (61.0)
Western Michigan won vs Kent State this year (52-21)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Kent State in 2024 (52-21)

KENT's OC Mark Carney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tommy Ulatowski	81	175	46%	1342	15	8	7.7
Devin Kargman	45	82	55%	432	3	2	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ky Thomas	135	550	1	4.1	38
Curtis Douglas	48	145	0	3.0	19
Jahzae Kimbrough	27	114	0	4.2	18
Ayden Harris	29	110	1	3.8	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	40	705	9	17.6	68
Luke Floriea	44	688	7	15.6	80
Jay Jay Etheridge	14	137	1	9.8	37
Dashawn Martin	8	108	0	13.5	27

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC David Duggan (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka	90	3	0	5
Mason Woods (Tr)	68	4	0	1
Tevin Tucker	65	2	0	2
Rocco Nicholl	61	1	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Olds (Tr)	42	7	6	2	1
Stephen Daley	51	9	4	6	3
Matt Harmon	56	7	2	5	1
Kaden Beatty	19	3	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka	90	3	0	0	5
Naim Muhammad	24	2	1	1	3
Stephen Daley	51	9	4	6	3

WMU's OC Walt Bell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hayden Wolff	191	285	67%	2214	17	7	7.8
Broc Lowry (Tr)	4	8	50%	21	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Nixon	132	874	12	6.6	92
Jalen Buckley	120	657	8	5.5	61
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	104	567	3	5.5	70
Broc Lowry (Tr)	22	123	3	5.6	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenneth Womack	34	456	1	13.4	41
Blake Bosma	37	403	6	10.9	55
Anthony Sambucci	31	376	2	12.1	54
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	28	227	1	8.1	31

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Scott Power (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donald Willis	109	7	1	4	4
Tate Hallock	84	5	0	0	5
Jacob Wahlberg	78	2	1	1	1
Bilhal Kone	70	1	0	2	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Walker	38	7	6	3	5
Mason Nelson	31	9	3	1	1
Isaiah Green	28	3	2	4	0
Donald Willis	109	7	1	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bilhal Kone	70	1	0	2	8
Nyquan Washington	31	3	0	0	5
Corey Walker	38	7	6	3	5