Southern Miss at UL Monroe - 2024 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
UL Monroe -4.5 (41.0) (-185)  Open: -4.5
UL Monroe 38 - Southern Miss: 21  (Sun Belt)

 
Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ULM 2nd straight Home Game
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UL Monroe -10.5  (SP+ ULM -9)

Projected Score: USM: 17 - ULM: 28 (45)
ULM Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 181 miles
Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southern Miss at Kentucky+25.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana-17.553.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Southern Miss vs South Florida+13.058.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Southern Miss at Jacksonville State+6.059.5L 7 - 44UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+17.557.5L 13 - 23UY
Sat 10/12 Southern Miss at UL Monroe+4.541.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State+7.057.0L 28 - 44ON
Sat 10/26 Southern Miss at James Madison+24.054.0L 15 - 32UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Southern Miss vs Marshall+13.553.5L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/16 Southern Miss at Texas State+27.556.5L 3 - 58ON
Sat 11/23 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+24.054.0L 14 - 35UY
Sat 11/30 Southern Miss at Troy+17.548.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UL Monroe vs Jackson State-4.545.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 9/7 UL Monroe vs UAB+10.555.5W 32 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 UL Monroe at Texas+43.554.5L 3 - 51UN
Sat 9/28 UL Monroe at Troy+6.046.0W 13 - 9UY
Sat 10/5 UL Monroe vs James Madison+16.548.5W 21 - 19UY
Sat 10/12 UL Monroe vs Southern Miss-4.541.0W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 UL Monroe at South Alabama+7.045.0L 17 - 46ON
Sat 11/2 UL Monroe at Marshall+10.548.0L 23 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 UL Monroe vs Texas State+9.550.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/16 UL Monroe at Auburn+24.546.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 UL Monroe at Arkansas State+3.051.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 UL Monroe vs Louisiana+8.550.5L 23 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)15.340% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)37.845% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)2140% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)28.853% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1215.31134.7%2.752.4162841091753.249%51%40%30%26%
ULM Defense1228.822.546.9%4.121.1 - - - - - 57%42%53%39%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1237.842.544.1%4.170.8 - - - - - 55%45%45%43%14%.3
ULM Offense122126.837.4%3.331.3153081731354.662%37%40%33%15%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1227:2215.525%44%648.32.40.85.41.7226.5
UL Monroe1230:4615.333%67%5.943.31.31.14.21.5130.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1249% (79)40% (108)34.21093.213 (105).06 (103)2.59 (126)61% (124)18% (133)1 (53)
ULM Defense1257% (127)53% (134) - - - - .24 (122)3.48 (129)89% (133)8% (117)0.89 (26)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1255% (116)45% (89) - - - - .27 (129)3.22 (101)71% (54)10% (80)1.21 (131)
ULM Offense1262% (6)40% (102)37.8172.84.617 (84).16 (54)2.93 (87)74% (64)10% (75)1.12 (15)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1251% (55)30% (133)13.826.5174.96.612.67 (130)17 (127)-.05 (134)1.7 (30)38% (130)24% (125).15 (129)8% (122)2.1 (45)
ULM Defense1242% (6)39% (53) - - - - - - 6 (109).17 (38)1.5 (20)29% (110)30% (53).27 (50)5% (111)1.8 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1245% (20)43% (93) - - - - - - 6 (109).35 (114)1.7 (114)31% (77)35% (114).51 (124)5% (113)2.2 (116)
ULM Offense1237% (128)33% (128)11.220.5134.86.612.111 (122)12 (85).14 (110)1.9 (8)34% (118)28% (106).27 (92)5% (26)2 (87)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -29.09  #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03  #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37  #125
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6  #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4  #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #128

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -29.09   UL Monroe: -16.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -25.6   UL Monroe: -16.7




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -16.885  #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51  #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26  #115
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7  #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9  #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
UL Monroe 28
Southern Miss 17


Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
UL Monroe 30
Southern Miss 15

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
UL Monroe 32
Southern Miss 19

Total Points: 51
UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Southern Miss49UL Monroe21Southern Miss -14Southern Miss48.5Over
202410/12UL Monroe38Southern Miss21UL Monroe -4.5UL Monroe41.0Over
202311/04Southern Miss24UL Monroe7Southern Mississippi -3.0Southern Miss56.0Under
202211/26UL Monroe10Southern Miss20Southern Mississippi -3Southern Miss49.5Under
201809/08Southern Miss20UL Monroe21Southern Mississippi -5UL Monroe67.5Under
201709/16UL Monroe17Southern Miss28Southern Mississippi -7Southern Miss55.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe222 Overs
Southern Miss444 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 33 - 33 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 33 - 32 - 01 - 3

(#133) USM at (#123) ULM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMULM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #133 #123
SP+SP+ #133 #122
Perf GradeGrade #134 #118
OffenseOff #134 #112
DefenseDef #123 #112
Spec TeamsST #88 #118
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #102 #74
Southern Miss Notes
(12/10) Hired HC C Huff (Marshall HC last 6 years)
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers
(7/30) New OC Chip Long (ND), DC Bignell (ND Analyst)
Southern Miss Injury Report
UL Monroe Notes
(12/1) 0-6 finish. Off was awful, Def couldn't hold. TO's
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
(7/30) Def was poor LY does have some exp.
UL Monroe Injury Report
Southern Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffULM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #134 #112
SuccessSuc #130 #120
ExplosiveExp #50 #6
PPAPPA #132 #89
PowerPwr #134 #115
SP+SP+ #130 #106
Pts POPPO #133 #99
HavocHav #133 #120
Southern Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffULM Def
Run GameRun #98 #134
Run SuccessRSuc #108 #134
Run ExplRExp #53 #26
PPAExp #103 #122
Run BlockR Blk #134 -
OL YdsOLY #126 #129
Stuff RateStuff #132 #127
TackleTak -  #91
Southern Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffULM Def
Pass GamePass #127 #35
Pass SuccessPSuc #133 #53
Pass ExplPExl #30 #20
PPAExp #134 #38
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #105 #100
F7 HavocF7 #133 #117
DB HavocDB #122 #111
UL Monroe on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCatULM OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112 #123
SuccessSuc #121 #97
ExplosiveExp #15 #124
PPAPPA #94 #125
PowerPwr #124 #125
SP+SP+ #126 #128
Pts POPPO #117 #104
HavocHav #48 #97
UL Monroe Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat
ULM OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #15 #125
Run SuccessRSuc #102 #89
Run ExplRExp #15 #131
PPAExp #54 #129
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLY #87 #101
Stuff RateStuff #63 #60
TackleTak -  #135
UL Monroe Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCatULM OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #109 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #128 #93
Pass ExplPExl #8 #114
PPAExp #110 #114
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #62
F7 HavocF7 #75 #80
DB HavocDB #26 #113
Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 86°
Rematch from Week 7
UL Monroe -4.5 (41.0)
UL Monroe won vs Southern Miss this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Southern Miss last year (38-21)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2023 (24-7)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2022 (20-10)

  
USM's OC Chip Long (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tate Rodemaker (Tr)9816559%985776.0
Ethan Crawford5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodrigues Clark12460414.954
Kenyon Clay8438774.670
Ethan Crawford9720932.221
Jalen Washington2611814.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry Simmons (Tr)27421115.675
Tiaquelin Mims33393111.956
Kenyon Clay21225110.737
Kyirin Heath (Tr)15210214.034

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Clay Bignell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Pinkney (Tr)745120
Jay Jones463033
Chris Jones463101
Ja'Len Sims455113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brodarius Lewis398400
Ryan Johnson (Tr)234390
Jalil Clemons347330
Jameer Lewis245251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will James (Tr)352007
Ques McNeal292004
Ja'Len Sims455113

ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta10218854%12949106.9
General Booty (Tr)295454%306225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy2371352135.780
James Jones7933614.324
Taven Curry (Tr)3215304.815
Hunter Herring1611627.344
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Godfrey24265211.057
Davon Wells2926229.051
Tyler Griffin (Tr)8193124.140
Javon Campbell8176122.044

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Travor Randle634128
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen416451
Tristan Shorter164331
Kevontay Wells4610350
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travor Randle634128
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014