Southern Miss at UL Monroe - 2024 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at UL Monroe Warhawks

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
UL Monroe -4.5 (41.0) (-185) Open: -4.5
UL Monroe 38 - Southern Miss: 21 (Sun Belt)

Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ULM 2nd straight Home Game
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UL Monroe -10.5 (SP+ ULM -9)
Projected Score: USM: 18 - ULM: 28 (46)
ULM Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 181 miles

Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (18 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
ULM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Southern Miss at Kentucky	+25.5	50.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/7	Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana	-17.5	53.5	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Southern Miss vs South Florida	+13.0	58.5	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/21	Southern Miss at Jacksonville State	+6.0	59.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Southern Miss vs Louisiana	+17.5	57.5	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Southern Miss at UL Monroe	+4.5	41.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/19	Southern Miss vs Arkansas State	+7.0	57.0	L 28 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/26	Southern Miss at James Madison	+24.0	54.0	L 15 - 32	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Southern Miss vs Marshall	+13.5	53.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/16	Southern Miss at Texas State	+27.5	56.5	L 3 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/23	Southern Miss vs South Alabama	+24.0	54.0	L 14 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Southern Miss at Troy	+17.5	48.5	L 20 - 52	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UL Monroe vs Jackson State	-4.5	45.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UL Monroe vs UAB	+10.5	55.5	W 32 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	UL Monroe at Texas	+43.5	54.5	L 3 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/28	UL Monroe at Troy	+6.0	46.0	W 13 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/5	UL Monroe vs James Madison	+16.5	48.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/12	UL Monroe vs Southern Miss	-4.5	41.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	UL Monroe at South Alabama	+7.0	45.0	L 17 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/2	UL Monroe at Marshall	+10.5	48.0	L 23 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/9	UL Monroe vs Texas State	+9.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/16	UL Monroe at Auburn	+24.5	46.0	L 14 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/23	UL Monroe at Arkansas State	+3.0	51.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/30	UL Monroe vs Louisiana	+8.5	50.5	L 23 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	#109 (.12)	37% (121)	28.8	40% (106)	2.89 (107)	163	34% (126)	191	3.07 (121)	#105 (.24)	42% (69)	27.4	41% (49)	45% (109)	4.15 (103)	48.2	1.3	1.4
ULM	#124 (.06)	36% (128)	16.6	40% (97)	3.18 (56)	146	32% (133)	175	2.61 (130)	#107 (.24)	46% (117)	31.9	44% (78)	49% (132)	4.1 (97)	53.6	1.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ULM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	12	28.8	28.4	36.7%	3.07	1.3	20	354	163	191	4	53%	46%	40%	34%	20%	.12
ULM Defense	12	31.9	22	45.6%	4.1	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	49%	15%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	12	27.4	27.6	42.2%	4.15	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	45%	16%	.24
ULM Offense	12	16.6	18.2	35.6%	2.61	1.5	16	321	146	175	4.2	49%	50%	40%	32%	19%	.06

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	12	33:15	20.3	38%	44%	6.3	48.2	1.3	1.4	4.5	2.1	2	28
UL Monroe	12	27:02	15.8	32%	35%	5.9	53.6	1.5	1.6	6.1	2	2	31

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	12	53% (41)	40% (106)	40.5	163.4	4	16 (89)	.13 (80)	2.89 (107)	67% (109)	12% (109)	1.11 (19)
ULM Defense	12	53% (107)	44% (78)	-	-	-	-	.11 (42)	3.06 (58)	75% (78)	11% (55)	0.9 (26)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	12	53% (106)	41% (49)	-	-	-	-	.22 (109)	3.21 (94)	67% (30)	10% (76)	1.24 (129)
ULM Offense	12	49% (78)	40% (97)	34.6	146.3	4.2	7 (131)	.11 (89)	3.18 (56)	74% (63)	12% (100)	0.92 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	12	46% (92)	34% (126)	15.7	30.4	190.7	6.3	12.2	15 (96)	8 (30)	.14 (114)	1.7 (26)	36% (126)	28% (87)	.34 (67)	8% (117)	2.1 (49)
ULM Defense	12	46% (25)	49% (132)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.48 (132)	1.7 (97)	32% (68)	39% (130)	.52 (129)	5% (121)	2 (48)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	12	46% (27)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.32 (101)	1.7 (101)	31% (93)	33% (103)	.4 (106)	6% (63)	2.3 (123)
ULM Offense	12	50% (59)	32% (133)	14.8	28.8	174.8	6.1	11.9	15 (96)	13 (97)	.03 (131)	1.7 (22)	36% (124)	21% (133)	.12 (124)	7% (111)	2.3 (9)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -29.09 #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
2024 Talent Rating: 222.00 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -29.09 UL Monroe: -16.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -25.6 UL Monroe: -16.7

UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -16.885 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 126.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
UL Monroe 28
Southern Miss 18

Projected Total Points: 46

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Southern Miss	49	UL Monroe	21	Southern Miss -14	Southern Miss	48.5	Over
2024	10/12	UL Monroe	38	Southern Miss	21	UL Monroe -4.5	UL Monroe	41.0	Over
2023	11/04	Southern Miss	24	UL Monroe	7	Southern Mississippi -3.0	Southern Miss	56.0	Under
2022	11/26	UL Monroe	10	Southern Miss	20	Southern Mississippi -3	Southern Miss	49.5	Under
2018	09/08	Southern Miss	20	UL Monroe	21	Southern Mississippi -5	UL Monroe	67.5	Under
2017	09/16	UL Monroe	17	Southern Miss	28	Southern Mississippi -7	Southern Miss	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UL Monroe	2	2	2 Overs
Southern Miss	4	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	3 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 3	3 - 3	2 - 0	1 - 3

(#133) USM at (#123) ULM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	ULM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#133	#123
SP+SP+	#133	#122
Perf GradeGrade	#134	#118
OffenseOff	#134	#112
DefenseDef	#123	#112
Spec TeamsST	#88	#118
TalentTal	#110	#129
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#74

Southern Miss Notes(12/10) Hired HC C Huff (Marshall HC last 6 years)
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers
(7/30) New OC Chip Long (ND), DC Bignell (ND Analyst)
Southern Miss Injury Report

UL Monroe Notes(12/1) 0-6 finish. Off was awful, Def couldn't hold. TO's
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back
(7/30) Def was poor LY does have some exp.
UL Monroe Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#112
SuccessSuc	#121	#117
ExplosiveExp	#24	#61
PPAPPA	#109	#107
PowerPwr	#134	#115
SP+SP+	#130	#106
Pts POPPO	#121	#97
HavocHav	#117	#90

Southern Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
Run GameRun	#98	#134
Run SuccessRSuc	#106	#78
Run ExplRExp	#19	#26
PPAExp	#80	#42
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	#107	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#109	#38
TackleTak	-	#91

Southern Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	USM Off	ULM Def
Pass GamePass	#127	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	#126	#132
Pass ExplPExl	#26	#97
PPAExp	#114	#132
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#105	#100
F7 HavocF7	#109	#55
DB HavocDB	#117	#121

UL Monroe on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#123
SuccessSuc	#128	#69
ExplosiveExp	#71	#125
PPAPPA	#124	#105
PowerPwr	#124	#125
SP+SP+	#126	#128
Pts POPPO	#130	#103
HavocHav	#110	#73

UL Monroe Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#15	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	#97	#49
Run ExplRExp	#102	#129
PPAExp	#89	#109
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	#56	#94
Stuff RateStuff	#28	#82
TackleTak	-	#135

UL Monroe Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
CategoryCat	ULM Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	#133	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#22	#101
PPAExp	#131	#101
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#88	#62
F7 HavocF7	#100	#76
DB HavocDB	#111	#63

Program Comparison
ULM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
UL Monroe -4.5 (41.0)
UL Monroe won vs Southern Miss this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe last year (49-21)
UL Monroe beat Southern Miss in 2024 (38-21)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2023 (24-7)

USM's OC Chip Long (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tate Rodemaker (Tr)	98	165	59%	985	7	7	6.0
Ethan Crawford	50	120	42%	849	0	7	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodrigues Clark	124	604	1	4.9	54
Kenyon Clay	84	387	7	4.6	70
Ethan Crawford	97	209	3	2.2	21
Jalen Washington	26	118	1	4.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larry Simmons (Tr)	27	421	1	15.6	75
Tiaquelin Mims	33	393	1	11.9	56
Kenyon Clay	21	225	1	10.7	37
Kyirin Heath (Tr)	15	210	2	14.0	34

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Clay Bignell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre Pinkney (Tr)	74	5	1	2	0
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Chris Jones	46	3	1	0	1
Ja'Len Sims	45	5	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brodarius Lewis	39	8	4	0	0
Ryan Johnson (Tr)	23	4	3	9	0
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0
Jameer Lewis	24	5	2	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will James (Tr)	35	2	0	0	7
Ques McNeal	29	2	0	0	4
Ja'Len Sims	45	5	1	1	3

ULM's OC Bryant Vincent (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Armenta	102	188	54%	1294	9	10	6.9
General Booty (Tr)	29	54	54%	306	2	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmad Hardy	237	1352	13	5.7	80
James Jones	79	336	1	4.3	24
Taven Curry (Tr)	32	153	0	4.8	15
Hunter Herring	16	116	2	7.3	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Godfrey	24	265	2	11.0	57
Davon Wells	29	262	2	9.0	51
Tyler Griffin (Tr)	8	193	1	24.1	40
Javon Campbell	8	176	1	22.0	44

View UL Monroe's Full Roster

ULM's DC Earnest Hill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wydett Williams	90	4	1	1	4
Carl Glass Jr.	78	4	2	2	0
Travor Randle	63	4	1	2	8
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Billy Pullen	41	6	4	5	1
Tristan Shorter	16	4	3	3	1
Kevontay Wells	46	10	3	5	0
Carl Glass Jr.	78	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travor Randle	63	4	1	2	8
Wydett Williams	90	4	1	1	4
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4