Southern Miss at UL Monroe - 2024 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at UL Monroe WarhawksUL Monroe logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
UL Monroe -4.5 (41.0) (-185)  Open: -4.5
UL Monroe 38 - Southern Miss: 21  (Sun Belt)

 
Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Reed Stringer (Int) (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (11 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
ULM 2nd straight Home Game
ULM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UL Monroe -10.5   (SP+ ULM -9)

Projected Score: USM: 18 - ULM: 28 (46)
ULM Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 181 miles
Warhawks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bryant Vincent (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 29 (27 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 2)
 
Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southern Miss at Kentucky+25.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana-17.553.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Southern Miss vs South Florida+13.058.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Southern Miss at Jacksonville State+6.059.5L 7 - 44UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+17.557.5L 13 - 23UY
Sat 10/12 Southern Miss at UL Monroe+4.541.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State+7.057.0L 28 - 44ON
Sat 10/26 Southern Miss at James Madison+24.054.0L 15 - 32UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Southern Miss vs Marshall+13.553.5L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/16 Southern Miss at Texas State+27.556.5L 3 - 58ON
Sat 11/23 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+24.054.0L 14 - 35UY
Sat 11/30 Southern Miss at Troy+17.548.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
UL Monroe's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UL Monroe vs Jackson State-4.545.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 9/7 UL Monroe vs UAB+10.555.5W 32 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 UL Monroe at Texas+43.554.5L 3 - 51UN
Sat 9/28 UL Monroe at Troy+6.046.0W 13 - 9UY
Sat 10/5 UL Monroe vs James Madison+16.548.5W 21 - 19UY
Sat 10/12 UL Monroe vs Southern Miss-4.541.0W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 UL Monroe at South Alabama+7.045.0L 17 - 46ON
Sat 11/2 UL Monroe at Marshall+10.548.0L 23 - 28OY
Sat 11/9 UL Monroe vs Texas State+9.550.0L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/16 UL Monroe at Auburn+24.546.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 UL Monroe at Arkansas State+3.051.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/30 UL Monroe vs Louisiana+8.550.5L 23 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UL Monroe's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)15.340% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)37.845% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)2140% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)28.853% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ULM#94 (.15)37% (121)40% (102)2.93 (87)17333% (128)1353.33 (117)#89 (.2)47% (120)53% (134)39% (53)4.12 (99)43.31.31.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1215.31134.7%2.752.4162841091753.249%51%40%30%26%
ULM Defense1228.822.546.9%4.121.1 - - - - - 57%42%53%39%13%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1237.842.544.1%4.170.8 - - - - - 55%45%45%43%14%.3
ULM Offense122126.837.4%3.331.3153081731354.662%37%40%33%15%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1227:2215.525%44%648.32.40.85.41.7226.5
UL Monroe1230:4615.333%67%5.943.31.31.14.21.5130.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1249% (79)40% (108)34.21093.213 (105).06 (103)2.59 (126)61% (124)18% (133)1 (53)
ULM Defense1257% (127)53% (134) - - - - .24 (122)3.48 (129)89% (133)8% (117)0.89 (26)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1255% (116)45% (89) - - - - .27 (129)3.22 (101)71% (54)10% (80)1.21 (131)
ULM Offense1262% (6)40% (102)37.8172.84.617 (84).16 (54)2.93 (87)74% (64)10% (75)1.12 (15)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1251% (55)30% (133)13.826.5174.96.612.67 (130)17 (127)-.05 (134)1.7 (30)38% (130)24% (125).15 (129)8% (122)2.1 (45)
ULM Defense1242% (6)39% (53) - - - - - - 6 (109).17 (38)1.5 (20)29% (110)30% (53).27 (50)5% (111)1.8 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1245% (20)43% (93) - - - - - - 6 (109).35 (114)1.7 (114)31% (77)35% (114).51 (124)5% (113)2.2 (116)
ULM Offense1237% (128)33% (128)11.220.5134.86.612.111 (122)12 (85).14 (110)1.9 (8)34% (118)28% (106).27 (92)5% (26)2 (87)

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -29.09 #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -29.09   UL Monroe: -16.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -25.6   UL Monroe: -16.7




UL Monroe's Power Ratings
UL Monroe's Power Rating: -16.885 #123
UL Monroe's Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
UL Monroe's Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
UL Monroe's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
UL Monroe's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
UL Monroe's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
UL Monroe's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
UL Monroe 28
Southern Miss 18


Total Points: 46

UL Monroe Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

UL Monroe's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12UL Monroe38Southern Miss21UL MonroeUL Monroe -4.5UL Monroe41.0Over
202311/04Southern Miss24UL Monroe7Southern MissSouthern Mississippi -3.0Southern Miss56.0Under
202211/26UL Monroe10Southern Miss20Southern MissSouthern Mississippi -3Southern Miss49.5Under
201809/08Southern Miss20UL Monroe21UL MonroeSouthern Mississippi -5UL Monroe67.5Under
201709/16UL Monroe17Southern Miss28Southern MissSouthern Mississippi -7Southern Miss55.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UL Monroe221 Overs
Southern Miss334 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 32 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 23 - 22 - 01 - 2

(#133) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -29.09 #133
Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Southern Miss has lost 3 straight
Southern Miss has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Southern Miss Notes
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers

Southern Miss Highlights

Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss has a really bad Offense
Southern Miss has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Southern Miss Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Southern Miss Can Not Run the Ball (#109)
Southern Miss throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Southern Miss offense is really bad (#78)
Southern Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#90)
Southern Miss offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#81)
Southern Miss run game is really bad (#99)
Southern Miss pass game is really bad (#56)
Southern Miss offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Southern Miss Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Southern Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#78)
Southern Miss has a bad defensive line (#90)
Southern Miss has a bad red zone defense (#64)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatULMUSM
OverallOver#85#99
OffenseOff#89#110
DefenseDef#92#102
Special TeamsST#95#74
PassingPass#86#102
RushingRush#13#69
Run BlockRBLK#102#106
Pass BlockPBLK#75#89
Route RunningWR Rt#79#101
TacklingTkl#79#119
Run DefenseR Def#109#100
Pass Rush DefPRush#85#55
Coverage DefCov#25#102

Rematch from Week 7
UL Monroe -4.5 (41.0)
UL Monroe won vs Southern Miss this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
UL Monroe beat Southern Miss last year (38-21)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2023 (24-7)
Southern Miss beat UL Monroe in 2022 (20-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Malone Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USM | ULM
Depth Chart: USM | ULM
Rosters: USM | ULM
(#123) UL Monroe Info
Power Rating: -16.885 #123
Offense Rating: 11.51 #124
Defense Rating: 16.26 #115
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 53%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

UL Monroe has won 2 straight
UL Monroe has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

UL Monroe Notes
(11/3) Run D bad vs Marshall, 2 straight L's now
(11/3) OL coach is unhinged and under investigation
(10/27) Run D abused (S Al), 358 yds, 7.8 ypc, QBs awful
(10/12) Rushed 246 yds (5.9 ypc), D held SMiss 1-13 3rds
(10/8) Off very slow pace. Limited possessions.
(10/8) Great W over JMU. OG'd but timely Def, pass D
(10/8) Incredible job by Vincent so far. UAB's mistake
(10/4) Off near worst, Def v good so far. Somehow 3-1
(7/30) New QB Booty (OU) leads a roster full of Transfers
(7/30) RB Smith decent, top 6 WR gone, OL has 1/5 back

UL Monroe Highlights
UL Monroe offense is explosive (#4)
UL Monroe defense does not give up big plays (#42)

UL Monroe Deficiencies
UL Monroe offense is really bad (#127)
UL Monroe offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#75)
UL Monroe run game is really bad (#105)
UL Monroe pass game is really bad (#121)
UL Monroe offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UL Monroe does not Sack the QB (#112)
UL Monroe has a bad defense (#130)
UL Monroe Does Not Stuff Runs (#136)
UL Monroe has a bad defensive line (#134)


  
Southern Miss's OC Chip Long
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tate Rodemaker (Tr)9816559%985776.0
Ethan Crawford5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodrigues Clark12460414.954
Kenyon Clay8438774.670
Ethan Crawford9720932.221
Jalen Washington2611814.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry Simmons (Tr)27421115.675
Tiaquelin Mims33393111.956
Kenyon Clay21225110.737
Kyirin Heath (Tr)15210214.034

View Southern Miss's Full Roster
Southern Miss's DC Clay Bignell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Pinkney (Tr)745120
Jay Jones463033
Chris Jones463101
Ja'Len Sims455113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brodarius Lewis398400
Ryan Johnson (Tr)234390
Jalil Clemons347330
Jameer Lewis245251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will James (Tr)352007
Ques McNeal292004
Ja'Len Sims455113

UL Monroe's OC Bryant Vincent
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Armenta10218854%12949106.9
General Booty (Tr)295454%306225.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmad Hardy2371352135.780
James Jones7933614.324
Taven Curry (Tr)3215304.815
Hunter Herring1611627.344
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Godfrey24265211.057
Davon Wells2926229.051
Tyler Griffin (Tr)8193124.140
Javon Campbell8176122.044

View UL Monroe's Full Roster
UL Monroe's DC Earnest Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Travor Randle634128
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Pullen416451
Tristan Shorter164331
Kevontay Wells4610350
Carl Glass Jr.784220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travor Randle634128
Wydett Williams904114
Carl Fauntroy Jr.491014