Marshall at Southern Miss - 2024 Matchup Preview
Marshall logo   Marshall Thundering Herd at Southern Miss Golden Eagles  Southern Miss logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Marshall -13.5 (53.5) (-575)  Open: -13.5 | 55.5
Marshall 37 - Southern Miss: 3  (Sun Belt)

 
Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM coming off BYE
Our Line: Marshall -25  (SP+ MRSH -28.5)

Projected Score: MRSH: 41 - USM: 16 (57)
MRSH Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MRSH Travel: 627 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Marshall's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Marshall vs Stony Brook-32.556.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Marshall at Virginia Tech+20.552.5L 14 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Marshall at Ohio State+40.057.0L 14 - 49OY
Sat 9/28 Marshall vs Western Michigan-3.553.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Marshall vs App State-3.056.5W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/12 Marshall at Georgia Southern+1.058.5L 23 - 24UY
Thu 10/17 Marshall vs Georgia State-9.551.5W 35 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Marshall vs UL Monroe-10.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 11/9 Marshall at Southern Miss-13.553.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Marshall vs Coastal Carolina-7.557.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 11/23 Marshall at Old Dominion+3.051.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Marshall at James Madison+2.552.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 12/7 Marshall at Louisiana+5.058.0W 31 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southern Miss at Kentucky+25.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana-17.553.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Southern Miss vs South Florida+13.058.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Southern Miss at Jacksonville State+6.059.5L 7 - 44UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+17.557.5L 13 - 23UY
Sat 10/12 Southern Miss at UL Monroe+4.541.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State+7.057.0L 28 - 44ON
Sat 10/26 Southern Miss at James Madison+24.054.0L 15 - 32UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Southern Miss vs Marshall+13.553.5L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/16 Southern Miss at Texas State+27.556.5L 3 - 58ON
Sat 11/23 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+24.054.0L 14 - 35UY
Sat 11/30 Southern Miss at Troy+17.548.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#101 (.13)39% (108)30.838% (121)2.7 (125)13341% (81)2262.7 (128)#31 (.13)38% (25)30.337% (20)40% (41)3.15 (18)58.92.21.4
USM#109 (.12)37% (121)28.840% (106)2.89 (107)16334% (126)1913.07 (121)#105 (.24)42% (69)27.441% (49)45% (109)4.15 (103)48.21.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Offense1330.830.238.7%2.72.2183591332263.848%50%38%41%20%.13
USM Defense1227.427.342.2%4.151.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%45%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Defense1330.335.837.9%3.151.4 - - - - - 48%51%37%40%18%.13
USM Offense1228.830.936.7%3.071.320354163191453%46%40%34%20%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Marshall1329:2718.231%24%6.558.92.21.46.52.5428.1
Southern Miss1233:1520.338%44%6.348.21.31.44.52.1228
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense1348% (86)38% (121)34.8132.73.821 (54).13 (79)2.7 (125)74% (62)13% (126)1.14 (12)
USM Defense1253% (106)41% (49) - - - - .22 (109)3.21 (94)67% (30)10% (76)1.24 (129)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense1348% (39)37% (20) - - - - .11 (43)2.81 (23)64% (23)11% (43)1.2 (126)
USM Offense1253% (41)40% (106)40.5163.4416 (89).13 (80)2.89 (107)67% (109)12% (109)1.11 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense1350% (58)41% (81)20.632.7226.26.91112 (113)18 (128).19 (97)1.4 (126)34% (98)26% (105).23 (99)6% (86)2.1 (51)
USM Defense1246% (27)45% (109) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (101)1.7 (101)31% (93)33% (103).4 (106)6% (63)2.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense1351% (91)40% (41) - - - - - - 13 (26).2 (28)1.6 (74)35% (34)30% (61).27 (46)7% (26)2.2 (107)
USM Offense1246% (92)34% (126)15.730.4190.76.312.215 (96)8 (30).14 (114)1.7 (26)36% (126)28% (87).34 (67)8% (117)2.1 (49)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -2.33  #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46  #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48  #57
2024 Talent Rating: 256.00  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 9%  #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -2.33   Southern Miss: -24.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: 3.1   Southern Miss: -25.6




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -24.845  #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03  #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37  #125
2024 Talent Rating: 222.00  #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6  #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4  #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #128

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 41
Southern Miss 16


Projected Total Points: 57
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Southern Miss3Marshall37Marshall -13.5Marshall53.5Under
201811/03Southern Miss26Marshall24Marshall -3Southern Miss47.5Over
201711/25Marshall27Southern Miss28Marshall -1.5Southern Miss47.5Over
201610/29Southern Miss24Marshall14Southern Mississippi -10Push67.0Under
201510/09Marshall31Southern Miss10Marshall -6.5Marshall58.0Under
201411/08Southern Miss17Marshall63Marshall -24.5Marshall0
201311/02Marshall61Southern Miss13Marshall -28.5Marshall0
201210/20Southern Miss24Marshall59
201109/10Marshall26Southern Miss20
201010/02Southern Miss41Marshall16
200911/14Marshall20Southern Miss27
200809/20Southern Miss27Marshall34
200710/21Marshall24Southern Miss33
200611/25Southern Miss42Marshall7
200511/08Marshall24Southern Miss27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss822 Overs
Marshall743 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 83 - 32 - 11 - 2
Road Teams8 - 73 - 32 - 11 - 2

(#71) MRSH at (#133) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMRSHUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #71 #133
SP+SP+ #58 #133
Perf GradeGrade #44 #134
OffenseOff #98 #134
DefenseDef #21 #123
Spec TeamsST #21 #88
TalentTal #92 #110
Blue ChipsBC% #44 #102
Marshall Notes
(12/14) Opted out bowl, no players/coaches. Shameful
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)
(8/17) Huff needs a good year to show progress
Marshall Injury Report
Southern Miss Notes
(12/10) Hired HC C Huff (Marshall HC last 6 years)
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers
(7/30) New OC Chip Long (ND), DC Bignell (ND Analyst)
Southern Miss Injury Report
Marshall on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
MRSH OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #98 #123
SuccessSuc #108 #69
ExplosiveExp #73 #125
PPAPPA #101 #105
PowerPwr #82 #125
SP+SP+ #50 #128
Pts POPPO #128 #103
HavocHav #121 #73
Marshall Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
MRSH OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #64 #125
Run SuccessRSuc #121 #49
Run ExplRExp #12 #129
PPAExp #79 #109
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLY #125 #94
Stuff RateStuff #118 #82
TackleTak -  #135
Marshall Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
MRSH OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #84 #125
Pass SuccessPSuc #81 #109
Pass ExplPExl #126 #101
PPAExp #97 #101
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #44 #62
F7 HavocF7 #126 #76
DB HavocDB #86 #63
Southern Miss on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUSM OffMRSH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #134 #21
SuccessSuc #121 #25
ExplosiveExp #24 #121
PPAPPA #109 #31
PowerPwr #134 #57
SP+SP+ #130 #71
Pts POPPO #121 #18
HavocHav #117 #27
Southern Miss Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
USM OffMRSH Def
Run GameRun #98 #74
Run SuccessRSuc #106 #20
Run ExplRExp #19 #126
PPAExp #80 #43
Run BlockR Blk #134 -
OL YdsOLY #107 #23
Stuff RateStuff #109 #40
TackleTak -  #20
Southern Miss Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatUSM OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePass #127 #3
Pass SuccessPSuc #126 #41
Pass ExplPExl #26 #74
PPAExp #114 #28
Pass Block/RushP Blk #105 #25
F7 HavocF7 #109 #43
DB HavocDB #117 #26
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Marshall 13.5 (53.5)
Marshall won at Southern Miss this year (37-3)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Southern Miss in 2024 (37-3)

  
MRSH's OC Seth Doege (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)12420660%16241927.9
Stone Earle6512054%673725.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Turner10486468.388
Braylon Braxton (Tr)13461044.635
Jordan Houston (Tr)11159225.345
Ethan Payne6532375.036
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)34576616.969
Charles Montgomery32393312.330
Carl Chester (Tr)20342317.142
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)2019439.728

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Yates1147162
J.J. Roberts9451312
Michael Green782117152
Landyn Watson664030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Green782117152
D'Vion Harris538421
Jabari Ishmael223251
Chris Thomas Jr.444242
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.J. Roberts9451312
Jacobie Henderson5020010
Josh Moten380005

USM's OC Chip Long (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tate Rodemaker (Tr)9816559%985776.0
Ethan Crawford5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rodrigues Clark12460414.954
Kenyon Clay8438774.670
Ethan Crawford9720932.221
Jalen Washington2611814.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry Simmons (Tr)27421115.675
Tiaquelin Mims33393111.956
Kenyon Clay21225110.737
Kyirin Heath (Tr)15210214.034

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Clay Bignell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Pinkney (Tr)745120
Jay Jones463033
Chris Jones463101
Ja'Len Sims455113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brodarius Lewis398400
Ryan Johnson (Tr)234390
Jalil Clemons347330
Jameer Lewis245251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will James (Tr)352007
Ques McNeal292004
Ja'Len Sims455113