Marshall at Southern Miss - 2024 Matchup Preview
Marshall logo Marshall Thundering Herd at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
Marshall -13.5 (53.5) (-575)  Open: -13.5 | 55.5
Marshall 37 - Southern Miss: 3  (Sun Belt)

 
Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (28 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
USM coming off BYE
Our Line: Marshall -25   (SP+ MRSH -28.5)

Projected Score: MRSH: 39 - USM: 14 (54)
MRSH Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MRSH Travel: 627 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Reed Stringer (Int) (13 - 24)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Marshall's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Marshall vs Stony Brook-32.556.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Marshall at Virginia Tech+20.552.5L 14 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Marshall at Ohio State+40.057.0L 14 - 49OY
Sat 9/28 Marshall vs Western Michigan-3.553.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Marshall vs App State-3.056.5W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/12 Marshall at Georgia Southern+1.058.5L 23 - 24UY
Thu 10/17 Marshall vs Georgia State-9.551.5W 35 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Marshall vs UL Monroe-10.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 11/9 Marshall at Southern Miss-13.553.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Marshall vs Coastal Carolina-7.557.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 11/23 Marshall at Old Dominion+3.051.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Marshall at James Madison+2.552.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 12/7 Marshall at Louisiana+5.058.0W 31 - 3UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southern Miss at Kentucky+25.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Southern Miss vs SE Louisiana-17.553.5W 35 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Southern Miss vs South Florida+13.058.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Southern Miss at Jacksonville State+6.059.5L 7 - 44UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Southern Miss vs Louisiana+17.557.5L 13 - 23UY
Sat 10/12 Southern Miss at UL Monroe+4.541.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 10/19 Southern Miss vs Arkansas State+7.057.0L 28 - 44ON
Sat 10/26 Southern Miss at James Madison+24.054.0L 15 - 32UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Southern Miss vs Marshall+13.553.5L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/16 Southern Miss at Texas State+27.556.5L 3 - 58ON
Sat 11/23 Southern Miss vs South Alabama+24.054.0L 14 - 35UY
Sat 11/30 Southern Miss at Troy+17.548.5L 20 - 52ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#101 (.13)39% (108)31.838% (121)2.7 (125)13341% (81)2262.7 (128)#31 (.13)38% (25)23.137% (20)40% (41)3.15 (18)58.92.21.4
USM#109 (.12)37% (121)15.340% (106)2.89 (107)16334% (126)1913.07 (121)#105 (.24)42% (69)37.841% (49)45% (109)4.15 (103)48.21.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Offense1331.82838.7%2.72.2183591332263.848%50%38%41%20%.13
USM Defense1237.83342.2%4.151.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%45%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Defense1323.125.437.9%3.151.4 - - - - - 48%51%37%40%18%.13
USM Offense1215.319.536.7%3.071.320354163191453%46%40%34%20%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Marshall1329:2718.231%24%6.558.92.21.46.52.5428.1
Southern Miss1233:1520.338%44%6.348.21.31.44.52.1228
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense1348% (86)38% (121)34.8132.73.821 (54).13 (79)2.7 (125)74% (62)13% (126)1.14 (12)
USM Defense1253% (106)41% (49) - - - - .22 (109)3.21 (94)67% (30)10% (76)1.24 (129)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense1348% (39)37% (20) - - - - .11 (43)2.81 (23)64% (23)11% (43)1.2 (126)
USM Offense1253% (41)40% (106)40.5163.4416 (89).13 (80)2.89 (107)67% (109)12% (109)1.11 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense1350% (58)41% (81)20.632.7226.26.91112 (113)18 (128).19 (97)1.4 (126)34% (98)26% (105).23 (99)6% (86)2.1 (51)
USM Defense1246% (27)45% (109) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (101)1.7 (101)31% (93)33% (103).4 (106)6% (63)2.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense1351% (91)40% (41) - - - - - - 13 (26).2 (28)1.6 (74)35% (34)30% (61).27 (46)7% (26)2.2 (107)
USM Offense1246% (92)34% (126)15.730.4190.76.312.215 (96)8 (30).14 (114)1.7 (26)36% (126)28% (87).34 (67)8% (117)2.1 (49)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -2.33 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -2.33   Southern Miss: -24.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: 3.1   Southern Miss: -25.6




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -24.845 #133
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
2024 Talent Rating: 452.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Southern Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Southern Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.4

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 39
Southern Miss 14


Projected Total Points: 54
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Southern Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Southern Miss3Marshall37MarshallMarshall -13.5Marshall53.5Under
201811/03Southern Miss26Marshall24Southern MissMarshall -3Southern Miss47.5Over
201711/25Marshall27Southern Miss28Southern MissMarshall -1.5Southern Miss47.5Over
201610/29Southern Miss24Marshall14Southern MissSouthern Mississippi -10Push67.0Under
201510/09Marshall31Southern Miss10MarshallMarshall -6.5Marshall58.0Under
201411/08Southern Miss17Marshall63MarshallMarshall -24.5Marshall0
201311/02Marshall61Southern Miss13MarshallMarshall -28.5Marshall0
201210/20Southern Miss24Marshall59Marshall
201109/10Marshall26Southern Miss20Marshall
201010/02Southern Miss41Marshall16Southern Miss
200911/14Marshall20Southern Miss27Southern Miss
200809/20Southern Miss27Marshall34Marshall
200710/21Marshall24Southern Miss33Southern Miss
200611/25Southern Miss42Marshall7Southern Miss
200511/08Marshall24Southern Miss27Southern Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss822 Overs
Marshall743 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 83 - 32 - 11 - 2
Road Teams8 - 73 - 32 - 11 - 2

(#71) Marshall Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.33 #71
Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Marshall Notes
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)
Marshall     Ratings Matchup     Southern Miss
Power #71
#133
Off #82
#134
Def #57
#125
Talent #96
#111
SP+ #58
#133
SP+ Off #50
#130
SP+ Def #71
#128

Rematch from Week 11
Marshall 13.5 (53.5)
Marshall won at Southern Miss this year (37-3)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Southern Miss last year (37-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86° - Wind: 10 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MRSH | USM
Depth Chart: MRSH | USM
Rosters: MRSH | USM
(#133) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -24.845 #133
Offense Rating: 7.03 #134
Defense Rating: 18.37 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #128
Talent Rating: 452.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Southern Miss Notes
(11/25) Off awful vs S. Al, worst team in SBC
(11/18) Has to be worst Off in CFB. 3 pts in 2 straight L's
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#126) into week 9
(10/20) HC Will Hall fired, GM Reed Stringer Int?
(10/12) QB Crawford abysmal, Def torched in L (UL Mon)
(10/4) Def awful (B 10)/Off getting worse. Staff big trouble
(9/14) Allowed 369 yds rushing to S Fla. Rgame awful
(9/11) Worst Rgame in CFB to date. 36% suc, 39% stuffed
(9/1) Miserable L @ UK. Lucky game called. No Off
(7/30) QB Rodemaker (FSU) leads lots of SEC transfers


  
Marshall's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)12420660%16241927.9
Stone Earle6512054%673725.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Turner10486468.388
Braylon Braxton (Tr)13461044.635
Jordan Houston (Tr)11159225.345
Stone Earle5720703.616
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)34576616.969
Charles Montgomery32393312.330
Carl Chester (Tr)20342317.142
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)2019439.728

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Jason Semore
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Yates1147162
Landyn Watson664030
AG McGhee541000
D'Vion Harris538421
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Vion Harris538421
Chris Thomas Jr.444242
Jabari Ishmael223251
RaQuan Thompson (Tr)203120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobie Henderson5020010
Josh Moten380005
Ian Foster485004

Southern Miss's OC Chip Long
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tate Rodemaker (Tr)9816559%985776.0
Ethan Crawford5012042%849077.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenyon Clay8438774.670
Ethan Crawford9720932.221
Jalen Washington2611814.514
JQ Gray3210603.319
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Larry Simmons (Tr)27421115.675
Tiaquelin Mims33393111.956
Kenyon Clay21225110.737
Kyirin Heath (Tr)15210214.034

View Southern Miss's Full Roster
Southern Miss's DC Clay Bignell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Pinkney (Tr)745120
Chris Jones463101
Ja'Len Sims455113
Desmyn Baker (Tr)422212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brodarius Lewis398400
Ryan Johnson (Tr)234390
Jameer Lewis245251
Desmyn Baker (Tr)422212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will James (Tr)352007
Ques McNeal292004
Ja'Len Sims455113