App State at Coastal Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview

App State Mountaineers at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Thursday, November 7th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
App State -1.5 (62.5) (-130) Open: -1.5 | 62.5
Coastal Carolina 38 - App State: 24 (Sun Belt)

Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Coastal Carolina -1 (SP+ CCU -1)
Projected Score: APP: 31 - CCU: 32 (63)
APP Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
APP Travel: 225 miles

Chanticleers (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
CCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-35.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/7	App State at Clemson	+13.5	53.5	L 20 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/14	App State at East Carolina	+0.5	56.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Thu 9/19	App State vs South Alabama	-8.0	62.5	L 14 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	App State at Marshall	+3.0	56.5	L 37 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/12	App State at Louisiana	+10.0	64.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	App State vs Georgia State	-7.5	59.0	W 33 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/2	App State vs Old Dominion	+2.5	58.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Thu 11/7	App State at Coastal Carolina	-1.5	62.5	L 24 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	App State vs James Madison	+7.5	57.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/30	App State at Georgia Southern	+2.5	60.5	L 20 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Coastal Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Coastal Carolina at Jacksonville State	+3.5	54.5	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Coastal Carolina vs William & Mary	-17.5	0.0	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Coastal Carolina at Temple	-17.5	51.5	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/21	Coastal Carolina vs Virginia	+3.5	52.0	L 24 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Coastal Carolina vs Old Dominion	-4.0	51.5	W 45 - 37	O	Y
Thu 10/10	Coastal Carolina at James Madison	+7.0	59.0	L 7 - 39	U	N
Sat 10/19	Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana	+6.0	57.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Coastal Carolina at Troy	-4.0	52.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
Thu 11/7	Coastal Carolina vs App State	+1.5	62.5	W 38 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Coastal Carolina at Marshall	+7.5	57.0	L 19 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/23	Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern	-2.0	59.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/30	Coastal Carolina at Georgia State	+0.5	52.5	W 48 - 27	O	Y
Mon 12/23	Coastal Carolina at UTSA	+12.5	56.5	L 15 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)	26.6	45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)	32.9	51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
CCU	#73 (.18)	40% (98)	28.7	43% (81)	3.05 (63)	173	37% (112)	202	4.24 (36)	#94 (.21)	43% (90)	31.6	46% (98)	41% (72)	4.12 (101)	63.8	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2
CCU	#73 (.18)	40% (98)		43% (81)	3.05 (63)	173	37% (112)	202	4.24 (36)	#94 (.21)	43% (90)		46% (98)	41% (72)	4.12 (101)	63.8	1.3	1.7

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	11	26.6	24.3	43.6%	3.89	2	24	430	157	273	4.5	48%	51%	45%	43%	16%	.21
CCU Defense	13	31.6	30.8	43.4%	4.12	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	46%	41%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	11	32.9	39.7	49%	4.78	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	51%	47%	12%	.3
CCU Offense	13	28.7	29.5	40.5%	4.24	1.3	18	375	173	202	4.7	56%	44%	43%	37%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	11	30:06	23.9	43%	59%	6	57	2	1.2	4.3	2.1	1	27.6
Coastal Carolina	13	28:49	18.1	38%	36%	6.9	63.8	1.3	1.7	4.4	2.2	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	11	48% (81)	45% (58)	34.9	157.4	4.5	13 (105)	.1 (89)	3.01 (75)	80% (21)	7% (15)	0.89 (104)
CCU Defense	13	53% (97)	46% (98)	-	-	-	-	.14 (76)	3.39 (122)	85% (128)	9% (99)	0.92 (41)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	11	56% (124)	51% (130)	-	-	-	-	.26 (128)	3.41 (125)	77% (94)	9% (89)	1.04 (94)
CCU Offense	13	56% (29)	43% (81)	37	172.8	4.7	21 (59)	.14 (61)	3.05 (63)	77% (40)	8% (25)	1.03 (44)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	11	51% (53)	43% (62)	19.8	35.6	272.9	7.7	13.8	23 (41)	16 (124)	.32 (41)	1.8 (13)	35% (122)	37% (15)	.46 (19)	9% (130)	2.2 (18)
CCU Defense	13	47% (39)	41% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.3 (102)	1.8 (117)	33% (47)	30% (58)	.26 (46)	5% (109)	2.1 (73)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	11	44% (10)	47% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.37 (119)	1.5 (46)	26% (133)	35% (115)	.38 (100)	2% (134)	2 (62)
CCU Offense	13	44% (106)	37% (112)	15	27.5	202	7.3	13.5	20 (58)	11 (72)	.26 (68)	1.9 (9)	33% (104)	28% (100)	.3 (84)	6% (86)	2.3 (10)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.96 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.96 Coastal Carolina: -7.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1 Coastal Carolina: -6.9

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -7.73 #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.50 #90
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 13.88 #101
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #98
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Coastal Carolina 32
App State 31

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Coastal Carolina 34
App State 33

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Coastal Carolina 33
App State 28

Total Points: 61

Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 31.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.8

Coastal Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	App State	37	Coastal Carolina	45	App State -10.5	Coastal Carolina	48.5	Over
2024	11/07	Coastal Carolina	38	App State	24	App State -1.5	Coastal Carolina	62.5	Under
2023	10/10	App State	24	Coastal Carolina	27	Appalachian State -4.5	Coastal Carolina	59.0	Under
2022	11/03	Coastal Carolina	35	App State	28	Appalachian State -3	Coastal Carolina	65.5	Under
2021	10/20	App State	30	Coastal Carolina	27	Coastal Carolina -4.5	App State	61.0	Under
2020	11/21	Coastal Carolina	34	App State	23	Coastal Carolina -3.0	Coastal Carolina	48.5	Over
2019	09/28	App State	56	Coastal Carolina	37	Appalachian State -14.5	App State	58.0	Over
2018	11/03	Coastal Carolina	7	App State	23	Appalachian State -13.5	App State	52.0	Under
2017	10/21	App State	37	Coastal Carolina	29	Appalachian State -20	Coastal Carolina	52.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Coastal Carolina	5	6	4 Overs
App State	4	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	5 - 4	2 - 3	3 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 6	4 - 5	1 - 3	3 - 2

(#97) APP at (#110) CCU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	APP	CCU
Power RatePwr	#97	#110
SP+SP+	#100	#98
Perf GradeGrade	#84	#100
OffenseOff	#70	#79
DefenseDef	#92	#114
Spec TeamsST	#69	#94
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#82

App State Notes(12/10) Hired HC Loggains (OC/QB S Car 23-24)
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
(7/30) QB Aguilar v good, WRs all back, lost RB to Mizzu.
App State Injury Report

Coastal Carolina Notes(11/25) 4 TO's, Pass Def torched in bad L vs GaSo
(11/18) 3 TOs cost @ Marsh, Off OK, Run Def great in L
(11/8) Rgame good vs App St, 200+ yds, 5 ypc, 4 TD in W
(11/3) Run D torched by Troy? 3 straight L's, getting sad
(11/3) Beck called plays (Trickett) vs Troy, meh
(10/20) Pass D torched by ULL, all 17 4th Q pts in L
(10/10) Run Def all 200 yds (5.4 ypc) vs Old D. Vasko good
(10/10) Feasted on shit teams. Not competitive vs goods
(9/23) Run Def destroyed by UVA. Regroup after Bye?
(9/20) 1st 3 games, Run 2/3 time and good, pass bad
(7/30) HC Beck (bad IMO), OC & DC all in 2nd year
(7/30) QB battle Vasko (J w/ legs), Kim (MSU)/Hudson (NC)
Coastal Carolina Injury Report

App State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	CCU Def
Perf GradePerf	#70	#114
SuccessSuc	#60	#90
ExplosiveExp	#28	#77
PPAPPA	#57	#94
PowerPwr	#50	#101
SP+SP+	#67	#108
Pts POPPO	#71	#101
HavocHav	#66	#111

App State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	CCU Def
Run GameRun	#48	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	#58	#98
Run ExplRExp	#104	#41
PPAExp	#89	#76
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	#75	#122
Stuff RateStuff	#87	#124
TackleTak	-	#109

App State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	CCU Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#13	#117
PPAExp	#41	#102
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#96	#78
F7 HavocF7	#15	#99
DB HavocDB	#130	#109

Coastal Carolina on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	CCU Off	APP Def
Perf GradePerf	#79	#92
SuccessSuc	#98	#127
ExplosiveExp	#12	#53
PPAPPA	#73	#123
PowerPwr	#90	#121
SP+SP+	#82	#110
Pts POPPO	#36	#132
HavocHav	#37	#132

Coastal Carolina Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	CCU Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#45	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#81	#130
Run ExplRExp	#44	#94
PPAExp	#61	#128
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#125
Stuff RateStuff	#88	#113
TackleTak	-	#86

Coastal Carolina Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	CCU Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#112	#119
Pass ExplPExl	#9	#46
PPAExp	#68	#119
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#85	#34
F7 HavocF7	#25	#89
DB HavocDB	#86	#134

Program Comparison
CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
App State 1.5 (62.5)
Coastal Carolina won vs App State this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Coastal Carolina beat App State last year (38-24)
Coastal Carolina beat App State in 2023 (27-24)
Coastal Carolina beat App State in 2022 (35-28)

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	218	390	56%	3002	23	14	7.7
Kaedin Robinson	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmani Marshall	149	713	7	4.8	29
Kanye Roberts	82	332	1	4.0	18
Anderson Castle	50	246	1	4.9	21
Joey Aguilar	58	217	2	3.7	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	53	840	2	15.8	50
Makai Jackson	46	745	5	16.2	64
Christan Horn	19	367	1	19.3	83
Dalton Stroman	20	307	5	15.4	47

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1
Kyle Arnholt	54	2	2	0
DJ Burks	52	3	0	0
Jason Chambers (Tr)	37	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1
Santana Hopper	30	8	4	0
Michael Fletcher	16	4	4	6
Joshua Donald (Tr)	31	6	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	4
Ethan Johnson	22	0	1	2
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1

CCU's OC Travis Trickett (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Vasko	148	271	55%	2120	14	8	7.8
Noah Kim (Tr)	30	56	54%	333	4	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braydon Bennett	134	781	11	5.8	67
Christian Washington (Tr)	102	537	5	5.3	68
Ethan Vasko	107	447	5	4.2	29
Simeon Price (Tr)	44	136	0	3.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jameson Tucker	33	574	6	17.4	47
Bryson Graves	27	327	2	12.1	50
Senika McKie (Tr)	24	319	4	13.3	41
Cameron Wright	19	314	2	16.5	58

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Craig Naivar (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shane Bruce	68	5	0	2	1
Tobias Fletcher	59	0	0	0	0
Barry Brown	58	5	1	1	0
Juan Powell	57	2	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clev Lubin	43	11	10	7	3
Deamontae Diggs (Tr)	34	7	5	6	2
Tray Brown	34	6	3	4	1
Will Whitson	20	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Matthew McDoom	36	3	0	10
Cristian Conyer (Tr)	9	0	0	3
Juan Powell	57	2	1	3