James Madison at App State - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#21)James Madison Dukes at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (2:30 PM EST)
James Madison -7.5 (57.5) (-265) Open: -7.0
App State 34 - James Madison: 20 (Sun Belt)

Dukes (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

JMU 2nd straight Road Game
APP coming off BYE
Our Line: James Madison -7.5 (SP+ JMU -15.5)
Projected Score: JMU: 32 - APP: 25 (57)
JMU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
JMU Travel: 218 miles

Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JMU Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

James Madison's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	James Madison at Charlotte	-6.5	47.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	James Madison vs Gardner-Webb	-35.5	50.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	James Madison at North Carolina	+10.0	48.0	W 70 - 50	O	Y
Sat 9/28	James Madison vs Ball State	-22.0	56.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/5	James Madison at UL Monroe	-16.5	48.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Thu 10/10	James Madison vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0	59.0	W 39 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	James Madison at Georgia Southern	-9.5	58.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/26	James Madison vs Southern Miss	-24.0	54.0	W 32 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	James Madison vs Georgia State	-14.5	53.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	James Madison at Old Dominion	-1.5	51.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/23	James Madison at App State	-7.5	57.5	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/30	James Madison vs Marshall	-2.5	52.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Wed 12/18	James Madison vs Western Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

App State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-35.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/7	App State at Clemson	+13.5	53.5	L 20 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/14	App State at East Carolina	+0.5	56.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Thu 9/19	App State vs South Alabama	-8.0	62.5	L 14 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	App State at Marshall	+3.0	56.5	L 37 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/12	App State at Louisiana	+10.0	64.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	App State vs Georgia State	-7.5	59.0	W 33 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/2	App State vs Old Dominion	+2.5	58.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Thu 11/7	App State at Coastal Carolina	-1.5	62.5	L 24 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	App State vs James Madison	+7.5	57.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/30	App State at Georgia Southern	+2.5	60.5	L 20 - 29	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	#88 (.16)	44% (61)	33.3	47% (29)	3.28 (30)	194	40% (87)	216	3.93 (66)	#4 (.03)	34% (1)	20.5	34% (5)	34% (3)	3.64 (53)	54.8	0.7	2.5
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)	26.6	45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)	32.9	51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	#88 (.16)	44% (61)		47% (29)	3.28 (30)	194	40% (87)	216	3.93 (66)	#4 (.03)	34% (1)		34% (5)	34% (3)	3.64 (53)	54.8	0.7	2.5
APP	#57 (.21)	44% (60)		45% (58)	3.01 (75)	157	43% (62)	273	3.89 (71)	#123 (.3)	49% (127)		51% (130)	47% (119)	4.78 (132)	57	2	1.2

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Offense	13	33.3	31.3	43.6%	3.93	0.7	21	410	194	216	4.9	52%	48%	47%	40%	14%	.16
APP Defense	11	32.9	24.8	49%	4.78	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	51%	47%	12%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Defense	13	20.5	28.7	33.9%	3.64	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	34%	34%	20%	.03
APP Offense	11	26.6	29.4	43.6%	3.89	2	24	430	157	273	4.5	48%	51%	45%	43%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
James Madison	13	31:45	20.8	41%	40%	7	54.8	0.7	2.5	7.1	3.2	6	32.9
App State	11	30:06	23.9	43%	59%	6	57	2	1.2	4.3	2.1	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Offense	13	52% (54)	47% (29)	39.8	193.7	4.9	20 (67)	.17 (45)	3.28 (30)	72% (82)	10% (61)	0.98 (58)
APP Defense	11	56% (124)	51% (130)	-	-	-	-	.26 (128)	3.41 (125)	77% (94)	9% (89)	1.04 (94)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Defense	13	46% (19)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	(14)	2.46 (5)	65% (26)	13% (15)	1.07 (106)
APP Offense	11	48% (81)	45% (58)	34.9	157.4	4.5	13 (105)	.1 (89)	3.01 (75)	80% (21)	7% (15)	0.89 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Offense	13	48% (79)	40% (87)	17.8	29.3	215.9	7.4	12.2	28 (15)	4 (1)	.18 (99)	1.5 (103)	31% (61)	29% (95)	.26 (95)	4% (18)	2.1 (38)
APP Defense	11	44% (10)	47% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.37 (119)	1.5 (46)	26% (133)	35% (115)	.38 (100)	2% (134)	2 (62)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Defense	13	54% (116)	34% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.07 (10)	1.8 (118)	40% (1)	26% (18)	.16 (11)	7% (24)	2.3 (125)
APP Offense	11	51% (53)	43% (62)	19.8	35.6	272.9	7.7	13.8	23 (41)	16 (124)	.32 (41)	1.8 (13)	35% (122)	37% (15)	.46 (19)	9% (130)	2.2 (18)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: -4.73 #82
James Madison's Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
James Madison's Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
James Madison's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: -4.73 App State: -6.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 7.5 App State: -8.1

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -6.03 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

James Madison's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 32
App State 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 27
James Madison 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
James Madison 31
App State 27

Total Points: 58

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	James Madison	58	App State	10	James Madison -21	James Madison	53.5	Over
2024	11/23	App State	34	James Madison	20	James Madison -7.5	App State	57.5	Under
2023	11/18	James Madison	23	App State	26	James Madison -10.0	App State	56.5	Under
2022	09/24	App State	28	James Madison	32	Appalachian State -6	James Madison	57.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	2	2	2 Overs
James Madison	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 1	2 - 1

(#82) JMU at (#97) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JMU	APP
Power RatePwr	#82	#97
SP+SP+	#41	#100
Perf GradeGrade	#26	#84
OffenseOff	#63	#70
DefenseDef	#18	#92
Spec TeamsST	#46	#69
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#102

James Madison Notes(12/18) DL v good, DE O'Neill is elite, #2 good as well
(12/18) Great job by staff. Lost HC/OC/DC/portals, 9-4
(12/1) 2 str WTF L's to finish, 2 OT L to Marshall
(12/1) Rgame good, 244/4.6 ypc, QB Barnett eff. Bad L
(11/25) WTF L @ App, box score W but 2 TOs, 9 flags
(11/25) 3 L's as big favorites under 1st yr Chesney, why?
(11/18) Rgame good, QB meh in close W @ ODU
(10/22) Def stop rate 77% (#7) even after shocking GaSo L
(10/20) Barnett awful in bad L (Ga So), Rgame abysmal
(10/16) Into week 8 lead nation with 17 Def TO's
(10/10) QB Barnett has 3 games with 3 TDs in 1st half
(10/10) Rgame dominates. QB Barnett good. Tough team
James Madison Injury Report

App State Notes(12/10) Hired HC Loggains (OC/QB S Car 23-24)
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
(7/30) QB Aguilar v good, WRs all back, lost RB to Mizzu.
App State Injury Report

James Madison on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	APP Def
Perf GradePerf	#63	#92
SuccessSuc	#61	#127
ExplosiveExp	#104	#53
PPAPPA	#88	#123
PowerPwr	#106	#121
SP+SP+	#49	#110
Pts POPPO	#66	#132
HavocHav	#35	#132

James Madison Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	#35	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#29	#130
Run ExplRExp	#58	#94
PPAExp	#45	#128
Run BlockR Blk	#20	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	#125
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#113
TackleTak	-	#86

James Madison Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	JMU Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#87	#119
Pass ExplPExl	#103	#46
PPAExp	#99	#119
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#41	#34
F7 HavocF7	#61	#89
DB HavocDB	#18	#134

App State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	JMU Def
Perf GradePerf	#70	#18
SuccessSuc	#60	#1
ExplosiveExp	#28	#125
PPAPPA	#57	#4
PowerPwr	#50	#23
SP+SP+	#67	#40
Pts POPPO	#71	#53
HavocHav	#66	#8

App State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#48	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	#58	#5
Run ExplRExp	#104	#106
PPAExp	#89	#14
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	#75	#5
Stuff RateStuff	#87	#9
TackleTak	-	#62

App State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#3
Pass ExplPExl	#13	#118
PPAExp	#41	#10
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#96	#24
F7 HavocF7	#15	#15
DB HavocDB	#130	#24

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
James Madison 7.5 (57.5)
App State won vs James Madison this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
App State beat James Madison last year (34-20)
App State beat James Madison in 2023 (26-23)
James Madison beat App State in 2022 (32-28)

JMU's OC Dean Kennedy (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alonza Barnett	212	354	60%	2596	26	4	7.3
Billy Atkins	16	24	67%	181	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
George Pettaway (Tr)	163	976	5	6.0	31
Alonza Barnett	135	450	7	3.3	50
Wayne Knight	77	449	2	5.8	59
Jobi Malary (Tr)	45	269	2	6.0	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omarion Dollison	37	633	6	17.1	73
Yamir Knight	52	605	4	11.6	68
Taylor Thompson	33	448	6	13.6	36
Cameron Ross	37	443	3	12.0	43

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Lyle Hemphill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Thomas	73	8	1	1	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)	69	4	3	2	0
Chris Shearin (Tr)	58	2	0	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric O'Neill (Tr)	53	18	13	16	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)	69	4	3	2	0
Trent Hendrick	54	9	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Terrence Spence (Tr)	38	1	0	7
Jordan Taylor (Tr)	24	0	0	5
Chris Shearin (Tr)	58	2	2	4

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	218	390	56%	3002	23	14	7.7
Kaedin Robinson	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmani Marshall	149	713	7	4.8	29
Kanye Roberts	82	332	1	4.0	18
Anderson Castle	50	246	1	4.9	21
Joey Aguilar	58	217	2	3.7	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	53	840	2	15.8	50
Makai Jackson	46	745	5	16.2	64
Christan Horn	19	367	1	19.3	83
Dalton Stroman	20	307	5	15.4	47

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1
Kyle Arnholt	54	2	2	0
DJ Burks	52	3	0	0
Jason Chambers (Tr)	37	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1
Santana Hopper	30	8	4	0
Michael Fletcher	16	4	4	6
Joshua Donald (Tr)	31	6	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	4
Ethan Johnson	22	0	1	2
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1