James Madison at App State Game Matchup

James Madison Dukes at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (2:30 PM EST)
James Madison -7.5 (57.5) (-265) Open: -7.0
App State 34 - James Madison: 20 (Sun Belt)

Dukes (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bob Chesney (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Wind: 17.4 MPH
JMU 2nd straight Road Game
APP coming off BYE
Our Line: James Madison -7.5 (SP+ JMU -15.5)
Projected Score: JMU: 33 - APP: 25 (57)
JMU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
JMU Travel: 218 miles

Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
JMU Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

James Madison's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	James Madison at Charlotte	-6.5	47.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	James Madison vs Gardner-Webb	-35.5	50.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	James Madison at North Carolina	+10.0	48.0	W 70 - 50	O	Y
Sat 9/28	James Madison vs Ball State	-22.0	56.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/5	James Madison at UL Monroe	-16.5	48.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Thu 10/10	James Madison vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0	59.0	W 39 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/19	James Madison at Georgia Southern	-9.5	58.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/26	James Madison vs Southern Miss	-24.0	54.0	W 32 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	James Madison vs Georgia State	-14.5	53.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	James Madison at Old Dominion	-1.5	51.0	W 35 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/23	James Madison at App State	-7.5	57.5	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/30	James Madison vs Marshall	-2.5	52.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Wed 12/18	James Madison vs Western Kentucky	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

App State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-35.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/7	App State at Clemson	+13.5	53.5	L 20 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/14	App State at East Carolina	+0.5	56.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Thu 9/19	App State vs South Alabama	-8.0	62.5	L 14 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	App State at Marshall	+3.0	56.5	L 37 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/12	App State at Louisiana	+10.0	64.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	App State vs Georgia State	-7.5	59.0	W 33 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/2	App State vs Old Dominion	+2.5	58.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Thu 11/7	App State at Coastal Carolina	-1.5	62.5	L 24 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	App State vs James Madison	+7.5	57.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/30	App State at Georgia Southern	+2.5	60.5	L 20 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	#44 (.24)	46% (27)	33.3	40% (102)	2.75 (121)	133	52% (7)	286	3.92 (64)	#14 (.09)	33% (4)	20.5	29% (1)	37% (19)	2.86 (9)	40.1	1.2	1.6
APP	#41 (.24)	46% (28)	26.6	43% (75)	3.18 (55)	172	50% (11)	273	3.8 (77)	#79 (.2)	43% (76)	32.9	45% (93)	41% (58)	3.15 (17)	40.5	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Offense	13	33.3	31.3	45.6%	3.92	1.2	21	419	133	286	3.9	47%	52%	40%	52%	17%	.24
APP Defense	14	32.9	24.8	42.6%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	41%	18%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Defense	13	20.5	28.7	33.2%	2.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	29%	37%	24%	.09
APP Offense	14	26.6	29.4	45.6%	3.8	1.6	24	445	172	273	4.5	51%	48%	43%	50%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
James Madison	13	31:15	21.2	37%	50%	5.5	40.1	1.2	1.6	8.5	3.4	3	33.4
App State	14	31:15	23.7	42%	64%	4.4	40.5	1.6	1.8	6	2.5	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Offense	13	47% (94)	40% (102)	34.2	133.2	3.9	17 (81)	.03 (121)	2.75 (121)	57% (131)	10% (69)	0.89 (114)
APP Defense	14	50% (59)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.23 (112)	3.41 (120)	79% (108)	11% (40)	1.1 (113)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Defense	13	42% (6)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (8)	2.18 (1)	61% (10)	15% (2)	1.13 (117)
APP Offense	14	51% (58)	43% (75)	38.1	171.6	4.5	23 (46)	.09 (99)	3.18 (55)	71% (92)	9% (49)	0.97 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Offense	13	52% (43)	52% (7)	22.2	33	285.8	8.7	12.9	36 (5)	11 (68)	.48 (13)	1.5 (90)	29% (25)	33% (51)	.38 (51)	7% (98)	2 (74)
APP Defense	14	49% (72)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (30)	1.5 (36)	31% (81)	33% (110)	.43 (117)	7% (29)	2.1 (89)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Defense	13	57% (127)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.24 (51)	1.7 (115)	38% (5)	27% (24)	.28 (48)	9% (4)	2.1 (77)
APP Offense	14	48% (75)	50% (11)	21.4	33.6	273.4	8.1	12.8	34 (9)	10 (56)	.44 (19)	1.6 (65)	29% (28)	37% (16)	.5 (19)	7% (108)	2.1 (45)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: -4.73 #82
James Madison's Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
James Madison's Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
2024 Talent Rating: 342.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
James Madison's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
James Madison's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: -4.73 App State: -6.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 7.5 App State: -8.1

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -6.03 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

James Madison's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 33
App State 25

Projected Total Points: 57

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	App State	34	James Madison	20	App State	James Madison -7.5	App State	57.5	Under
2023	11/18	James Madison	23	App State	26	App State	James Madison -10.0	App State	56.5	Under
2022	09/24	App State	28	James Madison	32	James Madison	Appalachian State -6	James Madison	57.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	2	2	1 Overs
James Madison	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 1	2 - 0

(#82) James Madison Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.73 #82
Offense Rating: 15.14 #106
Defense Rating: 4.30 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #41
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #49
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 342.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 34%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

James Madison Notes
(12/18) Great job by staff. Lost HC/OC/DC/portals, 9-4
(12/1) 2 str WTF L's to finish, 2 OT L to Marshall
(12/1) Rgame good, 244/4.6 ypc, QB Barnett eff. Bad L
(11/25) WTF L @ App, box score W but 2 TOs, 9 flags
(11/25) 3 L's as big favorites under 1st yr Chesney, why?
(11/18) Rgame good, QB meh in close W @ ODU
(10/22) Def stop rate 77% (#7) even after shocking GaSo L
(10/20) Barnett awful in bad L (Ga So), Rgame abysmal
(10/16) Into week 8 lead nation with 17 Def TO's
(10/10) QB Barnett has 3 games with 3 TDs in 1st half

James Madison Ratings Matchup App State

Power #82

#97

Off #106

#50

Def #23

#121

Talent #124

#72

SP+ #41

#100

SP+ Off #49

#67

SP+ Def #40

#110

Rematch from Week 13
James Madison 7.5 (57.5)
App State won vs James Madison this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
App State beat James Madison last year (34-20)
App State beat James Madison in 2023 (26-23)
James Madison beat App State in 2022 (32-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 35° - Wind: 17 mph

Team Information
Injuries: JMU | APP
Depth Chart: JMU | APP
Rosters: JMU | APP

(#97) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.03 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?

James Madison's OC Dean Kennedy

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alonza Barnett	212	354	60%	2596	26	4	7.3
Billy Atkins	16	24	67%	181	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
George Pettaway (Tr)	163	976	5	6.0	31
Alonza Barnett	135	450	7	3.3	50
Wayne Knight	77	449	2	5.8	59
Jobi Malary (Tr)	45	269	2	6.0	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Yamir Knight	52	605	4	11.6	68
Cameron Ross	37	443	3	12.0	43
George Pettaway (Tr)	24	197	2	8.2	33
Wayne Knight	15	138	2	9.2	23

View James Madison's Full Roster

James Madison's DC Lyle Hemphill

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Thomas	73	8	1	1	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)	69	4	3	2	0
Chris Shearin (Tr)	58	2	0	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric O'Neill (Tr)	53	18	13	16	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Jacob Dobbs (Tr)	69	4	3	2	0
Trent Hendrick	54	9	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Terrence Spence (Tr)	38	1	0	7
Jordan Taylor (Tr)	24	0	0	5
Chris Shearin (Tr)	58	2	2	4

App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	218	390	56%	3002	23	14	7.7
Billy Wiles	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kanye Roberts	82	332	1	4.0	18
Anderson Castle	50	246	1	4.9	21
Joey Aguilar	58	217	2	3.7	49
Makai Jackson	5	90	1	18.0	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	53	840	2	15.8	50
Makai Jackson	46	745	5	16.2	64
Dalton Stroman	20	307	5	15.4	47
Anderson Castle	13	88	0	6.8	20

View App State's Full Roster

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1
Kyle Arnholt	54	2	2	0
DJ Burks	52	3	0	0
Jason Chambers (Tr)	37	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1	0
Santana Hopper	30	8	4	0	0
Joshua Donald (Tr)	31	6	3	1	0
Nate Johnson	29	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	4
Ethan Johnson	22	0	1	2
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1