East Tennessee State at App State - 2024 Matchup Preview
East Tennessee State logo East Tennessee State Buccaneers at App State MountaineersApp State logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
App State -35.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
App State 38 - East Tennessee State: 10

 
Buccaneers (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 38 (10 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6  (SP+ APP -8)
APP Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Tennessee State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Tennessee State at App State+35.558.5L 10 - 38UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Tennessee State's Schedule
App State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-35.558.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 App State at Clemson+13.553.5L 20 - 66ON
Sat 9/14 App State at East Carolina+0.556.5W 21 - 19UY
Thu 9/19 App State vs South Alabama-8.062.5L 14 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 App State at Marshall+3.056.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 App State at Louisiana+10.064.0L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 App State vs Georgia State-7.559.0W 33 - 26UN
Sat 11/2 App State vs Old Dominion+2.558.0W 28 - 20UY
Thu 11/7 App State at Coastal Carolina-1.562.5L 24 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 App State vs James Madison+7.557.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 11/30 App State at Georgia Southern+2.560.5L 20 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ETSU0%100%000%000%380%0%0000
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)26.645% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)32.951% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ETSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP#57 (.21)44% (60)45% (58)3.01 (75)15743% (62)2733.89 (71)#123 (.3)49% (127)51% (130)47% (119)4.78 (132)5721.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ETSU Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
APP Defense1132.924.849%4.781.2 - - - - - 56%44%51%47%12%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ETSU Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
APP Offense1126.629.443.6%3.892244301572734.548%51%45%43%16%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Tennessee State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
App State1130:0623.943%59%65721.24.32.1127.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ETSU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
APP Defense1156% (124)51% (130) - - - - .26 (128)3.41 (125)77% (94)9% (89)1.04 (94)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ETSU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
APP Offense1148% (81)45% (58)34.9157.44.513 (105).1 (89)3.01 (75)80% (21)7% (15)0.89 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ETSU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
APP Defense1144% (10)47% (119) - - - - - - 4 (125).37 (119)1.5 (46)26% (133)35% (115).38 (100)2% (134)2 (62)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ETSU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
APP Offense1151% (53)43% (62)19.835.6272.97.713.823 (41)16 (124).32 (41)1.8 (13)35% (122)37% (15).46 (19)9% (130)2.2 (18)

East Tennessee State's Power Ratings
East Tennessee State's Power Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Offense Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Tennessee State's 2024 Expected Record: -
East Tennessee State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State:    App State: -6.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State:    App State: -8.1




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -6.03  #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99  #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06  #121
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1  #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Tennessee State Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

East Tennessee State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
App State 37
East Tennessee State 19

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
App State 41
East Tennessee State 18

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
App State 33
East Tennessee State 20

Total Points: 53
App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31App State38East Tennessee State10App State -35.5East Tennessee State58.5Under
201908/31App State42East Tennessee State7Appalachian State -33App State51.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State210 Overs
East Tennessee State012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#NR) ETSU at (#97) APP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatETSUAPP
Power RatePwrNR #97
SP+SP+NR #100
Perf GradeGradeNR #84
OffenseOffNR #70
DefenseDefNR #92
Spec TeamsSTNR #69
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #102
App State Notes
(12/10) Hired HC Loggains (OC/QB S Car 23-24)
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
(7/30) QB Aguilar v good, WRs all back, lost RB to Mizzu.
App State Injury Report
East Tennessee State on Offense
CategoryCat
ETSU OffAPP Def
Perf GradePerfNR #92
SuccessSucNR #127
ExplosiveExpNR #53
PPAPPANR #123
PowerPwrNR #121
SP+SP+NR #110
Pts POPPONR #132
HavocHavNR #132
East Tennessee State Run Game
CategoryCat
ETSU OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNR #88
Run SuccessRSucNR #130
Run ExplRExpNR #94
PPAExpNR #128
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #125
Stuff RateStuffNR #113
TackleTak -  #86
East Tennessee State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ETSU OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNR #109
Pass SuccessPSucNR #119
Pass ExplPExlNR #46
PPAExpNR #119
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #34
F7 HavocF7NR #89
DB HavocDBNR #134
App State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatAPP OffETSU Def
Perf GradePerf #70NR
SuccessSuc #60NR
ExplosiveExp #28NR
PPAPPA #57NR
PowerPwr #50NR
SP+SP+ #67NR
Pts POPPO #71NR
HavocHav #66NR
App State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
APP OffETSU Def
Run GameRun #48NR
Run SuccessRSuc #58NR
Run ExplRExp #104NR
PPAExp #89NR
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLY #75NR
Stuff RateStuff #87NR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatAPP OffETSU Def
Pass GamePass #95NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #62NR
Pass ExplPExl #13NR
PPAExp #41NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #96NR
F7 HavocF7 #15NR
DB HavocDB #130NR
Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

ETSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
App State -35.5 (58.5)
App State won vs East Tennessee State this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
App State beat East Tennessee State last year (38-10)

  
ETSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen King11622153%15369117.0
Gino English468058%761789.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Irby14576365.361
Devontae Houston (Tr)11964835.480
Jaylen King10542254.057
Khamran Laborn3323637.240
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
AJ Johnson40662616.675
Hakeem Meggett21427220.368
Karim Page30373012.436
Ephraim Floyd22326214.834

View East Tennessee State's Full Roster

ETSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Sims80002
William McRainey60010
Teddy Wilson50000
Zach West50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Sims80002
Nicholas Hunter30000
Cody Goatley10000
Di'Andre Davis10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Sims80002
Mike Jenkins30001
Jayvon Henderson30001

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar21839056%300223147.7
Kaedin Robinson010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ahmani Marshall14971374.829
Kanye Roberts8233214.018
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Joey Aguilar5821723.749
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson53840215.850
Makai Jackson46745516.264
Christan Horn19367119.383
Dalton Stroman20307515.447

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Harrington551011
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Jason Chambers (Tr)371000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Santana Hopper308400
Michael Fletcher164460
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Ethan Johnson220012
Brendan Harrington551011