East Tennessee State at App State - 2024 Matchup Preview
East Tennessee State logo East Tennessee State Buccaneers at App State MountaineersApp State logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
App State -35.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
App State 38 - East Tennessee State: 10

 
Buccaneers (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 38 (10 - 38 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6   (SP+ APP -8)
APP Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Tennessee State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Tennessee State at App State+35.558.5L 10 - 38UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Tennessee State's Schedule
App State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-35.558.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 App State at Clemson+13.553.5L 20 - 66ON
Sat 9/14 App State at East Carolina+0.556.5W 21 - 19UY
Thu 9/19 App State vs South Alabama-8.062.5L 14 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 App State at Marshall+3.056.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 App State at Louisiana+10.064.0L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 App State vs Georgia State-7.559.0W 33 - 26UN
Sat 11/2 App State vs Old Dominion+2.558.0W 28 - 20UY
Thu 11/7 App State at Coastal Carolina-1.562.5L 24 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 App State vs James Madison+7.557.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 11/30 App State at Georgia Southern+2.560.5L 20 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ETSU0%100%000%000%380%0%0000
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)26.643% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)32.945% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ETSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ETSU Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
APP Defense1432.924.842.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ETSU Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
APP Offense1426.629.445.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Tennessee State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ETSU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ETSU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ETSU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ETSU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)

East Tennessee State's Power Ratings
East Tennessee State's Power Rating: #NR
East Tennessee State's Offense Rating: #NR
East Tennessee State's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
East Tennessee State's 2024 Expected Record: -
East Tennessee State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
East Tennessee State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
East Tennessee State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State:    App State: -6.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State:    App State: -8.1




App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -6.03 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


East Tennessee State Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

East Tennessee State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
App State 33
East Tennessee State 20

Projected Total Points: 54
App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31App State38East Tennessee State10App StateApp State -35.5East Tennessee State58.5Under
201908/31App State42East Tennessee State7App StateAppalachian State -33App State51.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
App State210 Overs
East Tennessee State012 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#NR) East Tennessee State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Team Profile






,
,







East Tennessee State     Ratings Matchup     App State
Power #NR
#97
Off #NR
#50
Def #NR
#121
Talent #
#72
SP+ #N/A
#100
SP+ Off #N/A
#67
SP+ Def #N/A
#110

Rematch from Week 1
App State -35.5 (58.5)
App State won vs East Tennessee State this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
App State beat East Tennessee State last year (38-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°

Team Information
Injuries: ETSU | APP
Depth Chart: ETSU | APP
Rosters: ETSU | APP
(#97) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.03 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?


  
East Tennessee State's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Tennessee State's Full Roster
East Tennessee State's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar21839056%300223147.7
Billy Wiles010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kanye Roberts8233214.018
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Joey Aguilar5821723.749
Makai Jackson590118.047
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson53840215.850
Makai Jackson46745516.264
Dalton Stroman20307515.447
Anderson Castle138806.820

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Harrington551011
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Jason Chambers (Tr)371000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Santana Hopper308400
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Nate Johnson293311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Ethan Johnson220012
Brendan Harrington551011