East Tennessee State at App State - 2024 Matchup Preview

East Tennessee State Buccaneers at App State Mountaineers

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
App State -35.5 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
App State 38 - East Tennessee State: 10

Buccaneers (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 72 (17 - 72 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -6 (SP+ APP -8)
APP Win prob: 98% | Cover: 46%

Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ETSU Players
APP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Tennessee State's 2024 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	East Tennessee State at App State	+35.5L10–38	58.5	L10–38	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Tennessee State's Schedule

App State's 2024 Schedule

Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-35.5W38–10	58.5	W38–10	U	N
Sat 9/7	App State at Clemson	+13.5L20–66	53.5	L20–66	O	N
Sat 9/14	App State at East Carolina	+0.5W21–19	56.5	W21–19	U	Y
Thu 9/19	App State vs South Alabama	-8.0L14–48	62.5	L14–48	U	N
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/5	App State at Marshall	+3.0L37–52	56.5	L37–52	O	N
Sat 10/12	App State at Louisiana	+10.0L24–34	64.0	L24–34	U	Y
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/26	App State vs Georgia State	-7.5W33–26	59.0	W33–26	U	N
Sat 11/2	App State vs Old Dominion	+2.5W28–20	58.0	W28–20	U	Y
Thu 11/7	App State at Coastal Carolina	-1.5L24–38	62.5	L24–38	U	N
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/23	App State vs James Madison	+7.5W34–20	57.5	W34–20	U	Y
Sat 11/30	App State at Georgia Southern	+2.5L20–29	60.5	L20–29	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ETSU		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	72	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP	#41 (.24)	46% (28)	24.2	43% (75)	3.18 (55)	172	50% (11)	273	3.8 (77)	#79 (.2)	43% (76)	29.8	45% (93)	41% (58)	3.15 (17)	40.5	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ETSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ETSU Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
APP Defense	14	29.8	26.7	42.6%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	41%	18%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ETSU Defense	1	72	72	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
APP Offense	14	24.2	27	45.6%	3.8	1.6	24	445	172	273	4.5	51%	48%	43%	50%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Tennessee State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
App State	14	31:15	23.7	42%	64%	4.4	40.5	1.6	1.8	6	2.5	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ETSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
APP Defense	14	50% (59)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.23 (112)	3.41 (120)	79% (108)	11% (40)	1.1 (113)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ETSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
APP Offense	14	51% (58)	43% (75)	38.1	171.6	4.5	23 (46)	.09 (99)	3.18 (55)	71% (92)	9% (49)	0.97 (83)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ETSU Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
APP Defense	14	49% (72)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (30)	1.5 (36)	31% (81)	33% (110)	.43 (117)	7% (29)	2.1 (89)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ETSU Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
APP Offense	14	48% (75)	50% (11)	21.4	33.6	273.4	8.1	12.8	34 (9)	10 (56)	.44 (19)	1.6 (65)	29% (28)	37% (16)	.5 (19)	7% (108)	2.1 (45)

East Tennessee State's Power Ratings
East Tennessee State's Power Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Offense Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Tennessee State's 2024 Expected Record: -
East Tennessee State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Tennessee State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 85.99
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State: App State: -6.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Tennessee State: App State: -8.1

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -6.03 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 307.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 233.69
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

East Tennessee State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 72 PPG
Defense on Road: 72

East Tennessee State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
App State 49
East Tennessee State 22

Projected Total Points: 71

App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.7

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	App State	38	East Tennessee State	10	App State -35.5	East Tennessee State	58.5	Under
2019	08/31	App State	42	East Tennessee State	7	Appalachian State -33	App State	51.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
App State	2	1	0 Overs
East Tennessee State	0	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) ETSU at (#97) APP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ETSU	APP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#97
SP+SP+	NR	#100
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#84
OffenseOff	NR	#70
DefenseDef	NR	#92
Spec TeamsST	NR	#69
TalentTal	NR	#72
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#102

East Tennessee State Injury Report

App State Notes(12/10) Hired HC Loggains (OC/QB S Car 23-24)
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
(7/30) QB Aguilar v good, WRs all back, lost RB to Mizzu.
App State Injury Report

East Tennessee State on Offense


CategoryCat	ETSU Off	APP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#92
SuccessSuc	NR	#76
ExplosiveExp	NR	#70
PPAPPA	NR	#79
PowerPwr	NR	#121
SP+SP+	NR	#110
Pts POPPO	NR	#17
HavocHav	NR	#26

East Tennessee State Run Game


CategoryCat	ETSU Off	APP Def
Run GameRun	NR	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#93
Run ExplRExp	NR	#113
PPAExp	NR	#112
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#120
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#95
TackleTak	-	#86

East Tennessee State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ETSU Off	APP Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#58
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#36
PPAExp	NR	#30
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#34
F7 HavocF7	NR	#40
DB HavocDB	NR	#29

App State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	ETSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#70	NR
SuccessSuc	#28	NR
ExplosiveExp	#64	NR
PPAPPA	#41	NR
PowerPwr	#50	NR
SP+SP+	#67	NR
Pts POPPO	#77	NR
HavocHav	#73	NR

App State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	ETSU Def
Run GameRun	#48	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	NR
Run ExplRExp	#83	NR
PPAExp	#99	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	#55	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#56	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

App State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	APP Off	ETSU Def
Pass GamePass	#95	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#65	NR
PPAExp	#19	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#96	NR
F7 HavocF7	#49	NR
DB HavocDB	#108	NR

Program Comparison
APP 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

ETSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kidd Brewer Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77°

Rematch from Week 1
App State -35.5 (58.5)
App State won vs East Tennessee State this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
App State beat East Tennessee State in 2024 (38-10)

ETSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylen King	116	221	53%	1536	9	11	7.0
Gino English	46	80	58%	761	7	8	9.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Irby	145	763	6	5.3	61
Devontae Houston (Tr)	119	648	3	5.4	80
Jaylen King	105	422	5	4.0	57
Khamran Laborn	33	236	3	7.2	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
AJ Johnson	40	662	6	16.6	75
Hakeem Meggett	21	427	2	20.3	68
Karim Page	30	373	0	12.4	36
Ephraim Floyd	22	326	2	14.8	34

View East Tennessee State's Full Roster

ETSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	PRESS	PD
Cameron Sims	8	0	2
William McRainey	6	1	0
Teddy Wilson	5	0	0
Zach West	5	0	0

Sacks	Tack	PD
Cameron Sims	8	2
Nicholas Hunter	3	0
Cody Goatley	1	0
Di'Andre Davis	1	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Cameron Sims	8	2
Mike Jenkins	3	1
Jayvon Henderson	3	1

APP's OC Frank Ponce (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	218	390	56%	3002	23	14	7.7
Kaedin Robinson	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ahmani Marshall	149	713	7	4.8	29
Kanye Roberts	82	332	1	4.0	18
Anderson Castle	50	246	1	4.9	21
Joey Aguilar	58	217	2	3.7	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	53	840	2	15.8	50
Makai Jackson	46	745	5	16.2	64
Christan Horn	19	367	1	19.3	83
Dalton Stroman	20	307	5	15.4	47

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC Scott Sloan (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1
Kyle Arnholt	54	2	2	0
DJ Burks	52	3	0	0
Jason Chambers (Tr)	37	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1
Santana Hopper	30	8	4	0
Michael Fletcher	16	4	4	6
Joshua Donald (Tr)	31	6	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	4
Ethan Johnson	22	0	1	2
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1