App State at Marshall Game Matchup
App State logo App State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Marshall -3 (56.5) (-155)  Open: -1.0
Marshall 52 - App State: 37  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
MRSH 2nd straight Home Game
APP coming off BYE
Our Line: Marshall -11.5   (SP+ MRSH -11)

Projected Score: APP: 23 - MRSH: 35 (57)
MRSH Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
APP Travel: 158 miles
Thundering Herd (10 - 3) (11 - 1 - 1)
Coach Charles Huff (22 - 17)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
 
App State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-35.558.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 App State at Clemson+13.553.5L 20 - 66ON
Sat 9/14 App State at East Carolina+0.556.5W 21 - 19UY
Thu 9/19 App State vs South Alabama-8.062.5L 14 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 App State at Marshall+3.056.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 App State at Louisiana+10.064.0L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 App State vs Georgia State-7.559.0W 33 - 26UN
Sat 11/2 App State vs Old Dominion+2.558.0W 28 - 20UY
Thu 11/7 App State at Coastal Carolina-1.562.5L 24 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 App State vs James Madison+7.557.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 11/30 App State at Georgia Southern+2.560.5L 20 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Marshall's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Marshall vs Stony Brook-32.556.5W 45 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Marshall at Virginia Tech+20.552.5L 14 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Marshall at Ohio State+40.057.0L 14 - 49OY
Sat 9/28 Marshall vs Western Michigan-3.553.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/5 Marshall vs App State-3.056.5W 52 - 37OY
Sat 10/12 Marshall at Georgia Southern+1.058.5L 23 - 24UY
Thu 10/17 Marshall vs Georgia State-9.551.5W 35 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Marshall vs UL Monroe-10.548.0W 28 - 23ON
Sat 11/9 Marshall at Southern Miss-13.553.5W 37 - 3UY
Sat 11/16 Marshall vs Coastal Carolina-7.557.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 11/23 Marshall at Old Dominion+3.051.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Marshall at James Madison+2.552.5W 35 - 33OY
Sat 12/7 Marshall at Louisiana+5.058.0W 31 - 3UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)26.643% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)32.945% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
MRSH#101 (.13)39% (108)31.838% (121)2.7 (125)13341% (81)2262.7 (128)#31 (.13)38% (25)23.137% (20)40% (41)3.15 (18)58.92.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1426.624.345.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24
MRSH Defense1323.120.337.9%3.151.4 - - - - - 48%51%37%40%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1432.939.742.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
MRSH Offense1331.836.338.7%2.72.2183591332263.848%50%38%41%20%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
Marshall1329:2718.231%24%6.558.92.21.46.52.5428.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)
MRSH Defense1348% (39)37% (20) - - - - .11 (43)2.81 (23)64% (23)11% (43)1.2 (126)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
MRSH Offense1348% (86)38% (121)34.8132.73.821 (54).13 (79)2.7 (125)74% (62)13% (126)1.14 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)
MRSH Defense1351% (91)40% (41) - - - - - - 13 (26).2 (28)1.6 (74)35% (34)30% (61).27 (46)7% (26)2.2 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
MRSH Offense1350% (58)41% (81)20.632.7226.26.91112 (113)18 (128).19 (97)1.4 (126)34% (98)26% (105).23 (99)6% (86)2.1 (51)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.96 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.96   Marshall: 2.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1   Marshall: 3.1




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Marshall's Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Marshall's Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
2024 Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Marshall's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Marshall's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 35
App State 23


Projected Total Points: 57
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

Marshall's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 1 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Marshall52App State37MarshallMarshall -3Marshall56.5Over
202311/04App State31Marshall9App StateAppalachian State -3.0App State57.5Under
202211/12Marshall28App State21MarshallAppalachian State -2.0Marshall47.5Over
202109/23App State31Marshall30App StateAppalachian State -7Marshall59.0Over
202009/19Marshall17App State7MarshallAppalachian State -6Marshall60.5Under
200208/31Marshall50App State17Marshall
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall443 Overs
App State212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 04 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams0 - 61 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#97) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.96 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
App State     Ratings Matchup     Marshall
Power #97
#71
Off #50
#82
Def #121
#57
Talent #72
#96
SP+ #100
#58
SP+ Off #67
#50
SP+ Def #110
#71

Rematch from Week 6
Marshall -3.0 (56.5)
Marshall won vs App State this year (52-37)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat App State last year (52-37)
App State beat Marshall in 2023 (31-9)
Marshall beat App State in 2022 (28-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | MRSH
Depth Chart: APP | MRSH
Rosters: APP | MRSH
(#71) Marshall Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.885 #71
Offense Rating: 18.46 #82
Defense Rating: 8.48 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #71
Talent Rating: 504.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Marshall Notes
(12/8) Won Sun Belt, did not extend HC Huff?
(12/8) Hired HC Tony Gibson (NC St DC)
(12/1) Great 2OT W @JMU, OG'd by 120 yds, QB bad
(11/25) Off great vs ODU. Need W vs JMU & help for SBC
(11/18) Somehow winning games w/ bad Off, meh Def
(11/3) Off Eff, Def enough in W (ULM). Now 3-1 SBC
(10/17) QB Braxton (very mobile) taken over for Earle
(10/17) QB Braxton pass bad/run good vs Ga St
(10/17) Rgame 295 yds, 8 ypc vs Ga St. Nearly gagged
(10/13) QB's awful, Rgame good. 21pt 4Q total gag (Ga So)


  
App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar21839056%300223147.7
Billy Wiles010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kanye Roberts8233214.018
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Joey Aguilar5821723.749
Makai Jackson590118.047
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson53840215.850
Makai Jackson46745516.264
Dalton Stroman20307515.447
Anderson Castle138806.820

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Harrington551011
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Jason Chambers (Tr)371000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Santana Hopper308400
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Nate Johnson293311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Ethan Johnson220012
Brendan Harrington551011

Marshall's OC Seth Doege
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Braylon Braxton (Tr)12420660%16241927.9
Stone Earle6512054%673725.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
A.J. Turner10486468.388
Braylon Braxton (Tr)13461044.635
Jordan Houston (Tr)11159225.345
Stone Earle5720703.616
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Fitzpatrick (Tr)34576616.969
Charles Montgomery32393312.330
Carl Chester (Tr)20342317.142
Elijah Metcalf (Tr)2019439.728

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Jason Semore
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Yates1147162
Landyn Watson664030
AG McGhee541000
D'Vion Harris538421
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Vion Harris538421
Chris Thomas Jr.444242
Jabari Ishmael223251
RaQuan Thompson (Tr)203120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobie Henderson5020010
Josh Moten380005
Ian Foster485004