App State at Clemson Game Matchup

App State Mountaineers at Clemson Tigers

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -13.5 (53.5) (-800) Open: -17.5 | 53.5
Clemson 66 - App State: 20

Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Clemson -24.5 (SP+ CLEM -21)
Projected Score: APP: 17 - CLEM: 41 (59)
CLEM Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
APP Travel: 124 miles

Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
APP Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

App State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	App State vs East Tennessee State	-35.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/7	App State at Clemson	+13.5	53.5	L 20 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/14	App State at East Carolina	+0.5	56.5	W 21 - 19	U	Y
Thu 9/19	App State vs South Alabama	-8.0	62.5	L 14 - 48	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	App State at Marshall	+3.0	56.5	L 37 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/12	App State at Louisiana	+10.0	64.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	App State vs Georgia State	-7.5	59.0	W 33 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/2	App State vs Old Dominion	+2.5	58.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Thu 11/7	App State at Coastal Carolina	-1.5	62.5	L 24 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	App State vs James Madison	+7.5	57.5	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/30	App State at Georgia Southern	+2.5	60.5	L 20 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule

Clemson's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Clemson vs Georgia	+10.5	49.0	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Clemson vs App State	-13.5	53.5	W 66 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Clemson vs NC State	-17.0	44.0	W 59 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Clemson vs Stanford	-24.0	58.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Clemson at Florida State	-16.5	47.0	W 29 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Clemson at Wake Forest	-21.0	63.0	W 49 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Clemson vs Virginia	-20.0	57.5	W 48 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Clemson vs Louisville	-11.0	62.5	L 21 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/9	Clemson at Virginia Tech	-6.5	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Clemson at Pittsburgh	-12.0	52.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/23	Clemson vs The Citadel	-49.5	58.5	W 51 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Clemson vs South Carolina	-2.5	48.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/7	Clemson vs SMU	+2.5	56.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Clemson at Texas	+13.5	49.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP	#41 (.24)	46% (28)	26.6	43% (75)	3.18 (55)	172	50% (11)	273	3.8 (77)	#79 (.2)	43% (76)	32.9	45% (93)	41% (58)	3.15 (17)	40.5	1.6	1.8
CLEM	#87 (.16)	45% (38)	34.7	47% (25)	3.22 (47)	174	43% (56)	229	3.62 (90)	#9 (.07)	33% (2)	23.4	35% (10)	32% (2)	4.04 (91)	42.2	1.7	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
APP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Offense	14	26.6	24.3	45.6%	3.8	1.6	24	445	172	273	4.5	51%	48%	43%	50%	16%	.24
CLEM Defense	13	23.4	23.4	33%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	32%	22%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
APP Defense	14	32.9	39.7	42.6%	3.15	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	45%	41%	18%	.2
CLEM Offense	13	34.7	42.7	45%	3.62	1.7	23	403	174	229	4.3	49%	51%	47%	43%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
App State	14	31:15	23.7	42%	64%	4.4	40.5	1.6	1.8	6	2.5	2	29.3
Clemson	13	33:04	23.1	40%	52%	4.9	42.2	1.7	2	6.5	2.3	4	32.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Offense	14	51% (58)	43% (75)	38.1	171.6	4.5	23 (46)	.09 (99)	3.18 (55)	71% (92)	9% (49)	0.97 (83)
CLEM Defense	13	46% (19)	35% (10)	-	-	-	-	.13 (62)	2.9 (33)	83% (117)	13% (10)	1.22 (128)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
APP Defense	14	50% (59)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.23 (112)	3.41 (120)	79% (108)	11% (40)	1.1 (113)
CLEM Offense	13	49% (77)	47% (25)	40.2	174.3	4.3	24 (41)	.17 (55)	3.22 (47)	79% (25)	9% (55)	0.91 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Offense	14	48% (75)	50% (11)	21.4	33.6	273.4	8.1	12.8	34 (9)	10 (56)	.44 (19)	1.6 (65)	29% (28)	37% (16)	.5 (19)	7% (108)	2.1 (45)
CLEM Defense	13	54% (116)	32% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.05 (3)	1.6 (51)	40% (1)	23% (2)	.13 (4)	9% (1)	1.9 (17)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
APP Defense	14	49% (72)	41% (58)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (30)	1.5 (36)	31% (81)	33% (110)	.43 (117)	7% (29)	2.1 (89)
CLEM Offense	13	51% (53)	43% (56)	23.2	36.5	228.6	6.3	9.8	20 (70)	9 (40)	.16 (104)	1.3 (133)	29% (20)	29% (85)	.18 (109)	6% (85)	1.9 (117)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.96 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.96 Clemson: 16.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1 Clemson: 13.3

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 16.1 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 41
App State 17

Projected Total Points: 59

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.4

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Clemson	66	App State	20	Clemson	Clemson -13.5	Clemson	53.5	Over
2015	09/12	Clemson	41	App State	10	Clemson	Clemson -21	Clemson	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	2	2	1 Overs
App State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#97) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.96 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?

App State Ratings Matchup Clemson

Power #97

#17

Off #50

#15

Def #121

#47

Talent #72

SP+ #100

#22

SP+ Off #67

#16

SP+ Def #110

#26

Rematch from Week 2
Clemson -13.5 (53.5)
Clemson won vs App State this year (66-20)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat App State last year (66-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 75° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: APP | CLEM
Depth Chart: APP | CLEM
Rosters: APP | CLEM

(#17) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.1 #17
Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

App State's OC Frank Ponce

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Aguilar	218	390	56%	3002	23	14	7.7
Billy Wiles	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kanye Roberts	82	332	1	4.0	18
Anderson Castle	50	246	1	4.9	21
Joey Aguilar	58	217	2	3.7	49
Makai Jackson	5	90	1	18.0	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson	53	840	2	15.8	50
Makai Jackson	46	745	5	16.2	64
Dalton Stroman	20	307	5	15.4	47
Anderson Castle	13	88	0	6.8	20

View App State's Full Roster

App State's DC Scott Sloan

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1
Kyle Arnholt	54	2	2	0
DJ Burks	52	3	0	0
Jason Chambers (Tr)	37	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Thomas Davis	35	6	4	1	0
Santana Hopper	30	8	4	0	0
Joshua Donald (Tr)	31	6	3	1	0
Nate Johnson	29	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jordan Favors	33	1	0	4
Ethan Johnson	22	0	1	2
Brendan Harrington	55	1	1	1

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	308	486	63%	3639	36	6	7.5
Christopher Vizzina	19	34	56%	190	0	0	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cade Klubnik	119	462	7	3.9	55
Jay Haynes	43	295	3	6.9	70
Keith Adams Jr.	30	122	1	4.1	18
Antonio Williams	7	101	1	14.4	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antonio Williams	74	902	11	12.2	57
Bryant Wesco Jr.	41	708	5	17.3	76
T.J. Moore	45	651	5	14.5	41
Troy Stellato	26	266	1	10.2	34

View Clemson's Full Roster

Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2
Khalil Barnes	57	1	0	3	4
T.J. Parker	50	17	11	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Parker	50	17	11	5	1
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4
Peter Woods	26	7	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Avieon Terrell	49	5	1	0	11
Jeadyn Lukus	32	1	0	0	6
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4