App State at Georgia Southern Game Matchup
App State logo App State Mountaineers at Georgia Southern EaglesGeorgia Southern logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (6:00 PM EST)
Georgia Southern -2.5 (60.5) (-135)  Open: -2.5 | 62.5
Georgia Southern 29 - App State: 20  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (5 - 6) (3 - 7 - 1)
Coach Shawn Clark (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 33 (24 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Georgia Southern -6   (SP+ GASO -6)
Projected Score: APP: 27 - GASO: 33 (58)
GASO Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
APP Travel: 263 miles
Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (31 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 App State vs East Tennessee State-35.558.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 App State at Clemson+13.553.5L 20 - 66ON
Sat 9/14 App State at East Carolina+0.556.5W 21 - 19UY
Thu 9/19 App State vs South Alabama-8.062.5L 14 - 48UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 App State at Marshall+3.056.5L 37 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 App State at Louisiana+10.064.0L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 App State vs Georgia State-7.559.0W 33 - 26UN
Sat 11/2 App State vs Old Dominion+2.558.0W 28 - 20UY
Thu 11/7 App State at Coastal Carolina-1.562.5L 24 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 App State vs James Madison+7.557.5W 34 - 20UY
Sat 11/30 App State at Georgia Southern+2.560.5L 20 - 29UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Georgia Southern's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia Southern vs Boise State+13.057.5L 45 - 56OY
Sat 9/7 Georgia Southern at Nevada+1.556.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Georgia Southern vs South Carolina State-27.552.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 Georgia Southern at Ole Miss+35.068.5L 13 - 52UN
Sat 9/28 Georgia Southern at Georgia State+3.557.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Georgia Southern vs Marshall-1.058.5W 24 - 23UN
Sat 10/19 Georgia Southern vs James Madison+9.558.5W 28 - 14UY
Thu 10/24 Georgia Southern at Old Dominion-1.052.0L 19 - 47ON
Sat 11/2 Georgia Southern at South Alabama+5.560.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Georgia Southern vs Troy-7.054.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina+2.059.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 11/30 Georgia Southern vs App State-2.560.5W 29 - 20UY
Thu 12/19 Georgia Southern vs Sam Houston-3.548.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP#41 (.24)46% (28)26.643% (75)3.18 (55)17250% (11)2733.8 (77)#79 (.2)43% (76)32.945% (93)41% (58)3.15 (17)40.51.61.8
GASO#55 (.21)45% (32)2848% (21)3.13 (64)11745% (40)3023.64 (88)#118 (.27)45% (107)27.645% (94)45% (115)4.45 (123)51.82.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GASO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1426.624.345.6%3.81.6244451722734.551%48%43%50%16%.24
GASO Defense1327.625.844.9%4.451.6 - - - - - 49%50%45%45%22%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1432.939.742.6%3.151.8 - - - - - 50%49%45%41%18%.2
GASO Offense132831.345.3%3.642.423419117302435%64%48%45%17%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1431:1523.742%64%4.440.51.61.862.5229.3
Georgia Southern1331:0623.146%59%5.851.82.41.671.8430.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1451% (58)43% (75)38.1171.64.523 (46).09 (99)3.18 (55)71% (92)9% (49)0.97 (83)
GASO Defense1349% (55)45% (94) - - - - .25 (122)3.16 (85)72% (59)14% (7)1.13 (116)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1450% (59)45% (93) - - - - .23 (112)3.41 (120)79% (108)11% (40)1.1 (113)
GASO Offense1335% (130)48% (21)29117.1416 (89).23 (25)3.13 (64)78% (35)10% (63)1.05 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1448% (75)50% (11)21.433.6273.48.112.834 (9)10 (56).44 (19)1.6 (65)29% (28)37% (16).5 (19)7% (108)2.1 (45)
GASO Defense1350% (81)45% (115) - - - - - - 13 (26).3 (89)1.5 (32)31% (96)35% (120).49 (127)9% (5)2.1 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1449% (72)41% (58) - - - - - - 15 (15).2 (30)1.5 (36)31% (81)33% (110).43 (117)7% (29)2.1 (89)
GASO Offense1364% (4)45% (40)28.944.4302.26.810.526 (31)20 (133).26 (74)1.4 (131)30% (41)34% (35).41 (42)8% (114)2.1 (62)

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: -8.96 #97
App State's Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
App State's Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
2024 Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
App State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0
App State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.96   Georgia Southern: -2.765

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: -8.1   Georgia Southern: -1.7




Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -2.765 #96
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Georgia Southern's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Georgia Southern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 471.71
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


App State Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.7

App State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Southern 33
App State 27


Projected Total Points: 58
Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Georgia Southern's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Georgia Southern29App State20Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -2.5Georgia Southern60.5Under
202311/25App State55Georgia Southern27App StateAppalachian State -7.5App State62.5Over
202211/26Georgia Southern51App State48Georgia SouthernAppalachian State -6.5Georgia Southern66.0Over
202111/27App State27Georgia Southern3App StateAppalachian State -24.5Georgia Southern55.0Under
202012/12Georgia Southern26App State34App StateAppalachian State -9Georgia Southern45.0Over
201910/31App State21Georgia Southern24Georgia SouthernAppalachian State -15Georgia Southern44.5Over
201810/25Georgia Southern34App State14Georgia SouthernAppalachian State -11Georgia Southern47.5Over
201711/09App State27Georgia Southern6App StateAppalachian State -17.5App State51.5Under
201610/27Georgia Southern10App State34App StateAppalachian State -4App State46.5Under
201510/22App State31Georgia Southern13App StateAppalachian State -6App State60.0Under
201409/25Georgia Southern34App State14Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern -17Georgia Southern0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Southern575 Overs
App State645 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 38 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams3 - 83 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#97) App State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.96 #97
Offense Rating: 21.99 #50
Defense Rating: 17.06 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.1 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 622.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 5.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.89 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.78 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


App State Notes
(12/2) HC Clark fired after 40-24 in 5 yrs, Huff rumors?
(11/25) Huge upset vs JMU, box score L but 2 Def TOs
(11/8) Run D bad vs C.Car, 3 TO's hurt. QB Aguilar 2 INT
(11/3) Pass D torched by ODU, Aguilar good, forced 4 TOs
(10/22) Def stop rate 42% (#127) into week 9
(10/12) OG'd ULL but 5 TO's, QB/Rgame OK, Def meh
(9/23) Clark & staff better improve, feels stale/bad
(9/23) Missed 26 tackles! vs S Al
(9/19) This Off looks broken. Rgame awful, Aguilar erratic
(9/12) D not P5 ready, 712 yds to Clem. QB Aguilar ?
App State     Ratings Matchup     Georgia Southern
Power #97
#96
Off #50
#66
Def #121
#102
Talent #72
#98
SP+ #100
#76
SP+ Off #67
#72
SP+ Def #110
#90

Rematch from Week 14
Georgia Southern -2.5 (60.5)
Georgia Southern won vs App State this year (29-20)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Southern beat App State last year (29-20)
App State beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (55-27)
Georgia Southern beat App State in 2022 (51-48)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 37°

Team Information
Injuries: APP | GASO
Depth Chart: APP | GASO
Rosters: APP | GASO
(#96) Georgia Southern Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.765 #96
Offense Rating: 20.12 #66
Defense Rating: 14.04 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.7 #76
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #90
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.57 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Georgia Southern Notes
(11/25) French torced CC, Rgame awful, Def 3 INTs in W
(11/18) Bad L vs Troy, Rgame awful, Pass D awful
(11/3) Big W (S. Al), Outgained (100+) but forced 2 TOs
(10/24) Killed by ODU, gave up 500+ yds, 250+ rushing
(10/20) Rgame 190 (4.8 ypc), Def great in JMU upset
(10/18) QB French (concussion) cleared for JMU game
(10/13) Rgame bad vs Marshall, 21 pt 4Q comeback W
(9/28) Rgame 261 (5.4), French good vs Ga St.
(9/1) Good fight vs Boise, QB French good. Def awful
(8/17) Big year for Helton, need progress


  
App State's OC Frank Ponce
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Aguilar21839056%300223147.7
Billy Wiles010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kanye Roberts8233214.018
Anderson Castle5024614.921
Joey Aguilar5821723.749
Makai Jackson590118.047
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson53840215.850
Makai Jackson46745516.264
Dalton Stroman20307515.447
Anderson Castle138806.820

View App State's Full Roster
App State's DC Scott Sloan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Harrington551011
Kyle Arnholt542020
DJ Burks523000
Jason Chambers (Tr)371000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Davis356410
Santana Hopper308400
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Nate Johnson293311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Favors331004
Ethan Johnson220012
Brendan Harrington551011

Georgia Southern's OC Ryan Aplin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JC French26941066%283117116.9
Dexter Williams II (Tr)193063%248308.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
OJ Arnold6231535.132
JC French11823822.019
David Mbadinga5822933.929
Dexter Williams II (Tr)124513.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Dallas46614613.359
Dalen Cobb52599411.555
LV Bunkley-Shelton (Tr)30322010.734
Tyler Fromm (Tr)25249210.030

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster
Georgia Southern's DC Brandon Bailey
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Watson-Trent1188221
Jusfin Meyers613111
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
Davon Hicks (Tr)431100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Rhodes226310
Elhadj Fall205311
Marc Stampley II422207
Marques Watson-Trent1188221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chance Gamble (Tr)482007
Marc Stampley II422207
Tracy Hill Jr.360013