Tulsa at Louisiana Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -3 (56.5) (-135) Open: 0.0
Tulsa 23 - Louisiana Tech: 20

Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kevin Wilson (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -11 (SP+ LT -9)
Projected Score: TLSA: 21 - LT: 32 (54)
LT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TLSA Travel: 312 miles

Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (37 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Tulsa vs Northwestern State	-37.5	55.5	W 62 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Tulsa at Arkansas State	+9.5	65.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Tulsa vs Oklahoma State	+17.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/21	Tulsa at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	56.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Tulsa at North Texas	+7.0	65.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/5	Tulsa vs Army	+13.5	50.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Tulsa at Temple	+3.5	51.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/26	Tulsa vs UTSA	+9.5	52.5	W 46 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Tulsa at UAB	+2.5	57.5	L 21 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14	Tulsa vs East Carolina	+16.0	63.5	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Tulsa at South Florida	+17.5	60.0	L 30 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/30	Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	57.5	L 16 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls	-17.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+20.5	47.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa	-3.0	56.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/28	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-2.0	49.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-5.0	48.0	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Tue 10/15	Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State	-12.5	49.0	L 30 - 33	O	N
Tue 10/22	Louisiana Tech vs UTEP	-6.5	49.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Tue 10/29	Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston	+10.5	45.5	L 3 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State	+10.0	55.5	L 37 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky	+11.5	52.5	W 12 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Louisiana Tech at Arkansas	+23.5	48.5	L 14 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State	-13.5	41.5	W 33 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Louisiana Tech vs Army	+15.0	44.5	L 6 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	#77 (.18)	41% (83)	23.2	40% (99)	3.16 (59)	181	44% (50)	205	4.23 (34)	#120 (.29)	44% (96)	28.9	43% (67)	46% (121)	3.95 (82)	43.3	2	1.7
LT	#91 (.15)	42% (64)	27.3	43% (66)	2.74 (122)	125	42% (63)	261	3.91 (67)	#111 (.25)	43% (78)	20.8	48% (117)	36% (15)	4.63 (128)	62.8	1.5	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	23.2	19	41%	4.23	2	20	386	181	205	4.1	57%	41%	40%	44%	17%	.18
LT Defense	12	20.8	17.3	42.8%	4.63	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	48%	36%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	28.9	30.7	43.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	14%	.29
LT Offense	12	27.3	36.5	42.3%	3.91	1.5	20	384	125	261	3.9	45%	54%	43%	42%	18%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	29:42	19.8	45%	44%	5.1	43.3	2	1.7	5.4	1.8	0	28.1
Louisiana Tech	12	29:44	20.1	30%	50%	6.8	62.8	1.5	0.8	5.5	1.3	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	57% (16)	40% (99)	43.9	180.9	4.1	13 (108)	.1 (96)	3.16 (59)	79% (27)	11% (87)	0.88 (120)
LT Defense	12	58% (132)	48% (117)	-	-	-	-	.29 (129)	3.29 (109)	84% (121)	10% (83)	1.15 (119)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	47% (37)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.21 (107)	3.18 (89)	67% (30)	10% (74)	1.13 (115)
LT Offense	12	45% (102)	43% (66)	31.8	124.6	3.9	20 (61)	.11 (90)	2.74 (122)	74% (73)	12% (107)	0.97 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	41% (118)	44% (50)	15.8	27.8	204.7	7.4	12.9	20 (70)	19 (131)	.36 (37)	1.8 (13)	34% (95)	32% (57)	.33 (68)	6% (73)	2.1 (66)
LT Defense	12	41% (2)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.23 (43)	1.9 (132)	32% (71)	31% (83)	.36 (94)	6% (79)	2.3 (125)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	51% (89)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.43 (124)	1.7 (100)	30% (103)	29% (43)	.41 (111)	5% (113)	2.6 (133)
LT Offense	12	54% (32)	42% (63)	22.4	35.2	260.9	7.4	11.6	16 (92)	11 (68)	.23 (87)	1.6 (78)	32% (70)	25% (113)	.22 (103)	6% (76)	2.3 (13)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 253.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -26.23 Louisiana Tech: -12.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -20.6 Louisiana Tech: -11.6

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -12.38 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 255.00 #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 32
Tulsa 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Louisiana Tech	20	Tulsa	23	Louisiana Tech -3	Tulsa	56.5	Under
2013	11/23	Louisiana Tech	14	Tulsa	24	Tulsa -3.5	Tulsa	0
2004	11/13	Louisiana Tech	38	Tulsa	21
2003	11/15	Tulsa	48	Louisiana Tech	18
2002	09/14	Louisiana Tech	53	Tulsa	9
2001	11/24	Tulsa	7	Louisiana Tech	19
2000	09/22	Tulsa	22	Louisiana Tech	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	3	0	0 Overs
Tulsa	4	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 4	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#132) TLSA at (#119) LT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TLSA	LT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#132	#119
SP+SP+	#128	#110
Perf GradeGrade	#133	#113
OffenseOff	#118	#113
DefenseDef	#133	#94
Spec TeamsST	#119	#93
TalentTal	#94	#93
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#82

Tulsa Notes(12/8) Hired HC Tre Lamb (ETSU/Gar Web)
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds
(7/30) Is HC Wilson still a prick? OC is Spurrier Jr.
Tulsa Injury Report

Louisiana Tech Notes(11/18) Upset WKU, Rgame 200+, Run Def great.
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him
(8/3) This is a roster that gets coaches fired
Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Tulsa on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	LT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#94
SuccessSuc	#83	#78
ExplosiveExp	#77	#118
PPAPPA	#77	#111
PowerPwr	#125	#49
SP+SP+	#105	#64
Pts POPPO	#34	#128
HavocHav	#87	#86

Tulsa Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#105	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#117
Run ExplRExp	#120	#119
PPAExp	#96	#129
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	#59	#109
Stuff RateStuff	#22	#85
TackleTak	-	#96

Tulsa Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#112	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#15
Pass ExplPExl	#13	#132
PPAExp	#37	#43
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#121	#118
F7 HavocF7	#87	#83
DB HavocDB	#73	#79

Louisiana Tech on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	TLSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#113	#133
SuccessSuc	#64	#96
ExplosiveExp	#69	#123
PPAPPA	#91	#120
PowerPwr	#133	#127
SP+SP+	#128	#129
Pts POPPO	#67	#82
HavocHav	#100	#108

Louisiana Tech Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#107	#108
Run SuccessRSuc	#66	#67
Run ExplRExp	#88	#115
PPAExp	#90	#107
Run BlockR Blk	#129	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	#89
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#69
TackleTak	-	#130

Louisiana Tech Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	LT Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	#63	#121
Pass ExplPExl	#78	#100
PPAExp	#87	#124
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#53	#44
F7 HavocF7	#107	#74
DB HavocDB	#76	#113

Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Louisiana Tech -3.0 (56.5)
Tulsa won at Louisiana Tech this year (23-20)

Previous Matchups
Tulsa beat Louisiana Tech in 2024 (23-20)

TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kirk Francis	149	253	59%	1585	9	6	6.3
Cooper Legas (Tr)	87	162	54%	1144	12	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Watkins	87	402	4	4.6	77
Viron Ellison Jr.	62	353	1	5.7	32
Bill Jackson	67	319	0	4.8	37
Lloyd Avant	76	259	1	3.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamdyn Benjamin	70	822	6	11.7	74
Joseph Williams	30	588	5	19.6	72
Luke Mcgary	17	231	1	13.6	32
Zion Steptoe (Tr)	15	203	0	13.5	34

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Potter (Tr)	75	11	1	4	0
Dayne Hodge	60	1	0	0	3
Malachi Jones	49	0	0	0	3
Zach Marcheselli (Tr)	47	10	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2
Owen Ostroski	35	8	2	4	0
Vontroy Malone	25	5	2	1	0
Myles Jackson (Tr)	36	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keuan Parker	20	0	4
Buddha Garrett	38	1	3
Dayne Hodge	60	1	3

LT's OC Scott Parr (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Bullock	199	302	66%	2107	14	3	7.0
Jack Turner	40	76	53%	471	2	2	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omiri Wiggins	111	527	4	4.7	35
Amani Givens	75	319	2	4.3	20
Marquis Crosby	57	224	1	3.9	31
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	48	182	4	3.8	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tru Edwards	85	989	6	11.6	86
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	39	476	2	12.2	32
Eli Finley	25	314	2	12.6	53
Jay Wilkerson	13	262	2	20.2	55

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos	84	6	1	5	1
Kolbe Fields	71	9	2	3	1
Blake Thompson (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Jacob Fields	54	6	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Blay	45	10	6	2	0
Sifa Leota (Tr)	42	6	4	1	1
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
J'Dan Burnett	21	3	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Cedric Woods	30	0	5
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	5
Jacob Fields	54	6	4