Northwestern State at Tulsa - 2024 Matchup Preview
Northwestern State logo   Northwestern State Demons at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Thursday, August 29th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -37.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tulsa 62 - Northwestern State: 28

 
Demons (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 68 (0 - 68 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -21  (SP+ TLSA -21)
TLSA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 35%
Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kevin Wilson (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Northwestern State at Tulsa+37.555.5L 28 - 62OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/12 Northwestern State at South Alabama+36.560.5L 10 - 87ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern State's Schedule
Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulsa vs Northwestern State-37.555.5W 62 - 28ON
Sat 9/7 Tulsa at Arkansas State+9.565.5L 24 - 28UY
Sat 9/14 Tulsa vs Oklahoma State+17.562.5L 10 - 45UN
Sat 9/21 Tulsa at Louisiana Tech+3.056.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 9/28 Tulsa at North Texas+7.065.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 10/5 Tulsa vs Army+13.550.5L 7 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulsa at Temple+3.551.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 10/26 Tulsa vs UTSA+9.552.5W 46 - 45OY
Sat 11/2 Tulsa at UAB+2.557.5L 21 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14 Tulsa vs East Carolina+16.063.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Tulsa at South Florida+17.560.0L 30 - 63ON
Sat 11/30 Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic+2.557.5L 16 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NWST0%00%000%000%680%0%0000
TLSA#77 (.18)41% (83)23.240% (99)3.16 (59)18144% (50)2054.23 (34)#120 (.29)44% (96)28.943% (67)46% (121)3.95 (82)43.321.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NWST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NWST Offense2000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TLSA Defense1228.927.243.9%3.951.7 - - - - - 47%51%43%46%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NWST Defense268680%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TLSA Offense1223.227.341%4.232203861812054.157%41%40%44%17%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern State20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Tulsa1229:4219.845%44%5.143.321.75.41.8028.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NWST Offense20%0%000000%0%0
TLSA Defense1247% (37)43% (67) - - - - .21 (107)3.18 (89)67% (30)10% (74)1.13 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NWST Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TLSA Offense1257% (16)40% (99)43.9180.94.113 (108).1 (96)3.16 (59)79% (27)11% (87)0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NWST Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
TLSA Defense1251% (89)46% (121) - - - - - - 10 (67).43 (124)1.7 (100)30% (103)29% (43).41 (111)5% (113)2.6 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NWST Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TLSA Offense1241% (118)44% (50)15.827.8204.77.412.920 (70)19 (131).36 (37)1.8 (13)34% (95)32% (57).33 (68)6% (73)2.1 (66)

Northwestern State's Power Ratings
Northwestern State's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern State's 2024 Expected Record: -
Northwestern State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 93.74
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State:    Tulsa: -20.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State:    Tulsa: -20.6




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -20.915  #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18  #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20  #127
2024 Talent Rating: 253.00  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6  #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3  #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Northwestern State Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 68 PPG
Defense on Road: 68

Northwestern State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulsa 47
Northwestern State 14

Projected Total Points: 61
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/29Tulsa62Northwestern State28Tulsa -37.5Northwestern State55.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa101 Overs
Northwestern State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) NWST at (#132) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWSTTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #132
SP+SP+NR #128
Perf GradeGradeNR #133
OffenseOffNR #118
DefenseDefNR #133
Spec TeamsSTNR #119
TalentTalNR #94
Blue ChipsBC%NR #82
Tulsa Notes
(12/8) Hired HC Tre Lamb (ETSU/Gar Web)
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds
(7/30) Is HC Wilson still a prick? OC is Spurrier Jr.
Tulsa Injury Report
Northwestern State on Offense
CategoryCat
NWST OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #133
SuccessSucNR #96
ExplosiveExpNR #123
PPAPPANR #120
PowerPwrNR #127
SP+SP+NR #129
Pts POPPONR #82
HavocHavNR #108
Northwestern State Run Game
CategoryCat
NWST OffTLSA Def
Run GameRunNR #108
Run SuccessRSucNR #67
Run ExplRExpNR #115
PPAExpNR #107
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #89
Stuff RateStuffNR #69
TackleTak -  #130
Northwestern State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NWST OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePassNR #136
Pass SuccessPSucNR #121
Pass ExplPExlNR #100
PPAExpNR #124
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #44
F7 HavocF7NR #74
DB HavocDBNR #113
Tulsa on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTLSA OffNWST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118NR
SuccessSuc #83NR
ExplosiveExp #77NR
PPAPPA #77NR
PowerPwr #125NR
SP+SP+ #105NR
Pts POPPO #34NR
HavocHav #87NR
Tulsa Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNWST Def
Run GameRun #105NR
Run SuccessRSuc #99NR
Run ExplRExp #120NR
PPAExp #96NR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLY #59NR
Stuff RateStuff #22NR
TackleTak - NR
Tulsa Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTLSA OffNWST Def
Pass GamePass #112NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #50NR
Pass ExplPExl #13NR
PPAExp #37NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #121NR
F7 HavocF7 #87NR
DB HavocDB #73NR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

NWST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Tulsa -37.5 (55.5)
Tulsa won vs Northwestern State this year (62-28)

Previous Matchups
Tulsa beat Northwestern State in 2024 (62-28)

  
NWST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern State's Full Roster

NWST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Gotcher150000
Christian Williams110000
William White111000
Cadillac Rhone90000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Blake Gotcher150000
Chancellor Owens40000
Myles Kitt-Denton10000
Isaiah Ybarra10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Mitchell61001
Blake Gotcher150000
Christian Hawkins30000

TLSA's OC Steve Spurrier Jr. (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kirk Francis14925359%1585966.3
Cooper Legas (Tr)8716254%11441267.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Watkins8740244.677
Viron Ellison Jr.6235315.732
Bill Jackson6731904.837
Lloyd Avant7625913.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamdyn Benjamin70822611.774
Joseph Williams30588519.672
Luke Mcgary17231113.632
Zion Steptoe (Tr)15203013.534

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Chris Polizzi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gavin Potter (Tr)7511140
Dayne Hodge601003
Malachi Jones490003
Zach Marcheselli (Tr)4710100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R.J. Jackson354302
Owen Ostroski358240
Vontroy Malone255210
Myles Jackson (Tr)366210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keuan Parker200004
Buddha Garrett381003
Dayne Hodge601003