Tulsa at UAB Game Matchup

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (2:30 PM EDT)
UAB -2.5 (57.5) (-142) Open: -1.0
UAB 59 - Tulsa: 21 (American Athletic)

Golden Hurricane (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Switzer (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (21 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)

UAB coming off BYE
Our Line: UAB -14 (SP+ UAB -9)
Projected Score: TLSA: 23 - UAB: 37 (64)
UAB Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TLSA Travel: 549 miles

Blazers (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (34 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
UAB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Tulsa vs Northwestern State	-37.5	55.5	W 62 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/7	Tulsa at Arkansas State	+9.5	65.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Tulsa vs Oklahoma State	+17.5	62.5	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/21	Tulsa at Louisiana Tech	+3.0	56.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Tulsa at North Texas	+7.0	65.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/5	Tulsa vs Army	+13.5	50.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Tulsa at Temple	+3.5	51.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/26	Tulsa vs UTSA	+9.5	52.5	W 46 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Tulsa at UAB	+2.5	57.5	L 21 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/14	Tulsa vs East Carolina	+16.0	63.5	L 31 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Tulsa at South Florida	+17.5	60.0	L 30 - 63	O	N
Sat 11/30	Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	57.5	L 16 - 63	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

UAB's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	UAB vs Alcorn State	-29.5	55.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UAB at UL Monroe	-10.5	55.5	L 6 - 32	U	N
Sat 9/14	UAB at Arkansas	+23.5	60.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	UAB vs Navy	+4.5	56.5	L 18 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	UAB vs Tulane	+19.5	52.0	L 20 - 71	O	N
Sat 10/12	UAB at Army	+27.0	55.5	L 10 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/19	UAB at South Florida	+14.0	55.5	L 25 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	UAB vs Tulsa	-2.5	57.5	W 59 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	UAB vs UConn	+7.5	54.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/16	UAB at Memphis	+16.0	62.0	L 18 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/23	UAB vs Rice	+7.0	52.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	UAB at Charlotte	+1.5	59.5	L 27 - 29	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	#77 (.18)	41% (83)	25	40% (99)	3.16 (59)	181	44% (50)	205	4.23 (34)	#120 (.29)	44% (96)	42.5	43% (67)	46% (121)	3.95 (82)	43.3	2	1.7
UAB	#12 (.32)	49% (10)	26.2	51% (11)	3.7 (3)	161	48% (18)	289	3.84 (76)	#119 (.28)	48% (129)	34.3	53% (132)	43% (89)	4.45 (122)	56.3	1.7	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	12	25	21.3	41%	4.23	2	20	386	181	205	4.1	57%	41%	40%	44%	17%	.18
UAB Defense	12	34.3	30.2	47.8%	4.45	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	53%	43%	16%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	12	42.5	40.3	43.9%	3.95	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	43%	46%	14%	.29
UAB Offense	12	26.2	33.5	48.5%	3.84	1.7	24	450	161	289	4.5	47%	51%	51%	48%	18%	.32

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	12	29:42	19.8	45%	44%	5.1	43.3	2	1.7	5.4	1.8	0	28.1
UAB	12	29:14	23.7	40%	48%	6.7	56.3	1.7	1.7	4.1	2.3	1	27.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	12	57% (16)	40% (99)	43.9	180.9	4.1	13 (108)	.1 (96)	3.16 (59)	79% (27)	11% (87)	0.88 (120)
UAB Defense	12	50% (73)	53% (132)	-	-	-	-	.36 (133)	3.55 (131)	83% (116)	9% (107)	1.09 (109)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	12	47% (37)	43% (67)	-	-	-	-	.21 (107)	3.18 (89)	67% (30)	10% (74)	1.13 (115)
UAB Offense	12	47% (91)	51% (11)	35.5	161.1	4.5	24 (41)	.32 (4)	3.7 (3)	77% (42)	13% (124)	1.06 (34)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	12	41% (118)	44% (50)	15.8	27.8	204.7	7.4	12.9	20 (70)	19 (131)	.36 (37)	1.8 (13)	34% (95)	32% (57)	.33 (68)	6% (73)	2.1 (66)
UAB Defense	12	49% (64)	43% (89)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.26 (58)	1.5 (46)	30% (109)	36% (124)	.46 (121)	7% (30)	2 (67)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	12	51% (89)	46% (121)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.43 (124)	1.7 (100)	30% (103)	29% (43)	.41 (111)	5% (113)	2.6 (133)
UAB Offense	12	51% (47)	48% (18)	25.5	35.6	288.9	8.1	11.3	22 (61)	13 (97)	.37 (34)	1.5 (103)	28% (13)	33% (48)	.48 (21)	5% (43)	2.1 (43)

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
2024 Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Tulsa's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Tulsa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -26.23 UAB: -9.46

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -20.6 UAB: -11.3

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -9.46 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
2024 Talent Rating: 530.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UAB's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UAB's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482.57
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.3
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.3

Tulsa's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
UAB 37
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 64

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

UAB's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	UAB	59	Tulsa	21	UAB	UAB -2.5	UAB	57.5	Over
2012	09/29	UAB	42	Tulsa	49	Tulsa
2011	10/15	Tulsa	37	UAB	20	Tulsa
2008	08/30	UAB	22	Tulsa	45	Tulsa
2007	09/29	Tulsa	38	UAB	30	Tulsa

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UAB	1	1	1 Overs
Tulsa	4	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#132) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -26.23 #132
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 19.20 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.6 #128
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.3 #129
Talent Rating: 510.00 #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa Notes
(11/24) HC Wilson fired, WR coach Ryan Switzer in
(11/4) Wilson is 3-10 in AAC play, 7-14 overall
(11/3) Killed by UAB? Def torched 400+ pass? Run awful
(10/28) Down 35-7, season saving comeback vs UTSA
(10/20) L to Temple after Bye? QB meh, Rgame abysmal
(10/20) Pass D torched by Temple for 300+, QBs awful
(10/20) Not sure what plan is or level of give a shit
(9/25) Even with LT, 13 flags killers, forced 3 TOs in OT W
(7/30) New QB Francis got PT LY, backups better upside
(7/30) Def was awful LY, returns little, need portal adds

Tulsa Ratings Matchup UAB

Power #132

#107

Off #125

#51

Def #127

#120

Talent #94

#90

SP+ #128

#108

SP+ Off #105

#75

SP+ Def #129

#126

Rematch from Week 10
UAB -2.5 (57.5)
UAB won vs Tulsa this year (59-21)

Previous Matchups
UAB beat Tulsa last year (59-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 81°

Team Information
Injuries: TLSA | UAB
Depth Chart: TLSA | UAB
Rosters: TLSA | UAB

(#107) UAB Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.46 #107
Offense Rating: 21.87 #51
Defense Rating: 16.86 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #126
Talent Rating: 530.00 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UAB Notes
(11/18) Tulsa was dead cat bounce, L's to UConn/Memphis
(11/3) Killed Tulsa, 400+ pass yds. Still 10 flags
(10/22) Def stop rate 39% (#129) into week 9
(10/20) Fought w/ S Fla but gagged. Kitna 384 yds
(10/13) Def all 400+ yds rush (Army). Dilfer needs 2 go
(10/7) Dilfer is done. Concerning rumors, team quit
(10/6) Team has quit. Tulane 70 pts, 300+ yds rushing
(9/29) Mauled by Navy, though stats even. Dilfer a clown
(9/14) Lost to #130 ULM by 26 as a 10+ pt fav. Woof
(8/13) OC Mortensen Dink & Dunk Off worked LY

Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kirk Francis	149	253	59%	1585	9	6	6.3
Cooper Legas (Tr)	87	162	54%	1144	12	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Viron Ellison Jr.	62	353	1	5.7	32
Bill Jackson	67	319	0	4.8	37
Lloyd Avant	76	259	1	3.4	16
Cooper Legas (Tr)	79	201	1	2.5	33

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joseph Williams	30	588	5	19.6	72
Luke Mcgary	17	231	1	13.6	32
Zion Steptoe (Tr)	15	203	0	13.5	34
Corey Smith	12	179	2	14.9	38

View Tulsa's Full Roster

Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Potter (Tr)	75	11	1	4	0
Dayne Hodge	60	1	0	0	3
Zach Marcheselli (Tr)	47	10	1	0	0
Chris Thompson Jr. (Tr)	44	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R.J. Jackson	35	4	3	0	2
Vontroy Malone	25	5	2	1	0
Owen Ostroski	35	8	2	4	0
Myles Jackson (Tr)	36	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keuan Parker	20	0	4
Dayne Hodge	60	1	3
Buddha Garrett	38	1	3

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	196	316	62%	2209	17	11	7.0
Jacob Zeno	82	118	70%	819	6	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lee Beebe	166	885	7	5.3	61
Isaiah Jacobs	41	162	0	4.0	12
Jacob Zeno	37	97	0	2.6	26
Armoni Goodwin (Tr)	14	88	0	6.3	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	62	670	8	10.8	73
Kameran Shanks	62	656	6	10.6	67
Corri Milliner	24	416	3	17.3	45
Lee Beebe	30	219	1	7.3	29

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Moore	92	3	0	1	2
Everett Roussaw Jr.	75	8	3	4	1
Sirad Bryant (Tr)	59	1	0	0	0
Tyjon Jones (Tr)	59	0	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Everett Roussaw Jr.	75	8	3	4	1
James Smyre	9	2	2	0	0
Emmanuel Waller	7	1	1	1	0
LeDarrius Cox (Tr)	32	4	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Adrian Maddox (Tr)	44	2	1	7
Kelvin Hill	42	0	0	5
Tyjon Jones (Tr)	59	0	1	4