Colorado State Rams at Oregon State Beavers
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (6:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -10 (47.0) (-380) Open: -14.0
Oregon State 39 - Colorado State: 31
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
CSU coming off BYE
ORST coming off BYE
Our Line: Colorado State -3.5 (SP+ CSU -1)
Projected Score: CSU: 27 - ORST: 24 (51)
ORST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CSU Travel: 964 miles, 1 hrs ahead
ORST coming off BYE
Our Line: Colorado State -3.5 (SP+ CSU -1)
Projected Score: CSU: 27 - ORST: 24 (51)
ORST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CSU Travel: 964 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Beavers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Coach Trent Bray (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
| Colorado State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Colorado State at Texas | +35.5 | 59.0 | L 0 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Colorado State vs Northern Colorado | -31.0 | 52.5 | W 38 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Colorado State vs Colorado | +7.5 | 58.5 | L 9 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Colorado State vs UTEP | -8.5 | 49.0 | W 27 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Colorado State at Oregon State | +10.0 | 47.0 | L 31 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Colorado State vs San José State | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Colorado State at Air Force | -6.0 | 43.5 | W 21 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Colorado State vs New Mexico | -3.5 | 62.0 | W 17 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Colorado State at Nevada | -2.0 | 45.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Colorado State vs Wyoming | -8.5 | 47.5 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Colorado State at Fresno State | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 22 - 28 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Colorado State vs Utah State | -5.5 | 56.5 | W 42 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Colorado State vs Miami (OH) | +1.0 | 42.5 | L 17 - 43 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Oregon State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Oregon State vs Idaho State | -29.5 | 57.5 | W 38 - 15 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Oregon State at San Diego State | -5.5 | 54.5 | W 21 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Oregon State vs Oregon | +16.0 | 50.0 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Oregon State vs Purdue | -1.5 | 51.0 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Oregon State vs Colorado State | -10.0 | 47.0 | W 39 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Oregon State at Nevada | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 37 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Oregon State vs UNLV | +6.5 | 61.0 | L 25 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Oregon State at California | +13.0 | 51.0 | L 7 - 44 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Oregon State vs San José State | -3.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Oregon State at Air Force | -3.0 | 44.5 | L 0 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Oregon State vs Washington State | +11.0 | 57.0 | W 41 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Oregon State at Boise State | +17.5 | 58.5 | L 18 - 34 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | #90 (.16) | 42% (76) | 24.4 | 43% (80) | 2.88 (96) | 162 | 41% (81) | 192 | 3.56 (98) | #61 (.16) | 42% (78) | 25.8 | 42% (59) | 43% (94) | 4 (88) | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 24.3 | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 29.9 | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | #90 (.16) | 42% (76) | 43% (80) | 2.88 (96) | 162 | 41% (81) | 192 | 3.56 (98) | #61 (.16) | 42% (78) | 42% (59) | 43% (94) | 4 (88) | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | ||
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Offense | 13 | 24.4 | 22.4 | 42.2% | 3.56 | 1.2 | 16 | 354 | 162 | 192 | 4.9 | 55% | 45% | 43% | 41% | 15% | .16 |
| ORST Defense | 12 | 29.9 | 30.1 | 48% | 4.35 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 50% | 45% | 13% | .27 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Defense | 13 | 25.8 | 30.6 | 42.4% | 4 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 42% | 43% | 17% | .16 |
| ORST Offense | 12 | 24.3 | 29.7 | 43.6% | 3.87 | 1.3 | 22 | 391 | 189 | 201 | 4.7 | 55% | 45% | 47% | 39% | 15% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 13 | 28:44 | 16.5 | 35% | 64% | 5.8 | 47.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 27.8 |
| Oregon State | 12 | 33:09 | 22.3 | 44% | 52% | 5.1 | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 1 | 24.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Offense | 13 | 55% (30) | 43% (80) | 33.4 | 161.8 | 4.9 | 19 (73) | .03 (115) | 2.88 (96) | 55% (133) | 9% (46) | 0.92 (87) |
| ORST Defense | 12 | 56% (125) | 50% (126) | - | - | - | - | .23 (120) | 3.39 (123) | 81% (114) | 8% (122) | 0.96 (55) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Defense | 13 | 49% (51) | 42% (59) | - | - | - | - | .1 (55) | 3.01 (70) | 69% (45) | 9% (91) | 1.02 (88) |
| ORST Offense | 12 | 55% (33) | 47% (25) | 40.3 | 189.2 | 4.7 | 29 (18) | .22 (25) | 3.34 (20) | 76% (46) | 9% (50) | 0.97 (65) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Offense | 13 | 45% (102) | 41% (81) | 16.2 | 26.4 | 191.8 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 15 (98) | 8 (40) | .31 (43) | 1.7 (25) | 32% (75) | 34% (37) | .42 (33) | 7% (98) | 2 (92) |
| ORST Defense | 12 | 44% (13) | 45% (112) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .31 (104) | 1.5 (41) | 27% (126) | 33% (102) | .46 (121) | 6% (75) | 2.1 (70) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSU Defense | 13 | 51% (85) | 43% (94) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .22 (59) | 1.4 (16) | 30% (105) | 30% (64) | .27 (49) | 8% (22) | 1.9 (35) |
| ORST Offense | 12 | 45% (101) | 39% (100) | 18 | 30 | 201.4 | 6.7 | 11.2 | 7 (130) | 11 (72) | .09 (125) | 1.4 (123) | 28% (20) | 31% (78) | .16 (123) | 6% (84) | 1.8 (124) |
Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Colorado State's Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -4.04 Oregon State: -8.345
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -5.7 Oregon State: -6.7
Colorado State: -4.04 Oregon State: -8.345
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -5.7 Oregon State: -6.7
Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -8.345 #113
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Oregon State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Oregon State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Oregon State's Power Rating: -8.345 #113
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Oregon State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Oregon State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 27
Oregon State 24
Total Points: 51
Colorado State 27
Oregon State 24
Total Points: 51
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1
Oregon State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1
Oregon State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/05 | Oregon State | 39 | Colorado State | 31 | Oregon State | Oregon State -10 | Colorado State | 47.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 08/26 | Colorado State | 58 | Oregon State | 27 | Colorado State | Colorado State -4 | Colorado State | 60.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 1 | 0 | 2 Overs |
| Colorado State | 1 | 2 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#78) Colorado State Info
Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State has won 1 straight
Colorado State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State Secondary is very good (#53)
Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Power Rating: -4.04 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State has won 1 straight
Colorado State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State Secondary is very good (#53)
Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ORST | CSU |
| OverallOver | #70 | #34 |
| OffenseOff | #46 | #36 |
| DefenseDef | #110 | #34 |
| Special TeamsST | #24 | #69 |
| PassingPass | #62 | #49 |
| RushingRush | #35 | #66 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #32 | #14 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #28 | #13 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #68 | #59 |
| TacklingTkl | #73 | #61 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #105 | #28 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #86 | #81 |
| Coverage DefCov | #101 | #42 |
Rematch from Week 6
Oregon State -10.0 (47.0)
Oregon State won vs Colorado State this year (39-31)
Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Colorado State last year (39-31)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: CSU | ORST
Depth Chart: CSU | ORST
Rosters: CSU | ORST
(#113) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: -8.345 #113
Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Oregon State has won 1 straight
Oregon State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon State Notes
(11/29) Def torched by Boise, Off meh, 3-13 on 3rd
(11/29) 1-6 finish in '24 to miss bowl. 25 goal is ?
(11/18) QB Johnson awful, Rgame worse, shutout by AFA?
(11/18) Complete identity crisis. No idea what they want
(10/31) QB McCoy may have lost job to Gulbranson
(10/27) Pass Def abused by Cal. 3 straight L's, going down
(10/12) Run Def abused by Nevada 353 yds, 8.4ypc in L
(10/11) RB Griffin likely out vs Nevada
(10/10) Rgame good vs CSU, 251yds (5.3 ypc), McCoy meh
(9/23) Killed Purdue, rushed for 341 (6 ypc), pass D good
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State has a top Offensive Line (#123)
Oregon State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#107)
Oregon State commits very few Penalties (#67)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State pass game is really bad (#32)
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State has a bad defense (#54)
Oregon State Does Not Stuff Runs (#26)
Oregon State has a bad defensive line (#18)
Oregon State has a bad red zone defense (#89)
Power Rating: -8.345 #113
Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Oregon State has won 1 straight
Oregon State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon State Notes
(11/29) Def torched by Boise, Off meh, 3-13 on 3rd
(11/29) 1-6 finish in '24 to miss bowl. 25 goal is ?
(11/18) QB Johnson awful, Rgame worse, shutout by AFA?
(11/18) Complete identity crisis. No idea what they want
(10/31) QB McCoy may have lost job to Gulbranson
(10/27) Pass Def abused by Cal. 3 straight L's, going down
(10/12) Run Def abused by Nevada 353 yds, 8.4ypc in L
(10/11) RB Griffin likely out vs Nevada
(10/10) Rgame good vs CSU, 251yds (5.3 ypc), McCoy meh
(9/23) Killed Purdue, rushed for 341 (6 ypc), pass D good
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State has a top Offensive Line (#123)
Oregon State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#107)
Oregon State commits very few Penalties (#67)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State pass game is really bad (#32)
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State has a bad defense (#54)
Oregon State Does Not Stuff Runs (#26)
Oregon State has a bad defensive line (#18)
Oregon State has a bad red zone defense (#89)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi | 227 | 374 | 61% | 2755 | 14 | 8 | 7.4 |
| Jackson Brousseau | 3 | 6 | 50% | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Morrow | 184 | 1006 | 9 | 5.5 | 73 |
| Justin Marshall | 156 | 767 | 4 | 4.9 | 42 |
| Jalen Dupree | 25 | 153 | 1 | 6.1 | 24 |
| Keegan Holles | 15 | 97 | 1 | 6.5 | 18 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Goodie | 21 | 436 | 4 | 20.8 | 85 |
| Jamari Person | 35 | 373 | 1 | 10.7 | 60 |
| Armani Winfield (Tr) | 38 | 341 | 2 | 9.0 | 62 |
| Tory Horton | 25 | 331 | 1 | 13.2 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buom Jock | 97 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Chase Wilson | 97 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Jack Howell | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Henry Blackburn | 79 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Kirschke (Tr) | 41 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Mukendi Wa-Kalonji | 35 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| James Mitchell | 38 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Ayden Hector | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Larry (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| Dom Jones | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Dominic Morris | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gevani McCoy (Tr) | 123 | 202 | 61% | 1300 | 3 | 6 | 6.4 |
| Ben Gulbranson | 78 | 128 | 61% | 943 | 4 | 4 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hankerson (Tr) | 232 | 1082 | 15 | 4.7 | 83 |
| Jamious Griffin | 73 | 450 | 4 | 6.2 | 33 |
| Gevani McCoy (Tr) | 59 | 328 | 5 | 5.6 | 71 |
| Salahadin Allah | 55 | 258 | 1 | 4.7 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Walker | 81 | 901 | 2 | 11.1 | 43 |
| Jermaine Terry II | 23 | 375 | 1 | 16.3 | 43 |
| Darrius Clemons (Tr) | 25 | 292 | 2 | 11.7 | 44 |
| Jeremiah Noga | 23 | 266 | 0 | 11.6 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Isaiah Chisom | 75 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Nikko Taylor | 46 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Melvin Jordan IV | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko Taylor | 46 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Zakaih Saez | 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dexter Foster | 43 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Semisi Saluni | 34 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Andre Jordan | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |