Northern Colorado at Colorado State

Northern Colorado at Colorado State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Northern Colorado Bears at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -31 (52.5) (-7500) Open: -28.5 | 53.5
Colorado State 38 - Northern Colorado: 17

Bears (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 38 (17 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ CSU -6)
CSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%

Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNCO Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Colorado's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7	Northern Colorado at Colorado State	+31.0	52.5	L 17 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Colorado's Schedule

Colorado State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Colorado State at Texas	+35.5	59.0	L 0 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/7	Colorado State vs Northern Colorado	-31.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/14	Colorado State vs Colorado	+7.5	58.5	L 9 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/21	Colorado State vs UTEP	-8.5	49.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Colorado State at Oregon State	+10.0	47.0	L 31 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Colorado State vs San José State	-2.5	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Colorado State at Air Force	-6.0	43.5	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-3.5	62.0	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Colorado State at Nevada	-2.0	45.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Colorado State vs Wyoming	-8.5	47.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Colorado State at Fresno State	+3.5	43.5	L 22 - 28	O	N
Fri 11/29	Colorado State vs Utah State	-5.5	56.5	W 42 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/28	Colorado State vs Miami (OH)	+1.0	42.5	L 17 - 43	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNCO		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)	24.4	43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)	25.8	42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNCO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNCO Offense	1	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
CSU Defense	13	25.8	19.9	42.4%	4	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	42%	43%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNCO Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
CSU Offense	13	24.4	26.9	42.2%	3.56	1.2	16	354	162	192	4.9	55%	45%	43%	41%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Colorado	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Colorado State	13	28:44	16.5	35%	64%	5.8	47.3	1.2	1.5	4.2	1.1	2	27.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNCO Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
CSU Defense	13	49% (51)	42% (59)	-	-	-	-	.1 (55)	3.01 (70)	69% (45)	9% (91)	1.02 (88)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNCO Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
CSU Offense	13	55% (30)	43% (80)	33.4	161.8	4.9	19 (73)	.03 (115)	2.88 (96)	55% (133)	9% (46)	0.92 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNCO Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
CSU Defense	13	51% (85)	43% (94)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.22 (59)	1.4 (16)	30% (105)	30% (64)	.27 (49)	8% (22)	1.9 (35)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNCO Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
CSU Offense	13	45% (102)	41% (81)	16.2	26.4	191.8	7.3	11.8	15 (98)	8 (40)	.31 (43)	1.7 (25)	32% (75)	34% (37)	.42 (33)	7% (98)	2 (92)

Northern Colorado's Power Ratings
Northern Colorado's Power Rating: #NR
Northern Colorado's Offense Rating: #NR
Northern Colorado's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Northern Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: -
Northern Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Colorado State: -2.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Colorado State: -5.7

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Northern Colorado Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado State 32
Northern Colorado 20

Total Points: 52

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9

Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Colorado State	21	Northern Colorado	17	Colorado State	Colorado State -35.0	Northern Colorado	52.5	Under
2024	09/07	Colorado State	38	Northern Colorado	17	Colorado State	Colorado State -31	Northern Colorado	52.5	Over
2016	09/17	Colorado State	47	Northern Colorado	21	Colorado State	Colorado State -22	Colorado State	0
2011	09/10	Colorado State	33	Northern Colorado	14	Colorado State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	4	1	1 Overs
Northern Colorado	0	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#NR) Northern Colorado Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Northern Colorado Highlights
Northern Colorado is Undefeated vs Spread

Northern Colorado Deficiencies
Northern Colorado has a really bad Offense
Northern Colorado Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	CSU	UNCO
OverallOver	#34	—
OffenseOff	#36	—
DefenseDef	#34	—
Special TeamsST	#69	—
PassingPass	#49	—
RushingRush	#66	—
Run BlockRBLK	#14	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#13	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#59	—
TacklingTkl	#61	—
Run DefenseR Def	#28	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#81	—
Coverage DefCov	#42	—

Rematch from Week 2
Colorado State -31.0 (52.5)
Colorado State won vs Northern Colorado this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Northern Colorado last year (38-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNCO | CSU
Depth Chart: UNCO | CSU
Rosters: UNCO | CSU

(#78) Colorado State Info
Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Colorado State has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on

Colorado State Highlights
Colorado State Secondary is very good (#53)

Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#28)
Colorado State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Colorado State does not Sack the QB (#112)

Northern Colorado's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Colorado's Full Roster

Northern Colorado's DC

Top Def	Tack	PRESS	PD
Cam Chapa	13	0	0
Payton Polson	9	0	0
Franky Morales	8	0	1
Darrell Bryant Jr.	6	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Michael Jordan Jr.	4	2	1
Cam Chapa	13	0	0
Brody Bliek	4	0	0
Sam Iongi-Amituanai	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Aliou-Rocco Traore	1	0	1
Franky Morales	8	0	1
Sione Tuha	5	1	1

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi	227	374	61%	2755	14	8	7.4
Jackson Brousseau	3	6	50%	15	0	1	2.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Avery Morrow	184	1006	9	5.5	73
Justin Marshall	156	767	4	4.9	42
Jalen Dupree	25	153	1	6.1	24
Keegan Holles	15	97	1	6.5	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Goodie	21	436	4	20.8	85
Jamari Person	35	373	1	10.7	60
Armani Winfield (Tr)	38	341	2	9.0	62
Tory Horton	25	331	1	13.2	52

View Colorado State's Full Roster

Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Buom Jock	97	3	0	2	3
Chase Wilson	97	3	0	6	1
Jack Howell	86	1	0	0	5
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)	41	10	6	8	2
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji	35	6	3	5	1
James Mitchell	38	6	2	5	1
Ayden Hector	40	5	2	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Elias Larry (Tr)	38	3	1	9
Dom Jones	60	2	0	8
Dominic Morris	54	2	0	8