Northern Colorado at Colorado State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Northern Colorado logo Northern Colorado Bears at Colorado State RamsColorado State logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -31 (52.5) (-7500)  Open: -28.5 | 53.5
Colorado State 38 - Northern Colorado: 17

 
Bears (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 38 (17 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ CSU -6)
CSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7 Northern Colorado at Colorado State+31.052.5L 17 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Colorado's Schedule
Colorado State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Colorado State at Texas+35.559.0L 0 - 52UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado State vs Northern Colorado-31.052.5W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/14 Colorado State vs Colorado+7.558.5L 9 - 28UN
Sat 9/21 Colorado State vs UTEP-8.549.0W 27 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Colorado State at Oregon State+10.047.0L 31 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 Colorado State vs San José State-2.555.5W 31 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Colorado State at Air Force-6.043.5W 21 - 13UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado State vs New Mexico-3.562.0W 17 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Colorado State at Nevada-2.045.5W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Colorado State vs Wyoming-8.547.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/23 Colorado State at Fresno State+3.543.5L 22 - 28ON
Fri 11/29 Colorado State vs Utah State-5.556.5W 42 - 37ON
Sat 12/28 Colorado State vs Miami (OH)+1.042.5L 17 - 43ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNCO0%170%000%000%380%0%0000
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)24.443% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)25.842% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNCO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)43% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)42% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNCO Offense117170%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CSU Defense1325.819.942.4%41.5 - - - - - 49%51%42%43%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNCO Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CSU Offense1324.426.942.2%3.561.2163541621924.955%45%43%41%15%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Colorado10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Colorado State1328:4416.535%64%5.847.31.21.54.21.1227.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNCO Offense10%0%000000%0%0
CSU Defense1349% (51)42% (59) - - - - .1 (55)3.01 (70)69% (45)9% (91)1.02 (88)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNCO Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CSU Offense1355% (30)43% (80)33.4161.84.919 (73).03 (115)2.88 (96)55% (133)9% (46)0.92 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNCO Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
CSU Defense1351% (85)43% (94) - - - - - - 10 (66).22 (59)1.4 (16)30% (105)30% (64).27 (49)8% (22)1.9 (35)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNCO Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CSU Offense1345% (102)41% (81)16.226.4191.87.311.815 (98)8 (40).31 (43)1.7 (25)32% (75)34% (37).42 (33)7% (98)2 (92)

Northern Colorado's Power Ratings
Northern Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: -
Northern Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado:    Colorado State: -2.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado:    Colorado State: -5.7




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37  #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14  #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60  #69
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7  #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2  #85

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northern Colorado Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 34
Northern Colorado 20

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado State 36
Northern Colorado 21

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Colorado State 32
Northern Colorado 20

Total Points: 52
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9

Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Colorado State21Northern Colorado17Colorado State -35.0Northern Colorado52.5Under
202409/07Colorado State38Northern Colorado17Colorado State -31Northern Colorado52.5Over
201609/17Colorado State47Northern Colorado21Colorado State -22Colorado State0
201109/10Colorado State33Northern Colorado14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State411 Overs
Northern Colorado021 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#NR) UNCO at (#78) CSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCOCSU
Power RatePwrNR #78
SP+SP+NR #93
Perf GradeGradeNR #46
OffenseOffNR #40
DefenseDefNR #46
Spec TeamsSTNR #83
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #102
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) QB torched Ut St. Rgame awful, R Def awful
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
(7/30) Very important year for 3rd year staff
Colorado State Injury Report
Northern Colorado on Offense
CategoryCat
UNCO OffCSU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #46
SuccessSucNR #78
ExplosiveExpNR #49
PPAPPANR #61
PowerPwrNR #69
SP+SP+NR #85
Pts POPPONR #88
HavocHavNR #59
Northern Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
UNCO OffCSU Def
Run GameRunNR #35
Run SuccessRSucNR #59
Run ExplRExpNR #88
PPAExpNR #55
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #70
Stuff RateStuffNR #93
TackleTak -  #70
Northern Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNCO OffCSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #53
Pass SuccessPSucNR #94
Pass ExplPExlNR #16
PPAExpNR #59
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #95
F7 HavocF7NR #91
DB HavocDBNR #22
Colorado State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCatCSU OffUNCO Def
Perf GradePerf #40NR
SuccessSuc #76NR
ExplosiveExp #85NR
PPAPPA #90NR
PowerPwr #74NR
SP+SP+ #92NR
Pts POPPO #98NR
HavocHav #59NR
Colorado State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffUNCO Def
Run GameRun #92NR
Run SuccessRSuc #80NR
Run ExplRExp #87NR
PPAExp #115NR
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLY #96NR
Stuff RateStuff #112NR
TackleTak - NR
Colorado State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCatCSU OffUNCO Def
Pass GamePass #62NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #81NR
Pass ExplPExl #25NR
PPAExp #43NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #13NR
F7 HavocF7 #46NR
DB HavocDB #98NR
Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

UNCO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 88° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Colorado State -31.0 (52.5)
Colorado State won vs Northern Colorado this year (38-17)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Northern Colorado last year (38-17)

  
UNCO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northern Colorado's Full Roster

UNCO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam Chapa130000
Payton Polson90000
Franky Morales80001
Darrell Bryant Jr.60010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Jordan Jr.42100
Cam Chapa130000
Brody Bliek40000
Sam Iongi-Amituanai10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aliou-Rocco Traore10001
Franky Morales80001
Sione Tuha51001

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi22737461%27551487.4
Jackson Brousseau3650%15012.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Avery Morrow184100695.573
Justin Marshall15676744.942
Jalen Dupree2515316.124
Keegan Holles159716.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Goodie21436420.885
Jamari Person35373110.760
Armani Winfield (Tr)3834129.062
Tory Horton25331113.252

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buom Jock973023
Chase Wilson973061
Jack Howell861005
Henry Blackburn791123
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682
Mukendi Wa-Kalonji356351
James Mitchell386251
Ayden Hector405206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elias Larry (Tr)383019
Dom Jones602008
Dominic Morris542008