Northern Colorado Bears at Colorado State Rams
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -31 (52.5) (-7500) Open: -28.5 | 53.5
Colorado State 38 - Northern Colorado: 17
Bears (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 38 (17 - 38 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 38 (17 - 38 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rams (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
| Northern Colorado's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/7 | Northern Colorado at Colorado State | +31.0 | 52.5 | L 17 - 38 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Northern Colorado's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
| Colorado State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Colorado State at Texas | +35.5 | 59.0 | L 0 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Colorado State vs Northern Colorado | -31.0 | 52.5 | W 38 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Colorado State vs Colorado | +7.5 | 58.5 | L 9 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Colorado State vs UTEP | -8.5 | 49.0 | W 27 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Colorado State at Oregon State | +10.0 | 47.0 | L 31 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Colorado State vs San José State | -2.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Colorado State at Air Force | -6.0 | 43.5 | W 21 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Colorado State vs New Mexico | -3.5 | 62.0 | W 17 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Colorado State at Nevada | -2.0 | 45.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/15 | Colorado State vs Wyoming | -8.5 | 47.5 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Colorado State at Fresno State | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 22 - 28 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/29 | Colorado State vs Utah State | -5.5 | 56.5 | W 42 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Colorado State vs Miami (OH) | +1.0 | 42.5 | L 17 - 43 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO | 0% | 17 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 38 | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| CSU | #81 (.17) | 42% (74) | 24.4 | 39% (118) | 2.7 (124) | 93 | 45% (38) | 307 | 3.66 (86) | #65 (.18) | 43% (80) | 25.8 | 42% (61) | 44% (107) | 3.4 (31) | 69.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| CSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO Offense | 1 | 17 | 17 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| CSU Defense | 12 | 25.8 | 19.9 | 42.9% | 3.4 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 42% | 44% | 16% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO Defense | 1 | 38 | 38 | 0% | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| CSU Offense | 12 | 24.4 | 26.9 | 41.6% | 3.66 | 2.1 | 21 | 399 | 93 | 307 | 3.4 | 39% | 59% | 39% | 45% | 16% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado | 1 | 0:00 | 0 | NAN% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| Colorado State | 12 | 26:34 | 20.6 | 41% | 42% | 7.6 | 69.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 2 | 26.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO Offense | 1 | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0 | |
| CSU Defense | 12 | 52% (102) | 42% (61) | - | - | - | - | .11 (47) | 3.05 (55) | 75% (82) | 12% (24) | 1.04 (90) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO Defense | 1 | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0 | |
| CSU Offense | 12 | 39% (126) | 39% (118) | 27.7 | 92.8 | 3.4 | 10 (124) | -.02 (130) | 2.7 (124) | 69% (102) | 7% (15) | 0.72 (133) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO Offense | 1 | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | ||
| CSU Defense | 12 | 47% (31) | 44% (107) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (87) | .29 (87) | 1.4 (10) | 32% (69) | 30% (69) | .3 (60) | 4% (126) | 2.1 (79) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNCO Defense | 1 | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | ||
| CSU Offense | 12 | 59% (9) | 45% (38) | 25.9 | 41.8 | 306.5 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 24 (41) | 18 (128) | .35 (43) | 1.5 (100) | 33% (86) | 29% (81) | .31 (74) | 8% (124) | 2 (105) |
Northern Colorado's Power Ratings
Northern Colorado's Power Rating: #NR
Northern Colorado's Offense Rating: #NR
Northern Colorado's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Northern Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: -
Northern Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Northern Colorado's Power Rating: #NR
Northern Colorado's Offense Rating: #NR
Northern Colorado's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Northern Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: -
Northern Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Northern Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Colorado State: -2.37
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Colorado State: -5.7
Northern Colorado: Colorado State: -2.37
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Colorado: Colorado State: -5.7
Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Colorado State's Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
2024 Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Colorado State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Colorado State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 443.33
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Northern Colorado Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38
Northern Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38
Northern Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 32
Northern Colorado 20
Projected Total Points: 52
Colorado State 32
Northern Colorado 20
Projected Total Points: 52
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9
Colorado State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/07 | Colorado State | 38 | Northern Colorado | 17 | Colorado State | Colorado State -31 | Northern Colorado | 52.5 | Over |
| 2016 | 09/17 | Colorado State | 47 | Northern Colorado | 21 | Colorado State | Colorado State -22 | Colorado State | 0 | |
| 2011 | 09/10 | Colorado State | 33 | Northern Colorado | 14 | Colorado State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 3 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Northern Colorado | 0 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 3 - 0 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 3 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#NR) Northern Colorado Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -
Team Profile
,
,
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -
Team Profile
,
,
Power #NR
#78Off #NR
#74Def #NR
#69Talent #
#98SP+ #N/A
#93SP+ Off #N/A
#92SP+ Def #N/A
#85Rematch from Week 2
Colorado State -31.0 (52.5)
Colorado State won vs Northern Colorado this year (38-17)
Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Northern Colorado last year (38-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 88° - Wind: 8 mph
Team Information
Injuries: UNCO | CSU
Depth Chart: UNCO | CSU
Rosters: UNCO | CSU
(#78) Colorado State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.37 #78
Offense Rating: 19.14 #74
Defense Rating: 9.60 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.7 #93
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #85
Talent Rating: 502.00 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.56 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Colorado State Notes
(11/29) Came back from 30-13 deficit with 29 str pts
(11/18) Rgame mauled Wyom, Def great TW. Hot team
(11/3) Won 4 straight, Rgame good over Nevada
(11/2) CSU has covered 5 straight into Nevada gm
(10/20) Def all 350 to Air Force? Rgame good enough
(10/14) Star WR Tory Horton out for season (knee)
(10/13) QB/Rgame better (4.8 ypc) in W over SJSU
(10/10) Rgame showed better vs Oreg St, QB still JAG
(8/11) CSU has not bowled in 7 years, pressure
(7/31) Should bowl, but o/u 6 wins feels dead on
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi | 227 | 374 | 61% | 2755 | 14 | 8 | 7.4 |
| Jackson Brousseau | 3 | 6 | 50% | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Marshall | 156 | 767 | 4 | 4.9 | 42 |
| Jalen Dupree | 25 | 153 | 1 | 6.1 | 24 |
| Keegan Holles | 15 | 97 | 1 | 6.5 | 18 |
| Caleb Goodie | 5 | 87 | 0 | 17.4 | 46 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Goodie | 21 | 436 | 4 | 20.8 | 85 |
| Jamari Person | 35 | 373 | 1 | 10.7 | 60 |
| Armani Winfield (Tr) | 38 | 341 | 2 | 9.0 | 62 |
| Vince Brown II | 24 | 256 | 3 | 10.7 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Wilson | 97 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Buom Jock | 97 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Owen Long | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Gabe Kirschke (Tr) | 41 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Kirschke (Tr) | 41 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Mukendi Wa-Kalonji | 35 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Kennedy McDowell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ayden Hector | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Larry (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| Ayden Hector | 40 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| Isaiah Essissima (Tr) | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |