Washington State at Oregon State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars at Oregon State Beavers

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Washington State -11 (57.0) (-440) Open: -12.5
Oregon State 41 - Washington State: 38 (Pac-12)

Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (15 - 16)
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (30 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Washington State -8 (SP+ WSU -8)
Projected Score: WSU: 33 - ORST: 25 (57)
WSU Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
WSU Travel: 331 miles

Beavers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington State vs Portland State	-26.5	57.5	W 70 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington State vs Texas Tech	+2.5	64.5	W 37 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Washington State vs Washington	+4.0	56.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Washington State vs San José State	-13.0	55.5	W 54 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/28	Washington State at Boise State	+6.5	66.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Washington State at Fresno State	-3.5	60.5	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Washington State vs Hawai'i	-18.5	55.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Washington State at San Diego State	-17.0	56.5	W 29 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Washington State vs Utah State	-20.5	69.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Washington State at New Mexico	-10.5	72.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/23	Washington State at Oregon State	-11.0	57.0	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/30	Washington State vs Wyoming	-18.5	55.5	L 14 - 15	U	N
Fri 12/27	Washington State vs Syracuse	+19.0	58.5	L 35 - 52	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

Oregon State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Oregon State vs Idaho State	-29.5	57.5	W 38 - 15	U	N
Sat 9/7	Oregon State at San Diego State	-5.5	54.5	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Oregon State vs Oregon	+16.0	50.0	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/21	Oregon State vs Purdue	-1.5	51.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Oregon State vs Colorado State	-10.0	47.0	W 39 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/12	Oregon State at Nevada	-3.0	47.0	L 37 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/19	Oregon State vs UNLV	+6.5	61.0	L 25 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/26	Oregon State at California	+13.0	51.0	L 7 - 44	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Oregon State vs San José State	-3.0	58.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/16	Oregon State at Air Force	-3.0	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Oregon State vs Washington State	+11.0	57.0	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Oregon State at Boise State	+17.5	58.5	L 18 - 34	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)	36.6	47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)	29.9	51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)	24.3	47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)	29.9	50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	13	36.6	30.2	48.1%	4.43	0.8	21	407	159	248	4.7	51%	49%	47%	49%	14%	.29
ORST Defense	12	29.9	30.1	48%	4.35	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	50%	45%	13%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	13	29.9	33.4	46%	4.18	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	51%	43%	15%	.22
ORST Offense	12	24.3	29.7	43.6%	3.87	1.3	22	391	189	201	4.7	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	13	26:19	21.1	41%	54%	5.9	54.8	0.8	1.7	4.6	1.5	3	30.1
Oregon State	12	33:09	22.3	44%	52%	5.1	45.7	1.3	1	3.8	0.6	1	24.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	13	51% (66)	47% (27)	33.6	158.8	4.7	27 (30)	.23 (22)	3.1 (54)	67% (108)	10% (72)	1.12 (14)
ORST Defense	12	56% (125)	50% (126)	-	-	-	-	.23 (120)	3.39 (123)	81% (114)	8% (122)	0.96 (55)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	13	44% (7)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.25 (123)	3.28 (110)	69% (45)	9% (102)	1.03 (89)
ORST Offense	12	55% (33)	47% (25)	40.3	189.2	4.7	29 (18)	.22 (25)	3.34 (20)	76% (46)	9% (50)	0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	13	49% (69)	49% (8)	17.8	27.4	248.2	9.1	13.9	30 (9)	7 (26)	.37 (20)	1.6 (68)	27% (13)	37% (14)	.43 (27)	4% (19)	2.1 (44)
ORST Defense	12	44% (13)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.31 (104)	1.5 (41)	27% (126)	33% (102)	.46 (121)	6% (75)	2.1 (70)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	13	55% (126)	43% (91)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.24 (74)	1.5 (54)	30% (98)	32% (93)	.35 (87)	6% (64)	2.2 (114)
ORST Offense	12	45% (101)	39% (100)	18	30	201.4	6.7	11.2	7 (130)	11 (72)	.09 (125)	1.4 (123)	28% (20)	31% (78)	.16 (123)	6% (84)	1.8 (124)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -2.40 #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Washington State's Defense Rating: 14.60 #107
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Washington State's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Washington State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.3 #68
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #97

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -2.40 Oregon State: -8.345

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.3 Oregon State: -6.7

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -8.345 #113
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Oregon State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Oregon State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Washington State's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Washington State 33
Oregon State 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington State 33
Oregon State 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Washington State 32
Oregon State 29

Total Points: 61

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1

Oregon State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Oregon State	10	Washington State	7	Washington State -3.5	Oregon State	47.5	Under
2025	11/29	Washington State	32	Oregon State	8	Washington State -14.0	Washington State	42.5	Under
2024	11/23	Oregon State	41	Washington State	38	Washington State -11	Oregon State	57.0	Over
2023	09/23	Washington State	38	Oregon State	35	Oregon State -3	Washington State	58.5	Over
2022	10/15	Oregon State	24	Washington State	10	Oregon State -3	Oregon State	51.5	Under
2021	10/09	Washington State	31	Oregon State	24	Oregon State -4	Washington State	59.0	Under
2020	11/07	Oregon State	28	Washington State	38	Oregon State -3	Washington State	63.5	Over
2019	11/23	Washington State	54	Oregon State	53	Washington State -10.5	Oregon State	77.5	Over
2018	10/06	Oregon State	37	Washington State	56	Washington State -17	Washington State	64.5	Over
2017	09/16	Washington State	52	Oregon State	23	Washington State -19.5	Washington State	65.5	Over
2016	10/29	Oregon State	31	Washington State	35	Washington State -17.5	Oregon State	55.0	Over
2015	10/17	Washington State	52	Oregon State	31	Washington State -8	Washington State	62.0	Over
2014	11/08	Oregon State	32	Washington State	39	Oregon State -9.5	Washington State	0
2013	10/12	Washington State	24	Oregon State	52	Washington State -3	Oregon State	0
2012	10/06	Oregon State	19	Washington State	6
2011	10/22	Washington State	21	Oregon State	44
2010	11/13	Oregon State	14	Washington State	31
2009	11/21	Washington State	10	Oregon State	42
2008	10/11	Oregon State	66	Washington State	13
2007	11/17	Washington State	17	Oregon State	52
2006	10/07	Oregon State	6	Washington State	13
2005	10/01	Oregon State	44	Washington State	33
2004	10/23	Oregon State	38	Washington State	19
2003	10/25	Washington State	36	Oregon State	30
2001	10/06	Washington State	34	Oregon State	27
2000	10/27	Oregon State	38	Washington State	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	12	6	8 Overs
Washington State	14	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	9 - 5	4 - 4	5 - 1
Road Teams	10 - 16	5 - 9	1 - 5	4 - 4

(#72) WSU at (#113) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	ORST
Power RatePwr	#72	#113
SP+SP+	#68	#97
Perf GradeGrade	#48	#98
OffenseOff	#45	#55
DefenseDef	#44	#131
Spec TeamsST	#101	#28
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#74

Washington State Notes(12/29) Hired HC Jimmy Rogers (SDSU, 27-3)
(12/18) HC Dickert left for Wake Forest
(11/18) Shocking L to NM, Mateer great, Def torched
(9/20) QB Mateer can sling it & has 3 good WR options
(9/8) Rushed for 301 yds vs T Tech. Outgained but 4 D TOs
(9/1) QB Mateer. 70 on Port St, gave up 30 (215 ground)
(7/30) Roster going down. 27 Transfers out/12 in (not P5)
(7/30) OC & DC in 2nd year. G5 sched will mask issues
(7/30) Most skill players new and JAG's. D looks meh
Washington State Injury Report

Oregon State Notes(12/19) Signed QB Maalik Murphy (Duke)
(11/29) Def torched by Boise, Off meh, 3-13 on 3rd
(11/29) 1-6 finish in '24 to miss bowl. 25 goal is ?
(11/18) QB Johnson awful, Rgame worse, shutout by AFA?
(11/18) Complete identity crisis. No idea what they want
(10/31) QB McCoy may have lost job to Gulbranson
(10/27) Pass Def abused by Cal. 3 straight L's, going down
(10/12) Run Def abused by Nevada 353 yds, 8.4ypc in L
(10/11) RB Griffin likely out vs Nevada
(10/10) Rgame good vs CSU, 251yds (5.3 ypc), McCoy meh
(9/23) Killed Purdue, rushed for 341 (6 ypc), pass D good
(9/14) Outclassed by OU. Gave up 500 yds McCoy meh
Oregon State Injury Report

Washington State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
Perf GradePerf	#45	#131
SuccessSuc	#15	#125
ExplosiveExp	#24	#31
PPAPPA	#19	#117
PowerPwr	#22	#129
SP+SP+	#21	#107
Pts POPPO	#23	#117
HavocHav	#43	#115

Washington State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#25	#130
Run SuccessRSuc	#27	#126
Run ExplRExp	#14	#55
PPAExp	#22	#120
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#123
Stuff RateStuff	#99	#108
TackleTak	-	#84

Washington State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	WSU Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#51	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	#8	#112
Pass ExplPExl	#68	#41
PPAExp	#20	#104
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#3	#101
F7 HavocF7	#72	#122
DB HavocDB	#19	#75

Oregon State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#55	#44
SuccessSuc	#59	#112
ExplosiveExp	#124	#82
PPAPPA	#87	#99
PowerPwr	#79	#107
SP+SP+	#73	#97
Pts POPPO	#75	#107
HavocHav	#56	#88

Oregon State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#50	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	#25	#129
Run ExplRExp	#65	#89
PPAExp	#25	#123
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	#20	#110
Stuff RateStuff	#11	#82
TackleTak	-	#132

Oregon State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#78	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#91
Pass ExplPExl	#123	#54
PPAExp	#125	#74
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	#43
F7 HavocF7	#50	#102
DB HavocDB	#84	#64

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 48° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Washington State 11.0 (57.0)
Oregon State won vs Washington State this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Washington State last year (41-38)
Washington State beat Oregon State in 2023 (38-35)
Oregon State beat Washington State in 2022 (24-10)

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
John Mateer	224	347	65%	3139	29	7	9.0
Zevi Eckhaus (Tr)	37	50	74%	424	4	2	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
John Mateer	178	826	15	4.6	68
Wayshawn Parker	137	735	4	5.4	75
Leo Pulalasi	65	302	2	4.6	22
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	43	149	3	3.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Williams	70	1193	14	17.0	66
Kris Hutson (Tr)	55	691	2	12.6	59
Josh Meredith	39	477	2	12.2	39
Carlos Hernandez	31	397	5	12.8	42

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taariq Al-Uqdah	69	5	0	5	2
Kyle Thornton	66	7	1	4	1
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	0	6
Tanner Moku	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ansel Din-Mbuh	24	7	6	2	0
Khalil Laufau	15	4	3	0	1
Andrew Edson	38	7	3	4	2
Quinn Roff	18	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ethan O'Connor	30	1	1	8
Kapena Gushiken	48	3	0	6
Tyson Durant (Tr)	45	2	2	6

ORST's OC Ryan Gunderson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gevani McCoy (Tr)	123	202	61%	1300	3	6	6.4
Ben Gulbranson	78	128	61%	943	4	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson (Tr)	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Jamious Griffin	73	450	4	6.2	33
Gevani McCoy (Tr)	59	328	5	5.6	71
Salahadin Allah	55	258	1	4.7	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trent Walker	81	901	2	11.1	43
Jermaine Terry II	23	375	1	16.3	43
Darrius Clemons (Tr)	25	292	2	11.7	44
Jeremiah Noga	23	266	0	11.6	30

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Keith Heyward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Skyler Thomas	81	0	0	0	9
Isaiah Chisom	75	5	0	2	0
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3
Melvin Jordan IV	45	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3
Zakaih Saez	24	3	1	2	0
Dexter Foster	43	2	1	2	0
Semisi Saluni	34	5	1	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Skyler Thomas	81	0	9
Andre Jordan	27	2	4
Sailasa Vadrawale	30	1	4