BYU at SMU - 2024 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at SMU MustangsSMU logo
Friday, September 6th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
SMU -12.5 (55.5) (-500)  Open: -10.5 | 55.5
BYU 18 - SMU: 15

 
Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: SMU -6   (SP+ SMU -2)

Projected Score: BYU: 25 - SMU: 31 (55)
SMU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
BYU Travel: 970 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mustangs (11 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 BYU vs Southern Illinois-31
Fri 9/6 BYU at SMU+12.555.5W 18 - 15UY
Sat 9/14 BYU at Wyoming-9.540.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 BYU vs Kansas State+7.549.5W 38 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 BYU at Baylor+3.047.0W 34 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 BYU vs Arizona-3.048.5W 41 - 19OY
Fri 10/18 BYU vs Oklahoma State-8.553.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 BYU at UCF+2.553.5W 37 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 BYU at Utah-3.540.5W 22 - 21ON
Sat 11/16 BYU vs Kansas-3.055.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 BYU at Arizona State+3.549.0L 23 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 BYU vs Houston-9.539.5W 30 - 18OY
Sat 12/28 BYU vs Colorado+3.055.5W 36 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
SMU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 SMU at Nevada-28.055.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 8/31 SMU vs Houston Christian-32.5
Fri 9/6 SMU vs BYU-12.555.5L 15 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 SMU vs TCU+1.058.5W 66 - 42OY
Sat 9/28 SMU vs Florida State-6.046.0W 42 - 16OY
Sat 10/5 SMU at Louisville+6.555.0W 34 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU at Stanford-16.552.5W 40 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 SMU at Duke-11.549.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 11/2 SMU vs Pittsburgh-7.055.5W 48 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 SMU vs Boston College-19.054.5W 38 - 28ON
Sat 11/23 SMU at Virginia-11.554.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/30 SMU vs California-11.554.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 12/7 SMU vs Clemson-2.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 12/21 SMU at Penn State+9.052.5L 10 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#120 (.08)36% (125)31.237% (126)2.97 (94)10436% (115)2053.96 (61)#88 (.21)44% (97)19.644% (75)45% (117)3.59 (50)431.61.7
SMU#24 (.28)44% (46)36.547% (30)3.21 (49)17742% (67)2784.51 (21)#7 (.04)36% (10)22.137% (17)35% (8)3.59 (51)40.80.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1231.22835.9%3.961.6173101042053.545%54%37%36%21%.08
SMU Defense1422.120.335.7%3.591.2 - - - - - 47%52%37%35%19%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1219.621.744%3.591.7 - - - - - 49%50%44%45%15%.21
SMU Offense1436.543.743.9%4.510.9244551772784.550%49%47%42%12%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1228:1916.829%50%5.3431.61.74.20.9229.3
SMU1430:2123.543%59%4.640.80.91.26.63.1530.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1245% (101)37% (126)30104.33.515 (100).06 (115)2.97 (94)76% (49)12% (120)1.05 (42)
SMU Defense1447% (38)37% (17) - - - - .04 (19)2.9 (35)67% (30)12% (23)0.97 (50)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1249% (57)44% (75) - - - - .19 (96)3.35 (114)66% (28)8% (124)1 (70)
SMU Offense1450% (66)47% (30)39.7176.64.529 (22).18 (52)3.21 (49)85% (2)6% (4)0.88 (122)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1254% (30)36% (115)18.333205.46.211.217 (85)9 (40).13 (118)1.7 (45)36% (128)23% (126).13 (123)8% (127)2.2 (29)
SMU Defense1452% (97)35% (8) - - - - - - 12 (37).09 (8)1.7 (87)36% (18)22% (1).07 (2)8% (19)2.1 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1250% (75)45% (117) - - - - - - 14 (21).29 (81)1.5 (44)32% (56)37% (127).56 (131)7% (39)2 (43)
SMU Offense1449% (71)42% (67)19.633.2278.48.414.233 (11)8 (30).45 (16)2 (3)31% (57)33% (44).38 (53)6% (58)2.1 (46)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 10.80 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 10.80   SMU: 19.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 15.3   SMU: 17.5




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 19.045 #13
SMU's Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
2024 Talent Rating: 734.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #47
SMU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 31
BYU 25


Projected Total Points: 55
SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

SMU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/06SMU15BYU18BYUSMU -12.5BYU55.5Under
202212/17BYU24SMU23BYUSMU -4.5BYU65.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU000 Overs
BYU222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#28) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.80 #28
Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21
Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


BYU Notes
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
BYU     Ratings Matchup     SMU
Power #28
#13
Off #63
#28
Def #42
#5
Talent #70
#47
SP+ #17
#12
SP+ Off #36
#5
SP+ Def #21
#30

Rematch from Week 2
SMU -12.5 (55.5)
BYU won at SMU this year (18-15)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat SMU last year (18-15)
BYU beat SMU in 2022 (24-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 86° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: BYU | SMU
Depth Chart: BYU | SMU
Rosters: BYU | SMU
(#13) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.045 #13
Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30
Talent Rating: 734.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #47
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.41 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position



  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff21136758%289619127.9
Gerry Bohannon3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Jake Retzlaff10041764.229
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Keelan Marion219624.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Keelan Marion24346114.452
Jojo Phillips10211221.157
Parker Kingston13196115.136

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Harrison Taggart693143
Tanner Wall530001
Jack Kelly (Tr)50105131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly (Tr)50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Logan Lutui134132
Harrison Taggart693143
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marque Collins (Tr)251018
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Mory Bamba170004

SMU's OC Casey Woods
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings24838165%318923118.4
Preston Stone305159%421518.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brashard Smith (Tr)2341330145.771
Kevin Jennings10135453.559
LJ Johnson Jr.7430354.135
Derrick McFall2610624.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Hudson39422510.842
Matthew Hibner (Tr)24368415.380
R.J. Maryland24359415.049
Brashard Smith (Tr)3932748.433

View SMU's Full Roster
SMU's DC Scott Symons
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nwokobia953123
Ahmaad Moses646003
Alex Kilgore553103
Jared Harrison-Hunte (Tr)408750
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahfari Harvey (Tr)3013891
Isaiah Smith319761
Jared Harrison-Hunte (Tr)408750
Cam Robertson296330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon (Tr)282006
Isaiah Nwokobia953123
Ahmaad Moses646003