BYU at SMU - 2024 Matchup Preview
BYU logo   BYU Cougars at SMU Mustangs  SMU logo
Friday, September 6th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
SMU -12.5 (55.5) (-500)  Open: -10.5 | 55.5
BYU 18 - SMU: 15

 
Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: SMU -6  (SP+ SMU -2)
Projected Score: BYU: 24 - SMU: 30 (54)
SMU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
BYU Travel: 970 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mustangs (11 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 BYU vs Southern Illinois-31
Fri 9/6 BYU at SMU+12.555.5W 18 - 15UY
Sat 9/14 BYU at Wyoming-9.540.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 BYU vs Kansas State+7.549.5W 38 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 BYU at Baylor+3.047.0W 34 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 BYU vs Arizona-3.048.5W 41 - 19OY
Fri 10/18 BYU vs Oklahoma State-8.553.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 BYU at UCF+2.553.5W 37 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 BYU at Utah-3.540.5W 22 - 21ON
Sat 11/16 BYU vs Kansas-3.055.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 BYU at Arizona State+3.549.0L 23 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 BYU vs Houston-9.539.5W 30 - 18OY
Sat 12/28 BYU vs Colorado+3.055.5W 36 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
SMU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 SMU at Nevada-28.055.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 8/31 SMU vs Houston Christian-32.5
Fri 9/6 SMU vs BYU-12.555.5L 15 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 SMU vs TCU+1.058.5W 66 - 42OY
Sat 9/28 SMU vs Florida State-6.046.0W 42 - 16OY
Sat 10/5 SMU at Louisville+6.555.0W 34 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU at Stanford-16.552.5W 40 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 SMU at Duke-11.549.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 11/2 SMU vs Pittsburgh-7.055.5W 48 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 SMU vs Boston College-19.054.5W 38 - 28ON
Sat 11/23 SMU at Virginia-11.554.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/30 SMU vs California-11.554.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 12/7 SMU vs Clemson-2.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 12/21 SMU at Penn State+9.052.5L 10 - 38UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#120 (.08)36% (125)31.437% (126)2.97 (94)10436% (115)2053.96 (61)#88 (.21)44% (97)19.144% (75)45% (117)3.59 (50)431.61.7
SMU#24 (.28)44% (46)32.247% (30)3.21 (49)17742% (67)2784.51 (21)#7 (.04)36% (10)20.537% (17)35% (8)3.59 (51)40.80.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1231.427.535.9%3.961.6173101042053.545%54%37%36%21%.08
SMU Defense1420.519.235.7%3.591.2 - - - - - 47%52%37%35%19%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1219.121.844%3.591.7 - - - - - 49%50%44%45%15%.21
SMU Offense1432.23643.9%4.510.9244551772784.550%49%47%42%12%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1228:1916.829%50%5.3431.61.74.20.9229.3
SMU1430:2123.543%59%4.640.80.91.26.63.1530.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1245% (101)37% (126)30104.33.515 (100).06 (115)2.97 (94)76% (49)12% (120)1.05 (42)
SMU Defense1447% (38)37% (17) - - - - .04 (19)2.9 (35)67% (30)12% (23)0.97 (50)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1249% (57)44% (75) - - - - .19 (96)3.35 (114)66% (28)8% (124)1 (70)
SMU Offense1450% (66)47% (30)39.7176.64.529 (22).18 (52)3.21 (49)85% (2)6% (4)0.88 (122)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1254% (30)36% (115)18.333205.46.211.217 (85)9 (40).13 (118)1.7 (45)36% (128)23% (126).13 (123)8% (127)2.2 (29)
SMU Defense1452% (97)35% (8) - - - - - - 12 (37).09 (8)1.7 (87)36% (18)22% (1).07 (2)8% (19)2.1 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1250% (75)45% (117) - - - - - - 14 (21).29 (81)1.5 (44)32% (56)37% (127).56 (131)7% (39)2 (43)
SMU Offense1449% (71)42% (67)19.633.2278.48.414.233 (11)8 (30).45 (16)2 (3)31% (57)33% (44).38 (53)6% (58)2.1 (46)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 10.80  #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40  #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88  #42
2024 Talent Rating: 309.00  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3  #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 10.80   SMU: 19.045

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 15.3   SMU: 17.5




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 19.045  #13
SMU's Offense Rating: 23.91  #28
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.06  #5
2024 Talent Rating: 378.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #47
SMU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 30
BYU 24

Projected Total Points: 54
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/06SMU15BYU18SMU -12.5BYU55.5Under
202212/17BYU24SMU23SMU -4.5BYU65.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU000 Overs
BYU222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#28) BYU at (#13) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #28 #13
SP+SP+ #17 #12
Perf GradeGrade #30 #14
OffenseOff #52 #30
DefenseDef #33 #13
Spec TeamsST #29 #84
TalentTal #71 #46
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #47
BYU Notes
(11/23) 2 str L's, Rgame meh, 2 INTs in L to ASU
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
(9/8) Great W, outgained SMU 336-261. Great Def
BYU Injury Report
BYU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BYU OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #52 #13
SuccessSuc #125 #10
ExplosiveExp #20 #86
PPAPPA #120 #7
PowerPwr #63 #5
SP+SP+ #36 #30
Pts POPPO #61 #51
HavocHav #127 #14
BYU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BYU OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #71 #10
Run SuccessRSuc #126 #17
Run ExplRExp #42 #50
PPAExp #115 #19
Run BlockR Blk #64 -
OL YdsOLY #94 #35
Stuff RateStuff #35 #27
TackleTak -  #43
BYU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BYU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #44 #29
Pass SuccessPSuc #115 #8
Pass ExplPExl #45 #87
PPAExp #118 #8
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #54 #15
F7 HavocF7 #120 #23
DB HavocDB #127 #19
SMU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatSMU OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #30 #33
SuccessSuc #46 #97
ExplosiveExp #15 #53
PPAPPA #24 #88
PowerPwr #28 #42
SP+SP+ #5 #21
Pts POPPO #21 #50
HavocHav #8 #106
SMU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
SMU OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #74 #22
Run SuccessRSuc #30 #75
Run ExplRExp #122 #70
PPAExp #52 #96
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLY #49 #114
Stuff RateStuff #38 #102
TackleTak -  #90
SMU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatSMU OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #10 #66
Pass SuccessPSuc #67 #117
Pass ExplPExl #3 #44
PPAExp #16 #81
Pass Block/RushP Blk #33 #70
F7 HavocF7 #4 #124
DB HavocDB #58 #39
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
SMU -12.5 (55.5)
BYU won at SMU this year (18-15)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat SMU in 2024 (18-15)

  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff21136758%289619127.9
Gerry Bohannon3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Jake Retzlaff10041764.229
Hinckley Ropati6836015.326
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Darius Lassiter45703415.657
Keelan Marion24346114.452
Jojo Phillips10211221.157

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Harrison Taggart693143
Tyler Batty577282
Tanner Wall530001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly (Tr)50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Blake Mangelson376231
Tyler Batty577282
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marque Collins (Tr)251018
John Nelson232135
Jakob Robinson435025

SMU's OC Casey Woods (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings24838165%318923118.4
Preston Stone305159%421518.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brashard Smith (Tr)2341330145.771
Kevin Jennings10135453.559
LJ Johnson Jr.7430354.135
Roderick Daniels4416033.613
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roderick Daniels42601414.381
Keyshawn Smith33527516.045
Jordan Hudson39422510.842
Kelvontay Dixon21386118.487

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Wilson1026341
Isaiah Nwokobia953123
Ahmad Walker888143
Ahmaad Moses646003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahfari Harvey (Tr)3013891
Isaiah Smith319761
Jared Harrison-Hunte (Tr)408750
Elijah Roberts32107101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonathan McGill522016
Brandon Crossley301016
Deuce Harmon (Tr)282006