Clemson at SMU - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 7th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
SMU -2.5 (56.5) (-135) Open: -2.5 | 55.5
Clemson 34 - SMU: 31 (ACC Championship)

Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
CLEM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: SMU -3 (SP+ SMU -4)
Projected Score: CLEM: 27 - SMU: 30 (58)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CLEM Travel: 810 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Mustangs (11 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CLEM Players
SMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Clemson's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Clemson vs Georgia	+10.5	49.0	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Clemson vs App State	-13.5	53.5	W 66 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Clemson vs NC State	-17.0	44.0	W 59 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Clemson vs Stanford	-24.0	58.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Clemson at Florida State	-16.5	47.0	W 29 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Clemson at Wake Forest	-21.0	63.0	W 49 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Clemson vs Virginia	-20.0	57.5	W 48 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Clemson vs Louisville	-11.0	62.5	L 21 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/9	Clemson at Virginia Tech	-6.5	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Clemson at Pittsburgh	-12.0	52.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/23	Clemson vs The Citadel	-49.5	58.5	W 51 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Clemson vs South Carolina	-2.5	48.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/7	Clemson vs SMU	+2.5	56.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Clemson at Texas	+13.5	49.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

SMU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	SMU at Nevada	-28.0	55.5	W 29 - 24	U	N
Sat 8/31	SMU vs Houston Christian	-32.5
Fri 9/6	SMU vs BYU	-12.5	55.5	L 15 - 18	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	SMU vs TCU	+1.0	58.5	W 66 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/28	SMU vs Florida State	-6.0	46.0	W 42 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/5	SMU at Louisville	+6.5	55.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	SMU at Stanford	-16.5	52.5	W 40 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	SMU at Duke	-11.5	49.5	W 28 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/2	SMU vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	55.5	W 48 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	SMU vs Boston College	-19.0	54.5	W 38 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/23	SMU at Virginia	-11.5	54.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/30	SMU vs California	-11.5	54.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 12/7	SMU vs Clemson	-2.5	56.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/21	SMU at Penn State	+9.0	52.5	L 10 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 5, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for SMU's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	#87 (.16)	45% (38)	34.7	47% (25)	3.22 (47)	174	43% (56)	229	3.62 (90)	#9 (.07)	33% (2)	23.4	35% (10)	32% (2)	4.04 (91)	42.2	1.7	2
SMU	#24 (.28)	44% (46)	36.5	47% (30)	3.21 (49)	177	42% (67)	278	4.51 (21)	#7 (.04)	36% (10)	22.1	37% (17)	35% (8)	3.59 (51)	40.8	0.9	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Offense	13	34.7	30	45%	3.62	1.7	23	403	174	229	4.3	49%	51%	47%	43%	16%	.16
SMU Defense	14	22.1	20.3	35.7%	3.59	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	37%	35%	19%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Defense	13	23.4	19.8	33%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	32%	22%	.07
SMU Offense	14	36.5	43.7	43.9%	4.51	0.9	24	455	177	278	4.5	50%	49%	47%	42%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Clemson	13	33:04	23.1	40%	52%	4.9	42.2	1.7	2	6.5	2.3	4	32.3
SMU	14	30:21	23.5	43%	59%	4.6	40.8	0.9	1.2	6.6	3.1	5	30.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense	13	49% (77)	47% (25)	40.2	174.3	4.3	24 (41)	.17 (55)	3.22 (47)	79% (25)	9% (55)	0.91 (106)
SMU Defense	14	47% (38)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	.04 (19)	2.9 (35)	67% (30)	12% (23)	0.97 (50)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense	13	46% (19)	35% (10)	-	-	-	-	.13 (62)	2.9 (33)	83% (117)	13% (10)	1.22 (128)
SMU Offense	14	50% (66)	47% (30)	39.7	176.6	4.5	29 (22)	.18 (52)	3.21 (49)	85% (2)	6% (4)	0.88 (122)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense	13	51% (53)	43% (56)	23.2	36.5	228.6	6.3	9.8	20 (70)	9 (40)	.16 (104)	1.3 (133)	29% (20)	29% (85)	.18 (109)	6% (85)	1.9 (117)
SMU Defense	14	52% (97)	35% (8)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.09 (8)	1.7 (87)	36% (18)	22% (1)	.07 (2)	8% (19)	2.1 (70)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense	13	54% (116)	32% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.05 (3)	1.6 (51)	40% (1)	23% (2)	.13 (4)	9% (1)	1.9 (17)
SMU Offense	14	49% (71)	42% (67)	19.6	33.2	278.4	8.4	14.2	33 (11)	8 (30)	.45 (16)	2 (3)	31% (57)	33% (44)	.38 (53)	6% (58)	2.1 (46)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.90 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.90 SMU: 16.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.3 SMU: 17.5

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 16.545 #13
SMU's Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
2024 Talent Rating: 734.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #47
SMU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
SMU 30
Clemson 27

Projected Total Points: 58

SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

SMU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/07	SMU	31	Clemson	34	Clemson	SMU -2.5	Clemson	56.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
SMU	0	0	1 Overs
Clemson	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#17) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.90 #17
Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Clemson Ratings Matchup SMU

Power #17

#13

Off #15

#28

Def #47

Talent #9

#47

SP+ #22

#12

SP+ Off #16

SP+ Def #26

#30

Rematch from Week 15
SMU -2.5 (56.5)
Clemson won at SMU this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat SMU last year (34-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 41° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | SMU
Depth Chart: CLEM | SMU
Rosters: CLEM | SMU

(#13) SMU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.545 #13
Offense Rating: 23.91 #28
Defense Rating: 1.06 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #30
Talent Rating: 734.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #47
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.41 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	308	486	63%	3639	36	6	7.5
Christopher Vizzina	19	34	56%	190	0	0	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cade Klubnik	119	462	7	3.9	55
Jay Haynes	43	295	3	6.9	70
Keith Adams Jr.	30	122	1	4.1	18
Antonio Williams	7	101	1	14.4	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antonio Williams	74	902	11	12.2	57
Bryant Wesco Jr.	41	708	5	17.3	76
T.J. Moore	45	651	5	14.5	41
Troy Stellato	26	266	1	10.2	34

View Clemson's Full Roster

Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2
Khalil Barnes	57	1	0	3	4
T.J. Parker	50	17	11	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Parker	50	17	11	5	1
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4
Peter Woods	26	7	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Avieon Terrell	49	5	1	0	11
Jeadyn Lukus	32	1	0	0	6
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4

SMU's OC Casey Woods

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kevin Jennings	248	381	65%	3189	23	11	8.4
Preston Stone	30	51	59%	421	5	1	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brashard Smith (Tr)	234	1330	14	5.7	71
Kevin Jennings	101	354	5	3.5	59
LJ Johnson Jr.	74	303	5	4.1	35
Derrick McFall	26	106	2	4.1	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Hudson	39	422	5	10.8	42
Matthew Hibner (Tr)	24	368	4	15.3	80
R.J. Maryland	24	359	4	15.0	49
Brashard Smith (Tr)	39	327	4	8.4	33

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Nwokobia	95	3	1	2	3
Ahmaad Moses	64	6	0	0	3
Alex Kilgore	55	3	1	0	3
Jared Harrison-Hunte (Tr)	40	8	7	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahfari Harvey (Tr)	30	13	8	9	1
Isaiah Smith	31	9	7	6	1
Jared Harrison-Hunte (Tr)	40	8	7	5	0
Cam Robertson	29	6	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deuce Harmon (Tr)	28	2	0	0	6
Isaiah Nwokobia	95	3	1	2	3
Ahmaad Moses	64	6	0	0	3