Clemson at SMU - 2024 Matchup Preview
Clemson logo Clemson Tigers vs SMU MustangsSMU logo
Saturday, December 7th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
SMU -2.5 (56.5) (-135)  Open: -2.5 | 55.5
Clemson 34 - SMU: 31  (ACC Championship)

 
Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
CLEM is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: SMU -3  (SP+ SMU -4)

Projected Score: CLEM: 26 - SMU: 29 (56)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CLEM Travel: 810 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (11 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Clemson's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Clemson vs Georgia+10.549.0L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Clemson vs App State-13.553.5W 66 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Clemson vs NC State-17.044.0W 59 - 35OY
Sat 9/28 Clemson vs Stanford-24.058.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/5 Clemson at Florida State-16.547.0W 29 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Clemson at Wake Forest-21.063.0W 49 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Clemson vs Virginia-20.057.5W 48 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Clemson vs Louisville-11.062.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 11/9 Clemson at Virginia Tech-6.554.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/16 Clemson at Pittsburgh-12.052.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/23 Clemson vs The Citadel-49.558.5W 51 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Clemson vs South Carolina-2.548.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 12/7 Clemson vs SMU+2.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 12/21 Clemson at Texas+13.549.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 3, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
SMU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/24 SMU at Nevada-28.055.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 8/31 SMU vs Houston Christian-32.5
Fri 9/6 SMU vs BYU-12.555.5L 15 - 18UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 SMU vs TCU+1.058.5W 66 - 42OY
Sat 9/28 SMU vs Florida State-6.046.0W 42 - 16OY
Sat 10/5 SMU at Louisville+6.555.0W 34 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 SMU at Stanford-16.552.5W 40 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 SMU at Duke-11.549.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 11/2 SMU vs Pittsburgh-7.055.5W 48 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 SMU vs Boston College-19.054.5W 38 - 28ON
Sat 11/23 SMU at Virginia-11.554.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/30 SMU vs California-11.554.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 12/7 SMU vs Clemson-2.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 12/21 SMU at Penn State+9.052.5L 10 - 38UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 5, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)34.750% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)23.443% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)36.544% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)22.139% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1434.73046.7%4.330.7244521742795.243%56%50%45%13%.27
SMU Defense1422.120.336.7%3.091.6 - - - - - 44%55%39%35%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1423.419.840.1%3.641.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%38%19%.14
SMU Offense1436.543.744.1%4.411.7234321692634.451%49%44%44%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1430:2923.944%59%4.947.60.71.96.12.5230.1
SMU1428:2822.644%50%8.177.71.71.66.63.1331.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1443% (113)50% (12)33.6173.85.223 (52).24 (19)3.28 (29)72% (78)8% (40)0.96 (69)
SMU Defense1444% (9)39% (35) - - - - -.05 (2)2.72 (25)60% (10)11% (36)0.81 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1446% (20)43% (68) - - - - .15 (84)2.93 (54)59% (8)11% (38)1.12 (119)
SMU Offense1451% (65)44% (62)38.3168.94.429 (18).12 (77)2.97 (83)70% (90)9% (49)0.93 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1456% (23)45% (36)23.637.8278.57.411.837 (2)7 (26).33 (38)1.5 (79)30% (39)38% (6).58 (4)5% (21)2.1 (39)
SMU Defense1455% (124)35% (10) - - - - - - 16 (10).11 (17)1.7 (107)37% (7)27% (21).16 (12)7% (30)2.1 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1453% (114)38% (36) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (28)1.6 (60)35% (26)32% (90).3 (66)8% (20)2 (64)
SMU Offense1449% (70)44% (45)19.931.2262.98.413.228 (15)12 (85).37 (19)1.8 (11)33% (94)34% (34).47 (17)6% (69)2.3 (13)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.90  #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96  #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50  #47
2024 Talent Rating: 950.00  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58%  #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.90   SMU: 16.545

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.3   SMU: 17.5




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 16.545  #13
SMU's Offense Rating: 23.91  #28
SMU's Defense Rating: 1.06  #5
2024 Talent Rating: 734.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #47
SMU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
SMU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #12
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #5
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 29
Clemson 26


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 28
Clemson 22

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
SMU 31
Clemson 27

Total Points: 58
SMU Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.3

SMU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/07SMU31Clemson34SMU -2.5Clemson56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU001 Overs
Clemson110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#17) CLEM at (#13) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCLEMSMU
Power RatePwr #17 #13
SP+SP+ #22 #12
Perf GradeGrade #32 #14
OffenseOff #37 #30
DefenseDef #33 #13
Spec TeamsST #38 #84
TalentTal #9 #47
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #47
Clemson on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffSMU Def
Perf GradePerf #37 #13
SuccessSuc #24 #9
ExplosiveExp #70 #69
PPAPPA #21 #5
PowerPwr #15 #5
SP+SP+ #16 #30
Pts POPPO #29 #13
HavocHav #25 #29
Clemson Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #42 #10
Run SuccessRSuc #12 #35
Run ExplRExp #69 #6
PPAExp #19 #2
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLY #29 #25
Stuff RateStuff #53 #27
TackleTak -  #43
Clemson Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
CLEM OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #10 #29
Pass SuccessPSuc #36 #10
Pass ExplPExl #79 #107
PPAExp #38 #17
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #15
F7 HavocF7 #40 #36
DB HavocDB #21 #30
SMU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatSMU OffCLEM Def
Perf GradePerf #30 #33
SuccessSuc #53 #48
ExplosiveExp #21 #106
PPAPPA #38 #52
PowerPwr #28 #47
SP+SP+ #5 #26
Pts POPPO #25 #48
HavocHav #46 #20
SMU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
SMU OffCLEM Def
Run GameRun #74 #43
Run SuccessRSuc #62 #68
Run ExplRExp #86 #119
PPAExp #77 #84
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLY #83 #54
Stuff RateStuff #57 #44
TackleTak -  #93
SMU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatSMU OffCLEM Def
Pass GamePass #10 #44
Pass SuccessPSuc #45 #36
Pass ExplPExl #11 #60
PPAExp #19 #28
Pass Block/RushP Blk #33 #40
F7 HavocF7 #49 #38
DB HavocDB #69 #20
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 41° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 15
SMU -2.5 (56.5)
Clemson won at SMU this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat SMU last year (34-31)

  
CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik30848663%36393667.5
Christopher Vizzina193456%190005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah216111585.283
Cade Klubnik11946273.955
Jay Haynes4329536.970
Keith Adams Jr.3012214.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Antonio Williams749021112.257
Bryant Wesco Jr.41708517.376
T.J. Moore45651514.541
Jake Briningstool49530710.841

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Wes Goodwin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wade Woodaz759394
Barrett Carter7410476
R.J. Mickens686027
Sammy Brown6612522
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Parker50171151
Sammy Brown6612522
Barrett Carter7410476
Peter Woods267320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell4951011
R.J. Mickens686027
Barrett Carter7410476

SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kevin Jennings24838165%318923118.4
Preston Stone305159%421518.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brashard Smith (Tr)2341330145.771
Kevin Jennings10135453.559
LJ Johnson Jr.7430354.135
Roderick Daniels4416033.613
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roderick Daniels42601414.381
Keyshawn Smith33527516.045
Jordan Hudson39422510.842
Kelvontay Dixon21386118.487

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Wilson1026341
Isaiah Nwokobia953123
Ahmad Walker888143
Ahmaad Moses646003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahfari Harvey (Tr)3013891
Isaiah Smith319761
Jared Harrison-Hunte (Tr)408750
Elijah Roberts32107101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonathan McGill522016
Brandon Crossley301016
Deuce Harmon (Tr)282006