Clemson at Texas - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 21st 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Texas -13.5 (49.5) (-650) Open: 0.0 | 52.5
Texas 38 - Clemson: 24 (CFP First Round Game Presented by Allstate)

Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (30 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas -13.5 (SP+ TEX -11)
Projected Score: CLEM: 18 - TEX: 32 (50)
TEX Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
CLEM Travel: 918 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Longhorns (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
CLEM Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Clemson's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Clemson vs Georgia	+10.5	49.0	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Clemson vs App State	-13.5	53.5	W 66 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Clemson vs NC State	-17.0	44.0	W 59 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Clemson vs Stanford	-24.0	58.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Clemson at Florida State	-16.5	47.0	W 29 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Clemson at Wake Forest	-21.0	63.0	W 49 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Clemson vs Virginia	-20.0	57.5	W 48 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Clemson vs Louisville	-11.0	62.5	L 21 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/9	Clemson at Virginia Tech	-6.5	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Clemson at Pittsburgh	-12.0	52.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/23	Clemson vs The Citadel	-49.5	58.5	W 51 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Clemson vs South Carolina	-2.5	48.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/7	Clemson vs SMU	+2.5	56.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Clemson at Texas	+13.5	49.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Texas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Texas vs Colorado State	-35.5	59.0	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Texas at Michigan	-7.0	42.0	W 31 - 12	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Texas vs UTSA	-36.5	56.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas vs UL Monroe	-43.5	54.5	W 51 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Texas vs Mississippi State	-37.0	58.5	W 35 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Texas vs Oklahoma	-16.5	48.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Texas vs Georgia	-4.0	57.0	L 15 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/26	Texas at Vanderbilt	-17.0	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Texas vs Florida	-24.5	48.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Texas at Arkansas	-13.0	57.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/23	Texas vs Kentucky	-18.5	47.0	W 31 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/30	Texas at Texas A&M	-4.5	49.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Texas vs Georgia	-2.5	50.5	L 19 - 22	U	N
Sat 12/21	Texas vs Clemson	-13.5	49.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Texas vs Arizona State	-13.5	52.5	W 39 - 31	O	N
Fri 1/10	Texas vs Ohio State	+6.5	51.5	L 14 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM	#87 (.16)	45% (38)	27.2	47% (25)	3.22 (47)	174	43% (56)	229	3.62 (90)	#9 (.07)	33% (2)	20.5	35% (10)	32% (2)	4.04 (91)	42.2	1.7	2
TEX	#33 (.28)	45% (43)	30.5	42% (81)	3.19 (54)	176	48% (16)	266	3.84 (75)	#15 (.1)	36% (14)	20.3	33% (5)	38% (26)	3.43 (38)	47.5	1.1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CLEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Offense	13	27.2	29.6	45%	3.62	1.7	23	403	174	229	4.3	49%	51%	47%	43%	16%	.16
TEX Defense	14	20.3	17	35.9%	3.43	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	33%	38%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CLEM Defense	13	20.5	15.4	33%	4.04	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	35%	32%	22%	.07
TEX Offense	14	30.5	38.8	44.7%	3.84	1.1	21	442	176	266	4.9	49%	51%	42%	48%	14%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Clemson	13	33:04	23.1	40%	52%	4.9	42.2	1.7	2	6.5	2.3	4	32.3
Texas	14	29:31	21.4	39%	63%	5.9	47.5	1.1	1.6	5.4	2.1	5	31

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense	13	49% (77)	47% (25)	40.2	174.3	4.3	24 (41)	.17 (55)	3.22 (47)	79% (25)	9% (55)	0.91 (106)
TEX Defense	14	41% (4)	33% (5)	-	-	-	-	-.06 (4)	2.45 (5)	54% (2)	11% (37)	0.79 (5)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense	13	46% (19)	35% (10)	-	-	-	-	.13 (62)	2.9 (33)	83% (117)	13% (10)	1.22 (128)
TEX Offense	14	49% (80)	42% (81)	35.6	175.6	4.9	26 (30)	.21 (35)	3.19 (54)	64% (121)	8% (33)	1.13 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense	13	51% (53)	43% (56)	23.2	36.5	228.6	6.3	9.8	20 (70)	9 (40)	.16 (104)	1.3 (133)	29% (20)	29% (85)	.18 (109)	6% (85)	1.9 (117)
TEX Defense	14	58% (131)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.24 (52)	1.7 (92)	36% (20)	28% (31)	.27 (42)	8% (15)	2.1 (87)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense	13	54% (116)	32% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.05 (3)	1.6 (51)	40% (1)	23% (2)	.13 (4)	9% (1)	1.9 (17)
TEX Offense	14	51% (50)	48% (16)	20.9	30.9	266.4	8.6	12.7	24 (41)	9 (40)	.35 (38)	1.5 (102)	30% (32)	34% (32)	.45 (32)	5% (46)	2.1 (52)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.90 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 574.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.90 Texas: 27.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.3 Texas: 24.1

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 27.23 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Texas's Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
2024 Talent Rating: 617.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 66 #4
Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.4

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 32
Clemson 18

Projected Total Points: 50

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/21	Texas	38	Clemson	24	Texas -13.5	Texas	49.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	1	1	1 Overs
Clemson	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Clemson Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	CFP 1st Round	Clemson vs Texas	+13.5	49.5	L 24 - 38
2023	Gator Bowl	Clemson vs Kentucky	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 35
2022	Orange Bowl	Clemson vs Tennessee	-4.0	62.0	L 14 - 31
2021	It Bowl	Clemson vs Iowa State	-1.5	44.0	W 20 - 13
2020	CFP Semifinal	Clemson vs Ohio State	-7.5	66.5	L 28 - 49
2019	CFP Nat'l Title	Clemson vs LSU	+5.0	67.0	L 25 - 42
2019	CFP Semifinal	Clemson vs Ohio State	-3.0	63.5	W 29 - 23
2018	CFP Nat'l Title	Clemson vs Alabama	+5.5	56.5	W 44 - 16
2018	CFP Semifinal	Clemson vs Notre Dame	-10.5	58.0	W 30 - 3

Texas Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	CFP Semifinal	Texas vs Ohio State	+6.5	51.5	L 14 - 28
2024	CFP Quarterfinal	Texas vs Arizona State	-13.5	52.5	W 39 - 31
2024	CFP 1st Round	Texas vs Clemson	-13.5	49.5	W 38 - 24
2023	CFP Semifinal	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37
2022	Alamo Bowl	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	67.0	L 20 - 27
2020	Alamo Bowl	Texas vs Colorado	-9.5	63.5	W 55 - 23
2019	N/A	Texas vs Utah	+7.5	57.0	W 38 - 10
2018	Sugar Bowl	Texas vs Georgia	+12.0	59.0	W 28 - 21

(#17) CLEM at (#3) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CLEM	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#17	#3
SP+SP+	#22	#7
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#5
OffenseOff	#37	#18
DefenseDef	#33	#1
Spec TeamsST	#38	#33
TalentTal	#7	#6
Blue ChipsBC%	#6	#4

Clemson Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Clemson on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#1
SuccessSuc	#38	#14
ExplosiveExp	#132	#94
PPAPPA	#87	#15
PowerPwr	#15	#3
SP+SP+	#16	#2
Pts POPPO	#90	#38
HavocHav	#64	#21

Clemson Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#42	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	#25	#5
Run ExplRExp	#106	#5
PPAExp	#55	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#5
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#11
TackleTak	-	#35

Clemson Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	#56	#26
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#92
PPAExp	#104	#52
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#59	#5
F7 HavocF7	#55	#37
DB HavocDB	#85	#15

Texas on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	CLEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#33
SuccessSuc	#43	#2
ExplosiveExp	#40	#115
PPAPPA	#33	#9
PowerPwr	#31	#47
SP+SP+	#13	#26
Pts POPPO	#75	#91
HavocHav	#27	#3

Texas Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#25	#43
Run SuccessRSuc	#81	#10
Run ExplRExp	#14	#128
PPAExp	#35	#62
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	#54	#33
Stuff RateStuff	#79	#92
TackleTak	-	#93

Texas Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	TEX Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#61	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#16	#2
Pass ExplPExl	#102	#51
PPAExp	#38	#3
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#1	#40
F7 HavocF7	#33	#10
DB HavocDB	#46	#1

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Texas -13.5 (49.5)
Texas won vs Clemson this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Clemson in 2024 (38-24)

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	308	486	63%	3639	36	6	7.5
Christopher Vizzina	19	34	56%	190	0	0	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	216	1115	8	5.2	83
Cade Klubnik	119	462	7	3.9	55
Jay Haynes	43	295	3	6.9	70
Keith Adams Jr.	30	122	1	4.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antonio Williams	74	902	11	12.2	57
Bryant Wesco Jr.	41	708	5	17.3	76
T.J. Moore	45	651	5	14.5	41
Jake Briningstool	49	530	7	10.8	41

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Mickey Conn (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Parker	50	17	11	5	1
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Peter Woods	26	7	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Avieon Terrell	49	5	1	0	11
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	293	445	66%	3472	31	12	7.8
Arch Manning	61	90	68%	938	9	2	10.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Wisner	226	1064	5	4.7	43
Jaydon Blue	134	730	8	5.4	77
Jerrick Gibson	78	377	4	4.8	25
Arch Manning	25	108	4	4.3	67

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Matthew Golden (Tr)	58	987	9	17.0	54
Gunnar Helm	60	786	7	13.1	49
Isaiah Bond (Tr)	34	540	5	15.9	56
DeAndre Moore Jr.	39	455	7	11.7	49

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hill Jr.	113	17	8	4	1
Michael Taaffe	78	6	2	1	10
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)	69	4	0	1	6
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Simmons	48	14	9	9	2
Anthony Hill Jr.	113	17	8	4	1
Trey Moore (Tr)	36	11	7	6	1
Barryn Sorrell	43	11	6	12	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Michael Taaffe	78	6	2	1	10
Malik Muhammad	36	1	0	0	8