Clemson at Texas - 2024 Matchup Preview
Clemson logo (#4)Clemson Tigers at Texas Longhorns(#1)Texas logo
Saturday, December 21st 2024 (4:00 PM EST)
Texas -13.5 (49.5) (-650)  Open: 0.0 | 52.5
Texas 38 - Clemson: 24  (CFP First Round Game Presented by Allstate)

 
Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (30 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas -13.5   (SP+ TEX -11)

Projected Score: CLEM: 19 - TEX: 32 (51)
TEX Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
CLEM Travel: 918 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Longhorns (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Clemson's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Clemson vs Georgia+10.549.0L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Clemson vs App State-13.553.5W 66 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Clemson vs NC State-17.044.0W 59 - 35OY
Sat 9/28 Clemson vs Stanford-24.058.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/5 Clemson at Florida State-16.547.0W 29 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Clemson at Wake Forest-21.063.0W 49 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Clemson vs Virginia-20.057.5W 48 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Clemson vs Louisville-11.062.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 11/9 Clemson at Virginia Tech-6.554.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/16 Clemson at Pittsburgh-12.052.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/23 Clemson vs The Citadel-49.558.5W 51 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Clemson vs South Carolina-2.548.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 12/7 Clemson vs SMU+2.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 12/21 Clemson at Texas+13.549.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule
Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas vs Colorado State-35.559.0W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Texas at Michigan-7.042.0W 31 - 12OY
Sat 9/14 Texas vs UTSA-36.556.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/21 Texas vs UL Monroe-43.554.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/28 Texas vs Mississippi State-37.058.5W 35 - 13UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Texas vs Oklahoma-16.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Texas vs Georgia-4.057.0L 15 - 30UN
Sat 10/26 Texas at Vanderbilt-17.050.5W 27 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Texas vs Florida-24.548.5W 49 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas at Arkansas-13.057.5W 20 - 10UN
Sat 11/23 Texas vs Kentucky-18.547.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/30 Texas at Texas A&M-4.549.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 12/7 Texas vs Georgia-2.550.5L 19 - 22UN
Sat 12/21 Texas vs Clemson-13.549.5W 38 - 24OY
Wed 1/1 Texas vs Arizona State-13.552.5W 39 - 31ON
Fri 1/10 Texas vs Ohio State+6.551.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)34.750% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)23.443% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)3349% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)15.342% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CLEM#21 (.27)47% (24)50% (12)3.28 (29)17445% (36)2794.33 (29)#52 (.14)40% (48)43% (68)38% (36)3.64 (48)47.60.71.9
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Offense1434.73046.7%4.330.7244521742795.243%56%50%45%13%.27
TEX Defense1615.313.538%2.571.8 - - - - - 50%50%42%34%21%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CLEM Defense1423.419.840.1%3.641.9 - - - - - 46%53%43%38%19%.14
TEX Offense163340.946.3%4.031.4203931522414.746%54%49%44%16%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Clemson1430:2923.944%59%4.947.60.71.96.12.5230.1
Texas1626:4219.843%54%5.444.31.41.86.22.5131.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Offense1443% (113)50% (12)33.6173.85.223 (52).24 (19)3.28 (29)72% (78)8% (40)0.96 (69)
TEX Defense1650% (59)42% (61) - - - - -.04 (3)2.79 (33)55% (2)14% (8)0.72 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CLEM Defense1446% (20)43% (68) - - - - .15 (84)2.93 (54)59% (8)11% (38)1.12 (119)
TEX Offense1646% (98)49% (16)32.6152.24.725 (41).13 (69)2.95 (84)67% (106)11% (97)0.91 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Offense1456% (23)45% (36)23.637.8278.57.411.837 (2)7 (26).33 (38)1.5 (79)30% (39)38% (6).58 (4)5% (21)2.1 (39)
TEX Defense1650% (79)34% (7) - - - - - - 20 (2).04 (3)1.4 (14)33% (53)28% (35).14 (7)8% (17)1.6 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CLEM Defense1453% (114)38% (36) - - - - - - 16 (10).15 (28)1.6 (60)35% (26)32% (90).3 (66)8% (20)2 (64)
TEX Offense1654% (34)44% (43)19.629.5240.98.212.335 (3)12 (85).33 (34)1.7 (28)32% (71)38% (9).51 (7)5% (41)2.1 (57)

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 13.90 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.90   Texas: 27.23

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Clemson: 13.3   Texas: 24.1




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 27.23 #3
Texas's Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Texas's Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66 #4
Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 32
Clemson 19


Total Points: 51

Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.9
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.5

Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/21Texas38Clemson24TexasTexas -13.5Texas49.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas111 Overs
Clemson000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Clemson Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP 1st Round Clemson vs Texas+13.549.5L 24 - 38
2023Gator Bowl Clemson vs Kentucky-3.544.5W 38 - 35
2022Orange Bowl Clemson vs Tennessee-4.062.0L 14 - 31
2021It Bowl Clemson vs Iowa State-1.544.0W 20 - 13
2020CFP Semifinal Clemson vs Ohio State-7.566.5L 28 - 49
2019CFP Nat'l Title Clemson vs LSU+5.067.0L 25 - 42
2019CFP Semifinal Clemson vs Ohio State-3.063.5W 29 - 23
2018CFP Nat'l Title Clemson vs Alabama+5.556.5W 44 - 16
2018CFP Semifinal Clemson vs Notre Dame-10.558.0W 30 - 3
Texas Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Semifinal Texas vs Ohio State+6.551.5L 14 - 28
2024CFP Quarterfinal Texas vs Arizona State-13.552.5W 39 - 31
2024CFP 1st Round Texas vs Clemson-13.549.5W 38 - 24
2023CFP Semifinal Texas vs Washington-3.061.5L 31 - 37
2022Alamo Bowl Texas vs Washington-3.067.0L 20 - 27
2020Alamo Bowl Texas vs Colorado-9.563.5W 55 - 23
2019N/A Texas vs Utah+7.557.0W 38 - 10
2018Sugar Bowl Texas vs Georgia+12.059.0W 28 - 21
  
(#17) Clemson Info
Power Rating: 13.90 #17
Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 58% #6
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Clemson has played in 9 CFP Playoff Games (4 - 5)
Clemson has played in 7 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 4)
Clemson has played in 28 Bowls since 2000 (15 - 13)

Clemson Highlights
Clemson has Really Good Running Game (#118)
Clemson offense is efficent (#84)
Clemson has a top Offensive Line (#65)
Clemson offense is good in red zone (#101)
Clemson Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Clemson Secondary is very good (#76)
Clemson has a great TO Margin (#107)
Clemson defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Clemson Deficiencies
Clemson gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#65)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTEXCLEM
OverallOver#5#25
OffenseOff#17#33
DefenseDef#1#26
Special TeamsST#29#34
PassingPass#48#10
RushingRush#18#28
Run BlockRBLK#27#50
Pass BlockPBLK#1#54
Route RunningWR Rt#18#54
TacklingTkl#32#80
Run DefenseR Def#14#35
Pass Rush DefPRush#5#35
Coverage DefCov#1#34

Rematch from Week 1
Texas -13.5 (49.5)
Texas won vs Clemson this year (38-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Clemson last year (38-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CLEM | TEX
Depth Chart: CLEM | TEX
Rosters: CLEM | TEX
(#3) Texas Info
Power Rating: 27.23 #3
Offense Rating: 23.63 #31
Defense Rating: -0.40 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.1 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #13
Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 66 #4
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Texas has played in 4 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 2)
Texas has played in 7 Bowls in the last 5 years (4 - 3)
Texas has played in 23 Bowls since 2000 (15 - 8)

Texas Highlights
Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas offense is efficent (#86)
Texas Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas defense does not give up big plays (#2)
Texas defense is really good in red zone (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Front 7 is disruptive (#110)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies
Texas has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Texas Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#44)


  
Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik30848663%36393667.5
Christopher Vizzina193456%190005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Phil Mafah216111585.283
Cade Klubnik11946273.955
Jay Haynes4329536.970
Keith Adams Jr.3012214.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Antonio Williams749021112.257
Bryant Wesco Jr.41708517.376
T.J. Moore45651514.541
Jake Briningstool49530710.841

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wade Woodaz759394
Barrett Carter7410476
R.J. Mickens686027
Sammy Brown6612522
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Parker50171151
Sammy Brown6612522
Barrett Carter7410476
Peter Woods267320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell4951011
R.J. Mickens686027
Barrett Carter7410476

Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers29344566%347231127.8
Arch Manning619068%9389210.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner226106454.743
Jaydon Blue13473085.477
Jerrick Gibson7837744.825
Arch Manning2510844.367
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Matthew Golden (Tr)58987917.054
Gunnar Helm60786713.149
Isaiah Bond (Tr)34540515.956
DeAndre Moore Jr.39455711.749

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Pete Kwiatkowski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Michael Taaffe7862110
Andrew Mukuba (Tr)694016
Jahdae Barron6731210
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colin Simmons4814992
Anthony Hill Jr.11317841
Trey Moore (Tr)3611761
Barryn Sorrell43116121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahdae Barron6731210
Michael Taaffe7862110
Malik Muhammad361008