Cal Poly at Stanford - 2024 Matchup Preview
Cal Poly logo Cal Poly Mustangs at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Stanford -33.5 (59.5) (0)  Open: -35.5 | 58.5
Stanford 41 - Cal Poly: 7

 
Mustangs (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 41 (7 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4   (SP+ STAN -8)
STAN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cal Poly's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7 Cal Poly at Stanford+33.559.5L 7 - 41UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule
Stanford's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Stanford vs TCU+8.058.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/7 Stanford vs Cal Poly-33.559.5W 41 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Stanford at Syracuse+9.556.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 9/28 Stanford at Clemson+24.058.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/5 Stanford vs Virginia Tech+9.550.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 10/12 Stanford at Notre Dame+22.545.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Stanford vs SMU+16.552.5L 10 - 40UN
Sat 10/26 Stanford vs Wake Forest+3.053.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Stanford at NC State+10.046.5L 28 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Stanford vs Louisville+21.057.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Stanford at California+15.053.5L 21 - 24UY
Fri 11/29 Stanford at San José State+2.554.5L 31 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%70%000%000%410%0%0000
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)22.841% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)33.745% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
STAN Defense1233.72946.6%4.531.3 - - - - - 43%57%45%48%14%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Defense141410%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
STAN Offense1222.824.540.1%3.671.8193251341913.750%50%41%39%22%.1

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cal Poly10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Stanford1231:4118.535%56%5.4491.81.35.32.1228.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Offense10%0%000000%0%0
STAN Defense1243% (4)45% (92) - - - - .11 (62)2.92 (53)68% (39)10% (58)0.99 (70)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
STAN Offense1250% (71)41% (95)36.3133.83.711 (116).08 (97)2.72 (116)66% (111)15% (131)1.01 (52)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
STAN Defense1257% (131)48% (124) - - - - - - 9 (76).4 (125)1.6 (69)30% (96)34% (113).33 (85)4% (129)2 (51)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
STAN Offense1250% (64)39% (98)18.730.8191.36.210.318 (68)17 (127).13 (111)1.5 (120)32% (82)26% (116).22 (106)7% (102)2.1 (29)

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: #NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: #NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: #NR
2024 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Cal Poly's 2024 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Stanford: -3.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Stanford: -8.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -3.79 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Cal Poly's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Stanford 32
Cal Poly 19

Total Points: 51

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Stanford41Cal Poly7StanfordStanford -33.5Stanford59.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford110 Overs
Cal Poly001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#NR) Cal Poly Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Cal Poly Highlights

Cal Poly Deficiencies
Cal Poly has a really bad Offense
Cal Poly Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSTANCP
OverallOver#80—
OffenseOff#97—
DefenseDef#86—
Special TeamsST#6—
PassingPass#96—
RushingRush#95—
Run BlockRBLK#84—
Pass BlockPBLK#80—
Route RunningWR Rt#77—
TacklingTkl#84—
Run DefenseR Def#75—
Pass Rush DefPRush#48—
Coverage DefCov#95—

Rematch from Week 2
Stanford -33.5 (59.5)
Stanford won vs Cal Poly this year (41-7)

Previous Matchups
Stanford beat Cal Poly last year (41-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CP | STAN
Depth Chart: CP | STAN
Rosters: CP | STAN
(#79) Stanford Info
Power Rating: -3.79 #79
Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Stanford has lost 1 straight
Stanford has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Stanford Notes
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic

Stanford Highlights
Stanford Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#79)

Stanford Deficiencies
Stanford has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Stanford throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Stanford offense is really bad (#118)
Stanford Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#64)
Stanford offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Stanford Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Stanford has a bad defense (#92)
Stanford gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#22)
Stanford has a bad red zone defense (#39)


  
Cal Poly's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cal Poly's Full Roster
Cal Poly's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake East81000
Brian Dukes70000
Mason Rivera50000
Kai Rapolla50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Ponder43102
Jake East81000
Troy Bean20000
Jeremy Justice10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Ponder43102
Jake East81000
Troy Bean20000

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels17027163%170010126.3
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Daniels14866934.567
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor63831613.260
Emmett Mosley V48525610.962
Sam Roush4033428.428
Ismael Cisse2624129.325

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel866121
Scotty Edwards802002
Tristan Sinclair777251
Mitch Leigber544011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey318680
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Tobin Phillips165410
Zach Buckey116301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Zahran Manley120003