Cal Poly at Stanford - 2024 Matchup Preview
Cal Poly logo   Cal Poly Mustangs at Stanford Cardinal  Stanford logo
Saturday, September 7th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Stanford -33.5 (59.5) (0)  Open: -35.5 | 58.5
Stanford 41 - Cal Poly: 7

 
Mustangs (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 63 (9 - 63 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ STAN -8)
STAN Win prob: 100% | Cover: 46%
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Cal Poly's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/7 Cal Poly at Stanford+33.559.5L 7 - 41UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cal Poly's Schedule
Stanford's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Stanford vs TCU+8.058.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/7 Stanford vs Cal Poly-33.559.5W 41 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20 Stanford at Syracuse+9.556.5W 26 - 24UY
Sat 9/28 Stanford at Clemson+24.058.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/5 Stanford vs Virginia Tech+9.550.0L 7 - 31UN
Sat 10/12 Stanford at Notre Dame+22.545.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 10/19 Stanford vs SMU+16.552.5L 10 - 40UN
Sat 10/26 Stanford vs Wake Forest+3.053.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Stanford at NC State+10.046.5L 28 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Stanford vs Louisville+21.057.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/23 Stanford at California+15.053.5L 21 - 24UY
Fri 11/29 Stanford at San José State+2.554.5L 31 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%90%000%000%630%0%0000
STAN#114 (.1)38% (114)18.841% (95)2.61 (130)11936% (114)2333.4 (101)#133 (.35)51% (133)29.256% (133)48% (129)5.22 (133)59.11.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Offense1990%00000000%0%0%0%0%
STAN Defense1229.22651.4%5.221 - - - - - 45%55%56%48%11%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CP Defense163630%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
STAN Offense1218.825.237.6%3.41.2203521192333.442%57%41%36%21%.1

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cal Poly10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Stanford1231:1619.536%33%6.359.11.214.31.9027.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Offense10%0%000000%0%0
STAN Defense1245% (13)56% (133) - - - - .25 (120)3.45 (124)76% (87)7% (129)0.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CP Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
STAN Offense1242% (114)41% (95)34.5118.83.415 (100).06 (114)2.61 (130)71% (90)13% (122)0.99 (74)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
STAN Defense1255% (124)48% (129) - - - - - - 8 (100).45 (130)1.7 (89)29% (125)41% (133).66 (133)4% (130)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CP Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
STAN Offense1257% (17)36% (114)19.435.62336.61211 (117)10 (56).16 (106)1.5 (84)36% (120)29% (77).28 (87)8% (126)2 (71)

Cal Poly's Power Ratings
Cal Poly's Power Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cal Poly's 2024 Expected Record: -
Cal Poly's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cal Poly's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Stanford: -3.79

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cal Poly:    Stanford: -8.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -3.79  #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63  #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49  #112
2024 Talent Rating: 410.00  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 12  #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2  #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Cal Poly Scoring
Offense: 9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 63 PPG
Defense on Road: 63

Cal Poly's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Stanford 43
Cal Poly 18

Projected Total Points: 61
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Stanford41Cal Poly7Stanford -33.5Stanford59.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford110 Overs
Cal Poly001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) CP at (#79) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCPSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #79
SP+SP+NR #101
Perf GradeGradeNR #112
OffenseOffNR #121
DefenseDefNR #106
Spec TeamsSTNR #6
TalentTalNR #31
Blue ChipsBC%NR #35
Stanford Notes
(11/29) Def torched by SJSU, Daniels 3 Int, Rgame meh
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic
(8/19) WR Ayomanor who abused T. Hunter back (1K yds)
Stanford Injury Report
Cal Poly on Offense
CategoryCat
CP OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #106
SuccessSucNR #133
ExplosiveExpNR #63
PPAPPANR #133
PowerPwrNR #112
SP+SP+NR #112
Pts POPPONR #133
HavocHavNR #133
Cal Poly Run Game
CategoryCat
CP OffSTAN Def
Run GameRunNR #93
Run SuccessRSucNR #133
Run ExplRExpNR #25
PPAExpNR #120
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #124
Stuff RateStuffNR #98
TackleTak -  #98
Cal Poly Pass Game
CategoryCat
CP OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePassNR #117
Pass SuccessPSucNR #129
Pass ExplPExlNR #89
PPAExpNR #130
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #53
F7 HavocF7NR #129
DB HavocDBNR #130
Stanford on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatSTAN OffCP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #121NR
SuccessSuc #114NR
ExplosiveExp #68NR
PPAPPA #114NR
PowerPwr #80NR
SP+SP+ #90NR
Pts POPPO #101NR
HavocHav #128NR
Stanford Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
STAN OffCP Def
Run GameRun #127NR
Run SuccessRSuc #95NR
Run ExplRExp #74NR
PPAExp #114NR
Run BlockR Blk #108 -
OL YdsOLY #130NR
Stuff RateStuff #130NR
TackleTak - NR
Stanford Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatSTAN OffCP Def
Pass GamePass #119NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #114NR
Pass ExplPExl #84NR
PPAExp #106NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #94NR
F7 HavocF7 #122NR
DB HavocDB #126NR
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Stanford -33.5 (59.5)
Stanford won vs Cal Poly this year (41-7)

Previous Matchups
Stanford beat Cal Poly in 2024 (41-7)

  
CP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cal Poly's Full Roster

CP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake East81000
Brian Dukes70000
Mason Rivera50000
Kai Rapolla50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Ponder43102
Jake East81000
Troy Bean20000
Jeremy Justice10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Ponder43102
Jake East81000
Troy Bean20000

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ashton Daniels17027163%170010126.3
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Daniels14866934.567
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor63831613.260
Emmett Mosley V48525610.962
Sam Roush4033428.428
Ismael Cisse2624129.325

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April III (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel866121
Scotty Edwards802002
Tristan Sinclair777251
Mitch Leigber544011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Bailey318680
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Tobin Phillips165410
Zach Buckey116301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Zahran Manley120003